Threat Matrix 2021

Wuhan virus -
Medical reports and evidence coming forward of changes in women’s periods following vaccination, regardless of the vaccine used. nRNA and J&J have both caused problems. There have been early fears of impacts to women’s reproductive systems with the nRNA ‘vaccine’ interfering with the implantation of the embryo in the uterus through miscarriage. Now this.

Iowa’s governor moving to neuter any vaccine ‘passports’. Missouri governor states they will oppose them as well.
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Globalism / Great Reset -
Group of 20 finance chiefs pledged to keep working toward a fair international tax system after France and other European countries welcomed U.S. proposals for a minimum levy on corporate profits. “We remain committed to reaching a global and consensus-based solution” by the middle of this year, G-20 finance ministers and central bank governors said in a statement after a virtual meeting on Wednesday. Talks to overhaul global tax rules for corporations have accelerated sharply since Joe Biden succeeded Donald Trump as U.S. President. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen last week laid out plans for a 21% minimum global levy, much higher than the 12.5% level under discussion among nearly 140 countries at the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. (Bloomberg)
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Economy -
U.S. bankruptcies surged in March to the highest level in a year, driven by a 41 percent jump in month-to-month filings by consumers, data firm Epiq AACER reported on Monday. Overall commercial filings also increased, though the Chapter 11 bankruptcy used by larger companies fell, the firm said.

Federal Reserve officials indicated at their last meeting that easy policy will stay in place until it produces stronger employment and inflation, and won’t be adjusted based merely on forecasts.

Jobless claims totaled 744,000 for the week ended April 3, the Labor Department reported Thursday. That was above the Dow Jones estimate of 694,000 and the previous week’s 728,000. Looking at the past history, these variations don’t seem that significant but still indicate IMHO instability in the broader economy.
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Invasion of Illegals -
Forbes is reporting that over 20,000 ‘kids’ are being held by biden. This compares to the peak under Trump of about 2400.

According to a report from Washington Examiner, biden administration is ‘converting’ 7 border hotels into holding facilities for illegals. The hotels are designated for ‘families’ that are released from BP custody.
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CW2/Domestic violence -
In what may be the first red line being crossed by biden (calling it a gun violence public health epidemic) and opposed by a growing number of states, biden is expected today to sign an EO consisting of -

1. The Justice Department, within 30 days, will issue a proposed rule to help stop the proliferation of “ghost guns.”
2. The Justice Department, within 60 days, will issue a proposed rule to make clear when a device marketed as a stabilizing brace effectively turns a pistol into a short-barreled rifle subject to the requirements of the National Firearms Act.
3. The Justice Department, within 60 days, will publish model “red flag” legislation for states.
4. The Administration is investing in evidence-based community violence interventions.
5. The Justice Department will issue an annual report on firearms trafficking.
6. The President will nominate David Chipman to serve as Director of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms. Chipman was involved in the Waco TX massacre.

The ‘ghost gun’ issue will require significant rewrite of the ATF regulations since all the components are not by definition firearms.
Model ‘red flag’ legislation is a very big RED flag - as the potential for even more abuse will rise. This EO is said to be the ‘start’ and we will have to see just how much push back states that have passed laws to refuse enforcement of unconstitutional ‘laws’ - and entering the whole EO/regulation issue vs law.

DC medical examiner report defines Ashli Babbitt’s death as “homocide”. Her killer is still unknown and reportedly in hiding.
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POLITICAL FRONT -
Battle to keep the filibuster in place continues to focus on two democrat senator holdouts.
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Strategic Developments /Deployments -
The Makin Island Amphibious Ready Group and the 15th Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) have departed the U.S. Central Command and U.S. Fifth Fleet area of operations (ie - the Persian Gulf region). They are now operating in the northeastern Indian Ocean in the U.S. 7th Fleet area of operations. This places them a short sail away from the South China Sea area.
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China -
China’s government warned Washington on Wednesday not to boycott next year’s Winter Olympics in Beijing after the Biden administration said it was talking with allies about a joint approach to complaints of human rights abuses. biden is already backing off the plan. . . . . .

China has continued the practice of flying aircraft into the Taiwan air defense zone - almost to a daily basis. US military sources are warning that China may attempt an assault to take the island sooner rather than later.
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North Korea -
The combination of the wuhan virus and resultant economic shutdowns/impacts has forced the NK leader Kim to make an unusual statement of weakness. He has been forced to admit to party supporters that the country was in the “worst-ever situation” and that all of his plans to raise the standard of living for the people depend on his supporters — not him. Kim, during another political conference last year, showed unusual candor by acknowledging that his plans to improve the economy weren’t succeeding. But he insists on going forward with nuclear armaments.
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Russia - POTENTIAL FOR WAR IN UKRAINE

Shelling continues along the front in Ukraine. Some reports are that it is increasing in volume, but hard to separate from propaganda announcements (both sided blaming the other, etc). The head of occupation authorities in parts of Donetsk region at press conference says that situation at line of control is rapidly deteriorating and escalating though.

Ukrainian president Zelenskyy is reportedly preparing to visit Donbas area to review military preparations.

Polish FM Zbigniew Rau to visit Kyiv today to discuss escalation by Russia. Polish FM’s visit to Kyiv comes a day after the representatives of defense ministries of the US, UK, Canada, Lithuania and Poland held a virtual meeting on the situation around Ukraine, as well as potential opportunities for providing security assistance.

