SIREN, SIREN, SIREN.
“Britain has delivered long-range ‘Storm Shadow’ cruise missiles to Ukraine ahead of expected counteroffensive, sources say”
“The Storm Shadow is a long-range cruise missile with stealth capabilities, jointly developed by the UK and France, which is typically launched from the air. With a firing range in excess of 250km, or 155 miles, it is just short of the 185-mile range capability of the US-made surface-to-surface Army Tactical Missile Systems, or ATACMS, that Ukraine has long asked for.”
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/11/politics/uk-storm-shadow-cruise-missiles-ukraine/index.html
“UK Defence Secretary Ben Wallace confirms delivery of Storm Shadow to Ukraine.”
https://twitter.com/ItsArtoir/status/1656629153213325313
“Wow. CNN writes that the UK has supplied Ukraine with multiple Storm Shadow cruise missiles with a striking range of 250km, citing multiple senior Western officials. Ukraine assured the UK they will only be used inside Ukrainian sovereign territory.”
“This must mean that in the intervening period a way has been found to integrate these missiles with the Su’s or Mig-29 fighters used by Ukraine. Just like US engineers did with the AGM-88 HARM, integrating them with Ukrainian Mig-29’s.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1656594515677913088
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - May 10, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
-—> Daily Battle Maps by Date and Region, Showing Troop Dispositions and Movements: <——
https://deepstatemap.live/
==
-—> The True State of Russian Army <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
The Russian military, the second largest military in the world, may not be what it looks like. Lies and systematic corruptions may in fact have dragged Russia into this war with Ukraine, which has been heavily backed up by the US and NATO. We will present the evidence, you make your own decision, because the Russian Army, is not what you think.
==
-—> Understanding Combined Arms Warfare <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ZOGdKANL5s
Designed to support the U.S. Army Captains Career Course, “Understanding Combined Arms Warfare” defines and outlines the important aspects of modern combined arms operations. This is not a complete history of combined arms warfare. It is intended to highlight the most important aspects of the subject.
The beginning of the documentary establishes a common understanding of combined arms warfare by discussing doctrinal and equipment developments in World War I. The second part compares the development of French and German Army mechanization during the interwar period and describes how each country fared during the Battle of France in 1940. The film concludes by showing how the United States applied combined arms operations in the European Theater in World War II.
==
-—> Combined Arms Breach, 1990 <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
What UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines. This visualization was developed for the Maneuver Center of Excellence and is closely based upon the National Training Center Breach and Assault exercise executed circa 1990. This visualization demonstrates viable Techniques, and Procedures as discussed in Army Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures March 3, 1990 for the conduct of the combined arms breach against a hypothetical enemy.
==
-—> How Many of Each Type of Tank Does Russia Have In Storage? <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2PHUK6zkbpc
Type Good 2023
T-54/55 270
T-62 560
T-64 248
T-72 1841
T-80 942
T-90 50
~3,911 operational tanks in storage as of ~04/07/2023 | Ball park tank number.
==
-—> Contrast & Compare: the T-14 Armada [The AliExpress Tank]: The Best Russian Tank Ever! [very funny] <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-opSlCGLGQ4
[ It Was Just The Beginning | Ukrainians Doubled the Scale of Operation in 1 Day | Second Stage Began ]
••Day 441: May 10
Today there is a lot of good news from the Bakhmut direction.
First of all, more information became available about yesterday’s assault on the southern flank.
Today it became clear that Ukrainians did not attack Russian positions in front simultaneously but rather started shaving them off from the corner near the forest. This explains how most Russians managed to run away before Ukrainians reached their positions.
Russians would receive a message about the attack from one group, then lose connection, receive a message about the attack from the second group, and lose connection, and when they understood that they were next on the line, they would run away.
Yesterday in the late evening, the commander of the 2nd battalion of the 3rd Assault Brigade reported that they managed to penetrate Russian defense by 2.6 km deep on a 3 km wide front.
But it looks like this was only the beginning because today, Ukrainians released footage showing that they are already operating almost 3 km away from yesterday’s positions, clearing the tree lines near Kurdiumivka.
The video featured the same 2nd battalion of the 3rd Assault Brigade and showed how they approached the trenches under the cover of an M-113. The fighters successfully suppressed the enemy fire and reached the enemy trenches.
Since there were several trenches along the tree line, a small group would stay to clear the position, while other troops with the vehicle would continue their movement towards the next fortification.
