Threat Matrix 2021

Threat Matrix is a thread where global and domestic threats and trends to America are noted and commented on. Goal it to peel back the BS and get to the root of things.

MONDAY’S post may be delayed or not done at all due to other time requirements. Sorry in advance.
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Wuhan virus -

Europe’s latest COVID wave appears to be slowing already, despite all this chatter about omicron overtaking delta by Christmas, as at least one British scientist has suggested it will. And in South Africa, scientists say the omicron variant isn’t causing any deaths or severe infections, in keeping with the view that the variant will likely cause more mild infections than delta.
In the US, the situation is even more subdued. While cases have seen a slight uptick over the past week, the number of deaths has remained near its lows.

According to WHO - still no deaths attributed to Omicron.

In the “Lancet” - “COVID-19: stigmatising the unvaccinated is not justified”
“In the USA and Germany, high-level officials have used the term pandemic of the unvaccinated, suggesting that people who have been vaccinated are not relevant in the epidemiology of COVID-19. Officials’ use of this phrase might have encouraged one scientist to claim that “the unvaccinated threaten the vaccinated for COVID-19”.1 But this view is far too simple.
There is increasing evidence that vaccinated individuals continue to have a relevant role in transmission. In Massachusetts, USA, a total of 469 new COVID-19 cases were detected during various events in July, 2021, and 346 (74%) of these cases were in people who were fully or partly vaccinated, 274 (79%) of whom were symptomatic.”
“It is therefore wrong and dangerous to speak of a pandemic of the unvaccinated. “
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(21)02243-1/fulltext

Though lost in the news, protests continue against tyrannical lockdowns.
Tens of thousands took to the streets of Vienna today to protest against mandatory Covid vaccines and home confinement orders, with unvaccinated Austrians set to be fined and restricted in the coming months.
Police said an estimated 44,000 people attended the demonstration which saw ‘no to vaccine fascism’ signs held aloft, the latest in a string of huge weekend protests since Austria last month became the first EU country to say it would make Covid vaccinations mandatory.
A partial confinement since last month ends on Sunday for the fully vaccinated, but those who have not received the required doses will have to remain at home.

A two-shot course of Pfizer Inc.’s vaccine has just 22.5% efficacy against symptomatic infection with the omicron variant, but can thwart severe disease, according to laboratory experiments in South Africa. this is based on a very small study.

OVERALL OBSERVATIONS - The narrative has taken a hit due to some components jumping the gun on Omicron.
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Globalism / Great Reset -
See wuhan above as the shine has quickly come off Omicron and they cannot generate enough fear over this relatively benign variant.
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Economy -

On Friday’s broadcast of Bloomberg TV’s “Wall Street Week,” economist Larry Summers stated that “we’re going to entrench inflation way above 2%, perhaps in the 4% or even higher range, unless something happens to break the current mood,” and the Build Back Better reconciliation bill will increase inflation over the next two years, but it could be offset by the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Summers said, “We’re having it confirmed that it’s not transitory.”

The prices of new cars and trucks jumped a seasonally adjusted 1.4 percent in October and another 1.2 percent in November, data from the Department of Labor’s Consumer Price Index showed Friday. Compared with a year ago, prices are up 11.1 percent. That’s the fastest annual pace of inflation for vehicles since 1975.

Elements of the MSM are beginning to turn against the BBB, asking/saying if such spending is prudent with inflation at 40 year highs. A key component of that inflation is excessive govt spending. This swing in opinion will likely give Sen Manchin ever more bacd bone in his standoff against democrat leaders on this bill
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Biden watch -

Biden, was widely mocked over the weekend after he posted a tweet in which he bragged about how the United States pays its bills on time by taking on more debt.
“The United States pays its debts when they are due,” Biden wrote in a tweet that also featured a video. “That’s why today, I signed a bill to fast-track the process to raise our debt limit.”
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CW2/Domestic violence -

Kalifornia Governor Gavin Newsom said he plans to use a controversial U.S. Supreme Court ruling on strict abortion curbs in Texas to design a law that would allow private citizens to sue some gun manufacturers, distributors and sellers. Newsom, a Democrat, said on Saturday his team will work with state Attorney General Rob Bonta and the legislature to draft a proposal in line with the Texas law that would let citizens sue manufacturers, sellers or distributors of assault weapons or ghost gun kits for at least $10,000 per violation.
OBSERVATION - I think Newscum is trying to make an apple to apple comparison here but will fail. Congress has already preempted lawsuits of this sort and the target is a very clearly state one in the constitution. T None of the USSC judges could say the same about abortion. That won’t stop him (and other leftists in west coast blue state from trying this judicial trick). But of course kalifornia will try.

BLM/Antifa and other leftist activity continues at a relatively low and relatively peaceful level . No prospects for significant violence in the near or long term.
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China -

China’s Belt and Road Initiative has resulted in debt traps for a number of countries. Laos may have just joined the list with the opening of the China-Laos railway on Dec. 3. This “trap’ consists on loans issued to cash strapped countries for major infrastructure projects. These loans are supported by the collateral from the construction, and are usually far above what the country can afford - essentially dooming the project to default (in many cases default on the loan is accelerated by corrupt goats.) It appears that China now controls this new, strategically significant rail road due to loan default. Within the last month China also took control over a major airport in Uganda.
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Japan -

The Exercise Resolute Dragon, which runs through December 17 at locations from Okinawa in the far south of Japan to Hokkaido in the north, involves 2,600 US Marines and some 1,400 Japanese military personnel participating in a wide range of military scenarios on land, sea and in the air.
Analysts say the drills – which come shortly after bilateral sea-air exercises in the South China Sea and in waters off Okinawa prefecture, as well as a series of maneuvers with military units from Britain, Australia, France, the Netherlands and Germany – underline Tokyo’s desire to deepen its security and military cooperation with its allies.
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Russia -

INCREASED WARNING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat.
Major red flag - Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov and cancelled a middle eastern trip that includes Israel.

In a strongly worded statement, G7 warns of ‘massive consequences’ if Russia invades Ukraine.
NATO’s Stoltenberg says every Russian aggression against Ukraine would come at a high price
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Ukraine -

Several observers are noting that Russian equipment staging areas are emptying out and where they’ve gone is undetermined. But they definitely haven’t reloaded onto trains for redeployment.
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Israel -

Over 200,000 Palestinians cast ballots in rare West Bank municipal elections. Vote limited to rural areas after Mahmoud Abbas delays voting in cities, amid simmering anger toward the Fatah-controlled PA. Saturday’s elections were also boycotted by the terror group Hamas, which governs the Gaza Strip. Hamas’s spokesman, Abdulatif al-Qanou, told the Associated Press that the group wants parliamentary and presidential elections and considers holding the municipal vote alone a violation of previous agreements. Abbas’ popularity waned after he canceled the long-awaited legislative and parliamentary elections in April. No legislative or presidential election has been held in the Palestinian territories for 15 years.

OBSERVATION - Abbas is running out of time and the prolonged effect of his own govt corruption is falling to more radical islamic idealism. The West Bank has had pretty good prosperity - relatively compared to Gaza. However, with wuhan health and economic impacts and Israel/Hamas conflicts, the seeds of discord are sprouting.

Gantz has reportedly delivered an Iranian attack plan to the US. It is to be noted that Israel is not anticipating or needing US approval.

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Iran -

Germany’s new foreign minister today said there was no progress in sight for nuclear talks with Iran, and Iranian government negotiations have been thrown back six months.
OBSERVATION - this is exactly what Iran wanted to begin with.
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Black Swans -

the big earthquake swarm along transform faults associated with the Blanco Fracture Zone appear to be dying down.

Abbreviated report today.
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Wuhan virus -

Omicron reportedly in UK has been doubling at a rate of every 2-3 days. Delta by comparison doubled every 7. British authorities still uncertain on the severity of the mutant.
OBSERVATION - We have several weeks of info on the ‘severity’ and they all point to being very mild. But can’t let the fear narrative die.

Rumors that the first Omicron related death has happened in the UK.

As time moves on, more and more of the after affects of the wuhan mRNA jabs become evident. this one was noted VERY early on and is being reinforced unfortunately with real world data. In Waterloo, Ontario there have been 86 cases of stillbirths in the past in the past six months, compared to typically five to six per year. These are focused on ‘fully’ vaccinated women. Last month, Scotland reported that 21 babies had died within 28 days of birth in September. The spike in deaths was so noticeable that it triggered an investigation.

The city of Itajai, Brazil offered Ivermectin to its citizens during the COVID pandemic. In the study by a team of researchers spanning several Brazilian institutes, the University of Toronto, and Columbia’s EAFIT concluded in a December pre-print study that hospitalization and mortality rates were cut in half over the seven-month period among the Ivermectin group.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/356962821_Ivermectin_prophylaxis_used_for_COVID-19_reduces_COVID-19_infection_and_mortality_rates_A_220517-subject_populational-level_retrospective_citywide

Results supported by another study
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8088823/

Two-dose COVID-19 vaccine regimens do not induce enough neutralizing antibodies against the omicron coronavirus variant, British scientists found, indicating that increased infections in those previously infected or vaccinated may be likely. Researchers from the University of Oxford published results on Monday from a study yet to be peer-reviewed, where they analyzed blood samples from participants who were given doses from AstraZeneca-Oxford or Pfizer-BioNTech in a large study looking into mixing of vaccines.
OBSERVATION - If I understand virus mutations, they will adapt to weak or ineffective ‘vaccines’ to increase their ability to infect their host. I’ve read many reports by immunologists that this could and is happing with the existing ‘vaccines’.

