Hope ya’ll have a good weekend.
Wuhan virus -
New research conducted by Moderna in partnership with the Kaiser Permanente health care group reveals that the company’s messenger RNA-based (mRNA) Wuhan coronavirus (Covid-19) “vaccines” cause the immune system to turn against itself in just a few months.
Also known as negative efficacy, the phenomenon involves progressive immune degradation in a manner similar to AIDS and other autoimmune diseases. In essence, the “fully vaccinated” become walking immune time bombs that Moderna claims require additional injection intervention.The primary double-dose and booster regimen produces negative efficacy against the “currently dominant BA.5” subvariant after just a few months, the company claims. The same is true for BA.2, BA.4, and BA.1.12.1, though at varying intervals.
“Negative effectiveness means that a vaccinated person is more likely to contract COVID-19, the disease caused by the virus, than an unvaccinated person,” one report explains.
OBSERVATION - Reports of vaccine-induced AIDS (VAIDS) have been out there for over a year now. This is one of the first studies to confirm and document its linkage to the jab (Pfizer and Moderna). As I ‘ve noted before on numerous occasions, connecting the dots to all these known (by Pfizer/Modenra, CDC, etc) can prove fraud and strip the lawsuit liability protection from them. The sooner this happens, the better.
Economy -
CEO confidence is at its lowest point since the Great Recession, according to a quarterly poll of business leaders conducted by the Conference Board. According to the survey, released Thursday, an overwhelming majority of 98% of U.S.-based CEOs say they are planning for an economic recession over the next 12-18 months. For CEOs based in Europe, that figure increased to 99%.
“CEOs are now preparing for near-inevitable recessions in both the U.S. and Europe,” Roger W. Ferguson Jr., a Conference Board trustee and former Fed vice chair, told the New York Post. “While the vast majority still expect the U.S. recession to be short and shallow, nearly 7 in 10 believe the EU will enter a deep recession with serious global spillovers.”
OBSERVATION - These CEOs jobs depend on their correct understanding of the current economic undercurrents that are welling up to impact their companies. While there is some hopium being expressed for a short/shallow US recession- their views about Europe are dour. Remember, the global economy is tightly bound together, so it will be hard not to have a similar, deep recession. Part of the hopium is to keep investors calm for as long as they can.
U.S. refineries are preparing themselves for the possibility that Biden could impose a ban on fuel exports after the White House dangled the threat of the ban in front of refiners. No action has been taken to date, but with the mid-terms coming up and fuel prices continuing to rise, this could soon change.
Earlier this month, the White House requested that the DOE assess the potential impact of banning fuel exports – including gasoline, diesel, and other refined petroleum products. The move suggested that President Biden may be preparing for a ban. This comes ahead of the mid-term elections, at a time when Biden is concerned about fuel prices rising even higher, and as the U.S. public battles with growing inflation levels and general economic uncertainty.
One oil executive explained the situation: “We don’t have a place to put excess fuel in the U.S,” adding, “We would have to slow refinery runs to make less diesel and gasoline.”
OBSERVATION - I find that last statement a little incredible. Also according to oil industry types, diesel and heating oil stocks are at record low levels in many parts of the country. To say there is no place to put the fuel is a bit disingenuous. The big concern IMHO is that being cut out from the global market - where they can get paid higher prices than in the US is driving this ‘concern’.
An export ban would throw the US industry into degree of chaos, on the flip side. The increase in the availability of gas/diesel would bring prices down, but refineries would still be facing inflated costs for refining and distributing, on top of high crude prices. This could result in a backlash of refinery closures or reduced production in order to maintain a profit margin. Throw in the traditional drop in oil demand that occurs during a recession and the oil industry will be forced to make many other changes that could damage the system in the future.
Invasion of Illegals -
Increasing reports that illegals are in increasing numbers crossing the border armed.
Biden / Harris watch -
Antifa et al protesting biden’s appearance s in Portland today. Much of his schedule is under wraps as a result.
CW2/Domestic violence -
Antifa going after biden in Portland
Strategic Activity / Deployments -
B-52s have deployed to Europe in support of NATO nuclear exercises.
China -
The US government’s new export controls are reportedly wreaking havoc on China’s chip industry. According to industry news reports/social media, every American executive and engineer working in China’s semiconductor manufacturing industry resigned yesterday, paralyzing Chinese manufacturing overnight. ASML has stopped providing services and support to mainland China.
