Running late, OBE’d
Globalism / Great Reset -
Credit Suisse, is preparing to sell parts of its Swiss domestic bank as it attempts to close a capital hole of around 4.5 billion Swiss francs ($4.48 billion), the Financial Times has reported.
OBSERVATION - Posted here, as the downfall of the global finance system is necessary so the GGR can replace it with their own system. CS has been struggling for weeks and this is just the latest iteration. Other central banks suffering similar liquidity issues.
Queensland Education Department decided to dock the pay of 900 school staff who did not receive the Covid vaccine, saying that ignoring the mandate put others at risk. Staff members – including teachers, teacher aides, school officers, administration staff, and cleaners – will have a “small-scale temporary reduction of one increment of pay” for 18 weeks. That equals approximately $25-$90 per week gross, depending on the level of one’s wage. The letter stated that the action was “entirely appropriate” for the severity of the matter and hoped staff would follow future directions. Also, Western Australia Police say more than 50 officers are facing disciplinary action over their refusal to be vaccinated against Covid-19, as a legal challenge against the state’s vaccine mandates by one of their own was comprehensively rejected by Supreme Court judge.
IN RELATED - following biden’s declaration that “the pandemic is over.”, military spokesman, John Kirby , attempted to justify the continued drive by the military for 100% vaccination. There is no evidence that the COVID-19 vaccines promote the “health and safety” of our force.
underlings.
OBSERVATION - George Orwell wrote: “All tyrannies rule through fraud and force, but once the fraud is exposed they must rely exclusively on force.” Same is true here in America, biden extending the ‘emergency’ another 90 days - its all about power, and the GGR doesn’t want to lose the leverage these ‘emergency’ orders grant to its
BlackRock’s focus on the latest Wall Street craze—environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investing—has turned into a risky affair for the world’s largest asset manager, a UBS analyst recently stated.
Brennan Hawken, an analyst at the bank, downgraded the stock of BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE:BLK) from Buy to Neutral and slashed the stock price target from $700 to $585 over growing pushback to its ESG efforts.
“We are downgrading BLK to Neutral based on environmental pressure to earnings and risk from the firm’s ESG positioning,” he said in a note, adding that BlackRock could face increased regulatory inspection and the possibility of diminished fund management business.
Louisiana and South Carolina have announced that they would be divesting from BlackRock holdings. Other U.S. jurisdictions have begun to divest tens of millions of dollars in state funds from BlackRock, including Arkansas, Utah, and West Virginia. In August, Texas and 18 other states penned a letter to Fink threatening to remove state funds from these banks over BlackRock’s ESG objectives.
OBSERVATION - The GGR’s tip of the spear to coerce businesses into embracing its agenda on the climate change angle, BlackRock will come out of this a bit burned, but still capable of pushing the GGR agenda in the private sector.
Another name in the GGR game to keep an eye on is the Federation of State Medical Boards (FSMB), a very influential private nonprofit whose official mission is vaguely defined as “representing the state medical and osteopathic regulatory boards”. When it speaks, organizations like the American Board of Family Medicine (ABFM), the American Board of Internal Medicine (ABIM), and the American Board of Pediatrics (ABP) jump. o
On September 24, 2022, the President and CEO of FSMB, Humayun Chaudhry, delivered a talk at a plenary session at the ABMS Conference 2022 on the topic of “Misinformation in Health Care: The Implications for Professionalism and the Public Trust.”
OBSERVATION - Being a ‘private’ organization it can avoid scrutiny of the boards it influences. But its history shows linkage all the way back to when it was formed under the Rockafellers. Today it is another tool in the GGR’s arsenal, most recently involved in the kalifornia law to essentially criminalize alternative medical opinions.
Economy -
The most recent update to the U.S. Drought Monitor revealed that nearly 82 percent of the country is facing at least abnormally dry conditions — the highest percentage since the drought monitor launched in 2000. Drought relief in the West is not likely any time soon, though some rainfall is expected in parts of Southern California, Arizona and New Mexico over the weekend. In general, though, the U.S. Monthly Drought Outlook, released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, expects drought conditions to persist unabated.
OBSERVATION - I can tell you here in the Redoubt, the dry fall bodes evil for the winter wheat crop. The Fed’s rate increases cannot stem inflation pressures coming from nature.
Biden / Harris watch -
Video showing Biden grabing a young girl by the shoulder and telling her “no serious guys till you’re 30” as she looks back appearing uncomfortable is circulating the interwebs.
CW2/Domestic violence -
Antifa tried to find out where biden was staying in Portland by sending their comrades to pretend to be visitors getting to the hotel. One of the comrades suggests the hotel location information should have been used by one of them to kill Biden.