Israeli Health Ministry vaccination advisory committee member and deputy chief of Israel’s biggest hospital Professor Arnon Afek is telling the public to prepare not only to take their fourth “booster” shot but also their fifth, sixth and seventh.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

CVS is reportedly in the process of tuning over medical data to Microsoft. According to reports, Microsoft Azure will help CVS “enhance its omnichannel pharmacy capabilities and deliver customized, omnichannel health recommendations,” which is likely only possible if patients’ medical histories are laid bare for Microsoft, and possibly Gates, to view and analyze. Action has raised suspicion that the data will get into the hands of others for eventual profiling and creation of a wuhan data base.

Attempts at vaccination segregation are running into issues given that more and more data are coming out documenting that it is the vaccinated that are the greatest spreaders of the current Delta wave, not the unvaccinated. The dreaded Omicron variant – which causes common cold-like symptoms – has been spread round the world largely by the vaccinated. And more and more regions are now finding that COVID-positive vaccinated patients are filling up death tallies. Unless something more deadly shows up, the globalists will have to continue to push their controls via Australian, Canadian and Austrian styles of tyranny. _____________________________

Economy -

The House passed what it calls a “fee” on methane that amounts to a stealth tax on natural gas and everyone who uses it. According to a WSJ evaluation, this could add and additional 17% increase next winter to natural gas prices. This is on top of already higher natural gas prices.

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CW2/Domestic violence -

A gunman opened fire Sunday night on a crowd that had gathered at a Celebration of Life ceremony in Baytown, Texas.
A motorist drove by the location and opened fire striking a number of people. The injured were rushed to area hospitals. At least one person was killed. A child is also believed to have been injured. Shooter(s) still being sought.
OBSERVATION - Anti-life proponents have attacked Pro-life supporters in the past. However, I think this attack may reflect on the USSC refusal to place a stay on current Texas law protecting the unborn after a heart beat is detected. Combined with the likely overturning/severely limiting Roe v Way, pro-aborts are tuning to leftist violence means to strike back. Could be a start of another line of deadly leftist violence.

MSNBC and The Atlantic are pushing a story that essentially says that there are between between 20 and 30 million people ready to take up arms and forcibly place Trump back into the WH. The claim is based on a survey conducted by the University of Chicago Project on Security and Threats (CPOST). Of course the media is tossing in ample amounts of demonization of Trump supporters as “white supremacists”.
OBSERVATION - This is just another aspect of the media trying to shape the argument against Trump and his supporters in the lead up to the 2022 midterms. MSNBC and the Alantic cater to the extremists fringe of the left, calling the base ‘to arms’ so to speak and rally the base. However, this kind of rhetoric also serves to legitimize leftist actions to arm up and commit violence actions.
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Russia -

Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov: If NATO and the United States do not respond to Russia’s demand for security guarantees, a military response will follow, there will be a new round of confrontation
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Ukraine -

Germany blocks Ukraine from purchasing defensive weapons via NATO support and procurement agency, according to Defense Minister Reznikov. Earlier yesterday, biden stopped over 200 million in military aid from being sent to Ukraine

OBSERVATION - This appears to be an attempt to appease Russia by showing a lessening of support for Ukraine. Questionable tactic, but one that reflects weakness and loss of international narrative.
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Iran -

Iran appears to be preparing for a space launch as negotiations continue in Vienna over its tattered nuclear deal with world powers, according to satellite images.
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Wuhan virus -

WHO still trying to maintain the Omicron scare factor and reported it poses a”very high” global risk, with some evidence that it evades vaccine protection but clinical data on its severity is limited.
AGAIN - only one death has been attributed to it.

Reports are indicating the spread of Omicron is decreasing in S Africa and other parts of the world. It has consistently been a pandemic of the vaccinated. This is being thought to be the case because the mRNA ‘vaccines’ weaken the body’s natural immune system.

The State of California is reimposing an indoor mask mandate that will apply to everyone, whether vaccinated or not.
California Health and Human Services Secretary Dr. Mark Ghaly announced the updated policy Monday, citing an increase in COVID-19 cases in the state since the Thanksgiving holiday.
The new mask mandate is set to take effect on Wednesday and will expire on Jan. 15. It will apply to everyone, regardless of vaccination status.
The move will make California one of only nine states imposing an indoor masking requirement for both the vaccinated and unvaccinated, joining Washington, Oregon, Nevada, Hawaii, New Mexico, Illinois, New York, and Connecticut. Washington D.C. also has such a mask mandate in place.
OBSERVATION - There is some dispute in Kalifornia surrounding if the ‘increase’ in infections is real or made up. Plus deaths appear to still be trending down as well.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

US military branches have separated the first groups of non-wuhan jab compliant service men/women. From all reports I’ve seen there have been ZERO religious exemptions granted.

Large corporations and medical health organizations/hospitals are taking advantage of court suspensions of biden’s jab mandates to stop their programs to fire unjabbed workers and stop the hemorrhaging of trained/qualified personnel that are nearly impossible to replace under current conditions.

Authorities in South Korea are set to use the country’s facial recognition camera network to track people with COVID in real time and ensure they are wearing face masks.
The system will first be tested in Bucheon, on the outskirts of Seoul, in January before being extended to other areas of the country.
The scheme uses artificial intelligence and facial recognition software linked to the city’s 10,820 security cameras “to track the movements of active cases and their close contacts, and to determine whether they wore a mask,”
China, India, Japan, Poland, Russia, and multiple US states are also exploring similar ways to keep track of the movements of people infected with COVID.

OBSERVATION - Another method of control of the masses to keep them in submission.

The FDA is now being accused of attempting to confiscate and destroy packages containing ivermectin being shipped to Americans.
With the help of the United States Postal Service (USPS), the FDA intends to withhold the safe, effective drug from COVID-19 patients, that is according to recent reports published online.
OBSERVATION - Another avenue to keep the sheeple in submission.

The Atlantic’s David Frum issued a tweet in which he claimed that one Covid prevention/punitive measure is to
“Let hospitals quietly triage emergency care to serve the unvaccinated last.”
OBSERVATION - Another in a long line of leftist globalists letting their inner tyrant out and openly saying what the powers that be intend. Classical isolating a target, dehumanizing and eventually utilizing death to quash dissension.

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Economy -

Markets looking at the Fed today to see just what course they will be taking to try to reign in inflation. Many are expecting deceleration in QE purchases and an accelerated time line for rate increases. The elephant in the room is the probability that rate hikes will trigger a recession and market crash.

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is reportedly facing pressure from the Biden administration to better use fiscal policy to combat climate change. Treasury officials are set to publish a report on how major banks can do more on “climate risk,” while earlier this year, Treasury created a “Climate Hub” office to explore “1) climate transition finance, 2) climate-related economic and tax policy, and 3) climate-related financial risks.”
OBSERVATION - Climate change is more important than getting run away inflation under control.

Speaking of run away - Wholesale prices increased at their quickest pace ever in November in the latest sign that the inflation pressures bedeviling the economy are still present, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.
The producer price index for final demand products increased 9.6% over the previous 12 months after rising another 0.8% in November. Economists had been looking for an annual gain of 9.2%, according to FactSet.

Lumber prices are above $1,000 for the first time since early summer as a hot housing market continues to drive demand.
According to Markets Insider, lumber prices are up 127% from its most recent low. With demand high and supplies low, record low interest rates still drive homeowners to the market, so much that builders are struggling to keep up.
IN RELATED - The Biden administration’s US Commerce Dept. on Nov. 24 followed through with expected anti-dumping and countervailing duties on Canadian softwood lumber producers, placing tariffs of 17.99% on their imports, more than twice the rate of 8.99% during the Trump administration.“
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Invasion of Illegals -

A U.S. appeals court on Monday rejected a renewed attempt by the Biden administration to end a policy put in place by former President Donald Trump that forced tens of thousands of migrants to wait in Mexico for the resolution of their U.S. asylum cases. In compliance with the court’s order, the administration began sending the first asylum seekers back to Mexico again last week.
OBSERVATION - don’t expect biden’s DHS to aggressively obey the court order, but drag their feet, doing just enough to avoid a contempt order.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

Senator Richard Blumenthal(D-Conn.) said he was “excited and proud” to help the Connecticut Communist Party celebrate the 102nd anniversary of the founding of the Communist Party USA over the weekend.
OBSERVATION - The influence of avowed communists within the democrat party has increased significantly over the past several years in particular. This has been key to the current schism between moderate vs progressive/communist democrats.

Some anarchist/ Antifa websites are publishing instructions on how to derail trains. The goal is to inflict further supply disruptions and economic chaos. Included are non destructive measures such as having false signals to stop trains.
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China -

Taiwanese Ministry of Defense assesses that China would likely use one of its frequent joint exercises to launch a full scale invasion of Taiwan before 2025.

Xi and Putin are scheduled to have a virtual meeting Wednesday.
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North Korea -

China, the U.S. and North Korea have agreed in principle to officially declare the end of the Korean War.

The Biden administration is introducing its first new sanctions towards North Korea. The U.S. Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) will sanction North Korea’s central prosecutors’ office, one of its animation studios and a high-level official, as well as seven DPRK-related foreign individuals and entities, an informed source told NK News on Friday.
The new sanctions, to be announced Friday (U.S. time), will mark the first such measures imposed under the Biden administration — and the first in a year’s time. The administration has maintained it will continue to enforce the existing sanctions regime against North Korea but had not announced any new ones until now.
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Japan -

Former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe stated regarding any potential Taiwan conflict: “In the event of a Chinese attack on a US vessel, it could be a situation posing a threat to Japan’s survival, which would allow the exercise of collective self-defense.”
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Russia -

Xi and Putin are scheduled to have a virtual meeting Wednesday.