Deputy Kremlin Chief of Staff Kozak: Germany and France have no interest in resolving the conflict in Donbass.

The United States reaffirmed its commitment to Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity Tuesday but stopped short of publicly backing Kyiv’s call for a quicker path to membership in NATO.

TROOP DEPLOYMENTS - OSINT analysis has identified a new Russian Army camp set up in the Voronezh region bordering Ukraine. High-resolution satellite imagery obtained by Visual Investigations indeed reveals hundreds of military vehicles at recently formed staging areas.
Greek media reporting that Russia has moved dozens of Russian Iskander-M missiles within a few hours of the Ukraine border. The missiles have a range of more than 500 kilometers and are nuclear capable. They were used by Armenian forces during the recent conflict, but were not too effective.
Russia moved 10 ships of Caspian Fleet to Black Sea - Southern Military District statement. Photos of these ships indicate they are amphibious assault / landing craft related.

OBSERVATIONS - Russia getting its pieces in place while the separatists / Ukraine heat the front up. Weakness in the West, primarily from the biden administration, still the big variable. NATO countries and particularly former Soviet nations like Poland are very nervous. At this stage a two axis assault by Russia seems to be building. One from Crimea - most likely targeting the capture and control of the diversion dam that allows water to flow to Crimea, shut down since 2014. The second axis coming out of the north from the Vororezh region of Russia. Separatist (russian supported) could attack across the center, pinning Ukraine forces down while Russia launches this north-south pincer attack. A move that could cut off a large slice of eastern Ukraine.
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Israel -
Biden administration announced on Wednesday it planned to provide $235 million in U.S. aid to the Palestinians, restarting funding for the United Nations agency supporting refugees and restoring other assistance cut off by then-President Donald Trump. Israel warned the Biden administration that its decision Wednesday to restore funding to the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestinian Refugees (UNRWA) would only help perpetuate the conflict. “Israel’s position is that the organization in its current form perpetuates the conflict and does not contribute to its resolution,” the Foreign Ministry stated.
NOTE - Like most aid received by the Palestinians, most of it will be syphoned off to line the pockets of the leaders and go towards active preparations of war against Israel. Very little will reach the commoner.

At 10:00am Israeli standard time, sirens sounded nationwide marking 2 minutes of silence in remembrance of those lost in the Holocaust. During the sounding of the sirens, vehicles and people will freeze for the two minutes.
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Iran -
Iran has rejected talks with the United States over its nuclear program in Vienna. In response, the US continues to capitulate even more - emboldening Iran. The State Dept said it is prepared to remove sanctions on Iran to resume compliance with the Iran nuclear deal, including those that are inconsistent with the 2015 pact - no details mentioned. The State Dept also sidestepped an invitation to rule out the possibility that the Trump administration’s designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a foreign terrorist organization could be up for negotiation as part of the move to restart the Iran nuclear deal.
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Syria -
Overnight multiple explosions in the Damascus area from a suspected Israeli airstrike.
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Wuhan virus -
25% of americans are fully ‘vaccinated’ according to NBC report.

J&J vaccine reactions caused some sites to shut down pending evaluation.
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Globalism / Great Reset -
In a weird twitter post, a video posted to the WEF’s official Twitter account on Wednesday, boasts that their new “smart face mask” can track every breath its wearer takes. It is linked to your smart phone and outward from there to monitor your behavior and use.

At the World Economic Forum Global Technology Governance Summit 2021, YouTube CEO Susan Wojcicki said “With COVID-19, with a number of different types of misinformation, it would be hard for governments all around the world to all pass different regulations about that and have compliance,”. “So, there’s this category of content that I would say is content that is technically legal but could be harmful and that’s where we’ve put a lot of time to try to make sure we’ve put the right policies in place.” Legal but harmful, hmmmmmm. By “right policies,” what she means is how to censor anything that does not abide by narratives approved by the globalist elites. Already in practice in American social media.
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Economy -
According to the latest data from the Energy Information Administration, gas prices are expected to rise 30% over the summer, compared to 2020. That’s a roughly 70-cent per gallon increase.

National Association of Manufacturers released a study yesterday indicating that biden’s tax plans could cost the nation a million jobs over the first two years of implementation. Additionally the study indicates that GDP would be $117 billion lower by 2023, and ordinary capital, or investments in equipment and structures, would be $80 billion less in 2023.
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Invasion of Illegals -
Reports that the govt is spending about $60 million per week to care for illegal ‘children’. Overall, the biden border dumpster fire is getting worse by the minute. VP Harris is AWOL from her task to get things under control.
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Biden watch -
Numerous verbal ‘slips’ in yesterday’s Anti-2A signing speech.
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CW2/Domestic violence -
BLM supporters had gathered outside the Iowa Capitol on Thursday morning as part of a “Kill the Racist Bills” protest, organized by the “Advocates for Social Justice” group. BLM activists then forced their way into Iowa’s State Capitol building. Rioters included the nephew of George Floyd.

biden’s anti-2A EO yesterday is but the first round in his escalating war on Americans. However, in practical units it will take months before any administrative ‘rules’ will be put forth or any follow-on legislation codifies his decree. Then will follow the blitz of lawsuits. This also sets the stage of states vs fed where those states have passed laws forbidding federal agents or providing support to any unconstitiual gun laws. BTW, PolitiFact gave biden a “mostly false” rating on his claims he made during the signing ceremony. Another concern is that he may use the “public health crisis” angle to evoke a national emergency to by pass the constitution to get at guns. Stay tuned.
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Strategic Developments /Deployments -
US sent diplomatic notification to Turkey for passage of 2 warships through Turkish straits to reach Black Sea
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China -
In response to Chinese actions in the S China Sea areas claimed by the Philippines, SoS Blinken has said an armed attack against the Philippines armed forces, public vessels or aircrafts will trigger our obligations under the US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty. Over the past few weeks, tensions between the Philippines and China have grown quite significantly, here’s why. Chinese maritime militia vessels have been massing at Whitsun Reef (aka Julian Felipe Reef) in the Spratly Islands in significant numbers. Chinese actions have been moving the Phillippines to look at renewing the stationing of US forces in country again.

