Posted on 10/26/2016 11:20:39 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Earlier this morning, we ran a feature encouraging Democrats not to count their presidential chickens before they hatch—drawing on recent history, including Brexit and this year’s Republican primary—and it appears our timing couldn’t have been better. (Or worse, depending on how you look at it.) Recent polls from swing states are somehow indicating that Donald J. Trump, candidate for president, is making a comeback. Here’s a snapshot of what might be a legitimate comeback, with a nod to Real Clear Politics and their thorough poll aggregation:
Florida
A Bloomberg poll released today has Trump leading by two points.
Nevada
A Remington Review poll, released yesterday, puts Trump up three points.
Ohio
The last five polls, from Remington, Suffolk, Quinnipiac, CNN/ORC, and NBC/WSJ/Marist, have Trump either leading or tied.
Arizona
A Monmouth poll conducted from Friday to Monday puts Trump up one point.
Colorado
A Remington poll has Clinton up a mere two points, which, when you consider how Trump’s unique brand of nativist supporters have been underestimated in GOP primary polling, and a similar brand of UK voter was similarly dismissed before the Brexit voting, this is scary.
There are also too-narrow leads for Clinton in “stronghold” states like Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan. It’s hard to know exactly why this is happening. It’s not like Trump has been any more presidential in his behavior over the past two weeks. The news of Obamacare premium spikes may play into the number, but that report was released Monday, so it shouldn’t have affected most of these polls, which were taken over the weekend. (In fact, if you’re a Dem, it’s an especially terrible harbinger that this “comeback” happened before that piece of bad news.)
Now, it’s not all doom and gloom—Clinton is still the clubhouse leader (Nate Silver has her at 85% to win), and she could actually lose the first four states above and still win the election, provided she holds onto Virginia. Plus, there are a few traditionally red states like North Carolina that look like they may go blue in November.
That being said, this is no slam dunk, and the really annoying thing is that for people who fear a Trump presidency, there will be no premature relief—the specter of his potential ascent to the highest office in the land will haunt us at least until election day.
GET OUT AND VOTE!
I sense the only comeback Trump is making is in the media-driven polls. His support for this election has been pretty consistent if his rally sizes are any indication.
Trump is going to win in a landslide.
I never believed he was behind.
The amount of people showing up to his events is pretty amazing.
FOX News Reporter: Seeing Trump Rally Crowds “How Could He Possibly Be Losing?” (VIDEO)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3484966/posts
Mother of mercy, is this the end of Hillary?
Exactly ... I’ll watch and see where this thread goes, but no .. Trump is not making a come back ... the scales are falling from the eyes of Americans.
More enemedia fairy tales to feed the liberally factual impaired. Trump never fell back to be making a “comeback”.
Propagandists often fall for and actually believe their own BS. Trump was NEVER behind.
I dunno. I thought Romney was leading in the polls last time and he also had enthusiastic rallies, but then we got snookered.
I don’t believe he has ever been down.
At worst a statistical tie.
Trump rally in Tampa, 25,000 people with thousands more having to be turned away for lack of room
HilLIARy rally in Tampa, 300 people
any questions?
those 24,700+ extra votes just MIGHT be enough to overcome the D’s Deceased Voters bloc
The only ones who believe he is making a comeback are those who believed the faked polls.
I won’t be greedy, I’ll settle for 272 EV’s
Dukakis had huge crowds and was leading big 2 weeks before the election.
We know the media polls were always designed to suppress the Trump vote. So, some of the apparent comeback is the removal of the lies in the polls so as to maintain credibility, since their effort didn’t work.
BUT … this effort may be backfiring on them since it is looking as though Trump is gaining on Hillary. The removal of the lie might cause some real honest-to-goodness momentum.
Nice Little Caesar reference!
OMG MAGA.
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