Threat Matrix 2021

Threat Matrix is a thread where global and domestic threats and trends to America are noted and commented on. Goal it to peel back the BS and get to the root of things.

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Wuhan virus -

Slovakia’s government is actively considering a potential full lockdown to stem the rise of fresh Covid-19 infections, similar to the one introduced in neighboring Austria, Prime Minister Eduard Heger’s office said on Monday.
Heger said that his office is “intensively” mulling a three-week lockdown, which has been proposed by the Health Ministry. He added that expert opinion would be key to making any decision in the coming days.
Slovakia has already banned unvaccinated people from bars and pubs and ordered restaurants to suspend all in-house meal services as part of a set of measures agreed last week. About 45% of Slovakia’s population are vaccinated, one of the lowest rates in Europe.

The authorities in Kenya have announced that from the 21st of December everyone who is not vaccinated will be barred from using public transport and accessing government buildings. The announcement was made by Health Minister, Mutahi Kagwe.
Vaccination rates in Kenya are currently less than 10% of the population. Official data suggests that the country has administered 6.4 million jabs out of a total of 10.7 million doses it has received. Infection rates however remain relatively low. An average of 59 infections are reported every day.

The emergency department in Long Beach, operated by Mount Sinai South Nassau, is closing temporarily due to nursing staff shortages related to the state vaccine mandate, the hospital announced. “The New York State Department of Health’s mandate is putting our residents at risk,” Assemblywoman Melissa Miller wrote on Facebook. “They should be working with Mount Sinai South Nassau on a solution that does not involve the closure of a desperately needed emergency facility.”
The shutdown is a direct result of the hospital’s compliance with the state Department of Health’s mandate issued that requires the suspension of all staff working under temporary religious exemptions who could not show proof of receiving the first dose of COVID-19 vaccination or a valid medical exemption.

NOTE -This is one of many hospitals shooting themselves in the foot from the mandate. A hospital here in the Redoubt fired staff and lost 25% of its capacity - with no means of recovering it.

Scientists are puzzled at the lack of a wuhan disaster in parts of Africa. When the coronavirus first emerged last year, health officials feared the pandemic would sweep across Africa, killing millions. Although it’s still unclear what COVID-19’s ultimate toll will be, that catastrophic scenario has yet to materialize in Zimbabwe or much of the continent.

Scientists emphasize that obtaining accurate COVID-19 data, particularly in African countries with patchy surveillance, is extremely difficult, and warn that declining coronavirus trends could easily be reversed.
But there is something “mysterious” going on in Africa that is puzzling scientists, said Wafaa El-Sadr, chair of global health at Columbia University. “Africa doesn’t have the vaccines and the resources to fight COVID-19 that they have in Europe and the U.S., but somehow they seem to be doing better,” she said.
Fewer than 6% of people in Africa are vaccinated. For months, the WHO has described Africa as “one of the least affected regions in the world” in its weekly pandemic reports.

OBSERVATION - One thing missing from this report is that these areas use a lot of Ivermectin to combat parasites and other things.
this is backed up by a study the National Library of Medicine published research comparing COVID-19 mortality and infection rates in countries that had participated in the African Program for Onchocerciasis Control and those that had not. According to the study, APOC countries took part in an “intensive Ivermectin mass campaign carried out to control onchocerciasis,” a parasitic tropical disease. And the findings proved interesting: APOC nations had a 28 percent lower COVID-19 mortality rate and an 8 percent lower rate of infection than their non-APOC counterparts.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

Yesterday, rumors were flying that Australia is literally rounding up “positive tests and close contacts of covid cases,” loading them into army trucks, and shipping them to quarantine camps against their will. I had some concerns about the veracity of the report based on the news source. Today Michael Yon weighed in reporting the same, a very valid source. tyrannical actions for a disease with a 99.7% survival rate. The Australian army has begun forcibly removing residents in the Northern Territories to the Howard Springs quarantine camp located in Darwin, after nine new Covid-19 cases were identified in the community of Binjari. The move comes after hard lockdowns were instituted in the communities of both Binjari and nearby Rockhole on Saturday night.

People who oppose Covid-19 vaccine mandates are “anti-vaxxers,” pure and simple, Australian Northern Territory Chief Minister Michael Gunner said during a heated press conference, noting more positive cases in his state were “expected.”
Gunner made it more than clear during a press conference in which he was asked if his hardline stance on vaccine mandates might have turned some away from getting the jab that anyone who wasn’t 100% for the state’s increasingly draconian vaccination mandates was a true “anti-vaxxer.” Even if they themselves had been vaccinated, he argued, Australians were either with the virus or with the mandates.

OBSERVATIONS - Australia is the cutting edge so to speak in regards to wuhan totalitarianism and can be look upon as the test ground by globalists to enforce not only wuhan dictatorship, but other global emergencies like ‘climate change’. Australian leadership is dividing the population along very black and white standards. Such population division is present in varying degrees over wuhan around the world. It is one means of giving totalitarian govts leverage to continue their plans.

See Powell’s denomination to the Fed and progressive demands the Fed fight climate change.
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Economy -

Biden decided to renominate Jerome Powell for a second term as chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, a seeming vote of tremendous confidence. However, with evidence of inflation taking a firmer grip on the economy and it getting worse in the months ahead, Powell is bound to face continued questions — if not outright criticism — for his role in contributing to this rising inflation in the United States. Some are seeing biden picking a fight with congressional progressives who wanted a chairman more to their liking.
The hard-progressive site Common Dreams had reported that two other Senate Democrats had sent out a clarion call for opposition to a second Powell term:
On Friday, Sens. Jeff Merkley (D-Ore.) and Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) issued a joint statement announcing that they would oppose the renomination of Jerome Powell—a Trump appointee—for a second term as Fed chair.
““Powell refuses to recognize climate change as an urgent and systemic economic threat,” the senators said. “During his tenure, Chair Powell first ignored climate change and then resisted calls for the Fed to use its tools to fight it, arguing that climate change ‘is really an issue that is assigned to lots of other government agencies, not so much the Fed.’””

Biden in his announcement started to address this spit - “We have to make sure sure our financial system can withstand climate change.” His statement on Fed climate change efforts were vague, with most of his talk regarding inflation.

OBSERVATION - Instead of inflation, the Fed to fight climate changes. That is the globalist mantra .

Biden said Tuesday that the administration will tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as part of a global effort from energy-consuming nations to calm 2021′s rapid rise in fuel prices.
The coordinated release between the U.S., India, China, Japan, Republic of Korea and the United Kingdom is the first such move of its kind. In total, the U.S. will release 50 million barrels from the SPR. Of the total 32 million barrels will be an exchange over the next several months, while 18 million barrels will be an acceleration of a previously authorized sale.

OBSERVATION - Historically, releases from the Strategic Reserve have done very little to reduce prices. Even during one of his muddled meanderings last week biden noted such a release would only reduce prices by not much more than 18 cents/gallon. This is also a very dangerous move, with potential wars with China and Russia on the radar. If US production was at Trump levels, we would still be able to restock the reserve rather than take out.

Black Friday and holiday shopping loom big on the radar and markets will be quick to assess success/failure of saies targets and revenues .
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Invasion of Illegals -

Reports of another surge/wave developing of illegals headed to the border.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

Darrell Brooks has been identified as a BLM supporter due to investigation by Andy Ngo, famed boil on Antifa’s butt. Waukesha police said yesterday suspect was fleeing domestic disturbance - not terrorism - wan was avoiding commentary on any of the links to Brook’s pro violent BLM support.
Black Lives Matter activist Vaun Mayes suggested the Waukesha Christmas parade attack on Sunday might be linked to retaliation for the Kyle Rittenhouse case verdict. Her comments followed a visit to the site.

OBSERVATION - I suggested yesterday that this was a ‘lone wolf’ attack. Further, the Waukesha police chief lead the force to kneel down in 2020 to BLM activists. Now appears he is trying to divert the incident to some ambiguous ‘domestic disturbance”. That assertion sadly under states the deliberative nature of forcing past barricades and deliberately targeting dozens of parade marchers over about an 8 block course.

Massive, organized looting has hit the San Fran bay area suburbs for three days straight. The Hayward Mall was one of the more recent victims (Beside Walnut Grove and Union Square), video captured criminals with hammers and other weapons used to break the glass at Sam’s Jewelers. The Macy’s and Footlocker were also ransacked. The same day in San Jose, police say a group of people entered the Lululemon store in Santana row and took merchandise.

OBSERVATION - Mass criminal actions by mostly black / hispanic mobs are expected to increase - especially in affluent suburb communities. In these cased, these suburbs are also deeply blue. Kalifornia has thrown gas on the fires of looting/shoplifting by essentially decriminalizing them. If the props are further kicked out from under the economy, such mob actions should be expected to spread very quickly across the country.
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Domestic Terror -

Increased concerns for potential terror acts as the Holiday season approaches and govt agencies are too busy fighting global warming or chasing down school moms criticizing school boards.

The Waukesha disaster is causing LEOs across the nation to reassess security for similar events this holiday period.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

Some observers are noticing increased U.S. Air Mobility Command (RCH) activity over Europe - activity more than doubled in recent days. Last peak was during the Afghanistan evacuation debacle. Some RUMINT is US flying material and advisors to Ukraine.

The Air Force Rapid Dragon Program, an experimentation campaign led by the Air Force Strategic Development Planning and Experimentation (SDPE) office, moved a step closer to making palletized munitions a reality. Earlier this month, the US Air Force completed another successful flight demonstration at White Sands Missile Range in New Mexico. The test demonstrated the development of a production long-range cruise missile separation test vehicle, or STV – a cruise missile without an engine and warhead – from an MC-130J Commando II aircraft. At least four missiles can be carried per C130.
NOTE - Basically, kick a cruise missile out the back of a C130 and let her rip. This would increase the number of air platforms available for these strikes.
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Cyber Warfare -

U.S. businesses and government organizations are being warned to take extra precautions against hackers at Thanksgiving given “recent history” showing the holiday is when disruptions are most likely to occur.
An advisory from the FBI and U.S. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency urged organizations to identify key IT security employees who can be on call in the event of a ransomware attack.
“Although neither CISA nor the FBI currently have identified any specific threats, recent 2021 trends show malicious cyber actors launching serious and impactful ransomware attacks during holidays and weekends, including Independence Day and Mother’s Day weekends,” the advisory stated.
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Russia -

The Russian stock exchange falls rapidly at the open. The RTS index is below 1600 points for the first time since July, the Mosbirzha index is below 3800 points for the first time since August. The market is responding to concerns of a potential Russian military operation in the Ukraine in the near future.
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Ukraine -

War of words continue as the Kremlin accuses Ukraine in preparations for military operation in Eastern Ukraine, and denies plans the the Kremlin to attack Ukraine.

The U.S. is weighing sending military advisers and new equipment including weaponry to Ukraine per U.S. officials to CNN. The package could include new Javelin anti-tank/anti-armor missiles, mortars and stinger missiles. See also increased U.S. Air Mobility Command (RCH) activity over Europe above under Strategic Activity / Deployments.

See Belarus comments

OVERALL OBSERVATION - A winter offensive would be enhanced against Europe / NATO thru the shut off of natural gas coming from Russia - creating a significant crisis right when those supplies would be the most essential.