More observers are documenting trains carrying Russian military vehicles headed to un loading sites near Ukraine. However, many af the reports and videos are undated.

Russian BUK-M1 air defense systems were sighted on rail cars deploying into the border region with Ukraine. Russia continues to deploy military forces to the Ukraine border. Ukrainian military units are now deployed in fighting positions along the borders of Ukraine’s breakaway regions controlled by Russia-backed separatists.

I’ve scrapped up some of the Russian order of battle being deployed.

Elements of the 8th, 20th, 22d Combined Arms Armies are deployed opposite of Ukraine. 41ST, and 58th in reserve.
North to south-
20th CAA (Northern Ukraine border)
- 144th Motorize Rifle Division (MRR)
- 3d MRR
- 106th Airborne division
8th CAA (Opposite current Dombass conflict zone)
- 150th MRR
22d CAA (Crimea)
- 7th Airborne Division
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Ukraine -

Ukraine is strengthening the air cover of critical infrastructure facilities, bridges across the Dnieper River, as well as hydroelectric power plants & nuclear power plants due to the threat of Russian military action.
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Belarus -

Lukashenka’s regime sentenced Sergei Tsikhanovsky to 18 years in a high security prison. Artsyom Sakov, Popov - 16 years. Tsyganovich and Losik sentenced to 15 years. Statkevich - 14 years in prison. Tikhanovsky was convicted of organizing riots among other charges following a trial condemned as a sham. He planned to challenge Mr Lukashenko in the 2020 presidential election, but was detained before the vote. Lukashenko has ruled Belarus since 1994 and defied months of protests last year as opposition politicians and activists were arrested and held in prison.

In Belarus, the human rights NGO Viasna added 9 names to the list of political prisoners. The total number of political prisoners in Belarus reached 920 as of date
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Iran -

The US is preparing “alternatives” in case the Iran nuclear talks fail, AFP reported US Sec State Blinken as saying. US is actively engaging with its allies and partners regarding alternatives, Blinken told a press conference in Indonesia.
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Wuhan virus -

The new coronavirus variant Omicron is spreading across the globe at an unprecedented rate, the World Health Organization (WHO) has warned.
NOTE - Continuation of the fear mongering. However, Omicron is not panning out to be the deadly variant they apparently dersired. Remember, only one death has been attributed to this variant was ‘discovered’ last month.

Dr. Anthony Fauci sat down with “Meta” CEO Mark Zuckerberg and commented on a recent study that showed that the Covid vaccines may actually make a recipient more likely to be reinfected than someone with natural immunity from a prior infection. “This would not be the first time, if it happened, that a vaccine that looked good in initial safety actually made people worse,” Fauci said. “There was the history of the Respiratory Syncitial Virus vaccine in children, which paradoxically made the children worse.”

A new Harvard study recently showed that the mRNA “vaccines” endorsed by the FDA and CDC are worse than useless at stopping the spread of Covid-19.
The study of 68 nations and 2,947 counties in the United States published in the European Journal of Epidemiology showed that “At the country-level, there appears to be no discernible relationship between percentage of population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases in the last 7 days. In fact, the trend line suggests a marginally positive association such that countries with higher percentage of population fully vaccinated have higher COVID-19 cases per 1 million people.”
Calling it a “curious “ phenomenon, it observes that Covid-19 case rates increasing alongside vaccination rates.

The Telegraph is reporting that data from Denmark shows that just over 70 per cent of omicron cases have been among those younger than 40. The omicron epidemic is being driven by young, vaccinated people, according to mounting data from countries as diverse as the UK, Denmark and South Africa
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Globalism / Great Reset -

More restrictions to separate the non-jabbed. The British House of Commons backs the government’s plan to introduce Covid passes - or passports - for entry to large venues in England, such as nightclubs, passing a resolution. MPs also backed compulsory face masks in most indoor public places in England.

Kroger has informed unvaccinated employees that they will no longer be entitled to paid emergency leave if they fall ill with COVID-19, The Wall Street Journal reports. The grocery chain reportedly sent out a memo to staffers last week announcing the new policy, which will take effect Jan. 1. Unvaccinated managers and nonunion employees will also face a $50 monthly surcharge added to their company health-care plans. The move is part of the company’s efforts to encourage employees to get vaccinated .
OBSERVATION - Expect more more companies aligned with the left to continue punitive measured even thought the OSHA mandate is currently stopped by the courts.

The broad court decisions banning the multiple “mandates” issued by the biden administration have given some big companies and entities wiggle room to back off self impositions of same mandates. A recent example is Amtrak having suspended their vaccine mandate just days after the railroad service began cutting services due to vaccine related staffing shortages.
According to a recent survey via the Society for Human Resources Management, 75% of employers would not commit to such a requirement if the courts strike the mandate down completely. (Yahoo News)
OBSERVATION - Worker shortages are already intense and these entities realize that firing people over a disease with a 99.7% survival rate isn’t good business - even Amtrak mangers could figure that out. This follows major hospitals stopping the expulsion of the unvaxxed. This will not stop the stigmatization of the unvaxxed, but throw a wrench into the short term globalist push for jabbing.

Vice President Harris called for an intentional restructuring of the country’s economic systems on Tuesday, suggesting existing systems were inherently racist. Harris appeared at a forum hosted by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen to discuss proactive ways to increase access to financial systems and capital for racial minorities.
OBSERVATION - Need it be said - raw communism being espoused. A “leveling” of the economy is a goal the WEF.

I’ve wondered in part just what mechanism would facilitate a global power ‘owning’ everything and we’ll be happy until I though about the known national debt against households - it works out to approximately $287,859 per income-tax-paying household. There is also the ‘hidden’ debt. A great ‘reset’ could cancel all debts, but in return cancel all property rights. Given the conditioning seen from the wuhan cultists over the sheeple, it is entirely conceivable that as a result of a manufactured global economic collapse people would gladly turn over their property to escape their hundreds of thousands of dollars of debt burden.
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Economy -

The House and Senate approved an extension of the national debt ceiling by $2.5 trillion in the hopes of kicking the can into 2023 and avoid having to deal with it during the 2022 Midterms. The new debt ceiling is now roughly $31.5 trillion.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

Following Newsom’s lead in California, the Attorney General of New York tells The View that she has her office working on crafting a law that will allow private citizens to sue gun manufacturers and sellers, just as Texas passed targeting abortion providers.

OBSERVATION - The left MUST have a disarmed US in order to progress to their next phase of controlling the US. While clearly unconstitutional, leftists will likely pass such bills and force the issue while it is being fought in the courts - a process of years - to the point where even though those laws will be overturned, the damage has been done. Similar lawless attitude has been practiced by the biden administration of several issues, like immigration - openly saying they know the law/executive order is not legal but going to do it anyway while being fought in the courts.

The Los Angeles Police Department contracted a Warsaw-based “strategic communications” firm to gain insight into protests. The police used a 40-day free trial of ABTShield, which scraped millions of tweets associated with Black Lives Matter, Antifa, election security, and white nationalism. The software assisted in reputation management, threat prediction, and information gathering about community grievances.
OBSERVATION - Civil rights groups are raising concerns over privacy violations of this action.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Arleigh Burke (DDG 51) began its scheduled southbound transit from the Black Sea to the Mediterranean Sea after conducting maritime operations alongside NATO allies and partners
OBSERVATION - This could represent the US getting signifiant assets out of the Black Sea region prior to any initiation of war by Russia against the Ukraine.
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Russia -

Logistic//fuel units are being reported on the move towards the Ukraine border. Heavy engineering units being railroaded into the region consisting of heavy bridging units and rail line repair elements.

The Russian Federation has submitted proposals on security guarantees to the United States, - says Assistant to the President of Russia for Foreign Policy Yuri Ushakov. Putin said that “Russia is ready to immediately begin negotiations on security guarantees, and hopes that the United States and NATO will respond positively to this,” Ushakov said

INCREASED WARNING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat.
I’ve scrapped up some of the Russian order of battle being deployed.

Elements of the 8th, 20th, 41ST, and 22d Combined Arms Armies are deployed opposite of Ukraine. (NOTE - 41st added to the front line from reserve status) I suspect the 58th CAA(42d MRD) is in reserve in the Georgia region, with the 106th Airborne division in the Moscow region. Other potential reserve units consist of a mechanized infantry unit in Moldova (breakaway region of Transnistria - See Europe General below).

North to south - NOTE ; Tweaked the association and units with more recent information.
41st CAA - Located on the eastern border of Belarus
20th CAA (Northern Ukraine border)
- 144th Motorize Rifle Division (MRR)
- 3d MRR
- 106th Airborne division
8th CAA (Opposite current Dombass conflict zone)
- Dombass ‘separatists’ An approximately division sized element that the 8th CAA provides command and control for the separatists/Russian forces in the disputed area.
- 150th MRR
22d CAA (Crimea)
- 7th Airborne Division
- 810th Marine Infantry Brigade (Crimea)
- 3rd Air Assault Regiment (Crimea, airborne)

This deployment scheme suggests a largely defensive posture for Crimea (though the likelihood of supporting amphibious attacks in the area is high). The main attack could come from the 20th CAA moving south along the east bank of the Dnieper River (source of much of the hydro power for Ukraine ) to join up with ‘separatist ‘ forces in the Dombass region - This would essentially cut the eastern third of the country off and place it under Russian control.
It is likely that Belarus may launch a supporting attack on the west flank of the 20th CAA to protect from counter attacks. Recent Joint military drills with close ally Russia on its southern border with Ukraine seem to support that course of action.

