Natie “The Nebbish” Silver’s prediction of 35 seat Democrat pickups is an unsupported lie

I said the left has nothing, but fake “polls” left, and they will crank them out at a furious rate.

It is not a surprise then that the Prince of Lies, Natie The Nebbish Silver of 538.com has squeaked out a ridiculous “prediction” that Democrats have a 75% chance of winning the House back and gaining 35 seats along the way. This is a lie.

Now this could possibly be taken seriously if the Democrats were on the right side of even a single-issue Americans care about; but alas they are super glued to the wrong side on every issue.

The Democrats have been identified as being “out of step” with mainstream America by 56% of voters.

Democrats support sanctuary cities while 84% of Americans disapprove of sanctuary cities/states.

By 69/31 Americans approve of the Trump economy the Democrats call fake and crumbs.

Unemployment for women African Americans, Hispanics and millennial are at record lows.

The business community reports the most optimum in 15 years, and we have a 4.1 GDP.

Democrats are against building the wall and 60% of Americans want the wall built.

Add to these wrong positions, the Democrats’ generic ballot lead is gone, and the Brennan Center For Justice reporting Democrats have to out vote Republicans by 11 points to regain control of Congress.

Black support for Trump is between 31% and 36% with Hispanic support around 44%.

The Democrats are increasingly being identified with antifa and Venezuelan socialism and the DNC is collecting record low donations while the RNC is bring in record donations.

The RNC is using their record $213 million in donations to open offices in 27 states staffed by 500 paid campaign managers supported by 15,000 registered volunteers (Trump won with 5000 registered volunteers).

Few Democrat Senators running in states Trump won are at 50% and many are seriously below that mark.

And add this for good measure; in a story the New York Times carried about how there are two Democrat seats that will probably flip in Minnesota, they also mentioned there are two seats in Nevada one, in Pennsylvania, one in New Hampshire, one in Florida that are likely flips as well.

So, what is the argument against saying the Democrats won’t lose seats? There is none.

I looked at the dems attendance during their primary elections in Michigan, Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconisn. They turned out in HUGE numbers compared to the GOP who voted.

I am afraid. They dems really got out the vote by huge margins. These are not polls. They are actually voting results.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dD1mLBlbauY

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UY8aREDKqYU

Pray, pray pray and bring a friend to the polls.

“Based on what? What - what you feel?”

No ... not feelings ... it’s based on what I’ve seen in the current spate of special elections, polling data out there right now, and historical trends ... nothing more.

The Democratic base is angry and *wants* to turn out. They’re getting solid, election day numbers out to the polls for special elections. You can’t deny that.

The Republicans are not turning out their voters in these contests leading up to this fall. I saw it myself in a special election in my own frigging district ... PA-18! Call it what you will ... complacency, unappealing candidate, etc. Republicans didn’t get out and vote like they did in 2016. Now that was certainly going to happen since it wasn’t a POTUS election, but the Dems turned out their voters in impressive numbers.

I said in my post is that the +30 number is mostly worthless *right now* since campaigning hasn’t started. Outside of a few commercials and the like, nobody has been hit with anything election related ... that is going to change this fall (it usually starts right after Labor Day weekend ... and the Republicans had better hit the ground running)! Where +30 has some value is that it should motivate Trump supporters to the polls to vote against Democrats.

That was the point of my post. Are we “losing” right now ... yeah, almost certainly, on paper, given historical trends and limited data. That doesn’t mean we are guaranteed to lose anything since the frigging game hasn’t been played yet! :-).

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