Posted on 04/11/2021 1:07:14 PM PDT by CheshireTheCat
We knew from the Diamond Princess what profile was most likely to have complications. They kept people imprisoned on that ship for weeks. There was no mystery in that in the slightest.
Japan buried a hell of a lot of it, but by March 15th, most of the data was in everyone’s hands. Anyone who tries to come up with some fiction that we didn’t know (probably to protect Cuomo’s pawing anything with two legs) is lying.
The 1918 Spanish Flu was unusual in that it took many kids, teens, early adults and early middle age people. The ages hardest hit were skewed toward the young side with that disease.
“...country of origin, Spain”
Spain wasn’t the origin of that disease. News reporting in the US, Canada, England, Germany and other war powers in WW I was severely censored and controlled. The war powers did not want anything reported about how the disease had affected their troop strength and ability to fight. Information about the influenza was deemed to be critical war information.
Because Spain was neutral in WW I, the Spanish press was able to freely report on the disease. So, because the Spanish press freely discussed the influenza pandemic, it became known as the “Spanish Flu.”
Our first data came from evacuee flights, a nursing home and a cruise ship (all with older people), and from Beijing lying thru their teeth, so our assumptions were sketchy at best. But, as of Dec 2020, CDC puts the death toll of those under 35 at around 4,000 souls (450/mo) and those 35-54 at around 30,000 souls (3,500/mo), with 35,000 souls claimed each month from the over-55 age bracket. (377,883 US deaths over 9 months between Mar 1 and Dec 31)
The first announced confirmed case was a young girl evacuated from Whuan on flight 2. The first confirmed case in a non-evacuee was Jan 21, Washington state, male, announced on Feb 29. On Feb 19, the first nursing home case tested positive. On Feb 26, an 80yo female from the same center also tested positive. These two deaths were announced March 3. On Feb 28, a high-schooler and a USPS worker tested positive. Feb 29th marked first ‘official’ death from CCPvirus, a 56-yo male. March 24 the first minor died.
New York only had 1 acknowledged case as of March 1, 2020. The first death of a minor was reported in Los Angeles on March 24. The CDC estimated in late March 2020 that almost 50% of those admitted to ICU were under 65: 12% were 20-44, and 35% were 45-64. Asymptomatics were calculated at 25%. The first public suggestion that the virus was airborne was March 30, 2020 headlines (Skagit Valley, WA choir).
In general the CDC first floated an all-age mortality rate of 3.4%, with other research saying 0.5 (Beijing figures) and the EU calculating 2.6% mortality. The CDC then corrected figures in late March 2020 to reflect 1.3%-2.6% all-age, and 6.4%-13% over-seventy mortality rates, with majority of deaths within 10 days of hospitalization. (This has since been adjusted over the past year; the advent of therapies and a better understanding of the virus leading to more positive outcomes)
February was the month Princess Cruises went into full quarantine and where a lot of our initial data was collected. On the Diamond Priness in Japan, the first seven deaths were all age 70 and above, with an age-group mortality of 9%. The CDC calculated the ship’s all-age mortality rate of 1.3-2.6%. The ship’s average tourist age was 58 and average crew age was 36. Of 697 testing positive, half (326) were still asymptomatic positives a month after the first positive test.
By Feb 2021, the ‘death bracket’ had dropped from over 70 to over 50, with 93% of deaths age 50 and older and 0.2 percent under 25. Or, according to the latest chart the CDC has cooked up, “Compared with 5—17-year-olds, the rate of death is 2 times higher in 0-4-year olds, 10 times higher in 18-29-year olds, 45 times higher in 30—39-year-olds, 130 times higher in 40-49-year-olds, 440 times higher in 50-59-year-olds, 1300 times higher in 60-69-year-olds, 3200 times higher in 70-84-year-olds, and 8,700 times higher in 85+-year-olds.”
cdc’s Feb 2021 chart:
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/investigations-discovery/hospitalization-death-by-age.html
deaths by age/race through Dec 2020 are broken out in a chart at this cdc link::
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7014e1.htm
memory lane: age groups of Princess Cruise infected:
https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.12.2000256
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