OBSERVATION - This is just hitting my intel feeds, so the above is pretty raw. If the reports bear out, this would be a nasty hit on China’s chip industry. Especially since the CCP congress is just starting to meet.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia is now into its eighth month of fighting since starting on Feb 24th.
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russian forces are in a state of disarray following the defeats in the east and west. Russian leadership changes will take time to set up new chains of command and control, reprioritize support and operational goals. Infighting between putin supporters, talking heads/milbloggers, mercenary leadership and Kremlin generals will only serve to create more problems in pursuing the fight. New conscripts are showing up at the front with absolutely no training or preparation .
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Domestically, the ‘mobilization’ has created a lot of friction. Much of it coming from eastern states where the impression is that they are unfairly bearing the brunt of the call up.
NUKE WATCH -
Russian nuke exercises are coinciding with Nato exercises
Kerch Bridge update -
Russian begrudging admitting that the damage to the Kerch Bridge is more substantial than originally stated. July 2023 is the date for full repairs to be completed.
RUMINT -
Reports that the Russian MoD as asked Roskomnadzor to start prosecution against (Girkin) Strelkov, Pegov (WarGonzo), Podolyaka, Vladlen Tatarsky, Mardan, Dimitriev, and the creator of Rybar channel.
NOTE - These are prominent pro-Russia milbloggers who have of late been very critical of the war effort.
Logistics -
- It is being noted that Russian is deploying ancient soviet S-60 anti-aircraft guns to the war zone.
- Russia is relying more and more on Iranian drones for its attacks on Ukrainian cities, suggesting its own stockpile of guided weapons has reached a low point.
Russian Personnel Issues -
- Reports that Russia is winding down its first mobilization in order for bureaucrats to process the regular conscript cycle.
- Not fully confirmed, but given the actions of the Russian military and the condition of the army, there are estimates that the wounded fatality rate is 50 percent. Alledgedly this is due to Russian military command refusing to evacuate the seriously wounded to the Russian Federation for treatment.
Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST - Cool temperatures in the 50s and 60s with little to no rain 10 day forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP -
BREAKING news that it appears Ukraine is resuming its offensive north of Kherson. Initial reports of a good deal of success.
Russian forces launched attacks all along the eastern front, focused on Bakhmut ,but with not reported success.
Kyiv front ——
Missile attacks across region, type not stated.
Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts ——
Sporadic artillery across the sector.
Eastern (Kharkiv) front ——
Reports of continued progress towards Svatove and Kreminna, but not spectacular as in previous weeks.
Russian artillery sporadically targeting other portions of the oblast.
Donetsk Oblast ——
Ukrainian forces reportedly struck four Russian command posts and 15 other areas where Russian manpower and military equipment were concentrated, the General Staff of Ukraine’s Armed Forces said.
Reports of intensive fighting around Bakhmut with Russian forces gaining only a slight amount of ground south of the city.
Crimean front ———
Russian sources are reporting renewed Ukrainian attacks along the west side of the Dnipir River that appear to be focused on liberating the town of Mylove. Russians report Ukrainian forces have started to shell the entire frontline between Dnipro and Inhulets River.
Action has caused russian telegraph channels to bristle with concerns. Russian sources confirm that Ukrainian forces have launched at multiple sections of the Northern Kherson line their attack. Reports of large numbers of Russian soldiers surrendering as well.
More confirmation on the Ukranian offensive comes from Kirill Stremousov, a deputy head of the Russian occupation government in Kherson Oblast, said that the Ukrainian military is trying to launch an offensive near the village of Dudchany.
Western / Central Ukraine ——
NSR
Russian Territory -—
Power is out in a number of places in Belgorod, Russia after Russia claims Ukraine attacked the city’s thermal power plant. Some Ukrainian sources are reporting that outbound missiles from Belgorod hit the power plant. NOTE It wouldn’t be the first time malfunctioning Russian missiles have hit Belgorod and vicinity.
An oil storage facility in Belgorod is reported to be on fire this afternoon.
Partisan Resistance ——
NSR - but don’t let that fool you, there are plenty of unconfirmed reports of rear area attacks crossed Russian occupied territory.
OUTLOOK ——
Monitoring to see if the breaking news of a rejuvenated Kherson offensive by Ukraine is the real deal. The validity of russian telegraph channels reporting on the initial success of the attacks lends some credibility to the reports. russian telegraph channels have been relatively accurate of late providing intel on parts of the battle under Ukranian OPSEC silence.