OBSERVATIONS - Many observers are leaning towards the idea that China may attempt to take Taiwan sooner rather than later. Increasing air and naval incursions continue to involve more aircraft and ships almost daily.
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North Korea -
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has told citizens to prepare for hard times ahead, following warnings from rights groups that the country faces dire food shortages and economic instability. Speaking at a party conference, Kim appeared to compare the situation to the devastating 1990s famine, estimated to have killed hundreds of thousands. On Thursday he called on officials to “wage another, more difficult ‘Arduous March’ in order to relieve our people of the difficulty, even a little”. The “Arduous March” is a term used by North Korea officials to refer to the country’s struggle during the 1990s famine, when the fall of the Soviet Union left North Korea without crucial aid. The total number of North Koreans who starved to death is not known, but estimates range up to 3 million.
OBSERVATION - This will cause Kim’s nuclear expansion some serious trouble given the expense and monies taken away from feeding his people. However, as long as he can keep the stomachs of his military and generals full he can sleep relatively well at night.
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Russia - POTENTIAL FOR WAR IN UKRAINE
Independent observers and analysts are noting that Russia’s deployment locations and equipment/unit mix are more aligned with an offensive operation than defensive. The army camp in the Voronezh region is an example, located 250 kilometers (155 miles) from Ukraine — in an area that borders territory controlled by Kyiv, not the self-proclaimed people’s republics. Voronezh site is a training ground south of Voronezh city equipped with P-260T Redut-2US long-range telecommunications complexes and a field hospital. The P-260T Redut-2US is a long-range army-level communications system that is not used at the battalion or brigade level, it is indicative of the scale of the deployment.

Ukraine govt officials have renewed their plea to be admitted to NATO, one they’ve even asking for several years now. NATO as a whole is not hot on acquiring a country under potential attack by Russia. Russia basically has said the if NATO brings Ukraine in, it will invade the whole country. United States has given assurances that they support Ukraine in the current conflict over the Crimea situation, the U.S. has stopped short of promising military intervention.

FORCE DEPLOYMENTS - Analysts using open source information have identified least fourteen Russian Ground Troop units that have moved or are moving to the Ukrainian area of operations since late March, most coming from the Central Military District. Units identified include the 74th and 35th Motorized Brigades, 120th Artillery Brigade and the 6th Tank Regiment, equipped with tanks, infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs), and long-range artillery including 2S19 MSTA-S 152 mm self-propelled guns, TOS-1A thermobaric multiple rocket launchers (MRLs), and BM-27 Uragan 220 mm MRLs entering Voronezh by train. Also identified is deployment of Iskander short-range ballistic missile systems, likely belonging to the 119 Missile Brigade, to Voronezh from the Sverdlovsk region. More equipment including Pantsir air defense systems were reportedly filmed enroute to Crimea yesterday.

In addition to Crimea and Voronezh build up areas, forces have been observed marshaling in the following areas - Rostov-on Don (Southern end of the demarcation line) and Krasnodar Region (immediately east of Crimea).

OBSERVATIONS - For once Psaki is correct: “Russia now has more troops on the border with Ukraine than at any time since 2014”. NATO response has been squishy at best. Of concern are reports that US naval assets may be deploying into the Black Sea in greater numbers. Force deployments still suggest the potential for a major offensive that can cut the eastern half of the nation off and if the Russian friendly Belarusian forces on Ukrane’s northern border join the attack, could result in overthrow of even more of the country. However, Russia will require some degree of luck given the defensive nature of the fight Ukraine will make on their home turf and Russia is currently projected to have a 3:1 force advantage.

The other wild card in the mix is how aggressive China may become or even if they are in cahoots with each other to split a ‘woke’ US government into inaction by both becoming military aggressive at the same time.

RIGHT NOW I’m looking at a 50/50 chance of open war within a month. Movement of troops out of Voronezh will be a critical indicator.

TIMING - The area is in the midst of spring thaw - making the ground very soft and hard for mechanized/armored forces to maneuver in with enlarged rivers/streams. Conditions should improve within the next few weeks, so that any imminent attacks in strength are not likely. Observers will be closely monitoring movements out of these staging areas as potential precursors of an assault. Though no longer the Soviet army of the Fulda Gap era, their fundamental tactics and precursors haven’t changed significantly, only different equipment and systems.
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Israel -
Israel is readying for a potential assault on its own assets inside Israel from Iran’s territory reports following the attack on the Iranian spy ship Saviz. They have been running a tit-for-tat ship attack scenario for several months now and Iran may seek to escalate it given the damage done to the Saviz.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu replied to an ICC notification letter that it was going to investigate ‘war crimes’ by Israel against the Palestinians. Netanyahu’s reply stated that Israel will not cooperate and that since it is not a signature of the treaty it has no obligation to cooperate with the court. biden had just lifted sanctions on the court imposed by former president Donald Trump.
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Iran -
Iran will respond to the recent attack on its ship in the Red Sea once it uncovers the source of the attack, Iranian Armed Forces spokesman Maj. Gen. Abu Al-Fadel Shkarji told the Russian Sputnik news agency on Thursday. “We need to ascertain the source of the incident. If we uncover the source of the attack on the ship, we will definitely respond, we will never be silent.
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Iraq -
Iraqi Security Forces foiled an attempt to launch rockets at Ain al-Assad Airbase. There as reportedly 24 tubes in the launcher that was concealed in the usual bongo truck design. Standard method of attack now for the past year. Get in position, light the fuze and run.