If Russia and NATO go at it, here is a summary of capabilities from those at Forward Observer -

“Russians have about 300,000 troops staged across their southern and western fronts. Limited but powerful troop concentrations in Moldova, Kaliningrad, and Belarus give the Russian military unique options which can be difficult to observe or predict. NATO members have around 150,000 troops from nearly a dozen nations scattered across their eastern flank. NATO’s Enhanced Forward Presence model keeps multinational formations ready to respond to crises and train smaller member states in combined-joint doctrine. The U.S. has approximately 5,000 troops in the Baltics and Poland, meaning military action in the region would quickly involve U.S. forces. “

“The most dangerous course of action is an invasion of Poland or Ukraine. Russia maintains a numerical and capability advantage over Ukraine. By the time Ukrainian forces mobilize, Russia will likely seize and hold up to the Dnieper River. Simultaneous military action against Poland could immediately involve US & UK troops already in the region. Military provocation against Poland would incite Common Defense (Article 5) provision of the NATO Charter. Energy supplies to Europe would cease almost immediately. Global supply chains would face catastrophic disruption as flagged commercial vessels become likely maritime targets.”

“The most likely course of action remains a stand-off between a Neo-Soviet Union State and the rest of Europe. The Russians have a limited window of opportunity to force NATO action or goad Ukraine into a fight. Ukrainian forces remain emplaced along contested borders, and fighting has increased over the past two weeks. The border forces are now carrying live ammunition in anticipation of migrant surges or Russian infiltration efforts. The situation remains eerily similar to the migrant waves in 2014 and 2015, prompting extra scrutiny from Ukraine and its growing bench of Western allies. I maintain that this is a test of Western resolve and an attempt to induce diplomatic fatigue so the Union State formalization will receive minimal pushback from the EU or NATO.””

ADDITIONAL NOTE - When Russia attacked into Ukraine in the Dombas region setting up the current stalemate, their forces were surprised by the resistance and resilience of Ukraine forces to limit the attack. I doubt the Russians will make the same mistake twice.
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Belarus -

The President of the Czech Republic suggested to send troops to help on the Polish-Belarusian border

Polish Border Guards: Yesterday, i.e. 22.11, there have been 174 attempts to cross Belarus-Poland border illegally. Border Guards officers issued decisions to leave the territory of the Republic of Poland against 66 foreigners. In the section protected by the Border Guard Post in Białowieża, 50 aggressive foreigners tried to cross the border. These numbers are down from previous days.

We are concerned that the migrant crisis has diverted attention away from Russia’s military buildup in Ukraine and have urged our partners to keep a close eye on the region, US Ambassador to Belarus said at kennan institute.

OBSERVAITIONS - Crossing attempts have gone down and the situation is slowly deescalating.
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Wuhan virus -

An indoor mask mandate has been reinstated in Santa Cruz County, California, after a surge in winter coronavirus cases has led to increased hospitalizations.
The county health department is requiring that people wear face coverings in indoor settings, including in private homes.
OBSERVATION - Mandated in your OWN HOME, watch the snitches come out as that is the only way they will be able to monitor compliance.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

India plans to introduce, evaluate and enforce a bill to prohibit “all private cryptocurrencies” in the country, according to a legislative agenda for the winter session. The Indian government said Tuesday evening that the proposed law will permit “certain exceptions” to promote the underlying technology of cryptocurrency and its applications. The bill — called Cryptocurrency & Regulation of Official Digital Currency Bill 2021 — will also create a “facilitative framework” for the creation of the official digital currency for the country, the legislative agenda adds.
OBSERVATION - nationalized digital (crypto) currency is just one step away from a global system.

New York City may soon permit hundreds of thousands of noncitizens to vote in municipal elections, while Mayor Bill de Blasio and his successor, Eric Adams, feel differently about the prospect.
The bill aims to amend the city’s charter by including a new chapter with provisions for allowing green card holders and those with work authorization to register to vote and take part in citywide elections through the creation of a separate municipal voter registration. Adams supported the concept when he was campaigning for mayor earlier this year.
OBSERVATION - Another step to strip away the concept of citizenship rights and give it to who ever. No more borders.

Leftists seek to destroy Thanksgiving - a uniquely American holiday - just like they’ve tried to eliminate Columbus from history . Globalists only want people to be thankful for the piddlings they hand out, and no thanks to an Almighty God.

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Economy -

Oil prices rose above $82 a barrel on Tuesday morning after the Biden administration announced the U.S. and other nations would release tens of millions of barrels of oil from reserves in a ploy to lower prices. The jump in prices is largely due to OPEC’s response to the release by ‘reevaluating” their plans to increase production in the short term.
The government will not move barrels into the market until mid- to late-December. And not all of the oil will hit the market: Biden said 32 million barrels will eventually be returned to the SPR, with the other 18 million authorized for sale by Congress.

NOTE - 50 Million barrels is less than 3 days of US consumption. Like I said, such releases have have little to no effect. In this case, just the opposite happened - increased prices. ‘But only 18 Million barrels will actually affect the market.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, newly appointed for a second four-year term as chief of the central bank, said on Nov. 22 that he would use the Fed’s arsenal to prevent inflation from becoming a more permanent feature of American life.
OBSERVATION - Powell is responsible in many ways for creating the current near hyper inflation conditions.

Uncontrolled retail theft is hitting corporations earnings and stock prices. Best Buy for instance too a big hit when their earnings report noted the loss of profit due to theft.
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Invasion of Illegals -

Texas is ramping up Operation Lone Star, an effort to stem illegals from entering the state. He is mobilizing 10,000 officers and National Guard and erecting barriers at key crossing points. The operation utilizes air, ground, and marine tactical border security units. The operation started in March 2021 and the current expansion is due to thee reports of migrant caravans making their way north from southern Mexico.

In less than a year in office, biden administrations created the worst border situation ever.
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Biden watch -

PRES. BIDEN: “My effort to combat climate change is not raising the price of gas...what it’s doing, it’s increasing the availability of jobs.”

Biden does not understand why people are finding rising gasoline prices such a struggle, when the obvious solution is to buy a $112,595 electric Hummer pickup.

When asked by a reporter Tuesday, White House press secretary Jen Psaki said President Joe Biden would not be apologizing for characterizing Kyle Rittenhouse as a “white supremacist.”
NOTE - He didn’t take the law into his own hands, he was running for his life.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

Another court case overshadowed by the Rittenhouse trial is that of three White men on trial for the fatal shooting of 25-year-old Ahmaud Arbery, an unarmed Black man. Jury deliberations started yesterday. As prosecutors and defense lawyers delivered their closing statements, dozens of members of BLM 757, Lion of Judah Armed Forces and the New Black Panther Party marched outside the Glynn County Courthouse. “Ya’ll are in serious trouble because the wrath of karma is coming on America,” said a man who identified himself as the supreme commander of the New Black Panther militia. “We’re not taking it no more.”

OBSERVATION - If found not guilty, I fully expect the BLM/Antifa forces to erupt because in this case, versus Rittehouse, a black was killed. I haven’t followed this case very closely to say what the tea leaves forecast for a verdict.
The active presence of the New Black Panthers is a disturbing note. /they are volitile and emphasize being heavily armed and training to use those arms. There were some reports that the NBP will or has already set up small strike teams for targeted killings and the sort.

Flash looting mobs are spreading, with a major hit on a high end mall in Los Angles.
It is not hard to forecast that this trend will rapidly spread to most if not all major urban and suburban areas of the country in the coming days and weeks. The ferals sense the weakness and inability/unwillingness of LEO response.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

The guided-missile destroyer USS Milius passed through the Taiwan Strait yesterday, per 7th Fleet officials. The contentious 100-mile-wide waterway is claimed by China but the U.S. considers it international waters. See China below for their response.

Noted earlier, the U.S. Army is reactivating its 56th Artillery Command, which had been deactivated in 1991. This command used to control the nuclear capable Pershing missiles of the cold war era. They will be commanding a whole new set of missiles to be deployed in the relatively near future. Currently the army has three new long-range missiles in development and all three are to be ready by 2023. The new missiles include the Precision Strike Missile, with a range of 500 kilometers, a Mid-Range Strike Missile with a range of 1,600 kilometers and a Long Range Hypersonic missile with a range of 2,700 kilometers. On an interim basis the Army plans to use the surface-to-surface version of the navy’s SM-6 anti-aircraft missile and Tomahawk cruise missiles to provide long range missiles quickly.

OBSERVATION - The US has been caught sleeping and is playing catch up in Europe. Russia will likely use this as justification for expanding its own similar ranged systems to threaten Europe as well.
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China -

Taiwan Ministry of Defense:4 PLA J-16 entered Taiwan’s southwest ADIZ on November 23, 2021

China military said that the transit of a US warship in the Taiwan Strait creates security risks and undermining regional stability, warns it will take all necessary steps to counter all threats and provocations, safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity
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Russia -

The Kremlin on Tuesday said new sanctions imposed by the United States in connection with the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline were illegal and wrong, especially at a time when Moscow and Washington are attempting to rebuild dialog.
Monday’s sanctions targeted Russia-linked Transadria Ltd. and its vessel. Washington opposes the $11 billion pipeline, which runs under the Baltic Sea to bypass Ukraine and carry gas from Russia’s Arctic region to Germany.
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Ukraine -

Russia’s most senior military general, Valery Gerasimov, held the call with US Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Milley, in which the two top generals talked about “pressing issues of international security”. The past days have witnessed heightening rhetoric and threats being exchanged between Moscow and Washington over tensions in Ukraine and Belarus, especially given recent reports from US media over a Russian force build-up and planned “invasion” of eastern Ukraine, reports which the Kremlin has vehemently denied.

The Kremlin has denied accusations by Ukrainian and U.S. intelligence officials that Russia is preparing an “imminent” invasion of Ukraine. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov dismissed the reports as a “deliberate smear campaign in the media” and said Russia’s recent military deployments near Ukraine were part of standard exercises.
“I can only say that in this case any movements by the Russian troops inside the country, and this relates solely to our territory, pose no threat to anyone and must be of no concern to anyone,” he told reporters.

OBSERVATIONS - I am not convinced of an imminent attack by Russia, but another exercise to test NATO mettle. However, the force build up in the region is at the point where Russia could easily execute a multi pronged attack into Ukraine, while blackmailing European NATO forces with natural gas shut offs (If the winter attack scenario plays out.
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Israel -

See overnight airstrikes on Homs Syria below
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Syria -

Syrian state media says at 01:26 Israel launched airstrikes from over Beirut targeting an area around Homs, causing the death of two civilians, injuring six soldiers, and material damage.
A Syrian air defense missile fired toward Israeli jets amid the strike in central Syria overnight, exploded off the coast of Haifa, Channel 12 reports.

NOTE - Part of now almost routine airstrikes on probable Hezebollah/Iranian munitions and factory facilities in Syria.
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Venezuela -

For the first time in 15 years, Venezuela’s ruling socialist government allowed election observers into the country. Those observers concluded the elections were, at best, a mixed bag. Not surprisingly the socialists won most races thanks largely to the ways in which Maduro’s regime has tilted the playing field. The tilt largely consisted of banning opposition candidates from running for office. It didn’t help that the opposition was severely divided in its efforts

OBSERVATION - Continued economic woes and Madura gets entrenched even deeper. Results will also probably ensue closer cooperation with Iran and bases for islamic terror in Central/South America.
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Belarus -

Polish Border Guards: yesterday in Mielnik, two violent attempts to cross the border took place. Groups of 40 aggressive foreigners attacked the Polish services by throwing stones, tree logs, and stun grenades.

OBSERVATION - Continued deescalation of the border stand off.
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By the President of the United States of America. a Proclamation.
Whereas it is the duty of all Nations to acknowledge the providence of Almighty God, to obey his will, to be grateful for his benefits, and humbly to implore his protection and favor—and whereas both Houses of Congress have by their joint Committee requested me “to recommend to the People of the United States a day of public thanksgiving and prayer to be observed by acknowledging with grateful hearts the many signal favors of Almighty God especially by affording them an opportunity peaceably to establish a form of government for their safety and happiness.”

