I’m back and a bit overwhelmed so lets get summarizing it.
Wuhan virus -
Science on the mask wearing cult - doesn’t end well for Fauciphiles.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7680614/
European regulators on Tuesday said the coronavirus vaccine made by Johnson & Johnson should carry a warning about rare blood clots, but they placed no restrictions on the use of the vaccine inside the European Union.
NOTE - In the US, only 6 (six) potential cases of blood clots from nearly 7 MILLION injections put the brakes on the use for now. Women face a 2000 times greater risk from the pill causing cots than J&J shot. I think J&J was paused BECAUSE it doesn’t not play God with human RNA/DNA as the other ‘vaccines’ do.
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Globalism / Great Reset -
More media calls for wuhan-style lockdowns to save the planet from warming, eating meat, etc.
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Economy -
Inflation is looming big on the horizon. One factoid that caught my eye was that 40% of the money ‘created’ in the US was pumped out within the last year. Not a good thing for long term stability.
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Invasion of Illegals -
Still explosive and overwhelming the border. biden is trying to walk back some of the Trump policies he vetoed a couple months ago but the lid of off.
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CW2/Domestic violence -
Things held relatively quiet and peaceful last night following the conviction of Chauvin on all three counts with scattered incidents. Consensus from even the left is that the verdict was tainted by threats of violence and fear. Portland was kept at a high level of alert based on BLM/Antifa fliers calling for riots regardless of the verdict.
OBSERVATION - The leftist BLM/Antifa will see this as might makes right - condoning their violence and will embolden them to continue to riot when ever the police have to take a black person down - no matter what the circumstances.
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Strategic Developments /Deployments -
USAF F-15s, F-16s, and C-130s are training in Poland in an agile combat employment exercise that comes as Russia executes a massive buildup on the border with neighboring Ukraine, though U.S. officials say the exercise was long-planned.
Four B-52s deployed to Andersen Air Force Base, Guam, on April 17 in the latest Pacific bomber task force mission.
While the Department of Defense publicly has refused to indicate their posture regarding instability in Europe and the Pacific, US Strategic Command indicated the potential that these conflicts could go nuclear. According to the statement, “The spectrum of conflict today is neither linear nor predictable. We must account for the possibility of conflict leading to conditions which could very rapidly drive an adversary to consider nuclear use as their least bad option.”
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Russia - POTENTIAL FOR WAR IN UKRAINE
Russian President Vladimir Putin, in his annual State of the Nation speech, warned on Wednesday against provoking his country, promising a swift retaliation against anyone who crossed “red lines.“ His warnings were clearly directed towards NATO assistance to Ukrane and any other regional involvement. Russia is currently involved in a diplomatic dispute with the Czech Republic, and is facing increased threats of sanctions. Most recently, in response to recent sanctions and rhetoric surrounding Ukraine, US ambassador to Russia John Sullivan is being sent home by order of the Kremlin to “consult” with the Biden administration about the future of US-Russia relations.
Russian is attempting to close off the Black Sea to other countries. Britain is sending a naval task force to the Black Sea. The US tucked tail and left following Russian threats.
Turkish Foreign Minister confirmed the sale of armed drones to Ukraine, revealed no pre-conditions set on their use, and Ukraine can deploy drones against a third country if it wants. Turkish/Ukrainian military links as being seen as more significant than initially thought. Turkey has been successful in three previous incidents with Russia - Libya, Syria and /Armenia. If supplied with adequate drones and training, Ukraine could reproduce similar successes.
FORCE DEPLOYMENTS - Reports of trains/convoys entering there border region have significantly dropped, indicating that the build up phase has ended.
The current estimate is that there are approximately 150,000 Russian soldiers on the border of Ukraine. Stationed in Crimea is the 76th Air Assault division. This division suffered heavy casualties in the invasion of Crimea and Dombas but has been deployed there again because is it one of the more combat ready units available to Putin. Separatist forces number approximately 50,000, giving a combined force of about 200,000.
Current estimates of Ukraine forces is about 150,000-200,000 active duty and 1 million reserves.
News reports that ‘invasions markings’ have been seen on Russian equipment. Russian Su-30 fighter jets have also been seen in Crimea.
Other strategic assets have been deployed to the region to support operations.
OPERATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS -
Wet/soft soils continued to be a limiter to ground offensive operations. Regional forecasts call for daily rain for the next week at a minimum. With strong armored forces in Crimea and the Voronezh regions and separatists in the center are positioned to make a limited attack into Ukraine to the banks of the Dnieper River, capturing approximately 1/3 the country. The Dnieper River is a substantial obstacle and would require substantial forces and equipment to cross - units not observed as part of the build up.
Such a land grab will be at a cost and I think Russia is fighting the 2014 battle again. Over the past 8 years, Ukraine has increased military spending on training and equipment to meet the shortfalls of 2014 and though facing a larger force, it will be defending the homeland and benefits of internal lines of communication and bonuses of defensive operations if the terrain remains muddy/soft. Watch the weather and moon stage.
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Israel -
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is no longer seeking a government that relies on the outside support of the Ra’am Party (United Arab List), he said Tuesday at a press conference in the Prime Minister’s Office in Jerusalem.