US confirmed the goal to remove all US forces from Iraq, but there is no set date for the event and even that is questionable based on talks of maintaining an advisory force there.
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Syria -
More airstrikes at sites near Damascus by IAF were reported overnight. At least one posted video shows 5 impacts with numerous follow on secondary explosions.
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Kinda light this morning.

Wuhan virus -
Shipments of the single-dose Johnson & Johnson Covid-19 vaccine are expected to be down by 80 percent nationwide next week as the company struggles with manufacturing problems, the Biden Administration reported Friday. Probably due in large part to the loss of 15 million doses in the production plant incident. This is also a true vaccine and not the nRNA genetic experimentation Pfizer and Moderia are - hmmmmmmmmm

A four vaccination location has stopped J&J vaccinations due to serious reactions. In clinical trials, the most common side effects of the Johnson & Johnson-Janssen vaccine were headaches and fatigue, followed by muscle aches, nausea and fever.

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Globalism / Great Reset -
A report published last year by the WEF-Carnegie Cyber Policy Initiative calls for the merging of Wall Street banks, their regulators, and intelligence agencies as necessary to confront an allegedly imminent cyber-attack that will collapse the existing financial system.
In November 2020, the World Economic Forum (WEF) and Carnegie Endowment for International Peace co-produced a report that warned that the global financial system was increasingly vulnerable to cyber-attacks. Advisors to the group that produced the report included representatives from the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the International Monetary Fund, Wall Street giants likes JP Morgan Chase, and Silicon Valley behemoths like Amazon.
NOTE - This movement will eventually place money management under a global authority outside the realm of individual national actions.
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Economy -
U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in March, resulting in the largest annual gain in 9-1/2 years, fitting in with expectations for higher inflation as the economy reopens amid an improved public health environment and massive government funding.
NOTE - I’ve been warning of inflation for a while. The questions some are struggling with is this the harbinger of hyper-inflation some have been warning for over the past couple years?
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POLITICAL FRONT -
biden has announced the creation of a commission to look into packing the Supreme Court. Goal is to expand the court and place term limits on the justices. In 1983, then-Senator Biden declared the concept of court-packing a “bonehead idea” and a “terrible, terrible mistake.”
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Strategic Developments /Deployments -
Eisenhower CSG continues operations in the Red Sea. No word on which two vessels moved into the Black Sea region.
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China -
Chinese military craft reportedly chased a Philippine civilian vessel out of ‘disputed ‘ waters yesterday. China also flew about a dozen military aircraft into Tiawan’s air defense zone as those daily provocations continue.
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India/China -
The 11th round of the military commander level talks between India and China was held on Friday, with the next steps of disengagement being discussed. The focus was on the disengagement at the Depsang plains, Gogra and Hot Springs, officials familiar with the matter tell OneIndia. The meeting was held on the Indian side of Chushul-Moldo meeting location. The last time the military commanders met was on February 22.
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Russia - POTENTIAL FOR WAR IN UKRAINE
So far it has settled down to a war of words. German Chancellor Angela Merkel told Russian President Vladimir Putin on Thursday to pull back a military build-up near the country’s border with Ukraine.
MSN is reporting that Ukraine’s military on Friday said it would not launch an offensive against pro-Russia separatists controlling two regions in the country’s east, as fears grow of a major escalation in the long-running conflict.
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Israel -
Israel has reportedly entered an “all time” high alert in the maritime theater as tensions rise between themselves and Iran after the explosion aboard the Iranian Saviz Vessel earlier in the week.
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Iran -
Iran will hold a presidential election on June 18, 2021. As always, Ayatollah Khamenei, the supreme leader, using so-called “legal” methods, will pick the head of the Judiciary, the Legislature, and the president. The way this works is that the “Approving Council” filters out the candidates, and then the “Guardian Council” mass eliminates the candidates in favor of the candidate closest to the supreme leader. However, many no longer consider the government legitimate, leading some to think that the situation is ripe for another revolution. Numerous protests have been held the past couple years over economic and wuhan conditions, conditions made worse by the huge foreign spending on Hezbollah, Houthis and Iraqi militia groups; and not to mention the expensive arms and nuclear build up.

The International Atomic Energy Agency continues to document Iran’s violations of the nuclear treaty/accords This includes processing more uranium to higher purity levels.
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Heads up - I will be on the road Tues - Mon next week. I’ll try to post key items but will be unable to do the more in-depth looks I do here.

Wuhan virus -
European Database of Adverse Drug Reactions for COVID-19 “Vaccines” is reporting 5,365 DEAD 238,949 Injuries. This is paralleled by similarly high numbers of ‘adverse’ reactions in the US. For comparison purposes, adverse reactions from existing vaccines for other diseases are as much as 100 orders of magnitude smaller.