Now therefore I do recommend and assign Thursday the 26th day of November next to be devoted by the People of these States to the service of that great and glorious Being, who is the beneficent Author of all the good that was, that is, or that will be—That we may then all unite in rendering unto him our sincere and humble thanks—for his kind care and protection of the People of this Country previous to their becoming a Nation—for the signal and manifold mercies, and the favorable interpositions of his Providence which we experienced in the course and conclusion of the late war—for the great degree of tranquillity, union, and plenty, which we have since enjoyed—for the peaceable and rational manner, in which we have been enabled to establish constitutions of government for our safety and happiness, and particularly the national One now lately instituted—for the civil and religious liberty with which we are blessed; and the means we have of acquiring and diffusing useful knowledge; and in general for all the great and various favors which he hath been pleased to confer upon us.

And also that we may then unite in most humbly offering our prayers and supplications to the great Lord and Ruler of Nations and beseech him to pardon our national and other transgressions—to enable us all, whether in public or private stations, to perform our several and relative duties properly and punctually—to render our national government a blessing to all the people, by constantly being a Government of wise, just, and constitutional laws, discreetly and faithfully executed and obeyed—to protect and guide all Sovereigns and Nations (especially such as have shewn kindness unto us) and to bless them with good government, peace, and concord—To promote the knowledge and practice of true religion and virtue, and the encrease of science among them and us—and generally to grant unto all Mankind such a degree of temporal prosperity as he alone knows to be best.

Given under my hand at the City of New-York the third day of October in the year of our Lord 1789.

Go: Washington
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Globalism / Great Reset -

Liberal news outlet Axios released an article on Tuesday suggesting that people should get tested for COVID in order to attend Thanksgiving with their families. Axios suggested having “bouncers” at the doors to block family members that don’t provide a negative test from attending the holiday.
OBSERVATION - Critical thrust of globalists and the implementation of their agenda - divide the family unit in half.

A leader of Germany’s Greens, set to be part of a new government, expressed support on Wednesday for mandatory vaccinations as the number of infections jumped again.
Katrin Goering-Eckardt, the parliamentary leader of the Greens, said continual lockdowns and restrictions on social contact were a bigger imposition than demanding vaccination.
Initially, mandatory vaccinations were needed in care facilities to protect particularly sensitive groups, she told Deutschlandfunk radio. Introducing compulsory vaccination would not mean that this would be enforced by police, she added.
The Free Democrats have so far opposed making vaccines compulsory.

OVERALL OBSERVATIONS - WUHAN being used to force people into jab compliance. Its been noted that this is a progressive methodology . People finally comply to wuhan demands, they are conditioned to comply to other demands.
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Economy -

The Commerce Department’s inflation measurement, or “Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index” (PCE), rose 5% in the 12 months through October, the most significant monthly jump since 1990. The most recent CPI shows prices rose 6.2% year-over-year, also a 31-year high.

Economists are now voicing a more discouraging message that higher prices will last well into next year, if not beyond.
“It’s a large blow against the transitory narrative,” said Jason Furman, the top economic adviser in the Obama administration. “Inflation is not slowing. It’s maintaining a red-hot pace ... They need to stop telling us that inflation is transitory, start becoming more worried about inflation, then act in a manner consistent with being worried.”
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Invasion of Illegals -

The Biden administration is planning to promptly reinstate the Trump-era “Remain in Mexico” policy that requires asylum seekers at the U.S. southern border to wait in Mexico until their cases are heard.
“As we have previously stated, we are required by court order to reimplement MPP,” a DHS spokesperson said in a statement to Fox News, referring to Migrant Protection Protocols.
“In compliance with the court order, we are working to reimplement MPP as promptly as possible. We cannot do so until we have the independent agreement from the government of Mexico to accept those we seek to enroll in MPP. We will communicate to the court and to the public the timing of reimplementation when we are prepared to do so,” the spokesperson added.
Established by the Trump administration in January 2019, the “Remain in Mexico” policy, or MPP, returned migrants to Mexico to await asylum hearings instead of keeping them in the United States.
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Biden watch -

Biden delisted the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), the Colombian rebel group, from the administration’s list of foreign terrorist organizations. Founded in 1964, FARC was behind attacks on towns, executions and the kidnappings of thousands of people in Colombia over the last few decades. The group was added to the terror list in 1997.

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CW2/Domestic violence -

All quiet in the aftermath of the Arbery decision. Mob was appeased. Biden fanned the flames and said the Arbery verdict is “not enough” as armed Black Panthers rallied outside the Georgia courthouse.

Continuing to expect more flash looting mobs. Stores are stocked to the max for the Christmas shopping season, making tempting targets.
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Domestic Terror -

Security efforts for events like the Macy’s parade have been increased in the aftermath of the recent Waukesha attack as well as international threats coming from islamists.
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

US Navy - USS Arleigh Burke (DDG 51) began its northbound transit to the BlackSea to operate with our
NATO Allies & partners in the region!
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China -

The US government added a dozen more Chinese firms to its export blacklist on Wednesday, the latest move from Washington to crack down on American business ties to China’s hi-tech defence sector.
“Global trade and commerce should support peace, prosperity and good-paying jobs, not national security risks,” US Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo said in a statement.
The additions to the Commerce Department’s blacklist, known officially as the entity list, include quantum computing companies, semiconductor firms and Chinese businesses that have contributed “to Pakistan’s unsafeguarded nuclear activities”.

US intentionally kept China and Russia off the list of invitees for the Biden administration-sponsored “Summit for Democracy” set to be held next month in virtual format. The first ever US-sponsored event of its kind has a goal of restoring democracy and promoting human rights across the globe, based on Biden’s foreign policy agenda, and the US has invited at total of 110 countries to participate.
China on Wednesday is seething, issuing a scathing statement, after it’s been revealed the White House has invited Taiwan instead of China to the world gathering which runs from Dec.9 through Dec.10.
A Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson told a press conference in Beijing that it’s “firmly opposed” to the “mistake” of the US inviting Taiwan, given Taiwan remains “inalienable part of Chinese territory,” according to the statement.
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Ukraine -

Canada is considering bolstering its military mission to Ukraine, amid a debate over whether additional NATO forces would deter Russian President Vladimir Putin from further aggression against his country’s neighbor. On November 24, The Globe and Mail reported that Canada is considering larger deployments to Ukraine, including deploying hundreds of additional troops to support the Canadian soldiers already in Ukraine on a training mission and redeploying some of the CF-18 fighter jets currently based in Romania.

Security alert - Ukraine
Location: Donetsk, Luhansk, Crimea, and Ukraine’s borders
Event: U.S. citizens are advised of concerning reports of unusual Russian military activity near Ukraine’s borders and in occupied Crimea. The Travel Advisory for Ukraine remains at Level 4 – Do Not Travel in Crimea due to abuses by Russian occupation authorities, in the eastern parts of the Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts due to armed conflict, and for all of Ukraine due to COVID-19. U.S. citizens are reminded the security conditions along the border may change with little or no notice. Please check our website and social media pages for additional information.

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Israel -

Morocco and Israel signed a defense memorandum of understanding (MoU) in Rabat on Wednesday, opening the way for possible military sales and cooperation after the countries upgraded diplomatic ties last year. Morocco was one of four Arab countries - along with the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Sudan - to normalize relations with Israel last year under U.S.-engineered Abraham Accords.
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Color Key
BLACK - An area worth noting, but not immediately impacting on US safety
BLUE - Incidents increasing and needing further monitoring
YELLOW - This is the moderate concern level. Definitely becoming a threat but in the longer term.
ORANGE - A definite threat in both short term and long term. Some active events occurring
RED - Active and ongoing. Examples of this would be 2020 rioting, etc.

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Wuhan virus - YELLOW, trending upward
Wuhan still around. Breaking news of a new mutation largely unaffected by the current crop of wuhan vaccines. However biggest threat are spinoffs.

CDC forecasts a new wave of wuhan hitting by the end of December.

Delta variant is old news. The World Health Organization is monitoring a new variant with numerous mutations to the spike protein, scheduling a special meeting Friday to discuss what it may mean for vaccines and treatments, officials said Thursday. British experts have sounded the alarm over a new Covid variant, identified as B.1.1.529, believed to have emerged in ‘Botswana’ that is the most mutated version of the virus yet, Daily Mail reported. Only 10 cases of the strain, which could eventually be named ‘Nu’, have been detected so far.
But it has already been spotted in three countries, suggesting the variant is more widespread. It carries 32 mutations, many of which suggest it is highly transmissible and vaccine-resistant, and has more alterations to its spike protein than any other variant, the report said. Scientists in South Africa are now working to determine what percentage of the new cases have been caused by the new variant.
Professor Francois Balloux, a geneticist at University College London, said it likely emerged in a lingering infection in an immunocompromised patient, possibly someone with undiagnosed AIDS, the report added.
UK Health Secretary Sajid Javid said there were concerns the new variant “may be more transmissible” than the dominant delta strain, and “the vaccines that we currently have may be less effective” against it. According to reports, the new B.1.1.529 variant has 32 mutations in the spike protein, the part of the virus that most vaccines use to prime the immune system against Covid. Mutations in the spike protein make it harder for immune cells to attack the pathogen, just as so many vaccine skeptics have been warning for the past year.

OBSERVATION - Discussion is that the nature of the mutations essentially renders current versions of the ‘vaccine’ useless. Not that the current vaccines have been very successful to begin with. Have to monitor to see if the reality is as bad as the current hype.

Portugal, which has one of the world’s highest rates of vaccination against COVID-19, announced it would reimpose restrictions to stop a surge in cases, ordering all passengers flying into the country to show a negative test certificate on arrival.
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Globalism / Great Reset - YELLOW trending upward
Powers that be still trying to get pieces together. First waves of impacts form layoffs due to mandates are making their presence known.

Effects from the mandates continue to multiply.
Nurses and officials at the Children’s hospital where all the kids injured in the horrific Waukesha car attack were taken have revealed that treatment is being hampered by a staff shortage brought on by the COVID vaccine mandate.
The sources say that the Children’s Wisconsin Milwaukee Hospital struggled to care for 18 children rushed there in the aftermath because there are no longer enough nurses or support staff available.
One nurse speaking anonymously told local media that “It was a nightmare,” adding “We just don’t have enough people and [supervisors] were frantically calling in everyone they could, but it wasn’t enough.”
“We are taking care of everyone the best we can, but it’s hard,” the nurse added.
A hospital official also noted that there are currently over 200 open positions at the site, and more than 450 across all of the institute’s campuses, primarily because people have been forced out of work by the vaccine mandate which came into effect on November 15.
The report notes that 70% of religious exemption requests were denied and some clinics have been forced to close.

- AND -

Staff at the the Mount Sinai South Nassau hospital in New York were given two options, get vaccinated, or be barred from working. Some chose the latter, causing a freestanding emergency room to cease operations.
The Mount Sinai South Nassau hospital’s freestanding emergency room in Long Beach has temporarily ceased operation after a New York state requirement that medical workers had to be vaccinated was not followed by all employees.
“The staffing shortage and closure of the LBED is a result of the Hospital’s compliance with the NYSDOH’s mandate ... requiring the suspension of all staff working under temporary religious exemptions who could not show proof today of receiving a first dose of COVID-19 vaccination or a valid medical exemption from receiving it.”

OBSERVATION - Shortages of medical staff were warned about - but ignored by the powers that be. Multiple ways the globalists can use this, but the most immediate threat is that there will be a greater demand for forced vaccinations of all people and that loss of medical services will create greater social chaos that can be exploited.

Vice President of the Lower Austrian Medical Association Gerrit Loibl has suggested that the government should levy a monthly fine of up to €100 to anyone unvaccinated.
OBSERVATION - Punish the unvaxxed - force compliance.

