Replies

I remember the before years when this was not the behemoth it has grown into and the world wasn’t nutzo.
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Globalism / Great Reset -
The World Economic Forum will hold its 2022 annual meeting in the Swiss mountain resort of Davos from May 22-26, the Geneva-based group said on Friday.

The Swiss government has laid on its biggest military deployment in peace time – not for any war or overseas intervention, but rather to protect the global elite who are gathering in Davos for Klaus Schwab’s annual World Economic Forum confab.
Aside from soldiers erecting security fences, the Swiss government will be deploying some 5,000 military personnel, as well as thousands of local and regional police.
The Swiss Air Force jets will be constantly circling above the event to enforce a ‘no-fly zone’ during the elite globalist summit.

Geneva-based WEF says the meeting will bring together more than 2,000 leaders and experts from around the world, somewhat smaller than some past meetings. No government or corporate bigwigs from Russia were invited, because of the Ukraine war.
Topics on the agenda include the pandemic recovery, tackling climate change, the future for work, accelerating stakeholder capitalism, and harnessing new technologies.

BOLO For the latest schemes to bring the world under global control as they just love to telegraph their next punch.

U.N. chief Antonio Guterres on Wednesday called for an end to oil, gas, and coal use in favor of renewable sources as part of a self-described global climate Marshall Plan.
The veteran Portuguese Socialist spoke ahead of the upcoming World Economic Forum (WEF) annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland, which has already issued its own call for net-zero carbon emissions to be driven by a wider embrace of solar and wind power sources without delay.
For its part, the WEF has published a 10-point plan provided by the International Energy Agency (IEA) as a way to end oil dependence as part of its self-declared Great Reset.
It is just one further step in addressing what the WEF has already taken to calling an “existential threat to the planet.”
The plan includes everything from “car free Sundays” to “avoiding air travel” in its advice as seen below :
1. Reduce speed limits on highways by at least 10km/h
Many countries already use temporary speed limit reductions on highways, mostly to reduce congestion and/or air pollution and to improve road safety.
2. Work from home up to 3 days a week where possible
Around one-third of the jobs in advanced economies can be done from home, opening up the possibility of reducing oil demand while maintaining productivity.
3. Car-free Sundays in cities
Car-free Sundays were introduced in countries such as Switzerland, the Netherlands and West Germany during the 1973 oil crisis. Cities in other countries have used them more recently to promote public health.
4. Reduce public transport prices and incentivize walking and cycling
Investment in public transport and infrastructure to support walking and cycling has been boosted by sustainable economic recovery packages introduced in response to the COVID-19 crisis.
5. Alternate private car access to roads in large cities
Restricting private cars’ use of roads in large cities on alternate weekdays is a measure with a long track record of successful implementation around the world.
6. Increase car sharing and adopt practices to reduce fuel use
Governments can provide additional incentives by designating dedicated traffic lanes and parking spots next to public transport hubs and by reducing road tolls on higher occupancy vehicles. Such measures are in force in suburban areas of cities like Madrid and Houston, among others.
7. Promote efficient driving for freight trucks and goods deliveries
Governments can introduce so-called eco-driving techniques as part of the tuition and examination processes required to receive a driving licence and advanced driving certificates, as has been done in France and other countries.
8. Using trains instead of planes where possible
High-speed rail can substantially replace short-haul air travel on routes that offer affordable, reliable and convenient train journeys.
9. Avoid business air travel where alternative options exist
Although not all business travel by plane can be avoided, in many cases the use of virtual meetings can be an effective substitute. A reduction of around two out of every five flights taken for business purposes is feasible in the short term, based on the changes witnessed during the COVID pandemic.
10. Increase adoption of electric and other more efficient vehicles
By the end of 2021, 8.4 million electric cars were on the roads in advanced economies, building on record sales in Europe in particular. Demand for electric cars continues to be strong, on the back of plummeting costs of batteries in recent years and government support.

OBSERVATION - Most has been posted before, but with wuhan fading, WEF / GGR elements are refocusing on the climate change angle to world control. However, I don’t see any mechanism yet to leverage global compliance as there is no ‘green’ alternative. The ‘green’ agenda is just another scheme to control the world economically .

NOTE - Still watching the as the vote approaches and implications to the US are evaluated.
In a few days, the World Health Organization (WHO), with assistance from the Biden Administration, is set to vote on a provision that could give this organization control of the health directives of 193 countries around the world. Simply stated, in the name of public health, the Biden administration plans to literally hand over America’s national sovereignty to the World Health Organization when the next health emergency hits.
The definition of “health emergency” is vague at best. They could take that approach of leftists here in the US and try to declare gun violence as a ‘health’ emergency - thus negating our constitution protections. Other variations are also available such as global health and climate change, etc. This appears to be the preverbal camel’s nose under the tent.
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Wuhan virus -

The US government has extended again for the nth time the Covid-19 public health emergency past mid-July even though daily new cases of COVID-19 infection have declined since the Omicron surge.
The Department of Health and Human Services has continually extended the public-health emergency since its implementation in January 2020.

