Posted on 11/07/2022 7:38:03 AM PST by Red Badger
This article is top cover for the upcoming fraud that will occur in many of the close races.
Agree! Get off your blooming @$$es and VOTE!!!!!!! There is NO FREAKING RED WAVE IF WE DON’T TURNOUT!! Screw the pipe dream of a red tsunami and VOTE …take people with!!!!
GOP is not going to gain 10 Senate Seats, even in an unprecedented wipe out of Dems you aren’t going to see a 10 seat gain this election.
Democrats are only defending 13 total seats this election I believe.. for the GOP to gain 10 seats would require the GOP to win 30 of the 35 Senate races... and that’s just not going to happen in ANY election. GOP is not going to win 85% of the Senate elections, so need to check that silliness right now.
Going to be likely 53-55 range.. and maybe a few real shockers will push it higher, but its not going to be GOP holds everywhere and gets 10 out of 13 current democrat seats, that’s just not realistic.
House is where the HUGE swing is possible... I know safe consensus says 40ish seats on the top end, I personally feel double that is the range.. 80ish... should the wins blow “just right” they could flirt with triple digits.
We will see. But 60 in the Senate this time? Not really seeing where.
NH, NV, AZ, GA sure, very much in play, and good likelyhood of flipping... Where are your other 6 going to come from? Anyone really think NY is going to boot Schumer? Or California is going to go GOP for their Senator? Even if you are optimistic and say WA is possible... where are the other 5 going to come from? CT? VT? Mass? MD?
Not with this years map.
Now in 2024, the Dems will be defending a LOT more territory in the Senate, but it will also be a presidential year, so will be a different dynamic... but If the GOP does gain 4-5 seats or more with only 13 Dems up for re-election that’s a HUGE repudiation of the Democrats this cycle... that means that Democrat Senate Incumbents will have lost 30-38% of the time, and that’s HUGE.
2024, Dems have to defend a MUCH bigger map to defend.
Republicans will only have 10 Senate seats they are defending. where Dems will have 23 with 1 Independent.
Super majority certainly will be possible in 2024, but that’s 2+ years away, the political dynamic will likely have moved by then.. but we will see.. but if there were a time I were going to say GOP has chance at 60+ seats in the Senate the 2024 election is the likely place it will happen, not 2022.
Or furthering the narrative that Republicans are cheating. If the Dims lose, the integrity of the process must be challenged.
its difficult to estimate how much fraud will occur.
Polls are increasingly useless.
Polls are only useful in open, high-trust societies.
Even if China held polls - would people respond openly and honestly? NO.
Government, media and America’s political/economic elites have steadily eroded trust in most institutions, certainly political ones.
The Jets beating the Bill’s is a bad example, because the Jets have been pretty good this year.
Yes, I was shocked!.................
If the republicans solidly win this year in the Senate, expect a campaign theme from both sides that they didn’t manage to repeal much of any of this sessions outrageous legislation.
They have no clue, like all the expert pundits, talk show hosts, professional politicians, political analyst, celebrities etc...
They all declared Trump would never be President.
Well they can’t really repeal anything that was legitimately passed.. because Biden will veto, and they won’t be able to override... So, expectations of any rollback of any legislation passed in the last 2 years isn’t going to be possible until 2024.
But yes, that will be the narrative... because reality doesn’t matter.
They have no clue because they do not know where the fix is in or if it’s in or if it may be in or if the real votes will be counted this time or if magical votes and then ballots will appear in the dead of night.
It is kind of hard to poll massive election fraud.
Well in a normal year yeah it would be shocking the Jets beat one of the top teams but they’ve actually look pretty darn good this year.
You must not have read my post. I said IF. Three senate pick-ups is not a tsunami. Three pick-ups is a common occurrence.
Go get yourself a life.
Without fraud the modern democratic party would not be viable. In 2020 this fact was exposed for all to see.
A lot of republicans have finally realized that media polling is just opposition research done on the democrats behalf and used to gauge how much fraud is needed.
It was so far off in 2020 and they were so desperate to get rid of Trump that accomplishing that goal eclipsed the need for plausible deniability of the fraud.
100% what I was/have been thinking.
The only things that matter are the exit polls! (Remember that carp just a few years ago?)
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.