Posted on 10/09/2021 8:43:05 AM PDT by Onthebrink
So, is China going to attack?
Short answer: Only Xi knows. Absent that information, here are a few thoughts.
A range of pressures, including an aging population, unresolved territorial disputes, and a slowing economy, is conspiring to challenge the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) legitimacy, which is premised on a post-Tiananmen promise of prosperity. These pressures may lead Xi to take action over Taiwan before Beijing’s economic and military advantages dwindle – the so-called “Davidson Window.”
Then there is the “Pax Olympics” school that sees concern over global image forestalling Chinese aggression till after the 2022 Winter Olympics. There are ready indicators this is at play. The communists in Beijing have attempted to discredit critical foreign press as it seeks to validate its authoritarian governance to the world through the stage of the winter Olympics. A similar timeline revolves around next fall’s communist party congress. It’s easy to imagine that Xi will be reluctant to do anything rash before that is complete.
(Excerpt) Read more at 19fortyfive.com ...
Drool on his ice cream.
I was going to say give up Taiwan. It seems others have beat me to it.
“If China attacks Taiwan, then Beijing disappears in a mushroom cloud.”
You want to kill 20 million innocent Chinese ??? Are you insane ?
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