Roughly 10,000 of its 186,000-strong active duty force are positioned to miss the deadline the Department of the Navy set for all Marines and sailors to become fully vaccinated, according to the latest data, representing the highest proportion of any of the military services potentially to violate direct orders from the chain of command.
Even those who may have waited until the final weeks to begin the vaccination process will ultimately miss the deadline, which requires Marines to have completed the two-week vaccination process. The 38,000 Marine Corps reservists face a later deadline of Dec. 28.
OBSERVATION - US Military will soon be feeling the pinch of the loss of key personnel just like hospitals and other industries. Diminishing the US military is a must for globalists.

Europe’s first cold spell of the heating season has arrived, pressuring power prices higher as freezing temperatures ushers in increased power demand to heat building structures across the central-west region.
German day-ahead power prices jumped to the second-highest level ever, 273.89 euros per megawatt-hour. Day-ahead power prices are also higher in France and Netherlands.

OBSERVATION - And so it begins for a long, cold winter. Globalist desired ‘green sources’ incapable of filling the gap.

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Economy - ORANGE trending upward

Dow futures were sliding (as much as 800 points) on Thursday night when amid fears that a new coronavirus strain detected in South Africa, known as B.1.1529, reportedly carries an “extremely high number” of mutations and is “clearly very different” from previous incarnations, which may drive further waves of disease by evading the body’s defenses.
Earlier overnight, the 10-year Treasury yield is down 11.2 basis points and West Texas Intermediate crude prices are down 6.62%.
European markets were down, too on the news.
OBSERVATION - Spinoff of wuhan chaos. Shows how delicate the economy’s state is.
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Invasion of Illegals - ORANGE trending upward
Illegals continue to push across the border with record numbers of intercepts

More evidence that almost none of the 82,000 Afghans who are now in the United States after being airlifted out of Kabul in August were vetted. This revelation comes from a memo that Senate Republicans drafted in October, in which, according to a Wednesday report in the Washington Examiner, “senior officials across the departments of Homeland Security, Defense, State, and Justice described a disastrous screening and vetting process.”
OBSERVATION - Now they are running across the US countryside virtually unmonitored. This was not by accident, but by design.

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Biden watch - ORANGE trending upward
Mental facilities being questioned by leftist media and even 0bama’s doctor.

Biden re-appointing Powell as Fed chief is being viewed by some as an expression of panic in the WH due to skyrocketing inflation and falling off the cliff approval numbers in response. Powell is more inclined to reverse easy money and by doing so, decrease some inflationary pressures .
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CW2/Domestic violence - YELLOW trending neutral
No violence from major trial results this week. However, violent groups like the New Black Panthers have announced they are ready to create “hit’ squads if trials don’t go their way.

Law enforcement across the country is on alert for flash ‘smash and grab’ crime sprees triggered by those in Kalifornia this week.
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POLITICAL FRONT - BLUE trending upward

A leaked memo from the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) reveals plans by the Biden administration to make changes to Americans’ First Amendment rights and other religious liberty protections. The internal memo describes plans to “sign delegation of authority on the Religious Freedom Restoration Act (RFRA) and religion clause of the First Amendment” to the Office for Civil Rights (OCR).
“The action will likely be well-received among civil rights advocates and litigators, as well as groups advocating for the separation of church and state,” the memo reads.
“Groups who share the prior Administration’s broad view of the application of RFRA or who will interpret this action as an indication that the Department is abdicating its responsibility for compliance with RFRA will likely issue strong negative reactions,” it continues. “This includes members of Congress who have been outspoken about OCR’s conscience and religious freedom activities and who have repeatedly asked questions about changes to OCR’s organizational structure and legal authorities.”
The memo recommends HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra sign the action as soon a possible.

OBSERVATION - This will make it less likely that religious freedoms will be protected and violations more likely to be ignored. Can be placed also under Globalism because of its goal of diminishing the influence of Christianity.
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China - ORANGE trending neutral to upward

A US congressional delegation has gone through with a trip to Taiwan, brushing off a demand from China to cancel the visit amid rising geopolitical tensions over the self-governing island.
Five US House of Representatives members arrived in Taiwan on Thursday for meetings with government officials, after celebrating America’s Thanksgiving holiday with US troops in South Korea. The visit, which marked the second trip to Taiwan this month by members of Congress, was billed as an effort to discuss economic and security issues while reaffirming the “US commitment” to the Taiwanese.
Representative Elissa Slotkin (D-Michigan) said that when news of the latest trip broke on Wednesday, her office received a “blunt message” from the Chinese Embassy calling for her to cancel the meetings in Taipei.
“We strongly urge the congresswoman immediately cancel the planned visit to Taiwan and not to support and embolden separatist forces of Taiwan independence, lest it cause huge damage to the China-US relations and the peace and stability of Taiwan Straits,” the embassy told Slotkin.
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Russia - YELLOW and rising
Ukraine situation potentially worsening.

See Ukraine discussion below
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Ukraine - YELLOW and rising
Potential coup causing rising concerns

Russia has denied any involvement after Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Friday that an attempted coup d’etat is being planned in his country to take place next week.
Zelenskyy told reporters that Ukraine had uncovered a plot for an attempted coup and that Ukrainians and Russians were involved, The Washington Post reported. While he also spoke of a threat of military escalation from Russia, he fell short of accusing the Kremlin of an involvement in the planned coup, according to Reuters.
“We have challenges not only from the Russian Federation and possible escalation – we have big internal challenges. I received information that a coup d’etat will take place in our country on Dec. 1-2,” Zelenskyy said, adding that his country was prepared for any escalation, Reuters reported.
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, denied Russia’s involvement in any coup against Ukraine.

OBSERVATION - A December coup falls into the winter timeline being spoken about lately for a Russian invasion. It could be used as an excuse to ‘protect Russian citizens’ in the same manner Russia used to to justify the invasions of Crimea and the Dombas regions.
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Israel - ORANGE trending neutral to upward
Ongoing threat from Hezebollah and Iran continues.

See Iran below for US threat of military actions that will result in Israeli involvement as well
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Iran - ORANGE and increasing

General Kenneth McKenzie told TIME magazine in comments published Wednesday that the Iranians are “very close this time” to a nuclear weapon. “Our president said they’re not going to have a nuclear weapon,” McKenzie said. “The diplomats are in the lead on this, but Central Command always has a variety of plans that we could execute, if directed.”
“I think they like the idea of being able to break out,” he said.
This was the first time a U.S. official has clearly implicated that a military intervention was on the cards.
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Belarus - YELLOW trending neutral to down
Migrant ‘crisis’ still a severe concerns in EU, but recent events appear that Belarus is potentially deescalating the situation.

Polish Border Guards: Yesterday, on November 26, 217 people tried to illegally cross the border between Poland and Belarus. BG officers issued decisions against 12 people to leave the territory of Poland. In the section protected by the Border Guard Post in Czeremcha, a group of almost 200 aggressive foreigners forcibly forced the border.

Two repatriation flights bringing more than 600 migrants back from Belarus landed in Erbil early Friday morning
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Black Swans - BLACK

Grímsvötn volcano in Iceland is under close observation due to the sudden lowering of its ice cap. In the past such lowering has created floods (jökulhlaups -glacier outburst floods) when melting raises the water level high enough to lift its ice dam) and that the loss of water mass (water and ice) has historically triggered eruptions in the past. According to Benedikt Gunnar Ófeigsson, deformation scientist at the IMO, there is every indication that the Grímsvötn volcano is ready to erupt.2
The last eruption of this volcano took place in 2011 — it was a large and powerful VEI 4 eruption. The average eruption frequency during the last 1 100 years is 1 eruption per 10 years.

OBSERVATION - These eruptions can essentially close down air traffic in UK as well as parts of Europe. Those disruptions will impact economy.. The 1783 eruption was devastating to Iceland, produced the world’s largest known historical lava flow and extensive crop damage and livestock losses creating a severe famine that resulted in the loss of one-fifth of the population of Iceland.

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Wuhan virus -

The next wuhan panic struck with the force of a hurricane yesterday. The new variant NOW named OMICRON (that which was formerly known an Mu and skipped over Xi) set off the globe to suddenly start chasing their tails. Epidemiologist warns Omicron could cause ‘pandemic 2.0’ and believes it’s already spread worldwide.

However, very little is know about this variant.

- Regarded as the most heavily mutated variant of the Coronavirus, thus far, as it has 32 mutations in the spike protein and 50 overall. More specifically, scientists have highlighted that there are 10 mutations vs 2 in the Delta variant regarding the receptor binding domain, which is the portion of the virus that makes initial contact with cells. Additionally, the virus contains mutations that have been seen in other variants and appear to make transmission easier.

- The Omicron variant was identified 5 days ago initially in Botswana with subsequent confirmation and sequencing in South Africa with about 100 confirmed cases. Cases have been detected in Israel and Hong Kong and as of this morning, in Belgium.

- The Botswana government released a letter stating that the new variant cases “were reported and recorded” on November 22. “The preliminary report revealed that all the four had been completely vaccinated for COVID-19.

- South African doctors and experts have found no evidence that the new B.1.1.529 COVID-19 variant causes severe illnesses, Health Minister Joe Phaahla stated during a press conference on Friday. “[At this stage], the scientists have found no evidence that this variant will create severe illnesses,” the health minister noted. He also emphasized that no scientific evidence regarding an increased aggressiveness of the B.1.1.529 variant had been reported so far. “Scientists have found no evidence that this variant is more transmissible,” Phaahla pointed out. The health minister mentioned that it was too early to say how the new COVID-19 variant would behave. “[The South African] government is aware that the announcement which was made by scientists has created panic and some uncertainty,” Phaahla said. “This reaction was unjustified.”

Some how, the jabbers are quick on the fix. As reported by CNBC, Pfizer and BioNTech said they are investigating omicron. They said that they believe their vaccine can be adapted quickly should it be needed to curb the spread. “We understand the concern of experts and have immediately initiated investigations on variant B.1.1.529,” the companies said.
They also estimated their mRNA vaccine, administered via a series of two shots, could be adapted within six weeks and shipped within a little over three months.
Not to be outdone, Moderna, which like Pfizer has produced an mRNA vaccine administered through two doses, said it will test three booster candidates against omicron.
Meanwhile, Johnson & Johnson said it’s already testing its single-dose vax against omicron.
And within 72 hours of the announcement of the existence of Omicron,– Novavax Inc said on Friday it had started working on a version of its COVID-19 vaccine to target the variant detected in South Africa and would have the shot ready for testing and manufacturing in the next few weeks. The company’s COVID-19 shot contains an actual version of the virus’ spike protein that cannot cause disease but can trigger the immune system. The vaccine developer said it had started developing a spike protein specifically based on the known genetic sequence of the variant, B.1.1.529. Novavax’s vaccine received its first emergency use approval earlier this month in Indonesia followed by the Philippines. (Reuters)

Convulsive knee jerking hit across the world.
New York state - The governor of New York on Friday declared a state of emergency as COVID transmission reached rates not seen since April 2020. Included in the order is the cessation of optional surgical procedures in hospitals identified as being understaffed to handle increased wuhan patients.

The US restricted entry to travelers from eight southern African countries over concerns about a new COVID-19 variant found in South Africa The restrictions will be effective Monday and apply to South Africa, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Namibia, Lesotho, Eswatini, Mozambique and Malawi. Fauci initially said it was too early to institute bans, but saw the light two hours later and concurred with the new restrictions. Other countries have initiated similar travel restrictions.