The Belarus action has gotten a lot of attention. Since even before the war started, Belarus has been sword rattling with its military. The recent movement of recently mobilized Russians to regions of southern Belarus raise several key points -
FIRST - There are serious doubts that Belarus will actually send forces into Ukraine. The move is widely unpopular in Belarus, and even more so with the military.
SECOND - The Russians appear to be recently mobilized, absent significant training and equipment. I’ve observed before, there is an increasingly diminishing chance that these troops will be sent into war using Belarus equipment. Reason being is that Belarus is shipping armor and other vehicles to Russia and not areas the Russian conscripts are reportedly staging at.
THIRD - Movement of Russian forces into the border regions with Belarus forces may be an effort to provide them additional training. The goal this training may well be to throw them into combat towards Kyiv in an effort to divert Ukrainian assets away from the east and south.
FINALLY - Should Russia try to assault Kyiv again from the north, the results will likely be worse than when the war started. Relatively well trained and equipped Russian forces surprise attack was stopped by hastily organized Ukrainian resistance. The rag tag Russian conscripts being into Belarus are a far cry from such a force.
However, one shouldn’t write off another attack towards Kyiv given the desperate situation russia is finding itself in in the south and east. Currently, no intelligence indicators of an imminent attack are present. That may change with time.
Belarus -
Belarus is expecting approximately 70,000 additional Russian soldiers to be deployed to Belarus.
Belarusian military personnel have been banned from traveling abroad, unless it’s to Russia, sources tell Belarusian outlet Nasha Niva.
Belarusian watchdog Belarusian Hajun reported that, over the past week, Belarus has transported at least 67 T-72 tanks and 28 Ural military trucks from its Mahilou region to Russia.
“Prohibitions and restrictions” on visiting forests has been introduced in 12 southern regions of Belarus, state media report. This usually happens when there are army maneuvers etc
OBSERVATION - these forests are located in the border region due north of Kyiv. Needless to say intel eyes are on this activity. The current publicly released assessments state that there are no indicators of an attack into Ukraine from the north at this time.
IMHO - So far these Russian forces appear to be bodies only, with no accompanying armor/tanks. They also appear to be the untrained conscripts. I thought that initially they could fall in on Belarus equipment until the reports started coming out that it is apparently is being shipped to Russia.
Russia’s initial attacks towards Kyiv were relatively complex and had well armed and relatively trined units (VDV for example). To throw unmotivated and untrained conscripts into an attack on Kyiv again would be disastrous. See my comments under Ukraine OUTLOOK above.
NATO is set to start military drills practicing the use of Europe’s nuclear bombs on Monday after Putin warned direct clashes with Russia would spark ‘global catastrophe’. Its annual nuclear exercise ‘Steadfast Noon’ will see up to 60 aircrafts take part in training flights over Belgium, the North Sea and Britain. The nuclear drills - which do not involve live bombs - come after Vladimir Putin said today that a direct clash between NATO and Russian troops would lead to ‘global catastrophe’. NATO said the exercise, which runs until 30 October, was a routine, recurring training activity and added that no live weapons would be used.
Sweden has gathered evidence conclusively linking Russia to sabotage of the Nordstream pipeline. Citing national security concerns, Stockholm has rejected a joint investigation and data sharing with Russia.
Israel -
Palestinian factions signed a reconciliation deal in Algiers on Thursday, vowing to hold elections by next October in their latest attempt to end a rift that has now lasted more than 15 years. The deal was signed by a leading figure from the Fatah party of Palestinian Authority President Mahmud Abbas and by the chief of the Hamas terror group, which rules Gaza. But Abbas himself, president of the Palestinian Authority since 2005, was not present.
Fatah and Hamas have been at odds since the elections in 2006, which were won by Hamas but never recognized by the international community. The following year, the Islamist movement seized control of the Gaza Strip beginning years of division, with Fatah administering Palestinian-run areas of the West Bank. The first elections since the division had been set to take place last year, but were canceled by Abbas.
Fatah and Hamas have signed several similar deals in the past but none has led to elections actually taking place.
OBSERVATION - I think the last sentence above says it all. Hamas and Fatah have been nasty opponents over the years. Fatah (and Israel) do not want to allow Hamas to gain a foot hold in the West Bank. Fatah has gotten soft in many ways, working with Israel to raise the standard of living in the West Bank, whereas Hamas has kept its anti-Israel sword sharp, gaining resonance with West Bank radicals.