OBSERVATION - It is about the maintenance of power.
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Economy -

On Wednesday, US shares recorded their biggest one-day drop since the early days of the Covid pandemic in 2020. The Dow shed 1,164.52 points, or 3.57%, to 31,490.07, the average’s biggest decline since June 2020. It was the lowest close for the Dow since March 2021.
Markets globally were also spooked by gloomy forecasts from major US retailers.

OBSERVATION - Many see the stock market overvalued and prone to more losses. Recent talk by the Fed implying that even bigger rate increases are in the mix and that they may not be enough to get inflation under control - rising fear of recession .

Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen said on Wednesday that Americans should not expect immediate relief from high gas prices but maintained that increases in global supply are eventually likely to provide long-term relief for motorists at the pump.
Yellen also warned of the potential for slower growth to combine with inflation worldwide: “Higher food and energy prices are having stagflationary effects, namely depressing output and spending and raising inflation all around the world,” she told reporters.

OBSERVATION - The stagflation concerns inflamed market fears yesterday.

Two children in Memphis have been hospitalized after needing IV fluids and nutritional support due to the baby formula shortage.
The preschooler and toddler, both from different families, were rushed to Le Bonheur Children’s Hospital after their parents failed to secure formula as shelves across America go bare.

OBSERVATION - As I’ve said before, this crisis isn’t due to incompetence - it is deliberate. More infants have been harmed by the shutdown than were alleged to have been by the formula.

MORE - Biden is invoking the Defense Production Act to accelerate the production of baby formula, forcing manufacturers to make ingredients needed and sell them first to formula manufacturers. He’s also ordering use of DOD planes to transport formula from to U.S.
As part of the plan, POTUS Biden is authorizing HHSGov and USDA to find baby formula available overseas and to use DoD civilian aircraft to transport it to the United States, White House says.

OBSERVATION - Cargo aircraft have limited capability for a nation wide crisis as this. They could import enough to relieve a region, but to deal with the whole problem, the whole solution is necessary. This is just white wash over the administration’s malfeasance.

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Invasion of Illegals -

Mayorkas said Tuesday that authorities were prepared for an anticipated increase in migrants crossing the border from Mexico, days before a public health order is set to end after being used to turn people away nearly 2 million times without a chance to seek asylum. Homeland Security has said it will prepare for as many as 18,000 daily crossings, compared with a daily average of about 7,800 in April, though Mayorkas emphasized that those are not projections.

OBSERVATION - This is just more eyewash as it has been made clear under congressional testimony their plan is to simply pass these illegal’s through and into the country.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

In a late night vote, the House of Representatives passed the Domestic Terrorism Prevention Act (H.R.350). The bill authorizes domestic terrorism components within the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), the Department of Justice (DOJ), and the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) to monitor, analyze, investigate, and prosecute domestic terrorism, including “white-supremacist-related incidents or attempted incidents.”

OBSERVATION - This essentially is an escalation of the war on conservatives - particularly white conservatives. These expanded authorities will be turned against law-abiding U.S. citizens and will be used to castigate the entire political right as domestic extremists.

Antifa et al continues to provide support to proabort protests across the nation. No large scale violence is anticipated, but likelihood of vandalism and threats/intimidation of any any pro-life individual or groups encountered.

Nina Jankowicz, former “czar” of the Biden administration’s “Ministry of Truth,” joined MSNBC on Wednesday to discuss how the Department of Homeland Security’s Disinformation Governance Board was paused due to “disinformation.”
Senate Democrats abruptly cancelled a hearing last week, where Jankowicz was scheduled to testify, after a multiple of her videos went viral, including one showing her bragging about being the “Mary Poppins of disinformation.” Democrats were reluctant to have Jankowicz face questioning from Republicans, prompting them to scrap the event altogether, which led to the board being disbanded.

OBSERVATION - biden et al will be more discreet in reconstituting their Ministry of Truth, instead of being cocky about it. It is their goal - dominate the narrative and eliminate any opposing views.

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Domestic Terror -

A former National Security Council’s intelligence officer, Chris Chivvis, believes Russia could leverage its network of neo-Nazi and white supremacist groups in Russia, Western Europe, and the U.S.

Department of Homeland Security (DHS) in a memo obtained by Axios revealed that government officials are investigating threats to the justices, the clerks, to places of worship, and to abortion clinics.
These threats “are likely to persist and may increase leading up to and following the issuing of the Court’s official ruling,” the memo said.
Axios reported that the memo attempts to link the pro-life movement to white supremacy, highlighting pro-life violence in the past. But the memo emphasizes that the extremist acts might come from pro-abortion individuals.
“The mere advocacy of political or social positions, political activism, use of strong rhetoric, or generalized philosophic embrace of violent tactics does not constitute domestic violent extremism or illegal activity and is constitutionally protected,” the memo adds, according to Axios.