Global stock markets hit the skids with the DOW dropping over 900 points. See Economy below

OBSERVATIONS ABOUT OMICRON - Globalists will take advantage of Omicron just as they took advantage of Covid-19 in the beginning, and just as they tried to do with Delta. They need a new poster child to force more vaccinations and subjugate more under increasingly tyrannical measures. And speaking about vax, amazing the quick response of big pharma to the new threat.
Expect greatly conflicting claims about the transmissivity and lethality of this variant. Expect shrill calls for more jabs - even mandating forcibly vaccination.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

The Great Reset agenda requires compliance and obedience. Nothing in the modern era has been able to push the American people to be more docile and dependent than this pandemic. Omicron is just the next tool for them to use

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Economy -

The Biden administration on Friday recommended an overhaul of the nation’s oil and gas leasing program to focus on areas that are most suitable for energy development and raise costs for energy companies to drill on public lands and water.
The long-awaited report by the Interior Department stops short of recommending an end to oil and gas leasing on public lands, as many environmental groups have urged. But officials said the report would move toward a more responsible leasing process that provides a better to return to U.S. taxpayers for oil and gas drilling on the nation’s vast public lands and waters.

OBSERVATION - biden made a big to-do over releasing oil reserves to dampen the price of oil Now this policy will act to increase it. Those wonderful “better returns” in increased leasing fees will be passed on to the consumers in the form of higher prices.

Friday when wuhan new its the markets took it in the shorts. It was Russell 2000’s worst day since June 2020. The Dow had the worst day since October 2020. S&P and Nasdaq both suffered its biggest daily loss since September 2021.
Brent Crude oil prices dropped more than 10% - doing more to lower prices than biden’s initiatives.

BLACK FRIDAY - initial reports are that crowds were relatively subdued and small. This doesn’t bode well for fixed store retailers. More definitive data should be coming out soon.
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China -

Things are not as peaceful in China as they ‘seem’. President Xi Jinping hanged the rules of China’s Communist Party to allow him to serve as general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party for life, instead of being limited to two five-year terms, it was easy to conclude that he had all the power and that he could operate unopposed. However, there are powerful elements in the CCP that aren’t too pleased with Xi and the current transjectory of policies. Economic conditions have made many party leaders very wealthy and they see Xi’s crackdown on wealth threat to continuing their prosperity. Analysts studying the tea leaves see that even theChinese media, usually anxious to curry favor, are letting the Chinese public know there is conflict among the rulers.

Via Business Insider Ships in Chinese waters have vanished from tracking systems the maritime industry uses, a development that could worsen the global supply chain crisis.
The Automatic Identification System (AIS) — which relies on ships to send data to stations along the coastline or via satellites — has witnessed a plunge in the signals it receives in recent weeks.
Data from market intelligence and valuations provider VesselsValue show the number of signals in Chinese waters plunging 85% in under a month — from more than 100,000 a day on October 28 to over 15,000 a day on November 17.

OBSERVATION - The simple fact that this makes ships harder to track.. We’ve already seen Iran use this to ship petroleum products to nations like Venezuela. It also poses a serious national security threat as many countries have developed weapon systems that sit in containers that can be activated for surface to surface attacks. An untraceable ship(s) could launch a surprise attack. Such a tactic fits into China’s war doctrines nicely.

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Ukraine -

White House: “National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan spoke today with Head of Presidential Administration Andriy Yermak of Ukraine about recent eventsThey agreed that all sides should pursue diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions”
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Belarus -

Border incidents with Poland continue but at a lower tempo. More repatriation flights taking islamic migrants out of Belarus and back to respective middle eastern countries.
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Black Swans -

Experts are warning that the United States is vulnerable to a Nuclear electromagnetic pulse (EMP) attack from adversaries such as China and North Korea, which could render the nation helpless and shut down basic components such as military communications, water delivery systems, food, and transport. A scenario made relatively famous by the book “One Second After” suggests the US could revert to near chaos with nearly 90% population deaths over the course of one year.

Former President Donald Trump issued an executive order on March 26 2019 to harden America’s critical infrastructure against EMP attacks. However, under biden, the Department of Energy (DOE) and Department of Homeland Security (DHS) have done nothing very little in the way of protecting the national electric grid or other critical infrastructures of which 330 million Americans are dependent upon.

The effects of a Nuke EMP on modern electronics has been widely debated for years now. Only a little data is available from the open air nuclear test age to evaluate. However, if a military opponent thinks they could try it and get away with it, it could render the US easy pickings without nuclear contamination that a nuclear war would bring.

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Wuhan virus -

wuhan Omicron madness continues with all kinds of info flying out there. A widely-shared quote from a South African doctor, saying Omicron causes only mild symptoms, was reportedly taken out of context. She was referring to a small group of young, healthy people and warned of severe disease in other groups.
Multiple countries have issued travel restrictions and bans. However, some think that such measures are not only ineffective but too late in this case.

OBSERVATION - As the hype and craziness evolves, I expect the globalist / big pharma cabal to use this to increase demands for universal vaccination - with no exemptions and increasing penalties against the non-vaxxers. Its gonna take days for things to sort out and for the powers that be to come up with the new narrative.

The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) on Friday authorized boosters of the Moderna and Pfizer COVID-19 vaccines for all Americans 18 or older.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

Omicron building hysteria opportunity for the screws to be tightened even more.
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Economy -

Market continued response to the new Omicron pending new trade day on Monday. Could be a rough ride for at least another day.
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Invasion of Illegals -

Apparently the UN is handing out free debit cards to aspiring US border crossers. The IOM workers with the United Nations said a migrant family of four gets about $800 a month.
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Biden watch -

biden’s poll numbers continue to fall in a tailspin. Now at lowest of his presidency

Displaying a keen sense of the economy, biden recently said “My effort to combat climate change is not raising the price of gas or increasing its availability.”
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CW2/Domestic violence -

Flash looting continues with one death of a TV news crew security guard .
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POLITICAL FRONT -

Federal agencies paid out at least $548 million to informants working for the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the Drug Enforcement Agency (DEA), and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF), in recent years, according to government audits.
* A few informants became millionaires, with some Amtrak and “parcel” delivery workers making nearly $1 million or more.
* Many informants were authorized to commit “crimes” with the permission of their federal handlers. In a four-year period, there were 22,800 crime authorizations (2011-2014).
* The FBI paid approximately $294 million (FY2012-2018), the DEA paid at least $237 million (FY2011-2015), and ATF paid approximately $17.2 million total (FY2012-2015) to informants.
OBSERVATION - A corrupt government increasing corruption.
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China -

China carried out ‘Combat Readiness Patrol’ as US Lawmakers vIsited Taipei .

Taiwan Ministry of Defense:27 PLA aircraft entered the southwest ADZ on Sunday.

Chinese lenders, the Export-Import Bank of China, also known as Exim Bank, has taken over the Ugandan Entebbe International Airport and other assets in the country over the failure of the Ugandan government to repay a loan. According to the Daily Monitor, the Ugandan government waived international immunity in the agreement it signed to secure the loans, exposing Entebbe International Airport to take over without international protection.
OBSERVATION - Progressive seizure of assets from loans to countries is at the heart of most of the loans China has been making to third world nations, knowing full well that they won’t be able to repay them. Corrupt govt and corrupt officials are very prone to get their cut from such china deals only making matters worse.
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Russia -

According to PRAVDA, all nuclear submarines of the Pacific Fleet of the Russian Navy in a state of combat readiness left their places of deployment and went on alert duty. Satellite images of the naval base in Vilyuchinsk, Kamchatka, confirm that Russian nuclear submarines have left the base over the course of several days. The latest photographic evidence received from the Sentinel-2 spacecraft was made on November 23, 2021. Neither the Russian Defense Ministry nor the Russian Navy have released any official comments on the details of such a massive maneuver conducted by Russian nuclear submarines at sea.

OBSERVATION - This is concerning and even though Pravda is the source of the report, those monitoring OSINT satellite photography back this interpretation up. Could be an exercise or a pre-attack operation deployment. Monitoring

Russian President Vladimir Putin announced the mass production of the Zircon hypersonic nuclear missile ahead of an expected offensive into Ukraine early next year, The Sun reported.

See Poland below for response to Russian threats against the west.
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Ukraine -

Conditions still tense as Ukraine makes preparations against a strongly suspected Russian attack within the next few months. Russia ‘separatists’ blocking inspections by UN peace keeper/observers on an increasing basis.
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Middle East / N. Africa General -

Plans to amend 30 articles of the Jordanian constitution, which include expanding the powers of the king, have drawn criticism from members of parliament and a former deputy prime minister.
The proposed changes would establish a new National Security Council with wide-ranging political and security powers. The new council is to be headed by the king and includes the prime minister, the head of the army, the directors of the security services, the foreign and interior ministers, and two other members that the king will appoint.
The concern is that this will create a new body that will parallel the executive and legislative branches of government.

OBSERVATION - This appears to be an effort by the king to strengthen his powers in the face of increasing islamic radicalism.

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Iran -

Iran’s Foreign Minister, Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, made clear once again that his country wants the lifting of all sanctions in a verifiable process, Reuters reports.
OBSERVATION - This a repeat of its demand to enter into a new nuclear agreement. history has shown that Iran will cheat and lie on its part and the US under biden is trending to eventually comply with its demands.
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Poland -

Poland has urged NATO to send reinforcements east over concerns about Russia’s military buildup near Ukraine, which is expected to be the focus of high-level alliance talks in Latvia next week that will include U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken. President Andrzej Duda said Thursday at NATO headquarters in Brussels that a beefed up military presence along NATO’s eastern flank is needed given concerns over Russian’s intentions in the region. “This cautiousness and vigilance from NATO, which is responsible for the military security of the allies, is necessary,”

OBSERVATION - This is the ‘tripwire’ principle of deterrance. However Russia sees more NATO forces as one of the ‘red lines’ he’s been warning about.

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Belarus -

See Poland above
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Wuhan virus -

The World Health Organization (WHO) said on Monday that Omicron is likely to spread internationally and poses a very high risk of infection surges that could have “severe consequences” in some places. “The overall global risk ...is assessed as very high.” However, no Omicron-linked deaths had yet been reported and many of those infected have been ‘fully vaccinated’.
It is already suspected that this new wuhan mutant has spread far from the South Africa region.

In the face of this new global ‘emergency’, U.S. health officials have not imposed any new screening or tracing requirements in response to the newly discovered Omicron COVID-19 variant. Fauci says it will take a couple of weeks to understand this new variant. IMHO, tracing would be essential, but then again, maybe not.

President Biden is scheduled to provide an update on his administration’s response to the new COVID-19 omicron variant on Monday, according to the White House, after Dr. Anthony Fauci said it will take roughly two weeks to gather more information on the new strain. Biden met with Fauci and members of the White House COVID-19 Response Team on Sunday, two days after the World Health Organization (WHO) held an emergency meeting to discuss the new COVID-19 strain, which it labeled a variant of concern.

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Globalism / Great Reset -

A married couple who fled a quarantine hotel for suspected Omicron strain carriers in the Netherlands have been removed from a flight by the Dutch military police just as their plane was about to take off. The dramatic incident unfolded at Amsterdam’s Schiphol Airport on board a flight that was set to depart for Spain at around 6pm on Sunday, the Netherlands armed forces confirmed in a statement. The identities of the detained couple were not released, and it is unclear whether they were infected or just being held in quarantine as a precaution. The military turned them over to health officials to be sent to another quarantine facility. “We will control whether they keep to those rules,” Dutch Health Minister Hugo de Jonge declared on Sunday, just hours before the escape attempt.

OBSERVATION - Forces are growing on the mandatory quarantine front for population control. Australia just openly admitted using military to round up people to put in their camps.

As the hoopla about Omicron flows into this week, it is suspicious that it would come to the front after the scare mongering for Thanksgiving is past and something new is needed to dampen the Christmas season. Coincidence? I think not.