Iran -
Iranian activists called for fresh nationwide protests on Saturday over the death of Mahsa Amini, as the movement entered its fifth week despite a crackdown that has killed dozens. At least 108 people have been killed in the Amini protests, and at least 93 more have died in separate clashes in Zahedan, capital of the southeastern province of Sistan-Baluchestan, according to Oslo-based group Iran Human Rights.
Reports that the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) may be mobilizing retired service members and other affiliated officers to suppress protests in Tehran.
OBSERVATION - If this mobilization is accurate, it indicates that the budding revolution is getting out of hand for the regular forces.
Misc of Note -
US health officials are becoming increasingly concerned about this year’s flu season – and are already seeing signs that the virus is spreading. As the 2022-23 flu season gets underway, one high school in California is facing a “high number of absences” among students due to possible flu cases. Flu activity in the United States often starts to increase in October and usually peaks between December and February.
OBSERVATION - From completely disappearing during the wuhan plandemic to a new disaster in order to push more vaccinations.
Alaska will cancel the upcoming winter snow crab season in the Bering Sea for the first time, and bar fishers from catching king crabs in the Bristol Bay for a second consecutive year, because of a sharp decline in their estimated population.
This week’s announcements by the Alaska Department of Fish and Game deal a severe blow to fishers that make a living off the crabs. They also bring back to the forefront questions about the role of climate change in the rapid decline of the snow crab population: The number of juvenile snow crabs was at record highs just a few years ago, before some 90 percent of snow crabs mysteriously disappeared ahead of last season.
OBSERVATION - In perspective, 90% is approximately 1 billion missing crab. This may be linked to the La Nina cycle we are currently in (third consecutive year) and as the Alaska F &G suggest in their statement, the crabs may have migrated to colder water.
Interesting.
Running late, OBE’d
Globalism / Great Reset -
Credit Suisse, is preparing to sell parts of its Swiss domestic bank as it attempts to close a capital hole of around 4.5 billion Swiss francs ($4.48 billion), the Financial Times has reported.
OBSERVATION - Posted here, as the downfall of the global finance system is necessary so the GGR can replace it with their own system. CS has been struggling for weeks and this is just the latest iteration. Other central banks suffering similar liquidity issues.
Queensland Education Department decided to dock the pay of 900 school staff who did not receive the Covid vaccine, saying that ignoring the mandate put others at risk. Staff members – including teachers, teacher aides, school officers, administration staff, and cleaners – will have a “small-scale temporary reduction of one increment of pay” for 18 weeks. That equals approximately $25-$90 per week gross, depending on the level of one’s wage. The letter stated that the action was “entirely appropriate” for the severity of the matter and hoped staff would follow future directions. Also, Western Australia Police say more than 50 officers are facing disciplinary action over their refusal to be vaccinated against Covid-19, as a legal challenge against the state’s vaccine mandates by one of their own was comprehensively rejected by Supreme Court judge.
IN RELATED - following biden’s declaration that “the pandemic is over.”, military spokesman, John Kirby , attempted to justify the continued drive by the military for 100% vaccination. There is no evidence that the COVID-19 vaccines promote the “health and safety” of our force.
underlings.
OBSERVATION - George Orwell wrote: “All tyrannies rule through fraud and force, but once the fraud is exposed they must rely exclusively on force.” Same is true here in America, biden extending the ‘emergency’ another 90 days - its all about power, and the GGR doesn’t want to lose the leverage these ‘emergency’ orders grant to its
BlackRock’s focus on the latest Wall Street craze—environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investing—has turned into a risky affair for the world’s largest asset manager, a UBS analyst recently stated.
Brennan Hawken, an analyst at the bank, downgraded the stock of BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE:BLK) from Buy to Neutral and slashed the stock price target from $700 to $585 over growing pushback to its ESG efforts.
“We are downgrading BLK to Neutral based on environmental pressure to earnings and risk from the firm’s ESG positioning,” he said in a note, adding that BlackRock could face increased regulatory inspection and the possibility of diminished fund management business.
Louisiana and South Carolina have announced that they would be divesting from BlackRock holdings. Other U.S. jurisdictions have begun to divest tens of millions of dollars in state funds from BlackRock, including Arkansas, Utah, and West Virginia. In August, Texas and 18 other states penned a letter to Fink threatening to remove state funds from these banks over BlackRock’s ESG objectives.
OBSERVATION - The GGR’s tip of the spear to coerce businesses into embracing its agenda on the climate change angle, BlackRock will come out of this a bit burned, but still capable of pushing the GGR agenda in the private sector.