As a result, all positions were cleared, and the fighters reported collecting a lot of trophies, such as machine guns, grenade throwers, sniper rifles, and ammunition.
In the meantime, Ukrainian artillery has increased their focus on this flank and started undermining the next Russian positions on the line.
Geolocated footage showed how Ukrainians set on fire a Russian shelter just south of Ivanivske. Russians tried to extinguish the fire, however, in the end, they just chose to abandon their positions and ran towards Klischiivka.
Unfortunately for Russians, Ukrainian artillery is also actively firing at Russian positions in Klischiivka. Recently released footage shows how Ukrainians started destroying Russian warehouses with fuel and ammunition.
The coordinated work with drone reconnaissance and artillery resulted in the destruction of at least 2 warehouses.
Ukrainian artillery crews also fired at Russian objects in a small settlement south of Klischiivka. After several strikes, Ukrainian drone operators also noticed an increased movement of vehicles.
It looks like the Russians got concerned about the strikes together with the recent front-line penetrations and decided to relocate their equipment before it was destroyed by the artillery.
However, thanks to the drone operator, the artillery fire followed Russians through the field, which resulted in multiple pieces of equipment being destroyed.
The fact that Ukrainians increased the area of operation from 3 km to 6 km, cleared almost all Russian positions west of Kurdiumivka, forced Russians to abandon their positions south of Ivanivske, and destroyed multiple warehouses and pieces of equipment around Klischiivka, suggests that most undersupplied and tactically vulnerable part of the front line is the forest.
Now, as their supplies are essentially cut, Ukrainians can attack them from several directions at once, provide fire support west of the canal, and they should run out of supplies in a matter of hours.
Given that there is only one retreat route along the tree line, which is also under fire control, the chances of survival, even during the retreat, are very slim.
Once the forest is cleared, Ukrainians can safely move along the canal and attack not only Klishciivka but also Andriivka and Kurdiumivka.
And once a powerful bridgehead east of the canal is established, Ukrainians can use this ground to launch a large-scale mechanized assault to start encircling the Wagner Group from the south.
••Denys said this is NOT the big counter attack. But this operation continues.
PMC sent forces to stop the UA advance in the south, but have not succeeded. When the Wagners arrived to take up the abandoned RGF positions, the UA had already taken them and there was no place to hide.
Taking Klishchiivka means taking road that leads to Bakhmut, while cutting off Orcs. From there, it’s on to Opyne and encircling Bakhmut. This may force the Orcs to withdraw from Bakhmut.
Prigozhin, in today’s video, said the idea was to fix a large amount of Ukrainian troops and inflict heavy losses on them. But now the situation is reversed, and they are fixed and taking heavy losses. The counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is in full swing. They go into the flanks in the Bakhmut direction, successfully. After it they will enter the territory of the Bryansk and Belgorod regions of Russia.
==
Kherson:
UA forces pushed further in the Dniepo River area, towards Bilohrudove, on an island west of Kherson.
==
It is reported that in the occupied territory of the Zaporozhye region, payments to employees of military-civilian administrations and public utilities have been frozen.
Interestingly, before the run from Kherson, budget payments of occupied administration were also terminated in advance.
==
Surveillance flights targeting Kherson region.
==
UK supplies Storm Shadow long-range cruise missiles to Ukraine ahead of expected counter-offensive.
==
Sadly for some people, the Russians confirmed that their Khinzal “hypersonic” missile was indeed shot down by the Ukrainians. The images of the rockets nose cone shows a big rectangular hole which is the signature of the Patriot rocket.
==
UAV battle: €1,600 Ukrainian DJI Mavic destroys a Russian DJI Matrice 300 RTK with an estimated cost of $17,500. Destruction conformed of the Matrice, while the UA drone suffered only a crushed gimble - easily fixed.
==
Possible counter attack vector from Kupyansk toward Svatove could be successful because that area has few villages and cities with mostly open terrain. The force could go to Luhansk.
==
Putin signed the order of conscription for military training for reserve citizens, which is most Russian men; since they finished their mandatory conscription years back, they were placed in reserve.
More men, without health problems, will be entering the RGF, and fewer men will be available for Russia’s workforce, already straining under lack of skilled labor. Once in the Army they cannot leave and they lose all rights.
Zelinsky: We need to wait a little longer with the counteroffensive, - Zelensky about the counteroffensive of Ukraine in a new interview with the BBC
Reason: The military still needs the promised Western aid. “With what we have we can go ahead and succeed. But we would lose a lot of people. I think this is unacceptable. So we need to wait. We still need a little more time,” the President said.