Samsung, one of the world’s top producers of electronic devices, now has what is often referred to as a “vaccine pass.”
Through the company’s partnership with The Commons Project and CommonHealth, a digital vaccine card was created that can be displayed from a user’s cell phone.
OBSERVATION - Smart phones have been considered one of the key methods of tracking vaccination status. This is in part due to the tracking capability and difficulty to counterfeit the material.

OVERALL OBSERVATIONS - There is much to be suspect in the overarching hype about Omicron; timing of the announcement, near instantaneous knee jerk response globally and the intensity of the hype. This plays into the globalist plan to maintain the stress and pressure on the population, wearing their will and resolve and conditioning them for their eventual salvation.
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Economy -

Black Friday numbers are in and though they exceeded 2020, they have fallen short of desired levels. Traffic at retail stores on Black Friday dropped 28.3% compared with 2019 levels, according to preliminary data from Sensormatic Solutions. Online, retailers rang up $8.9 billion in sales on Black Friday, down from the record of about $9 billion spent on the Friday after Thanksgiving a year earlier, according to data from Adobe Analytics. It marked the first time ever that growth reversed from the prior year, Adobe said. Adobe analyzes more than one trillion visits to U.S. retail sites, with over 100 million items in 18 different product categories.

OBSERVATION - Some are attributing the numbers to shoppers starting earlier rather than waiting until after thanksgiving. This year there was much buzz about shortages of items so consumers were further encouraged to shop earlier. Not sure if economists have looked at the change in pre black Friday sales this year vs previous years to confirm this assumption or not.

Some oil analysts are warning that biden’s release of strategic oil reservers will brutally backfire and cause prices to rise near $100 / barrel. Currently oil prices are regaining losses from Friday as a result of the Omicron virus scare.
Meanwhile the Biden-Harris administration issued a report Friday to increase the price of oil leasing fees on federal lands in the United States by 50 percent.
OBSERVATION - So what is biden wanting to do? Increase or decrease oil prices. I think these actions are deliberate - they what to push them higher.

Aluminum can manufactures are warning that a shortage of material may impact some sectors of the beer industry, specifically the craft beer industry. Because of the aluminum can shortage, major can suppliers have been forced to reduce their shipments to smaller-scale breweries, focusing on the canning needs for larger corporations such as Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, Anheuser-Busch, and Molson Coors. For smaller craft beer breweries to get cans, they have to order larger quantities - hard to do because of the expense. Craft beer isn’t the only Aluminum can consumer hit. Monster type energy drinks are facing similar supply shortages.

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Biden watch -

biden defied mask mandates in Nantucket over the weekend being photographed going around massless in stores where masks were mandated.
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China -

In the wake of the ongoing Evergrande crisis, China is struggling to stabilize the property markets by trying to restart construction projects put on hold due to lack of funds. Emphasis is being place on local governments to encourage and fund new construction via sales of local government special bonds. So are the efforts have been sluggish and the Evergrande property bubble remains looming large.

Defense Minister Peter Dutton has warned that all Australian major cities are within range of Chinese missiles and claims the conquest of Taiwan will be the first domino to fall in a campaign by Beijing to dominate the Indo-Pacific region.
In the most aggressive anti-China speech by an Australian minister in decades, Mr Dutton said on Friday the world could not repeat the mistakes of the 1930s when Western powers ignored the rapid militarisation of Japan and Germany.
IN RELATED - On Friday Australia’s Defense Minister Peter Dutton called out China for stationing a spy ship opposite of Australian military bases. Just prior to his remarks the Aussie government revealed this weekend that a Chinese spy ship was recently observed spying along the Australian coast line, where it stayed for three weeks.

OBSERVATION - China has repeatedly threatened Australia with nuclear attacks should it rally to support any action against Taiwan.
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Russia -

Russia now states that it will invade Ukraine if “provoked”. Additionally, it warns that further reinforcement of NATO assets in Ukraine would be interpreted as a threat to invade Russia.
OBSERVATION - Russia/Putin have been paranoid since the fall of the Soviet Union of NATO forces moving into former Soviet bloc countries like Ukraine and Poland and placing what they view as invasion forces on its door step. Some analysts look at Russia’s current aggressive moves are balanced against that fear. In the cases of Belarus and Ukraine, Russia has able to place a favorable essentially puppet government in the former, but failed in the latter. The removal of the pro-Russia Ukraine government was quickly followed by Russian seizure of Crimea and the ‘separatist’ war in eastern Ukraine. The overall Russian goal is a buffer from western forces. NATO deployment into Poland (NATO member) and Ukraine (NATO wanna be) is one of those red lines spoken of.

Erdogan officially announced that Turkey is ready to become a mediator between Russia and Ukraine. Interesting offer based on the love/hate relationship that has developed over the past few years between it and Russia.

The combat effectiveness of Russia’s MiG-31 interceptors will triple after repair and upgrade, representatives of the Sokol aircraft plant reported to the Deputy Defense Minister Aleksey Krivoruchko. “And the modernization, which is carried out with the complete replacement of onboard radio-electronic equipment with modern samples and provides for the use of modern aviation weapons, approximately triples the combat effectiveness of the aircraft,” he said.
OBSERVATION - These are old fourth generation fighters that have languished over the years. Given economic constraints, Russia believes it is more economical to retrofit these planes with new electronics than create new planes to replace them. Even with the upgrades, the MiG-31 platform has shortcomings. However, it would be good against regions/militaries of the world with lesser quality aircraft.
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Ukraine -

See Russia above and Belarus below
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Iran -

Iranian nuclear agreement conditions repeat full, unconditional removal of all sanctions against it.
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Syria -

Fighting continues in the Idlb region, with daily artillery/airstrikes against anti-syrian forces with reply by anti-syrian forces. I haven’t noted this lately because levels are at one could consider ‘normal’ These attacks haven’t changed land controlled but are a means of attrition used by both sides. Almost equivalent to a WW1 trench warfare scenario.
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Turkey -

See offer to mediate Russia/Ukraine standoff above.
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Central America General -

Leftist candidate for president of Honduras appears to be winning the national election.
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Poland -

See Russian and Belarus discussions.
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Belarus -

Belarus Defence Minister Khrenin has just announced that Minsk will hold a joint military exercise with Russia on the Belarus-Ukraine border
According to “Motolko Help” the entire Belarusian 6th Separate Guard Mechanized Brigade, will move to the Ukrainian border in full force with a full set of weapons as soon as today.

OBSERVATION - See Russia above discussions. Belarus serves as a very critical terrain for Russian forces. It provides access to the northern flank of Ukraine as well as directly to Poland and the Baltic Nations. It is an example of a“buffer” state Russia seeks to have on its western borders.
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Wuhan virus -

The White House Office of Management and Budget is reportedly telling federal agencies they can hold off suspending or firing federal workers for not complying with a vaccine mandate until after the holidays. It is uncertain that this period of ‘grace’ is due to recent federal court losses that currently have put a hold on mandates. The federal ‘mandates’ are shredding already, with choice labor unions being exempt while the administration is holding fast to hospital/medical mandates. Most recently, a federal judge on Monday blocked President Joe Biden’s administration from enforcing a coronavirus vaccine mandate on thousands of health care workers in 10 states that had brought the first legal challenge against the requirement.

Study confirms that naturally developed immunity is superior to the jab. A lot of medical-ise but just another crack in the dam of information the branch covidians are trying to maintain on real science.

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2108120

In spite of S African doctors saying the Omicron symptoms are mild here in the US the medical community continues to warn that is may be more severe than being reported. One observation that is coming out is that more than 25% of the people testing positive for Omicron were fully vaccinated and a similarly large portion were classified as “reinfections” in people who had already survived COVID and presumably had their own natural antibodies. That suggests that the mutations that are showing up are shifting so dramatically that they can “evade” the immunity developed by both vaccinations and natural immunity.
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Globalism / Great Reset -

Items pertinent to this topic are found in wuhan and economy news sections.
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Economy -

Fed Chair Powell says omicron variant poses risk to economy, complicates inflation.
OBSERVATION - Globalist narrative forming up already - even though the only complication will be due to deliberate actions to keep the economy messed up.

The can was kicked down the road, and now it roaring back. The debt ceiling has to be dealt with by December 15th or the house of cards fall down . Chuck Schumer and Mitch McConnell don’t appear to even be close to having any sort of deal in the works. IF (and that is a big IF) McConnell holds to his previous statement and doesn’t help the democrats out of the hole, then this year may end with a devastating government shut down.

Stockpiles of arabica coffee beans in warehouses have plunged as much as 10%. I reported that this was going to happen back in the March time frame when weather issues damaged much of the crops in Central and South America.

U.S. Natural gas futures dropped as much as 12% on new weather models that forecast above-average temperatures for the U.S.-Lower 48 through the first half of December. This is good news for consumers already pinched by inflation in other sectors.
OBSERVATION - Here in the Redoubt, we recently had temps in the 60s! Outrageously warm for the end of November. My fire wood stockpile has hardly been touched and I’m taking advantage of getting more stored as intermediate range forecasts indicate a return to more normal temperatures over the December - February time frame.
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Biden watch -

Yesterday, biden tried to mitigate the hysteria about Omicron - say that there is “no need to panic”
NOTE - He caveated it by saying he said he saw no need for a new lockdown “for now... if people are vaccinated and wear their masks”.
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CW2/Domestic violence -

BLM/Antifa elements still have their underwear in a bunch over the Rittenhouse verdict. Andy Ngo report that Antifa accounts in Portland & beyond are terrified over the Rittenhouse acquittal because they’re afraid others will shoot them dead during an attack & have a legal argument for self-defense. They’re urging comrades to get guns immediately so they can kill before being killed.
OBSERVATION - BLM/Antifa did have a number of participants carrying and USING firearms during the 2020 riots as noted in my posts of the period. I suspect that the social media posts are from the ‘cannon fodder’ elements of the leftists. They expect to show up and loot/burn without pushback and have come to a sudden realization that the game has changed. The hard core, and specifically selected BLM/Antifa are ARMED and have been receiving training. Other affiliated groups like New Black Panthers are very open about using fire arms in the future.

Philadelphia reached the figure of 501 homicides for the year on Friday, surpassing the annual homicide record of 500 set back in 1990. This follows the trend of many other blue urban areas that have bowed down to the defund the police movement.

Looters are now looting looters in San Francisco. The mayor’s response is to party with friends.

Good analysis from the folks at Forward Observer - -
“A Portland, Oregon-based revolutionary anarchist website earlier this month published a “street warfare” manual that applies military doctrine to anarchist direct action demonstrations. The manual lists three military objectives that can be applied to street-level fighting with police: neutralization of enemy personnel, area denial, and resource denial.
1 Neutralization of enemy personnel is flipped around as a defensive objective: to keep one’s own side from being arrested, killed, or wounded. The manual dissuades an “active shooting war” because the Far Left lacks the capability. Instead, the manual points out that wounding of law enforcement has been common in Portland, and suggests that this is a minor reason for law enforcement officers leaving the force. The manual points out that this is a strategic victory, and encourages anarchists to find ways to cause disloyalty or loss of morale among the police.
2 Area denial is used as a teaching point for defending anarchist territory from law enforcement incursion. The manual explains that holding territory should not be an anarchist objective, as forcing police into a retreat often leads to military involvement if police cannot retake an area. Typically, police have been able to push back anarchists in Portland, as the anarchists are ‘poorly armed, relatively few in number, and too disorganized’ to hold out against a deliberate police assault. According to the manual, it would then be better to use guerrilla tactics against an occupying force. One popular tactic in Portland has been misdirection, where an anarchist direct action will draw a large police presence in one area, while another contingent of anarchists will attack or loot in another area. As a teaching point, the “Whose streets? Our streets!” chant has been used to gauge a mob’s morale, as a louder response signals the mob is ready to take on police while a less enthusiastic response means the mob is not willing. Attempts to change this chant are discouraged.
3 Resource denial most often means stealing or ruining the supplies of an adversary, e.g., the police. The same principle that applies to armed guerrilla conflict — stealing resources most often means equipping your own guerrilla force — still applies to low-intensity street warfare, according to the manual. In addition to stealing resources, vandalizing and setting fires to buildings forces the police to waste resources — time and money — with virtually no monetary cost to the anarchists. The manual points out that militant anarchist bands are generally poor at operationalizing this third objective. Instead of attacking police by throwing bricks and glass bottles, the manual encourages anarchists to attack more strategic targets, as in one case, while police were distracted elsewhere, anarchists cut through a fence at a police parking lot and disabled police vehicles.
The manual calls for the development of a grand strategy, although the author(s) admits that there is no longer a strategic opening for anarchist revolution following the end of the 2020 Floyd riots. Ultimately, the end goal — abolishment of police — is at least for now a lost cause, according to the manual, because support for police has increased since last year. While the manual calls for continued low-intensity street warfare against police, there are other avenues the militant anarchist movement should pursue, such as ecological terrorism or fighting back against eviction and immigration enforcement.