Another name in the GGR game to keep an eye on is the Federation of State Medical Boards (FSMB), a very influential private nonprofit whose official mission is vaguely defined as “representing the state medical and osteopathic regulatory boards”. When it speaks, organizations like the American Board of Family Medicine (ABFM), the American Board of Internal Medicine (ABIM), and the American Board of Pediatrics (ABP) jump. o
On September 24, 2022, the President and CEO of FSMB, Humayun Chaudhry, delivered a talk at a plenary session at the ABMS Conference 2022 on the topic of “Misinformation in Health Care: The Implications for Professionalism and the Public Trust.”
OBSERVATION - Being a ‘private’ organization it can avoid scrutiny of the boards it influences. But its history shows linkage all the way back to when it was formed under the Rockafellers. Today it is another tool in the GGR’s arsenal, most recently involved in the kalifornia law to essentially criminalize alternative medical opinions.
Economy -
The most recent update to the U.S. Drought Monitor revealed that nearly 82 percent of the country is facing at least abnormally dry conditions — the highest percentage since the drought monitor launched in 2000. Drought relief in the West is not likely any time soon, though some rainfall is expected in parts of Southern California, Arizona and New Mexico over the weekend. In general, though, the U.S. Monthly Drought Outlook, released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, expects drought conditions to persist unabated.
OBSERVATION - I can tell you here in the Redoubt, the dry fall bodes evil for the winter wheat crop. The Fed’s rate increases cannot stem inflation pressures coming from nature.
Biden / Harris watch -
Video showing Biden grabing a young girl by the shoulder and telling her “no serious guys till you’re 30” as she looks back appearing uncomfortable is circulating the interwebs.
CW2/Domestic violence -
Antifa tried to find out where biden was staying in Portland by sending their comrades to pretend to be visitors getting to the hotel. One of the comrades suggests the hotel location information should have been used by one of them to kill Biden.
Antifa is also calling for violence against Mayor Ted Wheeler following an officer-involved shooting in downtown Portland just as Biden arrived. Wheeler has been a big supporter of Antifa.
OBSERVATION - -Reflecting the goal for all America, Portland is on the verge becoming ungovernable. This over riding goal will even put Antifa “allies” in their cross hairs.
China -
The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs today has released a renewed Travel Alert calling for all Chinese Citizens currently still in Ukraine to leave immediately due to a “Serious Security Situation”.
OBSERVATION - Similar warning was released before Russia started its invasion in February.
Xi Jinping tells 20th CPC, China will “never commit to abandoning the use of force” on Taiwan. His ascension to the peak of party and country leadership for a third term appears to be locked in.
North/South Korea -
SK on a heightened watch for a potential surprise nuke attack thru early November.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia is now into its eighth month of fighting since starting on Feb 24th.
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russian forces are in a state of disarray following the defeats in the east and west. Russian leadership changes will take time to set up new chains of command and control, reprioritize support and operational goals. Infighting between putin supporters, talking heads/milbloggers, mercenary leadership and Kremlin generals will only serve to create more problems in pursuing the fight. New conscripts are showing up at the front with absolutely no training or preparation .
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There are reports that Roskomnadzor is investigating a number of Russian military correspondents/bloggers for discrediting the Russian military, reportedly with Gerasimov’s consent. They include Semyon Pegov, Igor Girkin, Rybar, Grey Zone, and Vladlen Tatarsky.
NUKE WATCH -
Kerch Bridge update -
Winter storms means no trucks or heavy transport can get in/out of Crimea via Russia - due to weakness of the damaged bridge, only cars allowed to cross via 1 lane (at damaged section). And with winter approaching, ferry closures will be routine.
RUMINT -
In addition to China (see China above) urging its citizens to leave Ukraine, two other nations have recently done the same. Egypt and Kazakistan have as well. Rumors of other Russian supporting Asian countries doing the same. Twitterverse has been a twitter saying this is evidence of impending use of nukes by Russia or the massive assault to end all assaults on Ukraine. Evidence from the timing suggest that these warnings were based mode on the recent Russian missile barrage and not a nuclear attack.
Logistics -
- Several reports about Iranian ARASH-2 Attack drones heading for Russia. Long range and large warhead - these - if supplied - could cause much more damage than the Shahed 136.
- “An intelligence assessment shared in recent days with Ukrainian and U.S. officials contends that Iran’s armaments industry is preparing a first shipment of Fateh-110 and Zolfaghar missiles” These missiles have a 300km and 700km respective range.