Antifa is also calling for violence against Mayor Ted Wheeler following an officer-involved shooting in downtown Portland just as Biden arrived. Wheeler has been a big supporter of Antifa.
OBSERVATION - -Reflecting the goal for all America, Portland is on the verge becoming ungovernable. This over riding goal will even put Antifa “allies” in their cross hairs.
China -
The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs today has released a renewed Travel Alert calling for all Chinese Citizens currently still in Ukraine to leave immediately due to a “Serious Security Situation”.
OBSERVATION - Similar warning was released before Russia started its invasion in February.
Xi Jinping tells 20th CPC, China will “never commit to abandoning the use of force” on Taiwan. His ascension to the peak of party and country leadership for a third term appears to be locked in.
North/South Korea -
SK on a heightened watch for a potential surprise nuke attack thru early November.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia is now into its eighth month of fighting since starting on Feb 24th.
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russian forces are in a state of disarray following the defeats in the east and west. Russian leadership changes will take time to set up new chains of command and control, reprioritize support and operational goals. Infighting between putin supporters, talking heads/milbloggers, mercenary leadership and Kremlin generals will only serve to create more problems in pursuing the fight. New conscripts are showing up at the front with absolutely no training or preparation .
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There are reports that Roskomnadzor is investigating a number of Russian military correspondents/bloggers for discrediting the Russian military, reportedly with Gerasimov’s consent. They include Semyon Pegov, Igor Girkin, Rybar, Grey Zone, and Vladlen Tatarsky.
NUKE WATCH -
Kerch Bridge update -
Winter storms means no trucks or heavy transport can get in/out of Crimea via Russia - due to weakness of the damaged bridge, only cars allowed to cross via 1 lane (at damaged section). And with winter approaching, ferry closures will be routine.
RUMINT -
In addition to China (see China above) urging its citizens to leave Ukraine, two other nations have recently done the same. Egypt and Kazakistan have as well. Rumors of other Russian supporting Asian countries doing the same. Twitterverse has been a twitter saying this is evidence of impending use of nukes by Russia or the massive assault to end all assaults on Ukraine. Evidence from the timing suggest that these warnings were based mode on the recent Russian missile barrage and not a nuclear attack.
Logistics -
- Several reports about Iranian ARASH-2 Attack drones heading for Russia. Long range and large warhead - these - if supplied - could cause much more damage than the Shahed 136.
- “An intelligence assessment shared in recent days with Ukrainian and U.S. officials contends that Iran’s armaments industry is preparing a first shipment of Fateh-110 and Zolfaghar missiles” These missiles have a 300km and 700km respective range.
NOTE ON IRANIAN ARMS - Analysts, justifiably so, are viewing Russia’s sudden reliance on Iranian missile and drone system as evidence that their stockpile of Russian made systems is dwindling. Introduction of these weapons systems may serve to justify supplying Ukraine with longer range systems like the ATCAMS.
- Russian news has made a big deal out of the rehabbing of 60 year old T62s at a tank plant touted to be constructing Russia’s next generation tank - the T14. No note that T14 production has stopped due to lack of supplies.
Russian Personnel Issues -
- Firefight erupts in military base in Russia’s Belgorod region near Ukraine according to Russian sources, reported of dead and wounded after possible recruits/mobilised forces open fire on other soldiers. Baza reports 22 killed and 16 wounded, other sources report 3 attackers killed in firefight.
- Putin indicated that his controversial military mobilization drive was ending. “This work is coming to an end,” he told journalists Friday after a conference attended by regional leaders in Kazakhstan’s capital, Astana. Indicating that the mobilization drive would be concluded in two weeks, he added that 222,000 out of an expected 300,000 reservists had already been conscripted.
Economic Impact -
- Canada calls for ending Russia’s membership in the International Monetary Fund and the Group of Twenty
Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST - Cool temperatures in the 50s and 60s with little to no rain 10 day forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP -
Russia continues to throw forces peacemeal all along the eastern front ,particularly against the Baukhmut region only obtaining minor gains. The bulk of Russia’s remaining artillery firepower remains focused on the same with sporadic fire elsewhere.
Results from the Ukranian attacks in Kherson Oblast are being sorted out.
Kyiv front ——
NSR
Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts ——
Sporatic artillery across the sector.
Eastern (Kharkiv) front ——
More fighting in the east, pressing closer to key russian supply nodes
Donetsk Oblast ——
More attacks across the Bakhmut sector witl little to no success.