OBSERVATION - Since the release of the draft decision paper, the only threats have come from the left. DHS has to try to spin it towards actions on the right/ pro-life side.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments

In a realignment of U.S. Army aviation assets directed in the November 2021 Global Posture Review, the U.S. Army has activated a permanent Cavalry Squadron equipped with both Apache attack helicopters and RQ-7B surveillance drones. The new squadron, 5-17 Air Cavalry, replaces attack helicopter units that were previously rotated into South Korea on nine-month deployments from U.S.-based units. 5-17 Air Cav will support the Army’s 2nd Infantry Division and U.S. Forces Korea in its mission to defend South Korea. (FO)

The USS Ronald Reagan carrier and USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike groups, the USS America expeditionary strike group, and the amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli operate around the Philippine Sea to Japan to Western Pacific, according to the latest fleet tracking report by USNI News.
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China -

Philippines President-elect Ferdinand Marcos Jr, who won last week’s presidential election by a wide margin, stated on Wednesday that he would seek to expand his country’s relations with China and “shift them to a higher gear.” He added that Beijing had assured him of its support for his “independent foreign policy.”

See Japan below on pending joint US/Japan statement on China

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North/South Korea -

NUKE WATCH on going.

NSA Sullivan - US intelligence says North Korea could ‘either’ launch a long-range missile or conduct a nuclear test while Biden is in East Asia

South Korea’s spy agency says North Korea has completed preparations for its seventh nuclear test and is gauging the timing of such a blast. Agency also says signs of looming ICBM launch as Biden visits Seoul

OBSERVATION - This will be interesting to see just what test gains Kim the biggest “bang” for his bucks.

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Japan -

United States and Japan have prepared a statement calling for both to “deter and respond to” China’s aggressive military activities in the Indo-Pacific region.
The statement is expected to be released as President Joe Biden visits Tokyo to meet with Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida early next week.
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Russia -

WAR WATCH - The Battle for Donbas is on - Ukraine still stands now in the third month of the war

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russia has hard pivoted to a readjustment of combat forces to sieze the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine. However, it is appearing that the offensive is losing traction and falling into many of the same errors that plagued the attempt to seize Kyiv.

Withdrawing Russian forces have left abundant evidence of mass murder of civilians, rape of women and children and wide spread looting.

ALSO - there is a lot of propaganda out there. I’m doing my best to filter that out or put into context. When In doubt I’ve been trying to identify questionable information.

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Russian occupation authorities announced plans to destroy the Azovstal Steel Plant and turn Mariupol into a resort city, depriving Russia of some of the most important economic benefits it hoped to reap by taking the city in the first place.

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Ukraine -

WEATHER FORECAST - Rain/showers predominant in the first half of the 10 day forecast, with drying conditions for the latter half.

24 HOUR ROUND UP -
The U.S. Embassy in Kyiv resumed operations Wednesday, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said, nearly three months after removing its diplomats and suspending work there over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

The most intense conflict continued in the Donbas region with Russian forces continuing to press their attacks to try to capture a small pocket of ground around the town of Sieverodonetsk.
Ukraine counteroffensive continued with Russians preventing a further northward advance.

Kyiv front -
Nothing significant to report.

Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts -
Russian troops shelled Sumy region 5 times today, and Chernihiv region - 2 times with mortars, grenade launchers, howitzers and MLRS
Ukraine announced that the Russian military shelled the settlements of Yanzhulivka in the Chernihiv Oblast and Prohres in the Sumy Oblast, northern Ukraine.

OBSERVATION - These artillery attacks appear to be designed to harass Ukraine forces and attempt to keep forces pinned down and away from reinforcing defensive/offensive efforts to the south.

Eastern (Kharkiv) front -
Once again, a fluid tactical situation .

Ukraine continued its offensive away from Kharkiv, with Russians maintaining its defensive positions in the north and northeast to protect supply routes from Belgorod. Russia has been able to shell northernmost portions of Kharkiv.

Russian forces remained stalemated at Izyum, unable to make any gains yesterday.

Russian forces intensified shelling and conducted unsuccessful offensive operations near Popasna. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces attempted to advance southwest and north of Popasna, but could not seize access to highways to Bahmut and Lysychansk. Heavy shelling in Lyman, Bakhmut and Sieverodonetsk areas overnight with intense conflict being reported around Lyman.
Russian action continue to indicate an effort to surround Sieverodonetsk and gain control of road networks.

Eastern (Donbas Separatist Region) Front -
Russian forces are continuing to launch air and artillery strikes on the Azovstal Steel Plant, indicating that a remnant of Ukrainian defense is still in the plant despite evacuations over the last few days.

Russian army shelled Novoandriyivka, Kamyanske, Orikhiv, Olhivske, and Poltavka. However they made no gains on the ground.

Crimea Front -
The Ukrainian Southern Operational Command reported that Russian forces are fortifying in depth in Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts. Russian forces launched missile strikes on Odesa and Mykolaiv Oblasts yesterday.

Russian army shelled Lupareve, Posad-Pokrovske, Vysunsk, Osokorivka and Novovorontsovka.