NOTE ON IRANIAN ARMS - Analysts, justifiably so, are viewing Russia’s sudden reliance on Iranian missile and drone system as evidence that their stockpile of Russian made systems is dwindling. Introduction of these weapons systems may serve to justify supplying Ukraine with longer range systems like the ATCAMS.
- Russian news has made a big deal out of the rehabbing of 60 year old T62s at a tank plant touted to be constructing Russia’s next generation tank - the T14. No note that T14 production has stopped due to lack of supplies.
Russian Personnel Issues -
- Firefight erupts in military base in Russia’s Belgorod region near Ukraine according to Russian sources, reported of dead and wounded after possible recruits/mobilised forces open fire on other soldiers. Baza reports 22 killed and 16 wounded, other sources report 3 attackers killed in firefight.
- Putin indicated that his controversial military mobilization drive was ending. “This work is coming to an end,” he told journalists Friday after a conference attended by regional leaders in Kazakhstan’s capital, Astana. Indicating that the mobilization drive would be concluded in two weeks, he added that 222,000 out of an expected 300,000 reservists had already been conscripted.
Economic Impact -
- Canada calls for ending Russia’s membership in the International Monetary Fund and the Group of Twenty
Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST - Cool temperatures in the 50s and 60s with little to no rain 10 day forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP -
Russia continues to throw forces peacemeal all along the eastern front ,particularly against the Baukhmut region only obtaining minor gains. The bulk of Russia’s remaining artillery firepower remains focused on the same with sporadic fire elsewhere.
Results from the Ukranian attacks in Kherson Oblast are being sorted out.
Kyiv front ——
NSR
Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts ——
Sporatic artillery across the sector.
Eastern (Kharkiv) front ——
More fighting in the east, pressing closer to key russian supply nodes
Donetsk Oblast ——
More attacks across the Bakhmut sector witl little to no success.
Crimean front ———
Little new news about the resumption of the offensive towards Kherson. Ukranian OPSEC and sudden silence from Russian sources can be viewed as either a good or bad sign for the offensive.
On 15 OCT, UKR announced the destruction of four S-300 surface to air missile complexes in the coastal city of Berdyansk. This Suppression of Enemy Air Defense (SEAD) mission follows the interdiction of 3 Russian S-300 air defense complexes in Tokmak on 12 OCT. The AGM-88 HARM missiles US has provided and Ukraine has adapted to its aircraft have become a potent combat multiplier that has given it the edge in air superiority and shaping the battlefield for future operations.
Western / Central Ukraine ——
NSR
Russian Territory -—
Several explosions and smoke reported around airport at Belgorod. Russian ADS was activated with at least one likely interception, but many more impacts. Later evidence of a SEAD strike on a Russian S400 battery,
Partisan Resistance ——
NSR - but don’t let that fool you, there are plenty of unconfirmed reports of rear area attacks crossed Russian occupied territory.
OUTLOOK ——
Still monitoring to see if the renewed assault in Kherson is making progress.
Russian posturing in Belarus continues to be evaluated. See instance its the Belarus 19th mech bde below. This is an instance where Russia could appropriate the equipment and launch another attack towards Kyiv. However, it my assessment that Belarus doesn’t have enough equipment to arm a force big enough to strike Ukraine at this time.
Never the less, things may change with time, so any buildup there will be monitored.
Belarus -
One of the trains carrying Russian soldiers arrived at the base of the Belarusian 19th Mechanized Brigade. The brigade has two tank and four mechanized battalions, but only around 2k men. It should have around 5k.
Videos showing trains with passenger cars along with cargo trucks and some artillery.
Russia is reportedly giving Belarus the technical ability to update some “Su-25” aircraft to carry nuclear weapons. Russia also reportedly supplying Belarus with dual mode (conventional / nuclear) Iskander systems.
Iran -
The infamous Evin prison in Tehran burned last night with gunfire heard. Iran’s official news agency IRNA also confirmed clashes between prisoners and guards and the fire, saying the blaze started at the warehouse of prison uniforms. An eyewitness says the explosions were so huge that the blast waves broke the windows of nearby houses.
Meanwhile, dozens of protesters have gathered outside the prison, chanting “Death to Dictator”.
Spontaneous demonstrations broke out in Berlin because of the fire in Ewin prison in Tehran. The demonstrators demanded solidarity with the political prisoners in Iran and the resignation of the Iranian government with the shouts “Mullah must go”.