Posted on 03/23/2020 5:44:30 AM PDT by Its All Over Except ...
The mortality rate for the coronavirus in the US continues to fall as more and more Americans are able to be tested.
12 days ago the US coronavirus mortality rate was 4.06 Today the mortality rate is down to 1.25%!
4.06% March 8 (22 deaths of 541 cases) 3.69% March 9 (26 of 704) 3.01% March 10 (30 of 994) 2.95% March 11 (38 of 1,295) 2.52% March 12 (42 of 1,695) 2.27% March 13 (49 of 2,247) 1.93% March 14 (57 of 2,954) 1.84% March 15 (68 of 3,680) 1.6% March 17 (116 of 7,301) 1.4% March 19 (161 of 11,329) 1.25% March 20 (237 of 18,845)
Yossi Getetner posted a list earlier in the week. Thanks to the fraudulent numbers by the WHO the global economies are in a meltdown.
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(Excerpt) Read more at domigood.com ...
I’d like to believe that this is all about an election, but it’s not.
So why aren’t they just quarantining the elderly and the chronically sick or worse?
Because it isn’t fair?
Discrimination?
Gotta have everyone scanned or patted down because it would be discriminatory not to and because of a few radicals when Israel does selective targeting in airports and does just fine?
And the reason that it's that low is that they went full big brother on their population. They trace and track EVERY case and then electronically notify people via cell phone if they are near the suspected person by sending them the person's name and address. They also track the movements of all suspected cases via monitoring of their phones and debit/credit cards to see if they've broken quarantine.
Not exactly.
1) Folks on other sites (not credentialed in the field, but "number crunchers" had noted about a month ago, the presence of two strains of the virus, with different R0 and virulence, based solely upon different rates of spread in different places.
2) It looks like China got mostly the mild, with some of the bad one. Iran and Italy got the bad one.
3) The problem is not necessarily immediate deaths...Italy and Iran make it hard to tell that, partly because of the more severe kind, partly because social factors (Italy has old populations, extended family with older relatives all in the same small domicile, very touchy-feely; Iran has bad medical care). 4) What might also matter, is the % of people who need a hospital or ICU. 10%-20% need a hospital, 1/3 of them need the ICU.
Too many of them and you drown the hospitals in cases, as in Wuhan and Italy (Italy has instituted triage, not for 80-year-olds, but for 60-year-olds being the cutoff on age).
So at least a 300 times now deaths?
Where do you get this?
Speculation?
and almost 100% have SERIOUS underlying problems???
It’s like the shift to calling a 50-year-old “elderly”, when to most of us it means people at least in their 70s.
That may be true but it's nowhere near the number of icu beds we need if let this thing rip through the population. This is the biggest fear of government and what the containment strategy is built around.
I’m very glad that y’all were able to do that to be honest. That’s the type of thing people need to be happy. I’m very worried it’s about to become a relic from some other place and time.
I hope that’s not the case, but I’m worried.
Especially with Itally, but really everywhere, I see this disease as a lion and the population is the herd of gazelles. The disease picks of the old and weak.
That’s why some are calling it the “boomer remover”. I’m 66 and I think that’s funny, BTW.
The important thing to note, however, is that it will only take a tiny fraction of the herd. Most will still die of other causes - like the flu.
Life’ll kill you - Warren Zevon
And you can see beyond a month. And you know the answers? Holy carp. Please let me bask in the glory of your arrogance. Project much?
I never take anything seriously that is said by WHO. They are to actual health issues the equivalent of the IPCC regarding global warming. You can laugh at them, but don’t take them seriously.
Well I hope you are correct. But I seriously doubt it. Do you remember 60,000,000 infected? Do you you remember 18,000 deaths.
What do you see in the present trends of both infections and deaths that tell you I’m overstating my case. The infection rates we are running will easily get us to 60,000,000 in a month or so. And out current fatality rate is way higher that it was with the swine flu.
What is your prediction for the state of things at the end of April 2020?
Assuming 1% (instead of the 1.25% in the article to make the calcs simple) times a population of 300,000,000.
"Speculation?"
Math. Although I suspect the article is speculation.
No it’s not just about an election but It would have been handled much differently if it was 3/21 instead of 3/20. Cost/benefit analysis is out the window now for one thing.
The only aspect of this that worries me is stuff like markets crashing and businesses closing. I’m more concerned about the impact of our response than the impact of the disease. A lot more.
But it is a significsnt drop from 4.06% in less than a month
The deaths/cases figure is flawed, as it goes down the faster the disease spreads, and then up when the disease is brought into control - regardless of the actual proportion of people it kills.
Gee I guess that MBA i have alongside my MD makes me a complete fool. Assume much?
Who is that??
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