For Russian to continue to attack westward, the Dnieper River and associated low lands would pose a significant barrier and it is likely Russia would prefer to use that as a preventative to a NATO/Ukraine counter attack. This would give Russia a ‘buffer’. However, it will wake the NATO ‘bear’ consisting of the eastern member nations of NATO.
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Ukraine -

Ukraine has activated reserve forces.

Germany and the Netherlands are blocking Ukrain’s efforts to acquire defensive C-UAS (anti-drone systems) through #NATO’s Support and Procurement Agency.
OBSERVATION - these denials, combined with biden stopping munitions shipments suggest that NATO is trying to telegraph to Russia that NATO is not going to help Ukraine and is an attempt to appease Putin on the whole NATO issue.
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Europe General -

Moldovan ex-defence minister Viorel Cibotaru has proposed an extended military agreement between Romania and Moldova.
OBSERVATION - Moldova is another small country that Russia is supporting ‘separatists’ in order to create another Russian favoring buffet state. Though it has a largely pro-Russia government, recently there has been some souring of the relationship . The disputed region is a strip of the Moldovan territory on the east bank of the Dniester has been under the de facto control of the breakaway government of Transnistria since 1990. The present history of the region dates to 1990, amidst the disintegration of the Soviet Union, when the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic was established in hopes that it would remain within the Soviet Union should Moldova seek unification with Romania or independence, the latter occurring in August 1991. Transnistria, along with Abkhazia, South Ossetia, and Artsakh, is a post-Soviet “frozen conflict” zone.
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Saudi Arabia -

Saudi Crown Prince called for an “effective and serious” approach to Iran’s nuclear program, during a Gulf summit
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________________________________

Wuhan virus -

California Occupational Safety and Health Standards Board is revising temporary rules is that it would erase current distinctions between vaccinated and unvaccinated employees. The revised temporary rules would require that exposed, vaccinated but asymptomatic workers stay home for 14 days even if they test negative or, if they return to work, wear masks and stay 6 feet (1.8 meters) from anyone else during those two weeks. “Treating vaccinated and unvaccinated people similarly really denies the scientific value of the vaccine and disincentivizes vaccination,” said Rob Moutrie, a policy advocate at the California Chamber of Commerce.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) released new data today showing a total of 875,653 adverse events following COVID vaccines were reported between Dec. 14, 2020, and Nov. 5, 2021, to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS). VAERS is the primary government-funded system for reporting adverse vaccine reactions in the U.S. Some observers are noting that the numbers indicate a surge in adverse affects that correlates to the beginning of 5 yr old plus vaccinations.

In heavily masked Kalifornia, data last updated Tuesday shows a daily average of 6,353 cases, according to the New York Times’ coronavirus case map and tracker. That results in an average of 16 cases per 100,000. Overall, it reflects a 61 percent case increase in the last 14 days. On the other side of the country, Florida reported a daily case average of 1,506, or seven per capita — a decrease of 20 percent in the last two weeks. In terms of the daily average cases, California is reporting four times more than the Sunshine State. Florida has no mask mandate.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

Biden’s ‘Build Back Better’ Bill Adds 87,000 IRS agents to the mix. This on top of required reporting of nearly all banking transactions.
OBSERVATION - Control the money, control the people.

French President Emmanuel Macron has refused to rule out mandatory Covid-19 vaccination as millions of French people remain unvaccinated despite a rise in cases. Asked by French TV channels TF1 and LCI on Wednesday whether vaccination for Covid-19 would become mandatory in the future, Macron replied, “This hypothesis exists,” before noting that France was not far off from being fully vaccinated anyway.
The president did encourage the “little more than 5 million of our fellow citizens who are not vaccinated” to “take responsibility” and receive their shots. He argued that the unvaccinated “are not protected” from the virus, noting that they are behind the recent surge in hospitalizations.

Denials of “climate change” are “deadlier” than denials of the science behind COVID-19, according to renowned climate activist Michael E. Mann, who defended his earlier call for social media companies to censor those who disagree with his views on global warming science, effectively removing “climate denial” content in the same way “COVID denial” content is suppressed online.
OBSERVATION - I’ve said before, climate change cultists want the same ‘emergency’ declared for climate change to enable tyrannical dictates to force their agenda. The idea is embraced by most globalists, but it doesn’t seem that there is sufficient ‘crisis’ yet to trigger actions.
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Economy -

Federal Reserve officials projected Wednesday there will be at least three interest rate rises next year in efforts to curb high inflation rates. Officials also approved plans to more quickly scale back the Fed’s pandemic stimulus efforts, the Wall Street Journal reports.
On Wednesday, officials voted to hold rates near zero, but the latest projections are a significant shift from just three months ago. In September, around half of those official thought rate increases wouldn’t be warranted until 2023.

OBSERVATION - Three rate increases next year is a HUGE change in policy. For the past year the talk were smaller increases starting 2023. Buckle up folks, this could trigger not only a recession but a full blown depression. Watching the markets for response.
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Invasion of Illegals -

Illegal drug smuggling - often a parallel to illegal immigration - has skyrocketed, particularly in the case of fentanyl. So much has entered the country that it is reported that street prices are half what they were a year ago.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

A Chicago-based BLM affiliated group called Defund CPD Campaign is advocating for the abolition of the Chicago Police Department’s “racist” gang database, stating that a vast majority of individuals listed are Black or “Latinx.”
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CYBER/CANCEL CULTURE FRONT -

Twitter quietly made changes to its rules for posts on COVID, including statements that vaccinated people can spread the virus. The policy now states that Twitter will add labels claiming to offer “corrective information” and give users a strike if they claim that “the vaccines will cause you to be sick, spread the virus, or would be more harmful than getting COVID-19.
OBSERVATION - The CDC has stated outright that even those who are fully vaccinated can transmit COVID-19 to others. Another attempt at control of narrative.
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POLITICAL FRONT -

President Joe Biden’s nominee for the vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff told the Senate “gender advisers” for combat troops are critical to the United States’ success.
OBSERVATION - SMH, as a veteran there are a plethora of other issues far more critical to military success/readiness than this. IMHO just another effort to demoralized and reduce real readiness.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

US/NATO Intelligence aircraft sorties have been nearly nonstop over Ukraine the past few days.

US has reportedly removed most of its advanced missile defense system and Patriot batteries from Harir military base near Erbil and Al Assad military base near Anbar, western Iraq.

The U.S. Marine Corps has decided to ban its entire fleet of tracked Amphibious Assault Vehicles, or AAVs, from taking part in “regularly scheduled deployments” or entering the water for any reason except to support emergency crisis response operations.
OBSERVATION - A mainstay in amphibious operations, banning the used of this vehicle for amphibious training will greatly endanger Marines if an “emergency crisis response” (IE war) is necessary. This represents a significant loss of amphibious assault capability of the Marine Corps, at least in the near term.
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China -

China and Russia should carry out “more joint actions” to safeguard both sides’ security interests, President Xi Jinping told his Russian counterpart Putin Wednesday.
OBSERVATION - Pardon the comparison, but the Chinese/Russian ‘alliance’ to me is in some ways similar to the Romulian/Klingon alliance in the Star Trek TOS. An alliance of convenience yet ready to stick the knife into the other’s back if necessary.
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Russia -

INCREASED WARNING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat.
I’ve scrapped up some of the Russian order of battle being deployed.

PARTIAL RUSSIAN ORDER OF BATTLE -
Elements of the 8th, 20th, 41ST, and 22d Combined Arms Armies are deployed opposite of Ukraine. (NOTE - 41st added to the front line from reserve status) I suspect the 58th CAA(42d MRD) is in reserve in the Georgia region, with the 106th Airborne division in the Moscow region. Other potential reserve units consist of a mechanized infantry unit in Moldova (breakaway region of Transnistria.

North to south - NOTE ; Tweaked the association and units with more recent information.
20th CAA (Northern Ukraine border)
- 144th Motorize Rifle Division (MRR)
- 3d MRR
- 106th Airborne division
41st CAA - Located on the eastern border of Belarus
8th CAA (Opposite current Dombass conflict zone)
- Dombass ‘separatists’ An approximately division sized element that the 8th CAA provides command and control for the separatists/Russian forces in the disputed area.
- 150th MRR
22d CAA (Crimea)
- 7th Airborne Division
- 810th Marine Infantry Brigade (Crimea)
- 3rd Air Assault Regiment (Crimea, airborne)

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Ukraine -

President Zelensky discussed with the new German Chancellor Olaf Scholz the possible membership of Ukraine in NATO.

We see no sign that Russia’s substantial military build-up near Ukraine is stopping or slowing down, NATO Sec Gen Stoltenberg says alongside Ukrainian President Zelensky. “On the contrary, it continues.” In response to Putin’s demands that NATO scale back cooperation with Ukraine, Stoltenberg says, “It is for Russia to change behavior. It is for Russia to change course.” He says there will be no “compromise” on the right of NATO and Ukraine to work closely together.

Ukraine’s parliament approved on Tuesday a draft law that allows foreign troops to take part in military exercises on the territory of the former Soviet republic in 2022, a move likely to infuriate Russia.
According to the draft law, submitted by Ukrainian President Zelenskiy, Ukraine plans to hold 10 large military exercises next year.
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Poland -

Poland’s PM Morawiecki declares he will be advocating for “harsh sanctions” if Russia escalates its aggression in Ukraine
______________________________________

Israel -

IAF struck targets south of Damascus overnight. Initial reports indicate that an EWR (Early Warning Radar) location and additional military infrastructure (probably Hezbollah/Iran) were the targets. Syrian Ministry of Defense reports 1 soldier killed and material losses have occurred
OBSERVATION - An EWR strike is notable - iF IAF is to strike IRAN, they need the radars to be blinded.