Crimean front ———
Little new news about the resumption of the offensive towards Kherson. Ukranian OPSEC and sudden silence from Russian sources can be viewed as either a good or bad sign for the offensive.
On 15 OCT, UKR announced the destruction of four S-300 surface to air missile complexes in the coastal city of Berdyansk. This Suppression of Enemy Air Defense (SEAD) mission follows the interdiction of 3 Russian S-300 air defense complexes in Tokmak on 12 OCT. The AGM-88 HARM missiles US has provided and Ukraine has adapted to its aircraft have become a potent combat multiplier that has given it the edge in air superiority and shaping the battlefield for future operations.
Western / Central Ukraine ——
NSR
Russian Territory -—
Several explosions and smoke reported around airport at Belgorod. Russian ADS was activated with at least one likely interception, but many more impacts. Later evidence of a SEAD strike on a Russian S400 battery,
Partisan Resistance ——
NSR - but don’t let that fool you, there are plenty of unconfirmed reports of rear area attacks crossed Russian occupied territory.
OUTLOOK ——
Still monitoring to see if the renewed assault in Kherson is making progress.
Russian posturing in Belarus continues to be evaluated. See instance its the Belarus 19th mech bde below. This is an instance where Russia could appropriate the equipment and launch another attack towards Kyiv. However, it my assessment that Belarus doesn’t have enough equipment to arm a force big enough to strike Ukraine at this time.
Never the less, things may change with time, so any buildup there will be monitored.
Belarus -
One of the trains carrying Russian soldiers arrived at the base of the Belarusian 19th Mechanized Brigade. The brigade has two tank and four mechanized battalions, but only around 2k men. It should have around 5k.
Videos showing trains with passenger cars along with cargo trucks and some artillery.
Russia is reportedly giving Belarus the technical ability to update some “Su-25” aircraft to carry nuclear weapons. Russia also reportedly supplying Belarus with dual mode (conventional / nuclear) Iskander systems.
Iran -
The infamous Evin prison in Tehran burned last night with gunfire heard. Iran’s official news agency IRNA also confirmed clashes between prisoners and guards and the fire, saying the blaze started at the warehouse of prison uniforms. An eyewitness says the explosions were so huge that the blast waves broke the windows of nearby houses.
Meanwhile, dozens of protesters have gathered outside the prison, chanting “Death to Dictator”.
Spontaneous demonstrations broke out in Berlin because of the fire in Ewin prison in Tehran. The demonstrators demanded solidarity with the political prisoners in Iran and the resignation of the Iranian government with the shouts “Mullah must go”.
Off and running on a new week.
Globalism / Great Reset -
Pope Francis in a new book (recently leaked) says that the world and its institutions require material changes to create a new economic system that creates food, health, economic and social rights for all.
OBSERVATION – The pope has consistently sided with the globalist agenda throughout his career. No surprise here.
Wuhan virus -
Fauci claims he had nothing to do with school shudowns in a recent television interviews. Recorded statements from Fauci show otherwise.
OBSERVATION - Short of jail, nothing will be satisfactory as a response to this guy’s actions.
Economy -
Looking to see what reverberations from last weeks inflation numbers are bouncing around the system this week. Early trends show oil prices rising (and with it gasoline prices), while the housing market is showing signs of significant collapse starting in some major market areas.
Biden / Harris watch -
With a chocolate chip ice cream cone in his hand, Biden answered: “I’m not concerned about the strength of the dollar. I’m concerned about the rest of the world. Our economy is strong as hell.”
CW2/Domestic violence -
Seattle socialist city council member Shama, who led effort to defund the police during the 2020 BLM-Antifa riots, is asking for police protection at her home after it was vandalized with feces.
OBSERVATION - Saw a phrase elsewhere saying these Marxists “drink wine while preaching water” , an interesting way to call out their hypocrisy. Would love for the police force to say no money in the budget, but that won’t fly. Some animals are just more equal than others.
POLITICAL FRONT -
Closing in on the midterms, and the fight is intensifying. I am optimistically hopeful the polling trend trajectory continues towards a red wave.
China –
China delays the release of major economic data for the third quarter, without giving a reason or a new date.
OBSERVATION – Probably doesn’t want to upset the CCP congress and the impending selection of Xi for a third term.
North/South Korea -
CORRECTION FROM YESTERDAY – Not an attack alert status. The office of South Korea President Yoon Suk-yeol has been on 24-hour standby as North Korea is expected to conduct its seventh nuclear test at any time, officials said Sunday.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia is now into its eighth month of fighting since starting on Feb 24th.