Still bubbling up, but with more scientific support is the concern that the mRNA faux-vaccines are permanently altering DNA. Research on SARS-CoV-2 RNA by scientists at Harvard and MIT has implications for how mRNA vaccines could permanently alter genomic DNA, according to Doug Corrigan, Ph.D., a biochemist-molecular biologist who says more research is needed. This concern was raised many months ago and promptly buried by the media and govt officials.
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Globalism / Great Reset -
The CDC’s director, Biden appointee Rochelle Walensky, has declared that racism is a public health threat. This is an unusual entry for the Great Reset, but it demonstrates the twisted thinking of globalist elements in that the question of ‘quarantining’ racist elements bubbles to the top. And as we’ve all witnessed, it is the anti-globalists that are racists.

In a letter to the spring meeting of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, Pope Francis called for the creation of new institutions of “global governance” to help advance the “integral human development of all peoples.” He also said the “financial industry” should calculate the “ecological debt” of countries “so that developed countries can pay it....”
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Invasion of Illegals -
19 days and counting - no VP press interview on her actions to control the border. . . . .

biden continues to try to blame Trump for the collapse of the border - however those claims are gaining no traction and generating even more negative review of biden’s policies.
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CW2/Domestic violence -
During a BLM/Antifa Detroit protest of police involvement in evictions, an independent journalist was assaulted twice filming the event.
NOTE - I’ve posted before on this censorship of BLM/Antifa events because they want to control the optics of their operations and protect rioters from later prosecution via identification from ‘unauthorized ‘ videos.

“White Lives Matter” (WLM) marches were initially announced via Telegram in late March and advertised to be a peaceful event for “all major city centers.” Several Far Left groups, including the Revolutionary Abolitionist Movement (RAM), chapters of the Youth Liberation Front (YLF), and regional Antifa groups, have issued calls for counter rallies. Some WLM events have been dropped in some cities, but Far Left groups are still gathering in solidarity with other cities across the country and calling for the abolition of law enforcement, borders, and prisons. The potential for violence is high for BLM/Antifa strongholds like Portland and Seattle.

Summaries of the Floyd death trial indicate that the prosecution is suffering many self inflicted wounds by its own witnesses. This increases the likely hood of a lower level conviction - if at all and certainly guarantees extensive violence.
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Strategic Developments /Deployments -
Theodore Roosevelt Carrier Strike Group and the Makin Island Amphibious Ready Group (ARG) conducted a coordinated exercise in the South China Sea. I last report the Makin Island being in the eastern India Ocean, it has moved to the SCS.

Philippine and U.S. soldiers will conduct a two-week joint military exercise from Monday, resuming the annual training event after last year’s cancellation due to the pandemic, the Philippine military chief said on Sunday. The US and the Phillippines have been pushed closer together as a result of aggressive Chinese territorial grabs in the South China Sea. So much so that the Phillippines is considering reactivating treaties allowing the stationing US forces in the country again.
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China -
China’s Liaoning aircraft carrier entered the South China Sea this morning. The Liaoning is a 1985 vintage, ex-Soviet era aircraft carrier. Not a top of the shelf vessel.
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Russia - POTENTIAL FOR WAR IN UKRAINE
Twitter feeds continue to show Russian military equipment on the move. Problem is discerning the location and date the videos have been made.

Ukraine has reached out to Turkey for support and Turkey has initially responded. Erdogan announced “Turkey strongly defends the unity and sovereignty of Ukraine. “. “We reiterated our principle to not recognize the annexation of Crimea [by Russia]”
NOTE - Turkish drones ate Russian air defense and other ground units for lunch in Syria and Armenia. If Ukrane can acquire and get trained up FAST on these systems it could mess with Russian operations. Turkish support will put Russia at a further bind as it is the chief competitor for power in the region. Turkey may see this as another opportunity to tie Russia up, this time using Ukraine as a proxy.
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Israel -
Follow up - A reported airstrike conducted by the IDF in Damascus, on April 8, 2021 appears to have targeted an OSA (SA-8)air defense battalion position and a warehouse at this location. This assessment is based on OSINT satellite imagery.
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Iran -
An ’incident’ strikes electrical distribution grid of Iran’s Natanz nuclear facility, Iranian official say. This one day after they announced that it has begun injecting gas into cascades of advanced centrifuges, including one with 164 IR-6 centrifuges, one with 30 IR-5 machines, and another with 30 IR-6s centrifuges. Iran states the power loss was an accident and no damage or hazards resulted, however the Jerusalem Post reports that was not an “accident” and the damage is much graver than what Iran is presenting to the public.
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Reminder - I won’t be able to put anything of this detail out for a little over a week. Keep alert and share the word on your observations. We are really moving into an increasingly dangerous period in our existence .