Israeli cyber security firm confirms to Fox News: In the past 24 hours, a known Iranian hacking group named “Charming Kitten” or APT 35, has tried to exploit the Log4j vulnerability against 7 targets in Israel, among them “Government offices and big Israeli firms”.

The US has rejected an Israeli request to fast-track the delivery of two tanker aircraft which had been ordered by Israel, as plans for a possible military option against Iran’s nuclear plan move forward, Ynet reported on Monday. The US State Department approved the possible sale of up to eight KC-46 tanker aircraft and related equipment to Israel for an estimated cost of $2.4 billion last March, marking the first time that Washington has allowed Jerusalem to buy new tankers. The KC-46 tankers will replace Israel’s Ram (Boeing 707) tanker aircraft that are required for long-range missions and nearing the age of 60.
OBSERVATION - Such refueling aircraft would be critical for a strike on Iran, as a mission against Iran would need to travel over a thousand kilometers in each direction. This will directly inhibit an Israeli response to Iran in the short term.
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Iran -

The Tehran Times published on Wednesday a front-page article with a map threatening Israel with missile attacks, The Jerusalem Post reported. Israeli officials say the map of the alleged targets published in the article is inaccurate, since some of them do not exist, while others include cities within Palestinian territories.

Iran will allow the United Nations’ nuclear watchdog to reinstall cameras damaged at a site where it has centrifuge parts and manufacturing material, semiofficial Iranian news agencies reported Wednesday.
The decision will see cameras put back at Karaj, which came under what Iran describes as a sabotage attack in June.
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Iraq -

See US withdrawal of missile e assets under Strategic Activity / Deployments above
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Syria -

See IAF airstrikes above under Israel.
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FRIDAY trend posting.

Color Key
BLACK - An area worth noting, but not immediately impacting on US safety
BLUE - Incidents increasing and needing further monitoring, low threat to the US
YELLOW - This is the moderate concern level. Definitely becoming a threat but in the longer term.
ORANGE - A definite threat in both short term and long term. Some active events occurring
RED - Active and ongoing. Examples of this would be 2020 rioting, etc.

________________________________

Wuhan virus - YELLOW *last updated 12-10-21*
DISCUSSION - OMICRON is a big nothing burger. Globally there have been only one reported fatalities associated with it and its transmission is not significantly greater than Delta.

Biden on Thursday warned people who are not vaccinated against Covid-19 are looking at a very bleak and dangerous winter if they do not get their shots soon.
“I want to send a direct message to the American people: Due to the steps we’ve taken Omicron has not yet spread as fast as it would have otherwise done,” Biden said in remarks at the White House following his Covid-19 briefing Thursday.
“But it’s here now and it’s spreading and it’s gonna increase. ... We are looking at a winter of severe illness and death for the unvaccinated — for themselves, their families and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm. But there’s good news: If you’re vaccinated and you have your booster shot, you’re protected from severe illness and death,” the President added.
OBSERVATION - Many are reading into the “winter of severe illness and death” statement as an omen that the powers that be will come up with something more deadly. Omicron is not panning out to be the threat needed to scare the people into more compliance. Globalists implications
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Globalism / Great Reset - YELLOW trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Global powers that be (GPTB) backing off from hyping Omicron given its underwhelming threat. Countries and the US are moving forward for harsher treatment of the Unvaxxed anyway.

A group that includes former Pfizer vice president Dr. Michael Yeadon filed a complaint with the International Criminal Court (ICC) on behalf of UK citizens against Boris Johnson and UK officials, Bill and Melinda Gates, chief executives of Big Pharma companies, World Economic Forum executive chairman Klaus Schwab, and others for crimes against humanity.
The UK group, including an astrophysicist and a funeral director, additionally charged Dr. Anthony Fauci; Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director-general of the World Health Organization (WHO); June Raine, chief executive of Medicines and Healthcare products regulatory agency (MHRA); Dr. Radiv Shah, president of the Rockefeller Foundation; and Dr. Peter Daszak, president of EcoHealth Alliance, as “responsible for numerous violations of the Nuremberg Code … war crimes and crimes of aggression” in the UK and other countries.
OBSERVATION - This group has been unsuccessful getting UK courts to take up this case. I think it is highly dubious that the globalist controlled ICC will take up the case either.

Protests continue around the world against tyrannical lockdown/vaccination mandates - in spite of media silence. New Zealand, home to one of the most radical leaders of the wuhan cult, thousands turned out to protest the continuation of restrictions. NZ is reputedly approximately 90% fully vaccinated.

IN RELATED - While not in the thousands, acts of disobedience by smaller groups can gain strong notice. For example,. a group of unvaxxed protesters dared to try to order a meal at an Applebee’s in the New York City borough of Queens on Wednesday. They were arrested by NYPD in a action that has started to go viral. Optics against the NY city and NYPD are not good, given that DeBlasio is out of office in 15 days and his successor is not supportive of his tactics. The four people arrested were charged with criminal trespass, the NYPD later added. This comes one day after six anti-mandate scofflaws were arrested at a nearby Cheesecake Factory.

Germany is seeking to crackdown on the Telegram app because of its use to organize protests. Telegram has been used around the world for fast, secure messaging - giving organizers of protests/riots quick response to events. These responses are even quicker than law enforcement can act, giving protestors/rioters a significant tactical advantage. Telegram has played a massive role in organizing anti-COVID protests across Europe and has been used as a crowd-sourcing platform for challenging the establishment narrative during the pandemic.

More legal hits to biden’s mandates. The Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals declined Wednesday to hear “en banc” the case against President Joe Biden’s rule forcing large private employers to vaccinate or COVID-19 test their employees.
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Economy - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - US inflation continues to get worse. Setting record highs. Supply issues continue to get worse. Congress keeps kicking budget and debt ceiling down the road a month at a time. Now the Fed is planning to take more aggressive tactics next year, planning on raising the prime rate three times next year. Some indicate the potential for double digit inflation as early as next summer.

Looking into 2022, some economists are indicating that the US may see double digit inflation. This assessment is supported to a degree in the Fed’s look at three interest rate increases for 2022. This imbalance and fed response could tip the economy into a deep recession and even depression.

According to a new report from the Penn-Wharton Budget Model, “inflation in 2021 will require the average U.S. household to spend around $3,500 more in 2021 to achieve the same level of consumption of goods and services as in recent previous years (2019 or 2020).” In other words, due to inflation, Americans’ standard of living is rapidly plummeting.

It is increasingly becoming apparent that biden’s “Build Back Better” plan is going to be shelved due to all the pork, and how it will maintain high inflation.

Democrats are increasingly blaming producers of goods for high prices as rising inflation drags down President Joe Biden’s approval ratings and threatens the party’s prospects. For example, Biden called upon the Federal Trade Commission to launch an investigation into oil and gas companies. He claimed their “anti-consumer” behavior is behind the inflated gasoline costs. Now democrats are calling for investigation into the meat/poultry industry industry for high prices.
OBSERVATON - I like the commentary by one economist on this -
John Rosen, an adjunct economics professor at the University of New Haven, told the Washington Examiner that the driving factor behind the current broad-based inflation in the economy and marketplace is simply too much money chasing too few goods. He said that during inflationary years, politicians like those in the administration try to look for “villains” to blame for the higher prices.
“But blaming producers for price increases is kind of like blaming an airplane crash on gravity. It’s technically accurate, but it’s not very informative, and it doesn’t tell you what to do,”
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Invasion of Illegals - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Illegals continue to push across the border with record numbers of intercepts

The Justice Department has stopped negotiations with lawyers representing migrant families who were separated at the border and says it’s ready to return to court, according to one of the attorneys.
The DOJ hasn’t commented about why it stopped the talks, but the news comes after the White House came under fire over news that payments of up to $450,000 — to which President Joe Biden objected — were under consideration for the immigrant families, reports CNN.
OBSERVATION - Public reaction was caustic upon the $450K revelation. I suspect that, combined with poll numbers in the toilet and the oncoming democrat train wreck midterms drove the pull back.

Initial reports indicate that border arrests jumped 5% in November to 173,600. This headcount is far short of the record 213,000 arrested in July, but increases in the arrest of Venezuelan nationals and continued unrest in Cuba and Haiti promise larger numbers in the near future.
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Biden watch - ORANGE trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Mental facilities continue to degrade

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CW2/Domestic violence - YELLOW trending upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - New trials are stimulating BLM violent protests. Potentially may also leverage a reversal of Roe v Way for addition violence.

Reports coming out of the Bay Area of new measures to combat the explosion of “smash and grab’ car break-ins. In the robbery-infested areas of San Francisco and Oakland, California, some residents are so fearful of having their cars broken into that they are deliberately leaving their car trunks open so robbers won’t shatter the windows. People have even posted signs on their cars begging, “Please use the door,” or “Please Do Not Break Glass!! Nothing Inside!!”

BLM/Antifa activity continues at a low level across the country. Leftist protests focus primarily on environmental actions.
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POLITICAL FRONT - YELLOW *updated 12-10-21*
DISCUSSION - Democrat infighting increasing. Moderate democrats now appear to have torpedoed biden’s BBB and election “reform” HR1.