Western Ukraine -
Nothing significant to report

Russian Territory -
Ukraine shelled targets in Tyotkino, Kursk region

OUTLOOK -
Dynamics of the situation can change quickly. I’m at about a 24 hour lag on much of it. Russia will make some gains one day, the next Ukraine.

BLUF - It appears that Ukrainian defenses in eastern Ukraine are stiffing up again and restricting Russian advances. Ukraine counter offensive will continue to pressure Russian forces and threaten Russian supply lines to the Donbas offensive. I see nothing significant changing this scenario in the near term.

The focus of the Russian Donbas operation has shrunk to the attempted capture of Sieverodonetsk and gain control of road networks that may facilitate attacks to the east and southwest. However, Russian force application continues to be very poor and uncoordinated.

Ukraine’s offensive is endanger of becoming stalled by Russian resistance - something that hasn’t been seen often. It is likely that Russian forces have been reinforced by units needed for Donbas - hindering that operation. A key objective for Ukraine forces is Vovchansk, Ukrainan border city on the main supply route between Belgorod and Izyum.

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Moldova/Transnistria -

Moldova says Russia must take its military out of Transnistria. Strong security statement by sandum aiamd at EU parliament yesterday.

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Europe / NATO General -

Turkey blocked the accession of Finland and Sweden in the first vote for NATO. They have four demands; Denounce the PKK, lift arms sales restrictions, bring back the F-35 program, and lift sanctions for Russian-made S-400 anti-air systems.
OBSERVATION - Turkey’s demands echo Russia’s pre-conflict negotiations. They are barganing chips, for EU concessions. They also seem to reflect Turkey’s love/hate relationship with Russia, in this case stalling NATO growth for Russia. Accession of Finland and Sweden could now take over a year as members maneuver and negotiate with Turkey. This also has created more of a move on how to remove members.

U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan: We will not accept attacks on Sweden and Finland during their NATO accession process.

Russian response to Finland’s decision to join NATO will come as a surprise, but the measures will be military - Russian Foreign Ministry.
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Syria -

The Moscow Times said that Russia started to withdraw some of its forces from Syria to enhance its presence in Ukraine, and that Iranian-backed militias entered the sites from which the Russian forces had withdrawn

OBSERVATION - I fully expect to see expanded IAF airstrikes on these new iranian/Hezebollah positions once Israel is certain Russians are clear of them.
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Turkey -

See Europe/NATO above

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Black Swans -
A handful of cases of monkeypox have now been reported or are suspected in Britain, Portugal, Spain and the United States.
Portugal has logged five confirmed cases, and Spain is testing 23 potential cases. Neither country has reported cases before. The United States has also reported one case.

“Historically, there have been very few cases exported. It has only happened eight times in the past before this year,” said Jimmy Whitworth, a professor of international public health at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, who said it was “highly unusual.”

Monkeypox is a virus that causes fever symptoms as well as a distinctive bumpy rash. It is usually mild, although there are two main strains: the Congo strain, which is more severe – with up to 10% mortality – and the West African strain, which has a fatality rate in about 1% of cases. The UK cases have been reported as the West African strain.

The virus spreads through close contact, both in spillovers from animals and, less commonly, between humans. One possible scenario behind the rise in cases is increased travel as COVID-19 restrictions are lifted. Experts urged people not to panic.

“This isn’t going to cause a nationwide epidemic like COVID did, but it’s a serious outbreak of a serious disease – and we should take it seriously,” said Whitworth.

OBSERVATION - New scare, however one should be vigilant given that the numbers (though small) are substantially higher than historical measures. Could her a mutation making more transmissive. One other transmission theory is that it is now being passed thru sex.

Temperature Gauge - Threat Trending Code Color Key

BLACK - An area worth noting, but not immediately impacting on US safety
BLUE - Incidents increasing and needing further monitoring, low threat to the US
YELLOW - This is the moderate concern level. Definitely becoming a threat but in the longer term.
ORANGE - A definite threat in both short term and long term. Some active events occurring
RED - Active and ongoing. Examples of this would be 2020 rioting, etc.

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Globalism / Great Reset - YELLOW trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Big shindig starts at Davos next week

“The return of war, epidemics and the climate crisis, all those disruptive forces have derailed the global recovery,” Schwab, the forum’s executive chairman, told journalists in an almost biblical prognostication ahead of the convention’s start on Sunday. “Those issues must be confronted in Davos, and the global food crisis in particular needs our immediate attention,” he added in an online briefing, according to the Irish Times.
“In a world which is becoming more fragmented, more divided, and where many of the traditional multilateral organisations tend to become dysfunctional, or at least mistrustful, a global platform based on informal, trust-faced and action-oriented co-operation will be ever more relevant, more important than before,” Schwab declared.