Wuhan virus -
B.1.1.7 variant, is now the dominant strain in the U.S. Experts say the variant is more contagious, may cause more severe disease and is also potentially more deadly. Michigan is currently among the hardest-hit states in the country and local officials say the state is in the middle of another surge, reporting thousands of new cases daily.
The state also has the second-highest number of reported cases of the B.1.1.7 variant after Florida, according to CDC data. Yet Florida is doing quite well without lock downs, while Michigan is facing another round of draconian measures.
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Globalism / Great Reset -
A creature of the globalist deep swamp Henry Kissinger warned Washington last week to either agree to a new international system or continue pushing tensions that are leading to a situation similar to the eve of World War One.
In a recent Chatham House webinar with former British Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt, 97-year-old Kissinger called on the U.S. to create a balance with existing global forces, adding
“if you imagine that the world commits itself to an endless competition based on the dominance of whoever is superior at the moment, then a breakdown of the order is inevitable. And the consequences of a breakdown would be catastrophic.”
The Kissinger urged the U.S. to understand that not every issue has “final solutions” and warned
“if we don’t get to an understanding with China on that point, then we will be in a pre-World War One-type situation in which there are perennial conflicts that get solved on an immediate basis but one of them gets out of control at some point.”

Cui Bono 2,365 billionaires living on planet earth have seen their wealth increase by a collective $4 trillion - a 54% increase over the span of a year. Put another way, total wealth held by billionaires ballooned to $12.39 trillion, up from $8.04 trillion during the wuhan chaos period. These are those with will initially benefit the most by a ‘global reset’ and are the supporters of it.

22 international “experts” produced a study, saying that people should cut back on meat-eating and to encourage the change in diet, they called for levying taxes on livestock production and meat consumption to reduce the risk of future deadly pandemics. (NOTE the linkage to ‘pandemic’) When one controls the food, they can control the people.

CEOs and executives of more than 100 major corporations took part in a massive Zoom call, to consider a strategy to combat what they claim is “voter suppression” in Georgia and other states currently crafting similar election integrity laws. Corporate ‘buy in’ to the global reset means supporting efforts to gut election integrity.
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Economy -
Average US price of gas holds steady at $2.94 per gallon. Lundberg Survey said prices at the pump are likely to remain stable or drop as wholesale costs begin to decrease. Currently, the price of a gallon of regular-grade gas is 93 cents higher than it was a year ago.

The micro chip shortage is continuing to impact not only the automotive sector but expanding to computer and other electronics as well. A lot of automobile production has stopped because the chips are not available and there is no estimate on when they will be. biden has ordered a review addressing what the federal government can do to move more semiconductor manufacturing to the United States, and to make existing supply lines more resilient. Review isn’t necessary , Trump already identified the issue and was working to get production back into the US.
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Invasion of Illegals -
VP Harris is still AWOL on the border inspire of being assigned that duty by biden 19 days ago.

biden is now looking at a plan that would send American taxpayer money to countries in Latin America in hopes an economic boost would alleviate problems that force citizens in those countries from migrating north to the United States. What could go wrong with that?
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Biden watch -
Biden reportedly spent Sunday afternoon in an unscheduled meeting in the Oval Office with his ‘senior team’, according to the White House. No agenda given, but likely in regards to Iran, Ukrane and Taiwan situations.
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CW2/Domestic violence -
True to form, BLM/Antifa rioters attempted to set fire to the ICE headquarters on Saturday night. Videos show federal agents reacting by firing crowd control munitions at the crowd of black bloc rioters in Oregon’s most populated city.
Shortly before midnight, nearly 100 black bloc demonstrators gathered at the ICE building in Portland for a planned protest, according to independent journalist Grace Morgan.
The ICE building was vandalized with graffiti, including “DHS murders.” Agitators barricaded the front door of the building with a chain link fence.....
“An #antifa gives the #BLM fist salute while the crowd cheers on the burning of the @ICEgov Portland facility last night,” Ngo wrote on Twitter. “Officers were trapped inside when antifa set the building on fire.”
The mob chanted, “Every city, every town, burn the precinct to the ground!”

Riots broke out in Brooklyn Center, Minnesota, after an officer involved shooting earlier in the day. Numerous stores were looted/vandalized including included a Walmart, CVS, Footlocker, Little Caesars and what appear to be several local businesses.
The incident being describe by the police “Brooklyn Center Police Department officers initiated a stop for a traffic violation,” the police wrote in a press release. “Officers determined that the driver of the vehicle had an outstanding warrant. At one point as officers were attempting to take the driver into custody, the driver re-entered the vehicle.”
“One officer discharged their firearm, striking the driver.” Though injured, the suspect apparently continued to flee, causing damage to another nearby vehicle. “The vehicle traveled several blocks before striking another vehicle,” the police press release explains. “Officers in pursuit and responding medical personnel attempted life saving measures, but the person died at the scene.”

The ‘white lives matter’ marches this weekend were largely no shows. It did give the left an excuse to muster and cause trouble - as if they need an excuse.

Washington State is about to ban open carry of weapons near any protest. Though ‘blamed’ on whites, the ban will prohibit carry within 250 of protests. A co-founder of the Federal Way Black Collective, Idahosa-Berry worked with police last summer to organize a teachers march in support of the Black Lives Matter movement. On the day of the march, Idahosa-Berry was walking the route to make sure it was in order when she said she spotted an armed group on top of a gun shop. “We’re talking about weapons that are traditionally seen as weapons of war,” Idahosa-Berry told a legislative committee hearing on March 16. “We were put in danger for the purpose of ‘protecting property.’ ”
OBSERVATION - The only way they would have been put “in danger” would have been if they attempt to vandalize/rob that gun store. But that would have gotten in the way of the narrative. In Washington and Oregon, BLM/Antifa ‘protests’ attempted to spread into more rural/red areas where they were often met by citizens openly carrying arms as a deterrent to violence by the marchers. This citizen right to defense would be neutered by this law.
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North Korea -
According to two senior Japanese intelligence officials North Korea is near completion of a submarine that is most likely configured to fire a ballistic missile. According to the Yonhap News “North Korea is reviewing the right timing to roll out the submarine for a strategic effect, including maximizing pressure against the United States.” The report also added that the “North could reveal the submarine at a launching ceremony and actually roll out an SLBM, such as the Pukguksong-3.”
Pukguksong-3 is a two-stage, solid-fueled ballistic missile with a range of 1,900 km (estimated). From OSINT and commercial satellite photos, North Korea has moved a submersible missile test stand barge at a shipyard on its east coast, another possible sign of a potential submarine missile test. Beyond Parallel (A group of NK analysts) did however note that “it is unclear if these movements portend preparations for a forthcoming submarine-launched ballistic missile test.”
April 15 is coming up, the date of North Korea’s ‘Day of the Sun’ holiday, there is chatter at the moment about the possibility of a pending North Korean SLBM test.

