Posted on 05/11/2023 6:33:29 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Small arms, ATGMs, MANPADS, loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles, trailers and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it is not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
SIREN, SIREN, SIREN.
“Britain has delivered long-range ‘Storm Shadow’ cruise missiles to Ukraine ahead of expected counteroffensive, sources say”
“The Storm Shadow is a long-range cruise missile with stealth capabilities, jointly developed by the UK and France, which is typically launched from the air. With a firing range in excess of 250km, or 155 miles, it is just short of the 185-mile range capability of the US-made surface-to-surface Army Tactical Missile Systems, or ATACMS, that Ukraine has long asked for.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/11/politics/uk-storm-shadow-cruise-missiles-ukraine/index.html
“UK Defence Secretary Ben Wallace confirms delivery of Storm Shadow to Ukraine.”
https://twitter.com/ItsArtoir/status/1656629153213325313
“Wow. CNN writes that the UK has supplied Ukraine with multiple Storm Shadow cruise missiles with a striking range of 250km, citing multiple senior Western officials. Ukraine assured the UK they will only be used inside Ukrainian sovereign territory.”
“This must mean that in the intervening period a way has been found to integrate these missiles with the Su’s or Mig-29 fighters used by Ukraine. Just like US engineers did with the AGM-88 HARM, integrating them with Ukrainian Mig-29’s.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1656594515677913088
Previous day’s thread: https://freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/4152129/posts
“Beyond Ukraine’s Offensive”
“The West Needs to Prepare the Country’s Military for a Long War”
“As the Russian winter offensive reaches its culmination, Ukraine is poised to seize the initiative. In the coming weeks, it plans to conduct an offensive operation, or series of offensives, that may prove decisive in this phase of the conflict. This is not Ukraine’s only remaining opportunity to liberate a substantial amount of territory and inflict a major defeat on Russian forces, but the upcoming offensive may be the moment when available Western military equipment, training, and ammunition best intersect with the forces set aside by Ukraine for this operation. Ukraine is also eager to demonstrate that, despite months of brutal fighting, its military is not exhausted and remains able to break through Russian lines.
Policymakers, however, have placed undue emphasis on the upcoming offensive without providing sufficient consideration of what will come afterward and whether Ukraine is well positioned for the next phase. It is critical that Ukraine’s Western partners develop a long-term theory of victory for Ukraine, since even in the best-case scenario, this upcoming offensive is unlikely to end the conflict. Indeed, what follows this operation could be another period of indeterminate fighting and attrition, but with reduced ammunition deliveries to Ukraine. This is already a long war, and it is likely to become protracted. History is an imperfect guide, but it suggests wars that endure for more than a year are likely to go on for at least several more and are exceedingly difficult to end. A Western theory of success must therefore prevent a situation in which the war drags on, but where Western countries are unable to provide Ukraine with a decisive advantage.
Ukraine may well achieve battlefield success, but it will take time to translate military victories into political outcomes. The West must also prepare for the prospect that this offensive may not achieve the kinds of gains seen during Ukraine’s successful operations in Kharkiv and Kherson. By placing too many bets on the outcome of this offensive, Western countries have not effectively signaled their commitment to a prolonged effort. If this operation proves to be the high point of Western assistance to Kyiv, then Moscow could assume that time is still on its side and that bedraggled Russian forces can eventually wear down the Ukrainian military. Whether Ukraine’s next operation is successful or not, Russia’s leader may have few incentives to negotiate. For Ukraine to sustain momentum—and pressure—Western states must make a set of commitments and plans for what follows this operation, rather than maintain a wait-and-see approach. Otherwise, the West risks creating a situation whereby Russian forces are able to recover, stabilize their lines, and try to retake the initiative.”
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/russia-war-beyond-ukraines-offensive
“Today, I want to discuss and share interesting details about the inadequate training of russian troops. This insight is based on my conversations with multiple officers across the frontlines in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts who shared with me details regarding prisoners of war.