Scheduled to be there are heads of government including Greece’s Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis, Spain’s Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, Ivory Coast Prime Minister Patrick Achi, Poland’s Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, Colombia’s President Ivan Duque Marquez and Rwanda’s President Paul Kagame. John Kerry, U.S. special presidential envoy for climate, will be in Davos along with 17 environment ministers. Alok Sharma, president of Cop26, is also scheduled to participate. Forty-three finance ministers and 27 trade and commerce ministers will also attend. Kristalina Georgieva, IMF managing director, European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde and director general of the World Trade Organisation Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala are also scheduled to be there.

Topics discussed and panels at the 2022 meeting will include:
- Experience the future of cooperation: The Global Collaboration Village
- Staying on Course for Nature Action
- Future-proofing Health Systems
- Accelerating the Reskilling Revolution (for the “green transition”)
- The ‘Net’ in Net Zero
- The Future of Globalization
- Unlocking Carbon Markets

List of American invitees -

Gina Raimondo Secretary of Commerce of USA USA
John F. Kerry Special Presidential Envoy for Climate of the United States of America
Bill Keating Congressman from Massachusetts (D)
Daniel Meuser Congressman from Pennsylvania (R)
Madeleine Dean Congresswoman from Pennsylvania (D
Ted Lieu Congressman from California (D)
Ann Wagner Congresswoman from Missouri (R)
Christopher A. Coons Senator from Delaware (D)
Darrell Issa Congressman from California (R)
Dean Phillips Congressman from Minnesota (D)
Debra Fischer Senator from Nebraska (R)
Eric Holcomb Governor of Indiana (R)
Gregory W. Meeks Congressman from New York (D)
John W. Hickenlooper Senator from Colorado (D)
Larry Hogan Governor of Maryland (R)
Michael McCaul Congressman from Texas (R)
Pat Toomey Senator from Pennsylvania (R)
Patrick J. Leahy Senator from Vermont (D)
Robert Menendez Senator from New Jersey (D)
Roger F. Wicker Senator from Mississippi (R)
Seth Moulton Congressman from Massachusetts (D)
Sheldon Whitehouse Senator from Rhode Island (D)
Ted Deutch Congressman from Florida (D)
Francis Suarez Mayor of Miami (R)
Al Gore Vice-President of the United States (1993-2001) (D)

OBSERVATION - I expect much of the ‘dirty work’ will be done behind closed doors, with the listed agenda being more like eyewash but will give insight to how the GGR crowd will attempt to leverage current crises into movement towards the one world government.
Also - pay close attention to the US delegation after Davos - they are the insider enemies folks that will work with their cohorts to push the US towards the GGR goals.

NOT TO BE OVERLOOKED - Mastercard is rolling out the controversial biometric payment systems, allowing users to pay with the wave of a hand or a smile at a camera. Mastercard will begin testing its biometric checkout systems in Brazil, at five St Marche stores in the city of Sao Paulo. Interested users can register their biometrics via an app or in a store through Mastercard’s partner Payface.
A spokesperson said that it will soon roll out the biometric checkout system in the UK, and is also focusing on markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America.

OBSERVATION - This system has the potential to be used to collect and store data that can be used to monitor and track users - beyond the current system. Biometrics is a big item for the GGR.

SPECIAL NOTE - Musk has become a lightening rod this week and the latest sex harassment charges seem to follow the classical leftist smear tactics we’ve seen used time and again. But what he has been saying about the left and its progressive policies have been pretty red-pilled and his bleat on ESG spot on. -

Tesla CEO Elon Musk called out environmental, social and governance standards as woke nonsense and slammed one of the most prominent ESG ratings companies in the world.
Ratings giant S&P Global gave Tesla the boot and removed the electric car company from its ESG 500 Index, citing “racial discrimination” and “poor working conditions” in a May 17 blog post. The next day, Musk fired back at S&P’s blatant double standard with a barrage of tweets, attacking the credibility of both S&P and ESG standards in general.
“Exxon is rated top ten best in world for environment, social & governance (ESG) by S&P 500, while Tesla didn’t make the list! ESG is a scam. It has been weaponized by phony social justice warriors,” Musk said on Twitter, a “clear case of wacktivism.”

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Wuhan virus - YELLOW *last updated 12-10-21*
DISCUSSION - News largely overwhelmed by Ukraine reporting. May have to replace this title with ‘monkeypox’ SMH

An advisory panel to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has voted to recommend COVID-19 vaccine booster jabs for children aged five to 11, at least five months after completing their primary vaccination course.
The committee on Thursday voted 11 to one in favor of recommending the boosters, with one doctor abstaining.

OBSERVATION - This in spite of the overwhelming evidence that the jab does more harm to this age group than the disease.
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Economy - RED * Updated 02-25-22*
DISCUSSION - Inflation continues to be the prime source of concern for the US and the rest of the world. Global food shortage concerns sparking local unrest . Fed rate increases, combined with inflation data has roiled markets this week.

According to a report by ‘The Economist’, people who cannot be sure of getting enough to eat by 440m to 1.6bn, with nearly 250m on the brink of famine.