OBSERVATION - Though they have had test launches, NK still hasn’t perfected the submarine launch and this submarine who’s construction has been known and watched is limited by fuel (diesel - electric) and would be a greater threat against US assets in Guam and Hawaii than the continental US.
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Russia - POTENTIAL FOR WAR IN UKRAINE

SoS Blinken says they are concerned about Russia’s actions on the border with Ukraine. Blinken: “President Biden’s been very clear about this. If Russia acts recklessly, or aggressively, there will be costs, there will be consequences.

There have been more Russian troop movements video/photographed and reported on twitter, but dates and locations uncertain in many cases.

Continued cease fire violation along the front.

OBSERVATIONS - lacking strong US leadership, NATO cannot find its way out of a paper bag on this crisis. Lack of a strong response will certainly embolden Putin and undercut Ukranian positions - both potentially leading to combat.

OTHER RUSSIAN ISSUE - Last week, Russia filed a submission to the United Nations Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf to extend a claim to the Arctic Ocean seabed. The new submission would push Russia’s claim all the way up to Canada’s exclusive economic zone, an area 200 nautical miles from the coastline, in which Canadians have sole rights to fish, drill and pursue other economic activities. “In effect, they’re claiming the entire Arctic Ocean as their continental shelf in regards to where their Arctic comes up against Canada’s and Denmark’s.” Robert Huebert (political science professor at the University of Calgary) said.
NOTE - Russia is following China’s example and going to press forward with this to the max given the flaccid US administration.
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Iran -
Iran on Sunday described a blackout at its underground Natanz atomic facility an act of “nuclear terrorism,” raising regional tensions. News now leaking out indicates that it was far beyond a power outage but a large explosion that completely destroyed the independent, internal power system that supplies the underground centrifuges”. Intelligence sources in the Middle East said today that the enormous damage to the process of enrichment in Natanz has been completely halted it”
“Sources also said there were impressive explosions that caused fires in the underground area.”
Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif blames Israel for Natanz attack, saying “Zionists want to take revenge for the success in the path of lifting the oppressive sanctions, but we will not allow it and we will take revenge for these actions from Zionists themselves.”

biden administration wasted no time disavowing any participation in the act.

OBSERVATION - If this is true, and details are coming out that confirm it, this is a huge blow to the Iranian uranium enrichment effort. This likely has destroyed not only the new centrifuges, but the older ones as well, setting Iran’s goal to enrich to weapons grade 9 months (intel estimates) if not years back. This is a national embarrassment to Iran as well since to pull this off indicates deep, deep infiltration by Israel in the program. It will be hard for Iran NOT to strike back in order to save face. In the last 12 months there has been three successful operation against the Iranian nuclear program - two explosions at Natanz attributed to Israel by Iranian officials along with the assassination of head nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh in Iran. Intelligence observers will be monitoring new satellite imagery to look for tell tale evidence of this on the surface. This sabotage is going to hit Iran big in the pocket book - syphoning millions of dollars and other resources away from its other adventures to bring this back on line. It also removes a negotiation point away from any new control agreement between Iran and the West (principally the US), as it can’t threaten to continue enrichment.

OSINT of commercial satellite imagery shows the Iranian spy ship Saviz apparently having taken on water in the stern and listing to the starboard. Photo taken on April 11th.
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Saudi Arabia -
Saudi Arabia has temporarily closed some of the largest civil airports because of several Iranian/Yemeni Shia rebel attempts to attack these airports and destroy airliners and kill civilians. Two ballistic missiles and four UAV cruise missiles were apparently sent after the largest airport in the country, outside the capital Jedda. None these strikes have got past Saudi air defenses but the Saudis realized one cruise or ballistic missile warhead hitting any part of an airport or near one would be a major blow to the Saudi reputation for security from airstrikes or Islamic terrorist attacks.
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I’m back and a bit overwhelmed so lets get summarizing it.

Wuhan virus -
Science on the mask wearing cult - doesn’t end well for Fauciphiles.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7680614/

European regulators on Tuesday said the coronavirus vaccine made by Johnson & Johnson should carry a warning about rare blood clots, but they placed no restrictions on the use of the vaccine inside the European Union.
NOTE - In the US, only 6 (six) potential cases of blood clots from nearly 7 MILLION injections put the brakes on the use for now. Women face a 2000 times greater risk from the pill causing cots than J&J shot. I think J&J was paused BECAUSE it doesn’t not play God with human RNA/DNA as the other ‘vaccines’ do.