It is a good logic but Russia will also have more time to prepare. US officials said that we have everything we need for the counterattack. Anyways we will see what happens in the nearby future.
==
“Vladimir Putin is the most dangerous fool in the world” - The New York Times column
Its author, NYT columnist and three-time Pulitzer Prize winner Thomas Friedman, concludes that Putin never had a plan B and now he can neither win nor lose nor stop.
If this military operation had a name, it would be called Operation Save My Face. This makes this war one of the most senseless wars of modern times: “the president of one country destroys the civilian infrastructure of another country until there is enough cover for him to hide the fact that he was a big fool.”
It is starting to look more real around Bakhmut!
@visegrad24 2h
BREAKING: The Ukrainian Army has launched a local counteroffensive in Bakhmut.
The Ukrainian forces have broken through in the direction of Berkhovka & Yagodnoye.
They are also pushing toward Soledad & have retaken the Industrial College in S-W Bakhmut
Russians are panicking.
@visegrad24 2h
Major traffic jams this afternoon on road leading from Mariupol to Novoazovsk.
The Russians who have been resettled in Mariupol are afraid of a Ukrainian counteroffensive and are fleeing back to Russia.
Panic in the air…
@visegrad24 1h
BREAKING: Russian Telegram channels panic about a potential Ukrainian strike toward the Russian border city of Belgorod.
Long columns of Ukrainians tanks and infantry fighting vehicles were reportedly spotted on the Kharkiv Ring Road today driving toward the Russian border.
@visegrad24 1h
BREAKING:
Panic erupting on Russian Telegram after multiple reports of increased Ukrainian troop concentrations today in Beryslav (near the Nova Kakhova Dam over the Dniper River, just North of Kherson City).
There is reportedly a large number of Ukrainian small boats gathering on the Dniepr river in the region & amphibious vehicles have been spotted too
Ukraine is working hard to put a brave, heroic face on a bad situation. While the battle over Bakhmut continues to dominate the attention of Western pundits and politicians, the war in Ukraine is raging in other locations, including Zaporozhye, Maryinka, Avdyevka, Petrovskoye and dozens of other cities and hamlets. Russia has ample supplies of men, tanks and ammunition. Ukraine does not. Russia is choosing to fight a war of attrition rather than large scale maneuver. I realize this is frustrating for those arm-chair generals longing for a General Patton to break out of hedge row country and go scampering across France. Apart from the whining complaints from Prigozhin, there is no sign of panic, fear or frustration on the Russian side. The essential question remains — how long can Ukraine hold out?
Ukraine SitRep: Delayed Counteroffensive, Russian Defense Lines, Weapon Efficiency
Ukraine does not have the personnel to sustain a longer war. Nor does the 'west' have any spare weapons that could give the Ukraine a 'decisive advantage'.
This is wild.
https://twitter.com/albafella1/status/1656397533227171843?s=20
“Full video. Yesterday, near Bakhmut, a unique event of historic proportions took place.
First, one of the “liberators”, wounded by drops from drones, committed suicide by putting a grenade under his head.
The occupier, who was watching all this from his hole, mad with fear and hopelessness, seeing how all his comrades died in the trenches from UAV strikes in a few hours, decided to surrender to the drone. Seeing a drone ready to destroy him, he raised his hands and showed that he was ready to surrender.
💪The fighters of the CODE 9.2 group, already recognized all over the world as virtuosos in destroying occupiers using drones, decided to save his life and, with the assistance of the crew of the ACHILES UAV company, transmitted instructions on how and where to go [for occupier] by dropping the package from the drone .
The invader read the instructions and went to surrender. His commanders, seeing from their drone that their soldier was surrendering, tried to destroy him with an artillery strike, but did not hit. Drone operators escorted him and handed him over to the valiant warriors of the 3rd Battalion of the 92nd Brigade.
Now the invader, originally from the Pskov region, is safe. He, unlike thousands of others, will not be left to rot on Ukrainian soil and got a chance to be useful - to be exchanged for one of Ukrainian Defenders.”
Russia to Build ‘Migrant Village’ for Conservative American Expats
“Russian authorities will launch construction of a village outside Moscow for conservative-minded Americans and Canadians next year, the state-run RIA Novosti news agency reported Thursday.”
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/05/11/russia-to-build-migrant-village-for-conservative-american-expats-a81101