It doesn’t look great, but I think he can lose Arizona as long as he wins Michigan, Pennsylvania, or Nevada.
Please let me know you analysis of the above data
Could be some of the dims are voting secretly for Trump.
Predictable given the DemoKKKrats ‘ emphasis on VBM.
They will be above their 2016 early vote #s everywhere.
Should I be concerned about this?
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No. The Democrats have been heavily pushing Mail-In ballots to their base whereas Republicans are pushing in person voting. Arizona will be close but Trump should win.
I’ve been doing the map assuming that AZ is lost. If Trump manages to hold it that would be icing in the cake. McCain was their Senator for decades, that’s swamp central;not to mention all of the implants
Maricopa has been trending leftward for years and, if it hasn’t tipped already, is about to do so. As Maricopa goes, so goes Arizona as a whole. It doesn’t help that a corrupt Democrat cockroach (Adrian Fontes) runs the county election office.
Ask the duly “elected” lesbian Senator from Arizona how much help he was to her in 2018 after Martha McSally won that race on election night.
| County | Trump# | Trump% | Clinton# | Clinton% | Others# | Others% | Total Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apache | 8,240 | 30.50% | 17,083 | 63.24% | 1,783 | 6.58% | 27,106 |
| Cochise | 28,092 | 57.41% | 17,450 | 35.66% | 3,833 | 7.76% | 49,375 |
| Coconino | 21,108 | 36.45% | 32,404 | 56.44% | 4,919 | 8.42% | 58,431 |
| Gila | 14,182 | 63.88% | 7,003 | 31.55% | 1,123 | 5.03% | 22,308 |
| Graham | 8,025 | 67.22% | 3,301 | 27.65% | 806 | 6.64% | 12,132 |
| Greenlee | 1,892 | 58.34% | 1,092 | 33.67% | 286 | 8.75% | 3,270 |
| La Paz | 4,003 | 68.29% | 1,575 | 26.87% | 296 | 5.04% | 5,874 |
| Maricopa | 747,361 | 46.45% | 702,907 | 43.69% | 158,607 | 9.86% | 1,608,875 |
| Mohave | 58,282 | 73.67% | 17,455 | 22.06% | 3,607 | 4.55% | 79,344 |
| Navajo | 20,577 | 52.56% | 16,459 | 42.04% | 2,609 | 6.58% | 39,645 |
| Pima | 167,428 | 40.45% | 224,661 | 54.28% | 24,297 | 5.84% | 416,386 |
| Pinal | 72,819 | 57.25% | 47,892 | 37.65% | 7,524 | 5.87% | 128,235 |
| Santa Cruz | 3,897 | 24.45% | 11,690 | 71.58% | 700 | 4.30% | 16,287 |
| Yavapai | 71,330 | 63.40% | 35,590 | 31.63% | 6,224 | 5.50% | 113,144 |
| Yuma | 25,165 | 48.12% | 24,605 | 47.05% | 2,641 | 5.04% | 52,411 |
I noticed this was from ABC15...they are so in the tank for Biden.
Not sure how accurate these figures are.
Not sure I understand the concern about this. In most state analyses I’ve been reading, heavier than expected early voting for GOP is considered good news, given how heavily the Dems have been pushing mail in voting. Repubs tend to vote heavily on election day, so if the Dems dont roll up a decisive edge early, they are in trouble.
I truly don’t think you can ever really tell too much about early voting showing up. No one knows who will show up on Election Day. Republicans usually always out perform Dems. Plus, most importantly party loyalty and Independents in all races determine. More important need to know breakdown of Super Voters left for each party..They may have shot their wad.
Phoenix proper is Dem, but Mesa, Tempe, Glendale, Scottsdale are Republican. Some of the NYC/Chicago retirees in Scottsdale are bad news. Some of the CA transplants (not all) are also bad news). Republicans come out stronger on election day proper, so I wouldn’t panic.
..Trump will win AZ by a larger margin than 2016. And the other side is terrified. Their sign stealing is pathetic...