2/ While russian training was subpar in comparison with NATO armies even before the invasion, the quality of their readiness is much lower even if we compare it with February 2022. Several anecdotes indicate that some soldiers haven’t even fired a single shot prior to deployment
3/ The tactic remains unchanged - hours, or even days, of artillery barrages, occasional airstrikes, and mortar fires followed by what can be called “meat waves” - assault groups comprised of soldiers who lack training beyond basic, if any at all.
4/ The process of deterioration of the russian army is accelerated by appearance of dozens of so-called “PMC”, which are not really PMC but more of a privately-sponsored units by various businessmen, politicians and corporations.
5/ Based on confessions, it is evident that some units receive much better training than the rest of the russian army. Some Wagner units (not convict units) look down on mobilized units and do not trust them, creating animosity between the units.
6/ However, despite these issues, the russian army is still capable of advancing. So, the question is, how? The answer is quite simple - russia still maintains a significant advantage in artillery means and ammunition.
7/ Despite russia’s ammo shortages, their artillery remains the main threat, as it allows even the lowest graded soldiers to take over positions that were turned into rubble by intense artillery fire
8/ It is crystal clear that Ukraine can defeat such an army if we have enough means. While some people continue to claim that Ukraine has everything it needs, this is far from the truth.
9/ The reluctance of some countries to provide aid is staggering as this is the only thing that prolongs this war - the insufficient number of resources that hinders our ability to liberate our territories.”
https://twitter.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1656338769602019341
“#Ukrainian FPV kamikaze drone hit Russian armoured vehicle “Tigr” Location: #Donetsk region”
https://twitter.com/GloOouD/status/1656327208242216963
“In two days, SSO unit “White Wolf’ destroyed multiple pieces of Russian equipment including: 4 tanks, 2 BMP-3, 4 Kozak-2, 2 dug outs and a warehouse with ammunition and other equipment.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1656336763151843340
Please win in round 1.
“#Turkey elections update:
• Breakaway opposition candidate Ince withdraws
• Kilicdaroglu invites Ince (to join coalition)
• A second candidate, Ogan cancels his rally
• Three separate polls released on Thursday indicate Kilicdaroglu is leading and very close to 50%”
https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1656643186389811200
“Ince didn’t support anyone only said “he withdraws so the opposition cannot blame him for a defeat.” Latest polls indicate he has two percent of support. But his name still will be on the ballot paper because they are already published.”
“Turkey - body blow to Erdogan with Ince withdrawing from the presidential contest. Guess most of his 2-3% votes go to KK. Higher chance now of KK first round win, but not certain for sure.”
“Respected polling company Konda has released its final poll.
• Kilicdaroglu: 49.3%
• Erdogan; 43.7%
• Ogan: 4.8%
• Ince: 2.2%”
“Near Opytne, #Donetsk Oblast, an abandoned Russian BMP-1 infantry fighting vehicle was destroyed by the Ukrainian 110th Mechanized Brigade using no less than nine 40x53mm HEDP grenades dropped by drones.”
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1656391483577061380
“A drone pilot from the Birds of Magyar unit of the 59th Brigade using a $1600 Mavic drone rammed a $14k-16k Russian DJI Matrice 300RTK. Mavik remained in the air.”
https://twitter.com/PaulJawin/status/1656557079987904512
“The “Viy” kamikaze drone negates the occupier’s means of radio-electronic warfare.“
https://twitter.com/antiputler_news/status/1656613075695333379
Droned
https://twitter.com/antiputler_news/status/1656584400790855680
https://twitter.com/antiputler_news/status/1656554343351349248
“Clearing the enemy’s entrenched positions in the Bakhmut direction“
https://twitter.com/antiputler_news/status/1656550347853160449
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - May 10, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
-—> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
-—> The True State of Russian Army <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
-—> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
-—> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
-—> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
-—> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ It Was Just The Beginning | Ukrainians Doubled the Scale of Operation in 1 Day | Second Stage Began ]
••Day 441: May 10
Today there is a lot of good news from the Bakhmut direction.
