Posted on 03/23/2020 5:44:30 AM PDT by Its All Over Except ...
The mortality rate for the coronavirus in the US continues to fall as more and more Americans are able to be tested.
12 days ago the US coronavirus mortality rate was 4.06 Today the mortality rate is down to 1.25%!
4.06% March 8 (22 deaths of 541 cases) 3.69% March 9 (26 of 704) 3.01% March 10 (30 of 994) 2.95% March 11 (38 of 1,295) 2.52% March 12 (42 of 1,695) 2.27% March 13 (49 of 2,247) 1.93% March 14 (57 of 2,954) 1.84% March 15 (68 of 3,680) 1.6% March 17 (116 of 7,301) 1.4% March 19 (161 of 11,329) 1.25% March 20 (237 of 18,845)
Yossi Getetner posted a list earlier in the week. Thanks to the fraudulent numbers by the WHO the global economies are in a meltdown.
...
(Excerpt) Read more at domigood.com ...
Truly this is the response we should have to something like weaoinized Ebola.
Based on professional experience, I can assure you that the occupancy rate at 60%’ish is a joke. Any hospital that was 35% empty would be out of business.
All of the amateur statisticians pulling numbers off of Wikipedia are not doing anyone, any service.
People are so interested in counting raindrops, they cannot perceive how hard it’s raining, and whether the room needs repair.
But, it’s just the flu.
“You should care because the cure may be much worse than the disease”
I’m not arguing that the self-imposed Great Depression America is now dealing with might be worse than letting the virus run its course. It seems that might entail accepting the deaths of many older Americans, especially those with pre-existing conditions.
I have felt for years that our partially socialized health-care system was wasting far too much money on hopeless treatments for those in the last months of their lives. My opinion is that such treatment should be available only for those who can pay for it out of their own pockets. People like me are often accused of wanting to implement “death panels”. That unwillingness to accept that old people tend to die just might destroy our country now.
I still don’t give a damn what % of infected cases are dying. It’s meaningless.
Bingo!
Shopping is now indeed the “Pathogen Lottery..”
I haven’t been inside a store since late Feb.
We switched to delivery with Instacart, but there are a lot of other similar services.
Push comes to pull, you could try curbside pickup if your store offers it.
I Lysol or Clorox Wipe every single item I buy. But you can supposedly use soap and water as well. Then, I leave it untouched in my basement for over a week to let any missed virus particles die off. Only after a week OR TWO, will I put the item away - unless it’s something that needs immediate refrigeration or freezing.
Goes without saying, but wash the heck out of your hands afterward..and toss your clothes in the wash. Lysol your shoes and coat if you have Lysol to use..(rare as a purple unicorn at this point to buy - at least around here)..
Good luck..I’ve found shopping TRULY sucks at this point and it’s stressful beyond words for sure.
It is when provided the same stats up to just a few days ago that Brit Hume provided.
But that isn’t the point. The point is all you want is Room, Doom, Doom talk and speculation the sky WILL fall when you don’t know it will.
It might, sure, but a meteorite might wipe us out, too.
Point is, saying the sky will fall wont stop or make it fall, and it destroys hope.
People cannot right now hokwup.24/7 from everything and everyone. You have to buy groceries, etc.
So in the meantime we don’t go by Doom, Doom, Doom and speculation the sky will fall but wash hands alot, eat well, and on and on like I’ve already said. Do what you can and be safe.
No, that is not the situation at all. It is pretty easy to keep those types isolated and let the rest of society go on..
So you don’t believe in God? Or fate? When it’s your time to go, it’s your time. How would you ever leave the house if you thought otherwise?
Just out of curiosity. What is special about the United States thst we would have 100,000,,000 infections when 9 weeks into this there are on 1/3 million infections world wide
You are forecasting a 300x infection rate in the US vs the world? Seriously?
Exponential growth.
We are still in the first inning.
No...only 3,000,000 (and yes, that IS sarcasm).
What did I do?
Not this. It’s not the same. Not even really comparable. I know people want to say it’s the same, and they keep trying to rationalize it, but it’s not the same.
The reason this is happening is because they know what this is, they know what it’s going to do, and they aren’t telling.
And like I said, I’m going to the store in just a few minutes, so staying inside and don’t ever come out isn’t going to happen, angry person.
The death rate will continue to decline until the new cases level off. Then the deaths from the old cases will increase, and so will the death rate. Still, good news overall.
Not true whatsoever that the people it kills “only” have serious underlying problems.
Massive amounts of data to the contrary all over the place.
Don’t believe the spin from the .gov. It’s the claim they are making to calm the masses, NOT reality.
Because in ADDITION to all those other risks we all get to negotiate every day, we also now all get to negotiate a Chinese WMD thanks to the murdering Chinese.
It’s not vexing. It’s not hard to figure out.
We can go by concrete, real stats.
March 20 (237 of 18,845) = 1.26% dead-so-far. The unknown is simply assumed to all be survivors.
For yesterday evening’s stats: cases 33276, dead 417, recovered 178.
You need cohort studies to determine the fatality rate during the middle of an outbreak. Until then, the only concrete number we actually have for US cases is 417/(417+178) = 70%, which is grossly overstated because it takes less time to die than it does to recover and it is still very early in the cycle.
We have hints - to the extent we trust them - from China’s numbers, which are aligning to a fatality rate of about 4.0-4.3% of reported cases. Hopefully we do better than that, given we have already established treatments.
It is just as unreasonable to say each that the death rate is 1.25% and to say that the survival rate is 0.53%, when 98.21% are still sick.
Even moreso when over half had been identified within the previous three days, and the typical time between onset of symptoms and death is around 8 days and can be up to 41 days.
A commenter on Instapundit writes:
Our family member who is a physician’s assistant at an urgent care clinic just got laid off because there isn’t enough protective equipment for all the personnel. All the part time staff was laid off, & the owner will close three of his four clinics during a pandemic because of lack of protective gear — scary.
And yet here you are.
Or bat soup caused.
But I am not going to give into speculation.
It could be either or neither. As with other things, I don’t know.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.