This manual builds on the anarchist tactical successes of 2020, although the author(s) points out that strategically, little was gained for the anarchist cause. Despite their efforts, last year’s riots did not foment revolution, and we’ve observed a substantial drop-off in Far Left activity since early 2021. The manual implies that the revolutionary anarchist movement is waiting for another “strategic opening” to again foment a revolution, which could come around the 2024 presidential elections.”

OBSERVATION - Good info to keep in mind going forward.
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CYBER/CANCEL CULTURE FRONT -

Jack Dorsey has stepped down as CEO of twitter, only to be replaced by a much ore outspoken opponent of 1st amendment standards Parag Agrawa. In a November 2020 interview: “Our role is not to be bound by the First Amendment... focus[ing] less on thinking about free speech, but thinking about how the times have changed.”
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Strategic Activity / Deployments -

Biden is sending 1,000 Virginia and Kentucky National Guard troops to the horn of Africa, the services announced on Saturday. Units are deploying as part of “Task Force Red Dragon.” “to provide a security force in support of Combined Joint Task Force – Horn of Africa.”

The Pentagon completed its Global Posture Review with minor changes in troop disbursement. While the report itself is classified, the Pentagon released a few key details such as lifting the 25,000 “boots on ground” limits in Germany, and improving military construction and infrastructure in the Indo-Pacific region. The review recommends continuing multilateral Pacific exercises to improve partner nation interoperability, without explicitly naming China as the reason.
NOTE - It generally takes several years to fully implement recommendations made by the review.
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China -

A senior Space Force official today made it clear that Beijing’s weapons test earlier this year involved a fractional orbital bombardment system (FOBS) that deployed a hypersonic glide vehicle”
OBSERVATION - Is this was based on a reported ‘object’ that separated from the hypersonic glide vehicle. Not sure.

A US Navy P8A recently shadowed a Chinese missile sub that was passing thru the Tiawan straits.

China does not plan to invite Western politicians who threaten a diplomatic boycott to the Beijing Winter Olympics, Chinese state media said on Monday, after President Joe Biden and Britain’s Prime Minister Boris Johnson said their countries might limit an official presence at the Games.
OBSERVATION - This action will only fuel the boycott fire.

China’s decision to deploy a Y-20 aerial refueling aircraft alongside 18 fighter jets and five H-6 bombers during a weekend incursion into Taiwan’s air defense buffer zone is another effort to “normalize aggression” against the self-ruled island nation, China experts say. Beijing launched its latest incursion against Taipei on Sunday, sending 27 Chinese aircraft into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone — near the southern part of the island and out into the Pacific Ocean — before heading back to mainland China. The incursion spurred Taiwan’s air force to respond by deploying missile systems to track the planes.
In related, this 27 aircraft sortie was just part of about 150 aircraft over a period of four days, The Associated Press tallied by the close of Sunday.
OBSERVATION - I reported this incursion but didn’t note the presence of the Y-20 air refueled. These aircraft permit the attack jest to depart fully loaded with munitions and extend range and operational range.

Chinese officials are threatening economic and financial reprisals over a U.S. bill that would enable better U.S. competition with China. The U.S. Innovation and Competition Act has bipartisan support in the House and Senate, and would fund technology programs to reduce dependency on China and implement some “buy American” provisions. Although Chinese threats weren’t specific, they would likely focus on deliberate disruption to U.S. supply chains, especially critical components such as replacement parts, and increased tariffs, making items more expensive for U.S. consumers.
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Russia -

Putin: if strike systems appear in Ukraine with an approach to Moscow in a few minutes, Russia will be forced to create the same threats in response. Russia could respond to the possible appearance of strike systems threatening Moscow in Ukraine at this moment.
Russian FM Lavrov accused NATO of deploying a significant amount of military hardware near Russia’s borders and warns that it could respond to “security threats” from Western countries and Ukraine if necessary

OBSERVATION - Russia reiterating one of their red lines. Any movement of missile systems into Poland or Ukraine would trigger Russian action - even as far as war. Currently, the biggest stroke is focused on Ukraine and Russia will not tolerate NATO protection of the country because Russia wants to make it into another form of Belarus - a puppet govt and buffer against the west.

The United States is preparing to expel over two dozen more Russian diplomats by January, as part of ongoing tit-for-tat punitive efforts which previously saw the Russian government forbid its citizens from serving as local staff for the US Embassy in Russia, greatly reducing its ability to process visas and other actions in a timely manner. The Russian ambassador to the US Anatoly Antonov revealed over the weekend in an interview that “our diplomats are being expelled”.
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Ukraine -

See Russia above

UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss, who is at the Nato meeting in Latvia today, warns that any incursion into Ukraine by Russia would be a “strategic mistake”
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Europe General -

The United Kingdom is increasing permanent troop presence in Germany with the intention to have a fighting force closer to eastern Europe if war with Russia ensues. The force will include hundreds of military vehicles including tanks and drones.
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Israel -

Israel has shared intelligence with the US and European allies suggesting Iran is taking technical steps to prepare to enrich weapons-grade uranium.
OBSERVATION - This is an Israeli “red line”. I suspect that they will assess US/European reactions in order to determine if they are going to have to go it alone or not.

Israeli leadership is expressing more concerns about Iranian drone capabilities. Part of this more open expression is the result of Iran’s attempt to transfer weapons and explosive materials (TNT) to Palestinian Arab terrorists in Judea and Samaria by using an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV). The large UAV, which originated from the T-4 base near Homs in Syria, was intercepted near the Israeli town of Beit She’an in February 2018. The plane, armed with four missiles, then exploded in mid-air over the Jordan Valley.
OBSERVATION - Israel has established a radar network designed to detect these drones, based upon the system deployed along the US border to detect low flying drug runner aircraft.
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Iran -

Iran’s President Rouhani suggests he’s open to talks with the US if “all sanctions are lifted and apologies made for mistakes”. “But first, we have to make America regret [its actions],” he said during his weekly cabinet meeting today.
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Saudi Arabia -

The last time Houthis launched drone and missile attacks on KSA was November 21. Since then, the Saudi-led coalition has been carrying out airstrikes on military sites & (workshops 4 assembling drones & missiles) in Sana’a, almost on a daily basis.
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Syria -

In the south (Daraa province) there has been an undeclared war between Iranian and Syrian forces since 2018. Over the summer, Syrian forces with Russian assistance took control of the region from anti forces. Iran has been attempting stage forces in the region to facilitate attacks against Israel. Syria and Russia want nothing like that happening so have been aggressively trying to neutralize Iranian efforts with out aggravating their “ally”. Negotiations have been underway between Iran and Russia/Syria for over a year but are not making much progress. The covert Iranian violence is just another incentive for Syria to get the Iranian agents out of the area.
This border security effort by Syrians and Russians is the result of years of working to gain the support of the largely Sunni and Druze civilian population along the border in (from west to east); Quneitra, Daraa and Suwayda provinces. This is a joint effort to block Iranian efforts to gain the support of the border population.

In the north, Turkish border policy has made Turkey unpopular, unwanted, and diplomatically isolated. Most of the violence is in northwestern Idlib and northeastern Hasaka provinces. Russian airstrikes against the Syrian Islamic terrorist rebels concentrated in Idlib have been particularly frequent in November. The rebels are surrounded by Syrian troops in the south and Turkish forces in the north. Russia provides air support for the Syrian Army but not for the Turks, and often bombs Islamic terror groups facing the Turks because these rebels are close to Russian bases near the Mediterranean coast and continue to threaten those bases. Russian airstrikes often take place when Turkish forces are nearby and sometimes the Turks as well as the rebels suffer casualties.
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Turkey -

Turkey is planning a rapprochement with Israel, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Monday. This is part of a campaign that Turkey initiated a year ago to try to patch up damaged relations . Turkey has also moved to repair ties with Egypt and Saudi Arabia but those talks have yielded little public improvement.

OBSERVATION - Turkey and Israel used to have a good relationship. But about 10 years ago, Erdogan started to shift the country towards a more radical islamic state - with a parallel hostility towards Israel. Reality has set in for Turkey, the economy is still in the dumps from poor management and extensive military commitments. Israel is economically and technologically superior to Turkey and to mend fences would open that up to Turkey. Secondly, I think there is a degree of opposition towards Iran for the islamic leader of the region - the old enemy of my enemy scenario. I don’t see much success by the Turks given Israel’s recent ties with Greece on military and economic basis and Turkey’s harboring Hamas leaders.
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Poland -

See Russia above.
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Central / South America General-

Leftist opposition candidate Xiomara Castro held a commanding lead early Monday as Hondurans appeared poised to remove the conservative National Party from power after 12 years of continuous rule.
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Belarus -

Belarus will start combat training on the border with Ukraine on December 1st.

Lukashenka to Russian state media outlet RIA Novosti: I will offer Putin to deploy nuclear weapons in Belarus again, in case of such weapons will be brought to Poland
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We’ve entered December and I”m already processing the past years chaos to assess the trends of the last year and look into the crystal ball to see what those trends mean for 2022. I invite you to do the same.
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Wuhan virus -

23 countries now reporting the detection of Omicron.

Omicron first strike - Dutch health authorities announced on Tuesday that they found the new Omicron variant of the coronavirus in cases dating back as long as 11 days, indicating that it was already spreading in western Europe before the first cases were identified in southern Africa. The RIVM health institute said it found Omicron in samples dating from November 19 and 23. Belgium and Germany have also said that sample tests confirm the variant was in those countries before South African health officials alerted the world on November 24 to its existence.

According to Jim Naismith, Director of the Rosalind Franklin Institute and Professor of Structural Biology at the University of Oxford, masks are largely pointless.
“The ONS survey results on prevalence shows that the Scottish and English approach to masking, although formally different since July, has made no meaningful difference to Delta,” writes Naismith.
“In both countries very high levels of prevalence have continued for months. Thus the new changes announced are unlikely to have much of an impact if Omicron does indeed spread rapidly,” he added.

OBSERVATION - Masks and their ineffectiveness in preventing the dissimulation of wuhan has been a topic since the start of this pandemic. Honest researchers with nearly two years of data to draw upon continue to undermine the wuhan narrative.

After telling the country not to get excited, the Biden administration is currently weighing whether to impose a 7-day quarantine for all travelers returning to the U.S. in order to curb the spread of the omicron COVID variant. Those who refuse might possibly be fined. Even a negative test or full vaccination would not exempt a traveler from the quarantine period, the Daily Mail reported. Biden is currently deliberating his winter COVID strategy and plans on announcing it Thursday.

OBSERVATION - The results of this will likely help push for a national wuhan vaccine passport that is synced to other global vaccine passports.