OBSERVATION - While this may not affect the US as it may the third world, it is not out of the question, case in point the infant formula ‘shortages’ crisis. The US doesn’t maintain the stockpiles of food it used to and a major climatic / natural event could severely derail this year’s already stressed crop production - with a corresponding explosion of inflation of all associated products.

In a Senate Interior Committee hearing yesterday to examine the Biden administrations’ fiscal year 2023 budget request for the Department of the Interior, Secretary Deborah Haaland refused to answer the question whether gas prices are too high. Senator Manchin challenged her on her department calling for the shutdown of new oil leases - once again - no answer.

OBSERVATION - Biden is doing all he can to cripple our oil and gas industry - deliberately - not from ineptness.

Sales of previously owned homes in April fell to the lowest pace since the Covid pandemic started, according to the National Association of Realtors. Tight supply kept home prices higher, despite rising interest rates. The median price of an existing home sold in April was $391,200, the highest on record and an increase of 14.8% from a year ago.

OBSERVATION - I expect to see convulsions in the housing market over the course of the summer and into fall as interest rates on loans make it increasingly impossible to afford these high prices and the market bubble starts to implode. This will all converge to harm families trying to flee the blue hellholes.

Electrical system operators are now warning that roughly 28 states at risk of experiencing blackouts this summer. Brown-outs and rolling blackouts will seriously impact businesses and factories - rippling across already damaged economics.
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Invasion of Illegals - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Biden’s policies guarantee uncontrollable flood of illegals starting the end of this month.

Some estimates are that the dropping of Title 42 could almost triple the flow of illegals into the country.
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Biden/Harris watch - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Mental facilities continue to degrade. Harris’ mental capabilities are also questionable.

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CW2/Domestic violence - YELLOW trending upward *updated 03/25/22*
DISCUSSION - Proabort protests have not gained traction after the USSC release of the draft decision reversing Roe v Wade. Antifa tag alongs to these protests have resulted in limited vandalism.

Far Left Activists are protesting the destruction of the Atlanta Forest in Dekalb County which will be the construction site of a planned police training facility. Antifa has called on activists from across the country to respond.

DHS is expecting more abortion related violence when the final decision on Roe v Wade is finally announced. Meanwhile my Congress rep nailed it - It’s been almost three weeks since a leaker disclosed a draft document from the Supreme Court pointing to a decision to overturn the 1973 Roe v. Wade ruling on abortion, and Rep. Matt Rosendale told Newsmax on Thursday that at least some of the justices have to know the guilty party.
“We all could probably agree that the justices that were appointed by Democrat presidents know who the leaker was,” the Montana Republican said on Newsmax’s “Wake Up America.” “What bothers me, it’s not only the undermining that it did of the institution and the trust factor that these folks have with each other.”

A trio of senators plan to introduce legislation on Thursday that will require residents to acquire a Department of Justice (DOJ) license before purchasing or obtaining a legal firearm.
The bill would also raise the legal age for obtaining a firearm to 21 years old.
The bill was introduced by Sens. Cory Booker (D-N.J.), Bob Menendez (D-N.J.), and Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.).
It has virtually no chance of becoming law given GOP opposition, but gives a sense of the breadth of restrictions on gun access that some lawmakers would favor imposing in the wake of years of mass shootings in the nation.
According to the bill text, the Federal Firearm Licensing Act will require residents to complete a written firearm safety test and hands-on testing, which includes firing testing, to get the license to acquire a firearm. The license will also require those wanting to buy a gun to submit a criminal background check, fingerprints, and proof of identity.

OBSERVATION - this law won’t get anywhere under the current congress as the USSC has made it clear on other issues you cannot ‘license’ a right. But the left’s lawless attitude won’t stop it from trying either though legislation or executive orders. They view the imposition of those restrictions doable while the lawsuits work their way to the USSC so that by the time the justices rule on it, they have extracted a favorable degree of chaos and will then tweak the rejected law/regulations, forcing the lawsuit cycle to restart.
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CANCEL CULTURE FRONT - YELLOW *updated 01-28-22*

“Whoever would overthrow the liberty of a nation must begin by subduing the freedom of speech.”—Benjamin Franklin
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POLITICAL FRONT - YELLOW and increasing *updated 01-28-22*

Primary elections were held this past week in many states, results confirm that democrats are facing a preverbal beat down at the ballot box this fall.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments - ORANGE (UPDATED 01/21/2022) *status raised*
On-going NATO support operations to Ukraine.

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Cyber Warfare - YELLOW

Russia cyber actors still seem to be searching, developing possible targets even tho it hasn’t targeted US companies or infrastructure in a big way yet, per CISA “We do not know at what point a calculus may change”
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China - ORANGE trending neutral to upward
DISCUSSION - Expanding lock downs threaten to tank what limited economic recovery China has had post wuhan and the rest of the globe are facing new supply shortages.

China and Russia are currently negotiating a significant oil deal that would be used to fill China’s strategic petroleum reserves. Although Western sanctions on Russia were meant to cripple its economy, Russian oil sales have risen dramatically as Russia is providing steep discounts for purchases made in Russian rubles. China is taking advantage of the low-cost Russian oil and slashing its other petroleum orders from countries like Venezuela and Iran.