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russian forces are in a state of disarray following the defeats in the east and west. Russian leadership changes will take time to set up new chains of command and control, reprioritize support and operational goals. Infighting between putin supporters, talking heads/milbloggers, mercenary leadership and Kremlin generals will only serve to create more problems in pursuing the fight. New conscripts are showing up at the front with absolutely no training or preparation .
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A good article on the woes of the Russian ‘mobilization’ effort. This is what Russia is having to work with IF they try an attack on Kyiv or even thrown in front of the Ukrainian offensives.
Link here - https://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htmurph/articles/20221017.aspx
In his official telegram channel former Russian president Medvedev threatens Israel with severing ties and destroying mutual relations, if rumors that Israel began to supply anti-drone weapon to Ukraine is true.
He also tells Jews, we don’t understand who are real Nazis.
OBSERVATION – See Ukraine below on Israel’s soon involvement.
Russian Personnel Issues –
- The latest Russia war mobilization reportedly has the country grabbing men off the street, and homeless shelters, to fight in Ukraine. Among the locations men are being taken from: homeless shelters, train stations, apartment building lobbies, offices, hostels, cafes, and restaurants, according to the report.
- It appears the shooting yesterday at a military base in Russia’s Belgorod region occurred after a Lieutenant Colonel told soldiers that they were fighting a Holy Way and called Allah a coward. After which, three soldiers from Tajikistan opened fire reportedly killing 29 soldiers.
- Military draft offices in Moscow to close today (Monday), Kremlin’s ‘partial mobilization’s quotas ‘completed’ in capital
- In comments to the media at the Central Asian Summit in Astana, Kazakhstan, Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that “all mobilization activities” would be completed in two weeks. Citing early Russian defense ministry estimates that were lower than the previously announced 300,000 troops, Putin further announced he had no plans to expand mobilization efforts saying no requests for more troops had been received, and he did not “see any need.” Per the announcement, two hundred twenty thousand soldiers have already been mobilized for military service in Russia. (FO)
- Analysts believe that RU’s precision strike munitions are down to 1/3 of prewar levels. Could be the reason Russia has shifted hard towards the use of Iranian drones.
Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST - Cool temperatures in the 50s and 60s with little to no rain 10 day forecast period.
RUMINT -
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russia launched an extensive drone attack on Ukraine using over 50 Iranian drones to target primarly Kyiv as well as Odesa, Zaporizhzhia and areas in the western part of the country. Initial reports indicate that over half of the drones were shot down, but many made it into Kyiv.
Russia continued to make strong attacks against Bakhmut and surrounding areas supported by heavy artillery fire. Attacks were reportedly repulsed by Ukrainian defenders. Artillery elsewhere was scattered to sporatic.
The use of Iranian drones may finally be drawing Israel into the fight on the side of Ukraine. This would be beneficial to Israel in a way -giving them an opportunity to test anti-drone technology against Iran’s equipment.
Kyiv front ——
Major drone attack overnight. Drones targeted residential and civilian sectors of the town.
Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts ——
Sporatic artillery across the sector. A rocket attack hit the north-eastern Sumy region,
Eastern (Kharkiv) front ——
More fighting in the east, pressing closer to key russian supply nodes
Donetsk Oblast ——
More attacks across the Bakhmut sector with little to no success.
Crimean front ———
Little new news about the resumption of the offensive towards Kherson. Ukranian OPSEC and sudden silence from Russian sources can be viewed as either a good or bad sign for the offensive.
Ukrainian sources reported Russian occupation officials in Kherson City are stepping up filtration measures (essentially stop and searches – show me your papers etc) against Ukrainian partisans and accelerating efforts to evacuate key materials and personnel from Kherson to Crimea
Western / Central Ukraine ——
NSR
Russian Territory -—
NSR
Partisan Resistance ——
NSR - but don’t let that fool you, there are plenty of unconfirmed reports of rear area attacks crossed Russian occupied territory.
OUTLOOK ——
For now, Russia has found a way to strike Ukrainian targets with a degree of success – sending waves of Iranian drones that locally overwhelm air defenses. It will be interesting to see how quickly Israel gets systems there to counter Iranian drones. Israel has for the past several years prepared for Iran / Hezbollah to use drones in an eventual attack on the country. Ukraine’s 50+% success rate in taking these drones down shows they are quickly adapting to the threat, but needs additional assets like radars etc for early detection.
ACTIVITY OUT OF BELARUS – Noting here rather than down below. Many still say the activity there fortells a soon Russian invasion from the north. Lets compare apples to apples. Prior to February, hundreds of trains with soldiers, ARMOR and TANKS were tracked from military districts all over Russia coming into Belarus over the course of several months. So far a lesser number of trains have been observed, and those mostly were passenger trains and some wheeled cargo vehicles. The Russian soldiers are predominantly conscripts scraped off the street, bars, etc. and sent to Belarus with little to no training.