The White House wants to mark the new year with a forceful push for voting rights, portraying the protection of the ballot as a battle for democracy itself. But despite a renewed emphasis from an increasingly impatient and frustrated base, prospects for legislative success still look grim. With an impending democrat disaster in the midterms. efforts to force HR1 will intensify.
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Domestic Terror - BLUE

There is a nation wide ‘threat’ promulgated on Tic Tok calling for a ‘challenge’ to phone in threats to school and/or bring weapons and kill students. Schools are taking increased precautions, though there are no specific threats identified.
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China - ORANGE trending neutral to upward *unchanged*

Germany’s Defense Ministry said the frigate Bayern began a transit through the disputed waters on the way to Singapore, a trip that should take a few days. The last time a German warship sailed through the South China Sea was in 2002. This year, both France and the UK have deployed their navies to the South China Sea, and Canada joined the US in a Taiwan Strait transit back in October.

Senators gave final congressional approval Thursday to a bill barring imports from China’s Xinjiang region unless businesses can prove they were produced without forced labor, overcoming initial hesitation from the White House and what supporters said was opposition from corporations.
The United States says China is committing genocide in its treatment of the Uyghurs. That includes widespread reports by rights groups and journalists of forced sterilization and large detention camps where many Uyghurs allegedly are compelled to work in factories.
China denies any abuses. It says the steps it has taken are necessary to combat terrorism and a separatist movement.
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North Korea - BLUE *unchanged*

Government authorities have ordered the public to not show any signs of happiness while North Korea commemorates Kim Jong Il’s death. Kim Jong Il ruled North Korea from 1994 until his death in 2011, and was then succeeded by his third and youngest son, current leader Kim Jong Un.
Ten years after his death, North Koreans are being forced to observe the 11-day period of mourning where they are not allowed to laugh or drink alcohol. They added: ‘In the past many people who were caught drinking or being intoxicated during the mourning period were arrested and treated as ideological criminals. They were taken away and never seen again.
‘Even if your family member dies during the mourning period, you are not allowed to cry out loud and the body must be taken out after it’s over. People cannot even celebrate their own birthdays if they fall within the mourning period.’
OBSERVATION - Though this remembrance doesn’t pose a direct threat to the US, it does demonstrate the degree of control the NK govt has over its populations.
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Russia - ORANGE and increasing *last updated 121021*
DISCUSSION - Putin sees US/NATO weakness, especially after his phoncon with biden. Russia deploying medical and combat sustainment units to the region - a step unusual for an ‘exercise’. Trying to force NATO to respond to its “proposals” (ie demands) with lack of favorable response a justification for war.

According to the Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman, NATO has reportedly failed to respond to the numerous Russian proposals for security dialogue. Russia offered the United States to agree not to create military bases in post-Soviet countries, not to use their military infrastructure and not to develop military cooperation with them. Russia also proposes NATO not to deploy additional military and weapons outside the countries in which they were in May 1997 (before the accession of the Eastern European countries to the alliance) - except in exceptional cases with the consent of Russia and NATO members.

OBSERVATION - The term “post-Soviet countries’ refers to those eastern European countries that were once under the control of the Soviet Union / Russia. Russia desires these countries to be ‘buffers’ against NATO. However, Russia’s track record so far has been to infiltrate and covertly try to install pro-Russia governments. They don’t really exempt themselves from what they warn NATO on. these “post-Soviet countries’ are being denied their sovernity to act on their own. Not going to go well with those countries who are most concerned about a Russian invasion of Ukraine and coming after them next.
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Ukraine - ORANGE *updated 121021*
Increased potential of an attack by Russia.

An awkward moment in Russian court today: a recent fraud conviction appears to confirm Russia’s army is occupying the separatist states in eastern Ukraine. The 1,300 tons of food the defendant sent there every two weeks is enough for 26,000 troops. Kremlin’s spokesperson denies that Russian troops present in Eastern Ukraine. Calls a mistake court ruling which mentions supply of Russian troops at occupied parts of Donetsk and Luhansk regions of Ukraine.
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Belarus - YELLOW *updated 121021*
DISCUSSION - Migrant ‘crisis’ has significantly decreased. Monitoring / evaluating if it will participate with Russia in an Ukraine invasion.

Russia has been delivering upgraded BTR-80 APCs to Belarus military units.
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Poland - YELLOW trending upward *last updated 121021*
Migrant ‘crisis’ has significantly decreased. Monitoring / evaluating if it will participate against Russia in the event of an invasion of Ukraine. Ongoing illegal islamic migrant issues with Belarus
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Europe General - YELLOW TRENDING UPWARD *updated 121021*
DISCUSSION - Increasing potential that NATO will become involved in a Ukraine invasion as Poland, Romania and the Baltic Nations respond.
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Israel - ORANGE trending neutral to upward *unchanged*
DISCUSSION - Ongoing threat from Hezebollah and Iran continues.

Indicators that Israel is preparing for / expecting biden to stab them in the back in response to Iran’s nuclear program.
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Iran - ORANGE *unchanged*

Iranian Navy & Royal Navy of Oman had an exercise yesterday in the strait of Hormuz & Gulf of Oman. IRIS Sahand, Shahid Nazeri Catamaran, a P-3F aircraft & a SH-3D helicopter as well as Omani Al Mubshir class support vessel Al Naasir & an NH90 helicopter participated in the exercise.

An EU diplomat tells repots that no real progress occurred this week in the nuclear talks with Iran. At current pace it could take 6 months to get a deal. Another meeting could take place next on December 27th.
OBSERVATION - Delay tactic. Iran has no interest in anything short of complete removal of any sanctions.
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Iraq - YELLOW trending down *last updated 121021*

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HEADS UP - Today’s and tomorrow’s posts will be the last regular ones for at least a week. I’ll be getting a new knee and hospital time/ initial recovery will inhibit my work. I’ll still be monitoring and hope to have a crystal ball view of 2022 sometime between Christmas and New Years. BTW - don’t bemoan by surgery during the holiday season, I’ve wanted to get it done while my deductables are met and I consider this kinda as a present as i”ve been waiting over 10 years for these operations.
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Wuhan virus -

Australia reported record high new COVID-19 cases on Saturday for a third day, with outbreaks growing in the two most populous states, however Prime Minister Scott Morrison continued to downplay the risks as the country eases pandemic curbs.
OBSERVATION - Obviously, the institution of wuhan ‘quarantine ‘ camps haven’t worked, and other harsh crackdown measures either have they.

The Omicron variant is “spreading at lightning speed” in Europe and will likely become dominant in France by the start of next year, French Prime Minister Jean Castex has warned. Nearly all European countries are instituting more restrictive measures to counter it. However, the severity of the variant continues to be mild with only one death still officially attributed to it.

At the epicenter of the omicron discovery, South Africa reported a much lower rate of hospital admissions amid signs that the wave of infections may be peaking, according to Bloomberg. Only 1.7% of identified COVID cases were admitted to the hospital in the second week of infections in the fourth wave, according to local data.
That’s compared with 19% in the same week of the third delta-driven wave, South African Health Minister Joe Phaahla said at a press conference.
This is all evidence that the strain may be milder, and that infections may already be peaking in the country’s most populous province, Gauteng.

World Health Organization European Advisory Group of Experts in Immunization former Vice President Professor Christian Perronne said that all vaccinated people must quarantine over the winter months or risk serious illness. Perronne was the Chairman of the Specialized Committee on Communicable Diseases of the High Council of Public Health.
RELATED - Israeli doctor Kobi Haviv told Channel 13 News: “95% of seriously ill patients are vaccinated. Fully vaccinated people account for 85-90% of hospitalizations. We are opening more and more COVID branches. The effectiveness of vaccines is declining or disappearing.”
OBSERVATION - Vaccine provides no defense against wuhan?

SPORT VACCINE IMPACTS - Numerous professional sports have forced their players to be ‘fully vaccinated’ and as such have created a kind of control group open for citizens to evaluate the effectiveness of vaccines. Soccer players in Europe have been suffering an abnormally number of heart issues following the jab. In the US, basketball teams ‘fully’ vaccinated are postponing games because of infections. Things are not much better in the NFL with postponements of Raiders-Browns, Washington-Eagles, Seahawks-Rams games due to COVID-19 infections. The Browns placed more than 20 players on the reserve/COVID-19 list throughout this week, including 11 starters.
OBSERVATION - Pro sports teams were one of the first to jump on the mandated jab bandwagon. This makes the ineffectiveness of these ‘vaccines’ very visual where other break through situations can get buried in other news (if reported at all).
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Globalism / Great Reset -

Fauci on Friday said the ongoing national surge in COVID infections could result in “more restrictive” measures being implemented.
During an interview on CNBC, Fauci said numbers are showing surges of both the delta and omicron variants.
“If the counts keep going up and the test positivity keeps going up, we may need to be more restrictive,” Fauci, the White House’s top medical adviser, told “Squawk Box.” “But for right now, people who are vaccinated and boosted should feel reasonably comfortable. The risk was never zero.”
OBSERVATION - The documentation is out there - vaccines are ineffective. But the threat of more ‘restrictive’ measures is ominous considering this is an election year and these measures generated a lot of questionable election law ‘changes’. Omicron hasn’t been the killer they hoped for so the fear factor is cranked up, ignoring the actual impacts.

MANDATE WAR - The Boeing Co. has suspended its own mandate for all employees to receive COVID-19 vaccines, citing a federal court’s decision to stop enforcement of President Joe Biden’s mandate requiring federal contractors to have a fully vaccinated workforce.
The 6th U.S. Court of Appeals in Cincinnati has reinstated the Biden administration’s vaccine and testing requirement for private businesses that covers about 80 million American workers. The ruling lifted a November injunction that had blocked the rule from the Occupational Safety and Health Administration, which applies to businesses with at least 100 workers.
OBSERVATION - There has been a surge in companies pulling out of the biden/OSHA mandates. Not sure if this ruling will reverse the
trend, but things may stay on hold until the USSC decides on it.