Judge Terry A. Doughty in the U.S. District Court Western District of Louisiana ruled in favor of a request from Republican Louisiana Attorney General Jeff Landry to block an emergency regulation issued Nov. 4 by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services that required vaccines for nearly every full-time employee, part-time employee, volunteer, and contractor working at a wide range of healthcare facilities receiving Medicaid or Medicaid funding.

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Globalism / Great Reset -

Redesigning organisms for other purposes is a new field of scientific endeavor known as synthetic biology. According to a report by the World Economic Forum, expect to see (and hear) more about it as scientists look to reset humanity’s future and the “bio-economy” on the back of coronavirus vaccine research.
The study was released Thursday by the Switzerland-based WEF, and proclaims a scientific human reset is near because “Synthetic biology lies at the intersection of an ageing population, climate change and environmental degradation.”
Synthetic biology, proponents say, holds the promise of reprogramming biology to be more powerful and then mass-producing the turbocharged cells to increase food production, fight disease, generate energy, purify water and devour carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, as the New York Times points out.
The aim is to follow computing, using biological information as coded in DNA, so it can be programmed — with the goal of redesigning organisms for what the WEF deems useful purposes.

OBSERVATION - Genetic engineering is a big component of the ‘Great Reset” of which the mRNA ‘vaccines fit into .

Fifteen state financial officers sent a letter to U.S. banks last week noting $600 billion in assets they pledge to take elsewhere if the financial institutions embrace corporate wokeism and prohibit financing to the fossil fuel industry.
Led by West Virginia Republican Treasurer Riley Moore, the group promised “collective action” in the form of an “economic boycott.”
“Just as each state represented in this letter is unique in its governing laws and economy, our actions will take different forms,” they wrote in the letter obtained by The Federalist. “However, the overarching objective of our actions will be the same – to protect our states’ economies, jobs, and energy independence from these unwarranted attacks on our critical industries.”
Signatories to the letter putting banks on notice include chief financial officers from Arizona, Arkansas, Idaho, Louisiana, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Carolina, South Dakota, Utah, Wyoming, Alabama, Texas and Kentucky, in addition to West Virginia.
OBSERVATION - One of the back door methods the left has used are influencing banks (and credit cards) to deny credit and sales to unwoke, non globally endorse industries/businesses like firearms. The left has pushed the corporate control as an alternative to pushing legislation through congress - creating a high profile situation - preferring the lower profile bank initiated actions.

“So, the President said earlier today that there haven’t been any recommendations to put in place domestic travel requirements. But what we saw with the Delta variant is that once it was already here, it spread rapidly across the country. So why not have any testing or vaccination requirements whatsoever for domestic air travel since people are, you know, going fairly openly across the country?” a reporter asked Psaki.
“Well, I think what you heard the President say […] was that he wasn’t taking any options off the table, but he’s going to rely on that advice of his health and medical experts,” Psaki responded.
OBSERVATION - Translation. biden has no problem implementing controls agains travel bans.

All members of the US National Guard must be vaccinated against COVID-19 or face a loss of pay, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said Tuesday, according to NBC News.
OBSERVATION - Austin has also threatened to ‘decertify’ state guard units as well. Thus action serves to further reduce the combat capability of the US as the Pentagon relies heavily on Nat’l “Guard units in its global operations.

CNBC “Mad Money” host Jim Cramer on Monday urged President Joe Biden and his administration to require vaccination for all Americans to fight the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. Cramer suggested the military should run the vaccination efforts and said those who don’t want to get vaccinated should “be ready to prove your conscientious objector status in court.”
“With the new Omicron variant sweeping the globe, how do we finally put an end to this pandemic? How do we save lives and get business back to normal so everybody can put dinner on the table? Simple: The federal government needs to require vaccines, including booster shots, for everyone in America by, say, January 1,” Cramer outlined.

OBSERVATION - While this arrogant ignoramus with delusions of adequacy is touting this idea, it is important to recognize that he is vocalizing the wishes and wants of the marxist / leftists propping up the biden administration. In a spoiler to my reading of the tea leaves for 2022, I see that this universal mandate to become a lead item in the biden administration. This will become the issue as the current mandates are facing judicial set backs and a substantially large portion of the population opposing them.
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Economy -

Omicron fears caused the DOW to drop 652.22 points. It didn’t help that the Fed chief spoke to congress on reducing the pace of monthly bond buys at a quicker rate. This week will continue to be a rough ride.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that, in light of high inflation, the central bank might wind down its bond-purchasing program sooner. Powell, testifying before the Senate Banking Committee alongside Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, faced questions about inflation, which has been soaring all year. The Fed has insisted that inflation, which is running at 6.2% for the year ending in October, is “transitory” and will tamp down. On Tuesday, though, the chairman said that term might no longer be appropriate.
“I think the word ‘transitory’ has different meanings to different people. To many, it carries a sense of short-lived — we tend to use it to mean that it won’t leave a permanent mark in the form of higher inflation,” Powell told lawmakers. “I think it’s probably a good time to retire that word and try to explain more clearly what we mean.”
OBSERVATION - The “transitory” narrative has collapsed into a pile of poo. This discussion infers that inflation is not going away any time soon.

IN RELATED - There are economic analysts warning that even steeper inflation will hit the markets the first part of CY 2022.

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Biden watch -

On Tuesday, biden signed four bills related to benefits for veterans. He didn’t know what they were. “Alright, here we go. Amend title—eh, I’m not gonna read it all. I’ll just sign it,” said Biden.
After signing the bills, Biden pulled his mask down to talk to someone across the room. As soon as Biden began rambling off script, the White House cut the audio and blasted music.

“Unlike Trump, I don’t shock our allies,” President Biden said on Tuesday, when asked whether he would coordinate with U.S. allies in the event he plans to announce further travel restrictions related to the new “omicron” variant of the coronavirus.
NOTE - One word - Afghanistan . . . . . .
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CW2/Domestic violence -

So far protests at the USSC over the current abortion debate have been peaceful. See Sen Shaheen’s comments under Political Front. Antifa supports pro-abortion issues and may show up, but doubt that they will go beyond simple protest support to violence.
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POLITICAL FRONT -

Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, D-N.H., issued a warning to the Supreme Court days before oral arguments in a potential landmark abortion case, claiming that a “revolution” will take place if the high court overturns existing precedent.
OBSERVATION - Abortion is one of those key culture conflict fronts the left holds as holy. I don’t think the senator is calling to arms, but it will result in a lot of pro abortion protests to kick in that other elements can exploit for other leftist causes.
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Domestic Terror -

Authorities in New York’s Long Island are investigating a blast that left a crater and was felt miles away Sunday. Police are working with the FBI on the probe, to determine whether it could have been a prelude to something bigger.
The Suffolk County Police Department said the explosion occurred on Fox Island, off the coast of West Babylon, around 11:40 a.m. when a device was detonated. Authorities received nearly three dozen 911 calls, the department told Fox News.
The blast left a crater on the north side of the island that measured 4 feet wide and 2 feet deep. Authorities are seeking a boat seen leaving from the area at the time.
OBSERVATION - Not clear if terror related or a bunch of drunk rednecks playing with tannerite. But this was a big boom and the cause needs to be investigated.
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China -

China’s factory activity fell back into contraction in November as subdued demand, shrinking employment and elevated prices weighed on manufacturers, a business survey showed on Wednesday.
The Caixin/Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 49.9 in November from 50.6 the month before, versus analyst expectations of 50.5 in a Reuters poll. The 50-mark separates growth from contraction on a monthly basis. (Reuters)

OBSERVATION - I’ve noted numerous times, wuhan has hit China;’s economy of many levels. This has forced Xi to try to wall paper over domestic issues like this so he can continue his efforts to force Chinese control of the S China sea and related areas like Taiwan. What is missing from the report is the impact of electrical shortages have had on manufacturing sector as well.
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North Korea -

Been pretty quiet lately but things continue. As reported numerous times, famine has gripped the country since the start of the wuhan epidemic. Current reopening of the border with China and resumption of food imports have not been sufficient to reverse the trend. Analysts are noting that a growing number of North Korean soldiers sent to the Chinese border to increase security have become a threat to civilians living nearby. The government has not been able to maintain food supplies for these troops, and many of them are now receiving half their normal food supplies. What food the troops do get is of lower quality. Even the secret police, whose job includes monitoring the performance of soldiers and police and punishing misbehavior, complain of the lower quality food they are receiving. But at least they aren’t getting visibly thinner like the border security troops. This is visible from the Chinese side of the border and often recorded on cell phone photos that eventually reach South Korea.
OBSERVATION - These are Kim’s enforcers, you can’t keep your strong arms fed and happy, then you better start watching back as he has elements in his govt that could exploit this and replace him.
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Russia -

See Europe general, Ukraine and Polish discussions.
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Ukraine -

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday sternly warned NATO against deploying its troops and weapons to Ukraine, saying it represents a red line for Russia and would trigger a strong response.
Commenting on Western concerns about Russia’s alleged intention to invade Ukraine, he said that Moscow is equally worried about NATO drills near its borders.
“The emergence of such threats represents a ‘red line’ for us,” Putin said. “I hope that it will not get to that and common sense and responsibility for their own countries and the global community will eventually prevail.”
Russia proposes to start substantive negotiations to achieve legal guarantees of NATO’s non-expansion to the East

Russian Foreign Ministry: Ukraine has deployed 125 thousand servicemen in Eastern Ukraine
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Europe General -

Latvia needs a permanent U.S. military presence to deter Russia and wants to boost its defences with U.S. Patriot missiles, Defence Minister Artis Pabriks said on Monday as NATO’s chief visited allied troops in the Baltic country. “We need additional international assistance,” Pabriks told Reuters. “We would like to have a permanent United States (military) presence in our country. And sea and air defence means basically going down to such systems as Patriot (surface-to-air missiles).”

The Baltic states are seen as NATO’s most vulnerable flank as they are linked to the alliance’s main territory only by a land corridor of around 60 km (37 miles) between Poland and Lithuania known as the Suwalki gap.
Military experts warn that Russia, via Belarus, might capture the gap, gaining a land corridor to its heavily fortified exclave of Kaliningrad on the Baltic Sea.

OBSERVATION - The Baltic states are increasingly threatened by Russian expansionism. Along with Poland, they’ve been facing the deliberately directed flow of islamic “migrants’ coming thru Belarus. During the Soviet Union era, these countries also suffer a lot of oppression at the hands of Russians, an experience they don’t want to repeat. The high percentage of ethnic Russians in those countries keeps Moscow’s eyes on the region.
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Israel -

Lifting sanctions on Iran could lead to military action by Israel, officials in Jerusalem warned world powers, as negotiations to curb the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program continued on Tuesday.
If the US lifts sanctions – along with international sanctions soon to be lifted under the terms of the 2015 nuclear deal – Iran could reach the nuclear threshold within six months, Israel has warned.
OBSERVATION - Close watch necessary on these negotiations to bring Iran back to the nuclear control agreements. Israel recognizes that the removal of sanctions will be interpreted as weakness in the west by Iran and just encourage it to accelerate its nuclear program.
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Iran -

Heavy clashes reported between Taliban and Iranian border guards along the border in Nimruz.
OBSERVATION - This is a key border crossing on the Iran/Afghanistan border.
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Saudi Arabia -

Saudi-led coalition is continuing to carrying out airstrikes on military sites in Sana’a.
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Poland -

See Russia above.
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Belarus -

EU ambassadors have just given green light to the EU’s 5th sanctions package on Belarus. 17 people and 11 entities. to be published in the EU official journal tomorrow. Work on a sixth package has started but premature to talk numbers now. might be ready Jan/Feb.response

OBSERVATION - These sanctions began over claims that the Belarus elections earlier this year were corrupt and that the Russian supporting government is not legitimate. It has grown particularly in
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