First of all, more information became available about yesterday’s assault on the southern flank.
Today it became clear that Ukrainians did not attack Russian positions in front simultaneously but rather started shaving them off from the corner near the forest. This explains how most Russians managed to run away before Ukrainians reached their positions.
Russians would receive a message about the attack from one group, then lose connection, receive a message about the attack from the second group, and lose connection, and when they understood that they were next on the line, they would run away.
Yesterday in the late evening, the commander of the 2nd battalion of the 3rd Assault Brigade reported that they managed to penetrate Russian defense by 2.6 km deep on a 3 km wide front.
But it looks like this was only the beginning because today, Ukrainians released footage showing that they are already operating almost 3 km away from yesterday’s positions, clearing the tree lines near Kurdiumivka.
The video featured the same 2nd battalion of the 3rd Assault Brigade and showed how they approached the trenches under the cover of an M-113. The fighters successfully suppressed the enemy fire and reached the enemy trenches.
Since there were several trenches along the tree line, a small group would stay to clear the position, while other troops with the vehicle would continue their movement towards the next fortification.
As a result, all positions were cleared, and the fighters reported collecting a lot of trophies, such as machine guns, grenade throwers, sniper rifles, and ammunition.
In the meantime, Ukrainian artillery has increased their focus on this flank and started undermining the next Russian positions on the line.
Geolocated footage showed how Ukrainians set on fire a Russian shelter just south of Ivanivske. Russians tried to extinguish the fire, however, in the end, they just chose to abandon their positions and ran towards Klischiivka.
Unfortunately for Russians, Ukrainian artillery is also actively firing at Russian positions in Klischiivka. Recently released footage shows how Ukrainians started destroying Russian warehouses with fuel and ammunition.
The coordinated work with drone reconnaissance and artillery resulted in the destruction of at least 2 warehouses.
Ukrainian artillery crews also fired at Russian objects in a small settlement south of Klischiivka. After several strikes, Ukrainian drone operators also noticed an increased movement of vehicles.
It looks like the Russians got concerned about the strikes together with the recent front-line penetrations and decided to relocate their equipment before it was destroyed by the artillery.
However, thanks to the drone operator, the artillery fire followed Russians through the field, which resulted in multiple pieces of equipment being destroyed.
The fact that Ukrainians increased the area of operation from 3 km to 6 km, cleared almost all Russian positions west of Kurdiumivka, forced Russians to abandon their positions south of Ivanivske, and destroyed multiple warehouses and pieces of equipment around Klischiivka, suggests that most undersupplied and tactically vulnerable part of the front line is the forest.
Now, as their supplies are essentially cut, Ukrainians can attack them from several directions at once, provide fire support west of the canal, and they should run out of supplies in a matter of hours.
Given that there is only one retreat route along the tree line, which is also under fire control, the chances of survival, even during the retreat, are very slim.
Once the forest is cleared, Ukrainians can safely move along the canal and attack not only Klishciivka but also Andriivka and Kurdiumivka.
And once a powerful bridgehead east of the canal is established, Ukrainians can use this ground to launch a large-scale mechanized assault to start encircling the Wagner Group from the south.
••Denys said this is NOT the big counter attack. But this operation continues.
PMC sent forces to stop the UA advance in the south, but have not succeeded. When the Wagners arrived to take up the abandoned RGF positions, the UA had already taken them and there was no place to hide.
Taking Klishchiivka means taking road that leads to Bakhmut, while cutting off Orcs. From there, it’s on to Opyne and encircling Bakhmut. This may force the Orcs to withdraw from Bakhmut.
Prigozhin, in today’s video, said the idea was to fix a large amount of Ukrainian troops and inflict heavy losses on them. But now the situation is reversed, and they are fixed and taking heavy losses. The counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is in full swing. They go into the flanks in the Bakhmut direction, successfully. After it they will enter the territory of the Bryansk and Belgorod regions of Russia.