Netanyahu no longer sees any chance of forming a government, although he still intends to maintain his mandate to form a government, which ends on May 4, his associates said. Instead, he would seek a direct election for prime minister, which will pass if Yamina supports it, Netanyahu said. “We don’t need Ra’am,” he said. “We need a direct election to form a government.”
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Iran -
In response to the extensive damage at its underground uranium facility, Iran is threatening to enrich to 60% immediately. Question is from what facility? Its main facility will be down for about 9 months.
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Afghanistan -
biden’s call to remove US forces by 9/11 is an insult to our servicemen and women as a concession that the US lost the war against the Taliban. Actually it was the State Department under Condi Rice that initiated the loss and the whole misplaced rebuild Afghanistan program.
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Black Swans -
Drought conditions in the West and midwest threaten crops for this year. Lack of winter snow and rains threaten not only California but the rest of the Four Corners region and northward to North Dakota. Crop failures will add to the rapidly increasing cost for food this summer.
Missed your reports.
Thank you
I’m back and a bit overwhelmed so lets get summarizing it.
Globalism / Great Reset -
The WH will be hosting a global warming conference including the likes if Bill Gates. There continues to be calls to institute wuhan like global shutdowns to force green goals and standards.
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Economy -
WH is beginning to direct aid to drought stricken areas of the west.
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Biden watch -
Wednesday, Biden warned that Americans may be forced to cancel their plans for celebrating the 4th of July this year if too many Americans choose to not get a coronavirus vaccine, as reported by the New York Post.
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CW2/Domestic violence -
The United States Postal Service is running a “covert operation program” to monitor the social media activity of American citizens without their knowledge or consent, according to official documents.
The documents, obtained by Yahoo News, reveal a program called Internet Covert Operations Program (iCOP) which hasn’t previously been made public, that’s meant to monitor the activity of conservatives and “right-wing” Americans.
OBSERVATION - This operation spells out all kinds of illegalities and potential abuses. Its charter calls for actions and threats sent by mail - not screening internet social accounts. Civil rights leaders are sounding the alarm over this supposedly innocuous government agency spying on American citizens instead of focusing on mail -related issues. But it makes perfect sense in that it is taking an obscure unit and turning it into a spy on Americans - circumventing the the traditional intelligence collection agencies and associated laws.
There is a schism developing between BLM and Antifa in Portland after Antifa destroyed a number of businesses and organizations that provide support to the black community. Leaders from Portland’s Black community write an open letter calling on white protesters to stop “doing damage to us.”
More sporadic violence following the Floyd verdict. BLM activists continue to warn that ‘reform’ and defunding the police haven’t gone far enough as they continue to look for more incidents to bring their riots to bear upon.
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Cyber Warfare -
The Chinese Communist Party is believed to be responsible for newly found hack attacks on the U.S. government, businesses and American infrastructure, cybersecurity company Mandiant said Wednesday. This is the third major cybersecurity breach to hit the U.S. in recent months — including two in March blamed on hackers linked to China’s government: one targeting 30,000 U.S. victims, including small businesses and local governments, the other hitting Microsoft.
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Russia - POTENTIAL FOR WAR IN UKRAINE
Russia’s defense minister on Thursday ordered troops back to their permanent bases following massive drills in Crimea that involved dozens of navy ships, hundreds of warplanes and thousands of troops in a show of force amid tensions with Ukraine. After watching the drills, Russian Defense Minister Shoigu declared the maneuvers over and ordered the military to pull the troops taking part in maneuvers in Crimea and western Russia back to their permanent bases. It is also being indicated that the heavy equipment / armor will remain at the forward bases that were set up at Pogonovo firing range in the southwestern Voronezh region and Crimea.
CLOSELY MONITORING - This could be a head fake or a real pull back of the approximately 150,000 Russian forces that were deployed the border region of Ukraine.
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Israel -
Syria launched a SA-5 surface-to-air missile toward Israel from Syria and that it exploded in the southern Negev. Initial concern was that it was targeting the Israeli nuclear research facility in the area. There was much initial confusion as to the nature of incident. Israel just prior to the SA-5 launch was striking Iranian bases around Damascus. IAF units conducted counter strikes against Syrian ADA batteries including the one suspected of firing the rocket.
OBSERVATION - uncertain if this was a rogue that missed an earlier target and didn’t preemptively self destruct or was designed to travel ballistically.
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Iran -
The UN atomic agency on Wednesday said Iran has installed additional advanced centrifuges at its Natanz nuclear plant, the site of a recent blast blamed on Israel. According to a report by the International Atomic Energy Agency, seen by Reuters, Iran added two more cascades of IR-4 centrifuges and six clusters of IR-2m at its underground facility. The IAEA also confirmed that some of the centrifuges were in use and said the Islamic Republic plans to install another four cascades of the IR-4 at Natanz. Iran said it began enriching a small amount of uranium up to 60 percent purity at the site — its highest level ever, and a short step from weapons-grade. The UN atomic agency confirmed the enrichment, saying it was being done in an above-ground facility at Natanz.
OBSERVATION - Iran has accelerated getting its underground facility back in operation. Initial estimates of 9 months now appear to be too long and could be fully operational again in far less time.
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