IEA’s Coal 2021 report says global power generation from coal soared 9% in 2021 to an all-time high of 10,350 terawatt-hours. The rebound comes amid a rash of green policies and stupid political choices, such as decommissioning oil and gas-fired power plants and fossil fuel exploitation projects, ironically resulting in an energy crisis worldwide.
OBSERVATION - this is a set back to globalists as the stark reality that ‘green’ power cannot replace conventional power from fossil fuels. IMHO we’d be better off investing in newer, safer nuclear rather than solar/wind.
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Economy -

The DOW wasn’t too happy with the Fed outlook Friday, dropping over 500 points.

Food is still in danger for 2022. According to the USDA, 53% of the winter wheat crop is affected by drought conditions. Meanwhile, the cost of fertilizer is skyrocketing, with a 131% increase in the cost of anhydrous ammonia, 110% increase in the cost of urea, and 120% increase in the cost of potash. Some farmers report paying three times as much for nitrogen. Higher fertilizer costs are pushing some farmers away from fertilizer-intensive crops, such as wheat, and into crops like soybeans. Other farmers say they will simply cut back on fertilizer use for spring planting, which is likely to drive down yields. Lower wheat yields will also mean increased demand for cereal grains like corn, which will likely result in higher prices all around. Additionally, Chinese officials have not yet reversed an export ban on phosphate and other fertilizer components. Those restrictions aren’t expected to expire until June 2022. Increased farming costs, shifts in spring planting, and drought conditions for winter wheat will keep upward pressure on food prices next year.(FO).
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Invasion of Illegals -

Texas Republican Gov. Greg Abbott announced on Friday that the construction of the state’s border wall has begun. The first wall panels have gone up in Starr County in the RGV. State land, state money. This particular contractor was building Trump’s wall until Biden cancelled them. Texas is also having to procure its own fencing to same standards Trump’s wall were made because biden will not release/sell the stacks of it sitting getting rusty following his shutdown of the project.
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Biden watch -

More false memories. Biden issued a series of false remarks when speaking on a college campus Friday; claiming he helped desegregate restaurants and movie theaters during the Civil Rights Era.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

Official results certified by King County Elections on Friday show Seattle City Councilmember Kshama Sawant defeated an effort to recall her from office by 310 votes.
OBSERVATION - Open communist BLM Antifa supporting councilwoman. You get what you vote for Seattle.

Wealth liberals in the Bay Area are continuing to panic because crime is still spreading into their little bubbles of existence.
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CYBER/CANCEL CULTURE FRONT -

Conservatives have been establishing alternatives in the cybersphere and other outlets to put their message out following censorship from the major social media sites. Rumble, Gab, Mewe, etc have grown now to start challenging the left. Latest shock has come when Rep Nunes announced that he would retire in January to serve as the new CEO of Trump’s Truth Social company. The left cannot conceive losing control of their narrative and the conservative move to bypass the left has started some heads to explode.

Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas revealed Tuesday that he is working with the social media giants to combat “misinformation,” Brad Stone, senior executive editor for Bloomberg News, asked Mayorkas if he considered “misinformation” a “part of your mandate at DHS, and how much resources are you devoting to fighting misinformation such as election falsehoods or Covid disinformation?”
Mayorkas responded: “I think that’s very much within, uh, our domain, uh, misinformation, uh, pointedly, disinformation have very serious and significant ramifications for homeland security. The integrity of our election system, the security of our election system is a prime example of that. And so, um, our office of Strategy, Policy, and Plans under Rob Silver’s leadership, CISA [Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency] under Jen Easterly’s leadership, uh, John Cohen leading, uh, the office of intelligence and analysis, uh, in an acting capacity, Samantha Winograd, a senior counselor to the Secretary and our Acting Assistant Secretary for Counterterrorism, these are individuals very much involved in their respective workforces, very much involved in addressing misinformation, disinformation, and the threats that they pose to the homeland.”
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Domestic Terror -

No school shootings following the Tic tok ‘challenge’ yesterday. Here in the Redoubt some schools had threats but nothing significant.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

U.S. F-15s deployed in Campia Turzii, Romania to operate side by side with their hosts and the Italian Eurofighter detachment at Mihail Kogalniceanu Air Base from December 18-22.
OBSERVATION - This places them capable to fly northward to support any NATO operation in Ukraine if necessary.

The Department of Defense is slowly releasing numbers on troop separations for vaccine refusal. Across all branches, around 8,000 service members are facing separation with the majority coming from the Navy and Army. No service is reporting a successful religious exemption filing to date.
OBSERVATION - Denial of religious exemptions is a continuation of the military’s purge of conservative / red state members of the armed forces.
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China -

See SWIFT under Russia below

This week China carried out joint military exercises in the contested South China Sea in waters to the east and south of Hainan Island and in the Gulf of Tonkin. Simultaneously with the naval exercises, the PLA conducted airborne assault operations with paratroopers and drones on an island off the coast of China near the Taiwan Straits.
OBSERVATION - An indicator of progress towards an anticipated invasion are exercises. Scale and complexity of these exercises normally increase as they put the pieces together. An invasion operation of the scale necessary to capture Taiwan is intensely complex and China has very little experience coordinating all the pieces (navy, air, army) necessary to pull it off. Any screw up in that coordination can cause things to collapse. This is why many are thinking China is trying to gain surrender without having to do the military option.
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India/China -

The U.S. Defense Department is newly concerned about China’s further military buildup near the demarcation line across its Himalayan border with India, a senior defense official told Foreign Policy, after Beijing deployed long-range strategic bombers to the area last month in another apparent warning to New Delhi. Current tensions find their root when armed Indian troops with bulldozers successfully forced a halt in the construction of a road near the Chinese-Indian-Bhutanese border at Doklam in 2017, a situation that embarrassed Chinese officials.
OBSERVATION - China has increased buildup in the region to include many military bases, civilian ‘villages’ and other infrastructure.
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Russia -

INCREASED WARNING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat.
I’ve scrapped up some of the Russian order of battle being deployed.

North to south - NOTE ; Tweaked the association and units with more recent information.
20th CAA (Northern Ukraine border)
- 144th Motorize Rifle Division (MRR)
- 3d MRR
- 106th Airborne division
41st CAA - Located on the eastern border of Belarus
- 1st Guard Tank Army are massing at Pogonovo, near Voronezh adjacent northeastern Ukraine; (SUSPECTED)
8th CAA (Opposite current Dombass conflict zone)
- Dombass ‘separatists’ An approximately division sized element that the 8th CAA provides command and control for the separatists/Russian forces in the disputed area.
- 150th MRD (consisting of two rifle regiments and two tanks regiments)
22d CAA (Crimea)
- 7th Airborne Division
- 810th Marine Infantry Brigade (Crimea)
- 3rd Air Assault Regiment (Crimea, airborne)

Russia proposes NATO not to deploy additional military and weapons outside the countries in which they were in May 1997. This Russian draft would mean leaving Baltics, Poland and the rest of the Eastern members to defend themselves alone from further Russian aggression.
OBSERVATION - This component of the Russian “proposal” will not go far. These countries clamored (as their right as independent countries) to join NATO and did. Absent NATO presence, Russia would be free to subvert these govts and if they want, military threaten them as they currently are with Ukraine.

RUMINT - More Russian military units have been sent to the border area in recent days, sources tell CNN. US and Ukrainian officials have also seen evidence that Russia has begun diverting commercial air and rail systems to support the military effort.
OBSERVATION - Trying to track these new units. Conversion of air/rail systems for military use is more concerning in the long run. This initially consists of setting up vehicles/equipment unloading facilities in forward areas to sustain combat.

Russia and China have agreed to create an alternative to the U.S.-backed Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT) system. SWIFT is the global messaging system that financial institutions use to clear payments. Proposed U.S. and European Union sanctions against Russia and Belarus would remove their access to the SWIFT system, and China remains vulnerable to removal from SWIFT, as well. Both Russia and China have been developing their own alternatives to the SWIFT system, in order to undermine U.S. financial dominance.
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Iraq -

With the cessation of US military operations in Iraq, Pro-Iranian militias in Iraq have increased their attacks against US forces. The nature of these attacks are not specific but appear to be against logistical convoys and drone/rocket attacks outside Baghdad.
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Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan -

Afghanistan continues to be a sore point for biden and more damage has come out. The Wall Street Journal reported last night that State now estimates that number of Afghan allies abandoned to be 62,000 . This figure does not include family members of those interpreters and other workers who supported US efforts in Afghanistan. The true number of people at risk of reprisals from the now-ruling Taliban (or others) may well go into six figures. And that also doesn’t include the 13,000 Americans — citizens and legal permanent residents — that remain stuck behind Taliban lines months after Biden’s bug-out.

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Turkey -

Yesterday, the Turkish Lyra crashed - big time. The Central Bank of Turkey intervened in the foreign exchange market. Turkey’s BIST100 index fell 5%. The Turkish stock market hit a circuit breaker. YTD the currency has lost more than half of its value. The fall of the Lyra raises concerns of the collapse of Turkey’s economy and hyperinflation.
OBSERVATION - I”ve noted in the past Turkish economic woes that have increasingly put brakes on Turkish goal to become the next caliphate. This will increase internal unrest and likely result in initial new crackdowns on political opponents in the short term and growing anti govt protests in the longer term.
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HEADS UP - Today’s post will be the last regular ones for at least a week. I’ll be getting a new knee and hospital time/ initial recovery will inhibit my work. I’ll still be monitoring and hope to have a crystal ball view of 2022 sometime between Christmas and New Years. BTW - don’t bemoan by surgery during the holiday season, I’ve wanted to get it done while my deductables are met and I consider this kinda as a present as i”ve been waiting over 10 years for these operations.
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Wuhan virus -

A study by scientists at the University of Hong Kong found that the Omicron variant of COVID infects and multiples 70 times faster than the Delta variant. But it replicated more than 10 times less efficiently in human lung tissue than the original COVID, which suggests lower severity of disease.
WORTH NOTING STILL - Since it was detected, there has been no increase in severe cases or deaths (only one identified dear associated with it so far), and most people who’ve caught it had mild or no symptoms.