==
Kherson:
UA forces pushed further in the Dniepo River area, towards Bilohrudove, on an island west of Kherson.
==
It is reported that in the occupied territory of the Zaporozhye region, payments to employees of military-civilian administrations and public utilities have been frozen.
Interestingly, before the run from Kherson, budget payments of occupied administration were also terminated in advance.
==
Surveillance flights targeting Kherson region.
==
UK supplies Storm Shadow long-range cruise missiles to Ukraine ahead of expected counter-offensive.
==
Sadly for some people, the Russians confirmed that their Khinzal “hypersonic” missile was indeed shot down by the Ukrainians. The images of the rockets nose cone shows a big rectangular hole which is the signature of the Patriot rocket.
==
UAV battle: €1,600 Ukrainian DJI Mavic destroys a Russian DJI Matrice 300 RTK with an estimated cost of $17,500. Destruction conformed of the Matrice, while the UA drone suffered only a crushed gimble - easily fixed.
==
Possible counter attack vector from Kupyansk toward Svatove could be successful because that area has few villages and cities with mostly open terrain. The force could go to Luhansk.
==
Putin signed the order of conscription for military training for reserve citizens, which is most Russian men; since they finished their mandatory conscription years back, they were placed in reserve.
More men, without health problems, will be entering the RGF, and fewer men will be available for Russia’s workforce, already straining under lack of skilled labor. Once in the Army they cannot leave and they lose all rights.
Zelinsky: We need to wait a little longer with the counteroffensive, - Zelensky about the counteroffensive of Ukraine in a new interview with the BBC
Reason: The military still needs the promised Western aid. “With what we have we can go ahead and succeed. But we would lose a lot of people. I think this is unacceptable. So we need to wait. We still need a little more time,” the President said.
It is a good logic but Russia will also have more time to prepare. US officials said that we have everything we need for the counterattack. Anyways we will see what happens in the nearby future.
==
“Vladimir Putin is the most dangerous fool in the world” - The New York Times column
Its author, NYT columnist and three-time Pulitzer Prize winner Thomas Friedman, concludes that Putin never had a plan B and now he can neither win nor lose nor stop.
If this military operation had a name, it would be called Operation Save My Face. This makes this war one of the most senseless wars of modern times: “the president of one country destroys the civilian infrastructure of another country until there is enough cover for him to hide the fact that he was a big fool.”
My question would be would Erdogan leave if he loses?
While we KNOW there was outright election stealing and shenanigans in our 2020 elections, what if Erdogan uses that as an excuse to stay in power?
This war has been catastrophic for Russia and extremely debilitating to Ukraine. There have been important geo political realities that have been made apparent.
1) Russia has shown that despite its huge expenditures made on the military, it is a second rate, almost obsolete conventional power. It clearly cannot defend with conventional forces its rich underpopulated Pacific Asian territories or Siberia. This will have a huge effect on China and its relations with China. Ironically Japan and the US may one day ally with Russia to prevent Chinese hegemony.
2) This war has shown that the new and ever changing technologies and AI have made naval surface combatants and armored land vehicles obsolete. War itself will always be part of the human experience but its nature has radically changed.
3) Russia and Ukraine are being transformed by this war. Its peoples will come to distrust nationalism given the suffering and devastation that they have experienced in its name. International borders, religion, cultural pride and patriotism will all seem much less important or valuable when this carnage eventually ceases. The people will be disheartened and disillusioned. This of course delights the globalists. It is also why there have been no serious efforts to stop this meat grinder. “Let it burn, be swept away and then we will take possession and rebuild to our liking”.
“Thomas Friedman, concludes that Putin never had a plan B and now he can neither win nor lose nor stop.
If this military operation had a name, it would be called Operation Save My Face. This makes this war one of the most senseless wars of modern times: “the president of one country destroys the civilian infrastructure of another country until there is enough cover for him to hide the fact that he was a big fool.””
I HATE Friedman - but his point is well taken.
“My question would be would Erdogan leave if he loses?”
My question would be would the vote be counted fairly.
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