OBSERVATION - China is playing the long game - and grabbing deals in the process. Some think China may ‘own’ Russia by the time the Ukraine war plays out.

China’s former foreign minister and current Director General of the Politburo’s Central Foreign Affairs Commission, Yang Jiechi, warned US national security adviser Jake Sullivan on Wednesday that the United States was “on the wrong path” regarding Taiwan and that its moves could lead to “dangerous situations.” The statement was made during a phone call between Yang and U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan on Wednesday. (FO)

OBSERVATION - Another ‘warning’ from China. However, some are becoming concerned that China may be moving its game to the next level with Taiwan as the US increasingly becomes preoccupied with inflation, Ukraine and the midterms.

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India/China - BLUE trending stable *updated 04/15/22*

China in news improving its logistics infrastructure in the disputed region with India.
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North Korea - ORANGE tending upward (UPDATED 03-25-22)
DISCUSSION - NUKE test watch continues as work at the test site continues and now under Wuhan lockdowns

Biden landed in South Korea Friday for his first trip to Asia as US leader, aiming to cement ties with regional security allies as concern over a North Korean nuclear test grows. Analysts believe a nuclear and/or ICBM test could occur this weekend.

Struggling with a wuhan crisis, for those not seriously ill, ruling-party newspaper Rodong Simnun recommended remedies including ginger or honeysuckle tea and a willow-leaf drink. The paper also lists other over the counter - style aids that addresses the symptoms. It is believed that Omicron variant is at work in the country, which is easily spread but low mortality rate.

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Japan - BLUE trending upward (updated 03-25-22)
DISCUSSION - Japan continues to upgrade its military and alliances in the face of Chinese aggression and NK nuclear aspirations.

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Russia - RED * updated 02-18-22*
DISCUSSION - ONGOING -

WAR WATCH - This situation is rapidly developing and remains fluid.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Russia continues its offensive to sieze the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine.

Withdrawing Russian forces have left abundant evidence of mass murder of civilians, rape of women and children and widespread looting.

ALSO - there is a lot of propaganda out there. I’m doing my best to filter that out or put into context. When In doubt I’ve been trying to identify questionable

Pentagon confirms Russia’s top general remains in his position. Earlier today, British military intelligence said Gerasimov “likely remains in post, but it is unclear whether he retains the confidence of President Putin.”

Russia claims 1,730 Ukrainians have surrendered at the Azovstal steelworks in Mariupol

Video out showing Ukrainian civilians being marched out of a building used to detain prisoners and marched to an area and executed by Russian soldiers.

Personnel Issues -
- Two MPs from the ruling United Russia party have submitted a draft bill to Russia’s parliament, the Duma, that will remove the upper age limit for men to sign a contract to serve in the country’s armed forces. The current maximum age limit is 40 for Russian citizens.
- Russian forces are continuing to suffer shortages of reserve manpower, causing the Russian military command to consolidate depleted BTGs. An unnamed US defense official reported that Russian forces still have 106 BTGs operating in Ukraine. It is assumed that the majority of these BTGs are undermanned and under equipped.

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Ukraine - RED *updated 02-18-22* - The battle for Ukraine into its third month.

WEATHER FORECAST - Rain/showers predominant in the first half of the 10 day forecast, with drying conditions for the latter half.

24 HOUR ROUND UP -
Ukraine’s military says Russia’s army is advancing in the areas of Lysychansk and Severodonetsk, in the eastern region of Luhansk, with a limited break through of Ukraine defenses at Popasna. Russia has also intensified its bombardment of the wider Donbas area, using heavy firepower to damage defenses around the city of Donetsk

Kyiv front -
Nothing significant to report

Northern (Chernihv region ) and North Eastern (Konotop - Sumy salient) Fronts -
Russian army shelled Boyaro-Lezhachi, Brusky, Stari Vyrky in the Sumy region and Hremyach and Senkivka village in the Chernihiv region

Eastern (Khariv) front -
The Ukraine counteroffensive to push Russian forces away from Kharkiv continues, though at a much slower pace as Russian defenses stiffen up. The region saw active clashes near Ternova and Vesele, shelling against Ruska Lozova. In last 24 hours Russian troops shelled Kyivsky, Saltovsky and Oleksiivsky districts of Kharkiv with MRLS Smerch, GRAD and Uragan.

Russian ground forces continue to be unsuccessful forcing a northern pincer southward from Izyum to match advances from Popasna as well as failed advances the Slovyansk or Lyman areas.

In the southern sector, Russian forces executed a limited breakthrough to the west from Popasna, reportedly taking Trypillya, Volodymyrivka, Nova Kamianka. The breakout was lead by Russian airborne troops and advanced almost 15 km to the west. Russian forces attempted advances to the north and south as well with limited success. Analysts are concerned that Russia may be able to exploit this breakthrough and use it to isolate Sieverodonetsk.