Following the 6th Circuit court reinstating OSHA wuhan requirements, it announced that it could start issuing citations to companies as soon as Jan. 10 for failure to comply with a nationwide mandate that they either vaccinate or test regularly for COVID-19. The 6th’s decision is being appealed to the USSC.

Bloomberg report shows how the Center for Disease Control and Prevention massively overcounted the number of single-dose Covid jab recipients, causing both the unvaccinated and fully-vaccinated to be undercounted. CDC data show 240 million people with at least one shot, or about 72.5% of the population. But the agency says only 203 million are fully vaccinated, or 61.3%, an 11-percentage-point difference that is far larger than in other developed countries. State and local officials say it’s improbable that 37 million Americans got one shot without completing their inoculations. Instead, they say, the government has regularly and incorrectly counted booster shots and second doses as first doses.
OBSERVATION - An observation is that these fudged numbers were used to mislead Americans into thinking there are fewer unvaccinated than there really are, driving efforts to increase pressure for people to get jabbed.

President Joe Biden reportedly plans to make a major speech on Tuesday, which will include an announcement of new COVID-19 measures to address the “new phase of the pandemic” but also “a stark warning” to unvaccinated Americans.
The president’s speech is slated to be “on the status of the country’s fight against COVID-19, as the country sees rising cases amid the growing Omicron variant.”
OBSERVATION - Not sure if there other shoe will drop with his “stark warning”. Fauci made a similar warning. But it would follow the current trend of increasing vilification and punishment of the unvaxxed.

Texas has joined Oklahoma in rejecting mandatory jabs for national guard members.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

On January 5th, 2022, the New York Senate and Assembly will vote on a bill that would, if passed into law, grant permissions to remove and detain cases, contacts, carriers, or anyone suspected of presenting a “significant threat to public health” and remove them from public life on an indefinite basis.
The bill gives the Governor of New York, his or her delegates – including but not limited to the commissioner and heads of local health departments – the right to remove and detain any individuals or groups of people through issuing a single order. The orders only have to include the individual’s name(s) or “reasonably specific descriptions of the individuals or groups.”
The department can decide to hold a person or group of people in a medical facility or any other they deem appropriate. The language is purposefully vague.
Though the bill attempts to state that no one shall be held for more than 60 days, the language allows for court orders to waive this maximum detention time. After 60 days, the court is allowed an additional 90 days to consider the detention of an individual, a cycle that can last indefinitely per the opinion of the department.
It goes on to state that the Bill will “require an individual who has been exposed to or infected by a contagious disease to complete an appropriate, prescribed course of treatment, preventive medication or vaccination,” essentially giving the government the right to detain anyone they want and forcibly vaccinate them.

OBSERVATION - Essentially wuhan concentration camps going further than Australian camps. NOTE that wuhan is not specifically mentioned but just any ‘significant threat to public health” Since gun violence has been called such a threat, it is conceivable that this forcible detention could expand to gun rights individuals and groups.

Ireland’s Deputy Prime Minister (Tánaiste) Leo Varadkar has warned of a “long war” with the coronavirus, during which the government may allow only “periods of freedom” for the people.
Thousands of people have demonstrated against coronavirus rules in several major German cities, including Hamburg and Düsseldorf. Citizens have become increasingly displeased with virus-related regulations. Those who are against vaccinations are also up in arms over the possible introduction of compulsory vaccinations in the upcoming year.
Protest also occurred recently outside of Trudeau’s residence over impending lockdowns and restrictions.
OBSERVATION - Europe is inclined to maintain strict measures and are migrating to ever increasing forcefulness of jab mandated actions.

Green energy is the mantra for the great resetters. Kalifornia a couple years ago mandated that all new homes constructed include solar panels. Now that it is mandated, the state is preparing tax the wazoo out of the sheeples. California Public Utilities Commission is looking to add a $8 per month for every kW of generating equipment you have installed on the roof. In addition, the new plan will reduce the amount the power company pays you for your excess energy from about 25 cents per kilowatt hour (still less than what the power company charges you for a kilowatt hour of power) down to about 6 cents per kWh.
PERSONAL INSIGHT - When I was in Kalifornia, I had a 5.25 KW Solar system on a leased basis. The goal was to stabilize my average electrical bill at $145/mo or less. In reality my average bill dropped to the $120 range and maintained at a stable rate. Now this ‘fee’ would add $50/mo to my electrical bill (if I were still trapped there). This is on top of reduced power buy back that helped to keep my purchased power rates low. Now one can see this as an extension of the Global Reset to force people into their plans by increasing costs beyond what people can afford. BTW, there appears to be a ‘grandfather clause’ that would protect me but as Darth Vader said, ‘pray I don’t change the conditions further”.
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Economy -

Dark clouds on the horizon as many economists look at the potential for three Fed rate increases in 2022 and the chance that it will cause the economy to crash.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

The U.S. military must start making preparations for another “insurrection” after the 2024 election, according to a trio of retired military generals. Not limited to active duty, these generals also cast a warning towards former military saying “1 in 10 of those charged in January 6 attacks had a service record”
An op-ed published by the Washington Post on Friday called for action amid growing concern among former senior officials about the “potential for lethal chaos inside our military” in a flash of violence that could eclipse the Capitol riot on Jan. 6.
OBSERVATION - This is essentially a call for continued and even more drastic ideological purge of the military that was started shortly after Jan 6. There is little doubt that those targeted are essentially red state service men/women that form the backbone of the military. This op-ed further points out to the contamination of the general staff of the military with leftist/communist aligned ‘leaders’
Their purge includes former military as well - not a good tactic.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

USS Truman CSG is operating in the eastern Atlantic Ocean just west of the Straits of Gibraltar.
OBSERVATION - Stated deployment to exercise in the Atlantic with NATO allies. This does place it only several days from a potential Ukraine response as well.

RUMINT of US M1 tanks being transported north out of Greece and into Bulgaria. Consider this info questionable as there is no verification of the observations this is based on .
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China -

China’s Evergrande meltdown is spilling into other sectors of the economy. Now the steel sector is feeling the pinch due to the sudden cessation of the construction. Cement production, another construction material, was down around 16% for September-November year-on-year, and was lower versus the same period between 2017 and 2019. “Property construction has been the engine of China’s economy for over two decades now,” said Frederic Neumann, Co-Head of Asian Economics Research at HSBC.
“With building activity likely to remain depressed for quite some time, growth will inevitably shift down a gear or two.”
OBSERVATION - A few years back the first of the Chinese empty cities stories hit, now many of these cites are being torn down due to poor quality of construction. Property speculators like Everganade are into this projects big time. Now no new construction - no economic growth in related sectors.
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Russia -

INCREASED WARNING - OSINT and other analysts are noting the continued build up of military assets that go far beyond those necessary for a military ‘exercise’. Putin has seriously deployed for combat.
I’ve scrapped up some of the Russian order of battle being deployed.

North to south - NOTE ; Tweaked the association and units with more recent information.
20th CAA (Northern Ukraine border)
- 144th Motorize Rifle Division (MRR)
- 3d MRR
- 106th Airborne division
41st CAA - Located on the eastern border of Belarus
- 1st Guard Tank Army are massing at Pogonovo, near Voronezh adjacent northeastern Ukraine; (SUSPECTED)
8th CAA (Opposite current Dombass conflict zone)
- Dombass ‘separatists’ An approximately division sized element that the 8th CAA provides command and control for the separatists/Russian forces in the disputed area.
- 150th MRD (consisting of two rifle regiments and two tanks regiments)
22d CAA (Crimea)
- 7th Airborne Division
- 810th Marine Infantry Brigade (Crimea)
- 3rd Air Assault Regiment (Crimea, airborne)

Russian Tu-22M3 bombers patrolled border of Belarus with Ukraine, Poland and Lithuania. This is a force projection not only against Ukraine, but NATO members Moscow wants to become essentially removed from NATO. The restrictions on former soviet states demanded by Russia essentially want to remove them from any meaningful NATO participation and essentially default any action to Putin. This further indicates that Russia will use Belarus as another front in any conflict with Ukraine.

RUMINT - Russian forces have been fitting separatist fighters with GPS trackers and sending them to probe Ukrainian positions bore starting shelling when they are killed, it has been claimed.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has not yet ‘’made a decision’’ on whether he will invade Ukraine, but is giving ‘’serious consideration’’ to doing so, according to the latest U.S. intelligence assessment, national security adviser Jake Sullivan told an audience at the Council on Foreign Relations, The Hill reports.
‘’I have high confidence in our capacity to see what has been a significant Russian military buildup in the vicinity of Ukraine and in Ukraine itself, in Crimea and other places,’’ Sullivan said.
OBSERVATION - I have serious concerns about the ability of US intelligence to ‘see’ what Russia is up to. Having been a cog in that process in the beforetimes , I think politics and globalist goals are driving the ‘interpretation’ of intel. After all , intel did so well predicting actions in regards to Afghanistan withdrawal.
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Iran -

Iranian economic woes continues, with 50 Iranian deputies signing a petition calling for the dismissal of the Minister of Economy due to the deterioration of the currency.
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Iraq -

Two rockets were reportedly fired at the Green Zone in Bagdad and intercepted by ada assets.
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