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Globalism / Great Reset -
More media calls for wuhan-style lockdowns to save the planet from warming, eating meat, etc.
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Economy -
Inflation is looming big on the horizon. One factoid that caught my eye was that 40% of the money ‘created’ in the US was pumped out within the last year. Not a good thing for long term stability.
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Invasion of Illegals -
Still explosive and overwhelming the border. biden is trying to walk back some of the Trump policies he vetoed a couple months ago but the lid of off.
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CW2/Domestic violence -
Things held relatively quiet and peaceful last night following the conviction of Chauvin on all three counts with scattered incidents. Consensus from even the left is that the verdict was tainted by threats of violence and fear. Portland was kept at a high level of alert based on BLM/Antifa fliers calling for riots regardless of the verdict.

OBSERVATION - The leftist BLM/Antifa will see this as might makes right - condoning their violence and will embolden them to continue to riot when ever the police have to take a black person down - no matter what the circumstances.
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Strategic Developments /Deployments -
USAF F-15s, F-16s, and C-130s are training in Poland in an agile combat employment exercise that comes as Russia executes a massive buildup on the border with neighboring Ukraine, though U.S. officials say the exercise was long-planned.

Four B-52s deployed to Andersen Air Force Base, Guam, on April 17 in the latest Pacific bomber task force mission.

While the Department of Defense publicly has refused to indicate their posture regarding instability in Europe and the Pacific, US Strategic Command indicated the potential that these conflicts could go nuclear. According to the statement, “The spectrum of conflict today is neither linear nor predictable. We must account for the possibility of conflict leading to conditions which could very rapidly drive an adversary to consider nuclear use as their least bad option.”
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Russia - POTENTIAL FOR WAR IN UKRAINE

Russian President Vladimir Putin, in his annual State of the Nation speech, warned on Wednesday against provoking his country, promising a swift retaliation against anyone who crossed “red lines.“ His warnings were clearly directed towards NATO assistance to Ukrane and any other regional involvement. Russia is currently involved in a diplomatic dispute with the Czech Republic, and is facing increased threats of sanctions. Most recently, in response to recent sanctions and rhetoric surrounding Ukraine, US ambassador to Russia John Sullivan is being sent home by order of the Kremlin to “consult” with the Biden administration about the future of US-Russia relations.

Russian is attempting to close off the Black Sea to other countries. Britain is sending a naval task force to the Black Sea. The US tucked tail and left following Russian threats.

Turkish Foreign Minister confirmed the sale of armed drones to Ukraine, revealed no pre-conditions set on their use, and Ukraine can deploy drones against a third country if it wants. Turkish/Ukrainian military links as being seen as more significant than initially thought. Turkey has been successful in three previous incidents with Russia - Libya, Syria and /Armenia. If supplied with adequate drones and training, Ukraine could reproduce similar successes.

FORCE DEPLOYMENTS - Reports of trains/convoys entering there border region have significantly dropped, indicating that the build up phase has ended.
The current estimate is that there are approximately 150,000 Russian soldiers on the border of Ukraine. Stationed in Crimea is the 76th Air Assault division. This division suffered heavy casualties in the invasion of Crimea and Dombas but has been deployed there again because is it one of the more combat ready units available to Putin. Separatist forces number approximately 50,000, giving a combined force of about 200,000.

Current estimates of Ukraine forces is about 150,000-200,000 active duty and 1 million reserves.

News reports that ‘invasions markings’ have been seen on Russian equipment. Russian Su-30 fighter jets have also been seen in Crimea.
Other strategic assets have been deployed to the region to support operations.

OPERATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS -
Wet/soft soils continued to be a limiter to ground offensive operations. Regional forecasts call for daily rain for the next week at a minimum. With strong armored forces in Crimea and the Voronezh regions and separatists in the center are positioned to make a limited attack into Ukraine to the banks of the Dnieper River, capturing approximately 1/3 the country. The Dnieper River is a substantial obstacle and would require substantial forces and equipment to cross - units not observed as part of the build up.

Such a land grab will be at a cost and I think Russia is fighting the 2014 battle again. Over the past 8 years, Ukraine has increased military spending on training and equipment to meet the shortfalls of 2014 and though facing a larger force, it will be defending the homeland and benefits of internal lines of communication and bonuses of defensive operations if the terrain remains muddy/soft. Watch the weather and moon stage.
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Israel -
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is no longer seeking a government that relies on the outside support of the Ra’am Party (United Arab List), he said Tuesday at a press conference in the Prime Minister’s Office in Jerusalem.
Netanyahu no longer sees any chance of forming a government, although he still intends to maintain his mandate to form a government, which ends on May 4, his associates said. Instead, he would seek a direct election for prime minister, which will pass if Yamina supports it, Netanyahu said. “We don’t need Ra’am,” he said. “We need a direct election to form a government.”
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Iran -
In response to the extensive damage at its underground uranium facility, Iran is threatening to enrich to 60% immediately. Question is from what facility? Its main facility will be down for about 9 months.
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Afghanistan -
biden’s call to remove US forces by 9/11 is an insult to our servicemen and women as a concession that the US lost the war against the Taliban. Actually it was the State Department under Condi Rice that initiated the loss and the whole misplaced rebuild Afghanistan program.
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Black Swans -
Drought conditions in the West and midwest threaten crops for this year. Lack of winter snow and rains threaten not only California but the rest of the Four Corners region and northward to North Dakota. Crop failures will add to the rapidly increasing cost for food this summer.

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