The following link is to a figure that depicts the situation around Popasna and Sieverodonestk
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FTJ_OdGacAE_cXZ?format=jpg&name=medium

Eastern (Donbas Separatist Region) Front -
Unidentified partisans reportedly blew up a Russian armored train in Melitopol and damaged two railway tracks and a locomotive with ten fuel tanks.

Russian army attempted to conduct offensive actions near Vesele, Novodarivka , Novomykhailivka and Oleksandrivka but suffered loses and retreated according to Ukraine officials.

Crimea Front -
Nothing significant to report

Western Ukraine -
No significant actions.

Russian Territory -
Russian media and local Telegram channels reported deliberate acts of arson against military commissariats in three Moscow Oblast settlements—Omsk, Volgograd, Ryazan Oblast, and Khanty-Mansi Autonomous District—between May 4 and May 18. Ukrainian General Staff Main Operations Deputy Chief Oleksiy Gromov said that there were at least 12 cases of deliberate arson against military commissariats in total and five last week. Russian officials caught two 16-year-olds in the act in one Moscow Oblast settlement, which suggests that Russian citizens are likely responsible for the attacks on military commissariats.

OUTLOOK -

The limited Russian breakthrough at Popasna has analysts concerned that they could successfully cut off Sieverodonetsk and isolate the troops there. Russian propaganda pushing that the big goal for the Donbas operation is the capture of Sieverodonetsk. However, the advanced out of Popasna is still severely limited to roads and its logistical tail very vulnerable to Ukraine interdiction. This is probably one of the more important battles of the war.
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Moldova/Transnistria - ORANGE *updated 04-29-22*
DISCUSSION - This category added this week as false flag events hit Russian controlled Transnistria and Russia agitates this small country.

Nothing significant to report.

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Belarus - ORANGE *updated 04-22-22*
DISCUSSION - Managing to keep its forces in country and not commit to ground combat in Ukraine.
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Poland - ORANGE trending upward *updated 3-18-22*
DISCUSSION - Poland remains in Russian crosshairs for its operation in resupplying Ukrainian forces.

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Europe / NATO General - ORANGE *updated 02-25-22*
DISCUSSION - NATO nations continue to funnel war supplies to Ukraine.

Turkey threw a monkey wrench into the application process of Sweden and Finland. Turkey is angling to get sanctions removed for its buddy-buddy deals with Russia and aggressive actions towards Greece in exchange
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Israel - ORANGE trending upward *updated 04-01-22*
DISCUSSION - Continued terror attacks by West Bank Palestinians has kept tensions high.
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Lebanon - YELLOW

National elections have resulted in Hezebollah and affiliated losing control of the parliament and setting the stage for more civil unrest.
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Syria - YELLOW

Russia is pulling out and Hezebollah/Iran is backfilling.
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Turkey - YELLOW *updated 04-29-22*
DISCUSSION - Turkey mostly in the news now blocking NATO membership of Sweden and Finland.

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Black Swans -
Monkeypox
UK Health Security Agency has warned gay and bisexual men to be alert for monkeypox, a disease that they say has been spreading “in sexual networks” in the country. “We are particularly urging men who are gay and bisexual to be aware of any unusual rashes or lesions and to contact a sexual health service without delay.”
Monkeypox contact tracers are probing gay bars and spas as they scramble to contain an outbreak of the rare disease. Health chiefs in the UK are ‘actively investigating’ venues visited by six homosexual and bisexual men who tested positive in the past week.
Six of Britain’s nine confirmed cases are men who have sex with men, which officials say is ‘highly suggestive of spread in sexual networks’.
A similar pattern is emerging in Europe, where seven gay or bisexual men have tested positive in Spain and nine ‘mostly young’ males in Portugal.
The number of patients treated for suspected Monkeypox in the last two days in Madrid is “between 40 and 50”, hospital sources tell El Pais “the flow of patients to the emergency services has not stopped”

However, monkeypox itself does not necessarily seem to be spread via sexual contact itself, with Professor Keith Neal of the University of Nottingham instead suggesting that it is instead a result of “the close contact associated with sexual intercourse.” He added that more work needs to be done to see “whether the virus is found in semen” before labeling it as truly sexually transmitted.

OBSERVATION - This is MEGA politically incorrect and there are elements out there trying to sweep these observations under the carpet.
Another thought is what is the wuhan jab status of these individuals given that evidence is pointing to the fact that the jab actually reduces the overall immune system response of the body.

One last point - Last year in November, billionaire Bill Gates warned of bioterror and called on world leaders to prepare for it with what he calls “germ games” or exercises. Gates said governments should be prepared for future pandemics and – very specifically – smallpox terror attacks by investing billions in research.

Meanwhile to the rescue - The U.S. Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA) has exercised the final $12 million option for JYNNEOS, an innovative combination of Smallpox and Monkeypox vaccine. JYNNEOS is the only U.S. Food and Drug Administration-approved non-replicating smallpox and monkeypox vaccine for preventing disease in adults 18 years of age and older.