This is hardly a good foundation for an invasion force. Unless Russia wants to throw the lives of thousands away. Remember too – this is Ukraine’s home turf and they are better prepared for an attack from the north this time, without necessarily having to pull forces from the south and east.
One wild card is the new theater commander. His army group has persisted in attacking Bakhmut for months now, with very little to show for it, tying up critical resources for an objective that does not support the current tactical situation in the east. His aggressive attack, attack, attack has earned him the favor of wagner forces in his sector. He is also reportedly known to think out of the box. He may be seeking to apply similar against Kyiv.
FLASH BACK- In late January – Early February, it was estimated that Russia mustered a total potential force of 97 BTGs – at full strength and with modern equipment. Total estimated force of approximately 160K to 170K. Forces aligned against Kyiv at that time were about half that total number – including some of their best VDV airborne units. This effort involved literally hundreds of trains.
BOTTOM LINE – OSINT as well as various govt intelligence agencies will be paying close attention to the numbers of troops and any armor brought with them. They will also be looking close to see if Belarus is going to ‘loan’ their equipment to supply these so far vastly under equipped Russian mobilization conscripts.
Belarus -
Reportedly, Russian MiG-31 fighters have arrived in Belarus These jets can carry Kinzhal hypersonic missiles and R-37M ultra long range missiles.
Belarus has deployed enlarged border detachments and mobile groups from territorial border service agencies to protect the border with Ukraine against the backdrop of increased intelligence activity on the Ukrainian side – State Border Committee of Belarus
Belarus says that just under 9,000 Russian troops will arrive in the country as part of the “regional grouping” of forces to protect its borders. – Reuters
Belarusian Ministry of Defense: about 170 tanks and 100 guns and mortars will come to us from Russia
OVERALL OBSERVATION – Potential Russian enticement to join the fight. By itself a round of sword rattling.
Europe / NATO General -
Leadership issues are rocking Britain. U.K.’s new Prime Minister, Liz Truss, is battling to save her position after admitting that she made mistakes in developing an economic plan to save the U.K. economy.
OBSERVATION – Not a good thing with global unsteadiness and issues to have the country go rudderless.
NATO officials announced the start of the alliance’s “Steadfast Noon” nuclear warfare drills in Belgium. The exercises will continue until 30 October, overlapping with Russia’s annual Grom strategic nuclear exercises.
Pakistan -
Pakistan’s new finance minister, Ishaq Dar, is reportedly asking to restructure $27 billion worth of non-Paris Club debt owed to China.
OBSERVATION – Pakistan with its faltering economy has been caught in the credit web China has spun for dozens of countries. What will Pakistan be forced to give up in order for this loan not to be defaulted?
Israel -
See impending support to Ukraine in fighting Iranian drones and other weapons systems.
Iran -
Iran’s supplying drones and other weapons systems is resulting in developing and perfecting with Russia’s help a weapon systems that could be used against Tel Aviv, Riyadh or Abu Dhabi. Iran denies it is supporting Russia with weapons systems.
Central / South America General-
Chilean security officials announced the deployment of specialized federal police officers to protect valuable mining trains from raids by international criminal organizations. Chilean railway operator FCAB said the armed criminals have targeted more than 70 shipments employing sophisticated attacks in remote areas, kidnapping operators, and using cranes to steal up to 20 tons of copper at a time. Chilean officials say the stolen minerals were being shipped to markets in Asia, including China and Korea. (FO)
OBSERVATION – Interesting trend and target. 20 tons of anything requires a major operation. I strongly suspect that some of the rail operators are in on the heists, providing insider information on operations and times.
Misc of Note -
Uganda President Yoweri Museveni said on Saturday the government was implementing an overnight curfew, closing places of worship and entertainment, and restricting movement into and out of two districts affected by Ebola for 21 days. Museveni said 19 people have died since the east African nation announced the outbreak of the deadly hemorrhagic fever on Sept. 20.
OBSERVATION – This outbreak is relatively small and not a serious threat to the US. However, expect medical fearmongering like the monkey pox (where has that gone from the news headlines/?).
A record 4.7 million Haitians face acute hunger
OBSERVATION – Many give little concern for the hell-hole called Haiti. Americans should take a pause in this point. If our food supply system breaks down, hunger has shown to consistently be one of the key components that drives social upheaval. Could America become a Haiti? Not to fear monger but accurately assess the question - the answer is yes.