Posted on 11/05/2016 4:18:00 PM PDT by grey_whiskers
Is Mulllins or whatever the guy running big in Utah running in Nev? If yes then we could be looking at fully half of other in both categories going to 3rd parties. If not them likely in line with rest of nation and at 6-7% for Johnson and Stein. That would leave roughly 15% of the vote for the top 2. Since most polls i’ve seen have indies breaking for Trump the second scenario is better. The fewer indies that go to the top 2 tickets would hurt Trump,
If Trump is +25 on indies its about dead heat with repubs generally better turnout on election day
How is this vs 2012?
Reid won his last senate seat with a combination of Republican sabotage and Democrat shenanigans. SEIU was bussing legals and illegals to the polls with goodies on the way.
It’s not very bad. I know the flow of numbers is hard to follow, but make the effort. I used reasonable assumptions. The lead is likely 11,000 votes with over 420K likely to be cast Tuesday, and the GOP always is stronger on election day because the early voting stuff is a mostly Dem thing.
Crossovers and Independents are very powerful in this state.
Latest poll from CNN says that Trump has a double digit lead with election day voters.
Hotair via “Nevada politics guru Jon Ralston” says Trump has lost Nevada. Maybe somebody with a stronger stomach than me can wade through this mess of an article:
http://www.electproject.org/2012_early_vote
Scroll down to NV. This is the right question. Slight improvement from 2012.
See my post #25.
this early voting surge by Hispanics is making me sick
I concur!
Two Hellary signs in my NoVa neighborhood.
Two Trump signs, one Johnson sign, you barely know there is a major election.
my stomach ache is gone.
Trump doing well among hispanos voters.
votantes
Gotta stop panicking, Petey. It’s the rodents who are the ones in hysteria because they know what’s going to happen on Tuesday when we start to take our country back from the farces of darkness.
Where did you read that? That’s GREAT!!
everytime I panic, trump drops in the polls in ct.
I get to vote for a GOP winner this year.
first time since Rowland 2002. except town elections where GOP is trouncing lately.
maybe the CT state Senate goes GOP on TUES
21 to 15 now. pick up 3 or 4. shock me.
He gets 40 percent hispanic, we’re FLYING into the WH.
Trump’s ahead? On Fox, they said there were so many Latinos, it was a lost cause.
Trump’s ahead? On Fox, they said there were so many Latinos, it was a lost cause.
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