Posted on 04/29/2016 4:19:09 AM PDT by Trump20162020
A CNN article today points out the internal polling within Indiana is following this consistent pattern:
[
] Cruz allies and people close to the campaign describe a budding sense of gloom, with internal polls diving as Trump mounted even stronger than expected showings in his native northeast. In Indiana, which Cruz backers once believed they were favored to win after his strong defeat of Trump in Wisconsin, Cruzs numbers have fallen precipitously: Once leading, Cruz now trails in the state by eight to 10 points, according to a person who has seen the numbers, with Trump over the 40% mark. Cruzs campaign did not respond when asked about those figures.
(Excerpt) Read more at theconservativetreehouse.com ...
Donald Trump will be your first ballot nominee.
In Indiana, he has none of that.
But of course he has a new running mate in Snarly Née Sneed.
Well, I think this is true but I didn’t trust “ internal” numbers when they had Cruz “surging” and I don’t trust ‘em now.
I started out this campaign liking Cruz. Then, early on, I switched to Trump because I decided I liked Trump more.
Now I like Trump a lot and have grown to detest Cruz.
If Cruz does not win Indiana, then he will have failed to stop Trump from having enough delegates for a first ballot win. Cruz will have no choice but to drop out at that point.
The suppliers of Cruz’s campaign, recognizing that funding will at that point dry up, will stop giving credit, and demand payment up front.
Me neither but it stands to reason that Trump is pulling away in IN. He was up 6-8 points before Tuesday’s blowout sweep of states, and the failed tactics of Cruz/Kasich and Cruz/Carly.
I think Trump will win Indiana by double digits.
I suspect that the Trump campaign has a far better “ground game” than anyone knows. He won every county in the 5 primaries on Tuesday. He won every county in Alabama, and won every county but one in SC,FL, and TN. That doesn’t happen by accident, and without some sort of effort.
Trump has the momentum going from 6 straight wins, and everyone who has been paying attention, knows that Cruz has been mathematically eliminated from reaching 1237.
I suspect that Trump will win IN by over 50 percent, taking the 30 at large delegates, and taking at least 6 or the 9 congressional districts, winning a total of 48 delegates.
This is why Cruz is losing. The more people see of him the more they grow to dislike his personality. Now he’s saying it was the press that made up ‘the alliance.’
Cruz..not his current or past supporters.. has brought this on himself. he has been running for president for at least 4 yrs and all his plans are falling apart. At this point he cannot claim to be anything because he has been caught lying over and over. No one likes him, no one trust him and his career will be over real soon...especially in the Senate.
I’m going out to shoot some rings.
Rush and Levin have alot to answer for carrying the water for the Establishment.
Gang of eight and claiming Rubio was a Regan Conservative while attending a private meeting at Fox where he agreed to not attack the plan.
Over looked every shady thing Ted Cruz did or blame Rubio or someone else if he couldn't say rules or rules
I also started out liking Cruz...now I put him below Hillary.
You are correct. I unsubscribed from Cruz’s email list and what came up????? “JEB2016 RENTAL LIST” and if you click on the questions button ‘SUPPORT@MITTROMNEY.COM” comes up.
And Cruz’s buddy Jeb was no TV still attacking Trump.
Cruz is a fraud.
Interesting.
Votes matter. They’re not the only thing to matter. Organization matters. Endorsements matter. But, winning and winning big develops momentum.
In leaked internal polls and in the few public polls we have, Trump moved ahead of Cruz in Indiana, after New York. They were maybe tied in Indiana prior to New York. The Northeast Super Tuesday primaries didn’t help Cruz in Indiana. The VP announcement grabbed some attention away from Trump’s big win, and so was helpful. But, Cruz needs the endorsement of the Governor, as he got in Wisconsin, to have a realistic chance of winning on Tuesday.
If Trump wins Indiana, he cannot be prevented from winning on the first ballot. Cruz has to win Indiana and then win California to stop Trump from a first ballot victory, and Cruz is the underdog in each.
Agree. To add on to your thoughts, in my view, Trump’s addition of Manafort was the move that changed this election.
With Manafort, Trump got the proper focus and his campaign is running on all cylinders.
My pure conjecture is that the Establishment can see now that Trump can put a hurt on Hillary, so they’re feeling better.
I can just imagine Manafort talking to the RNC a couple of weeks back and saying that in the aggregate Trump is good for the GOP. Yes, he took out some GOPe folks, but in just one year, Trump will have taken out the Bushes and Clintons. And for good measure, will give the GOPe Cruz’ political head. I think the destruction of Cruz is what is making Trump’s victory a lot more palatable for them.
I found Trump’s shout out to McConnell, which I did find disturbing in a political worldview sense, astute in a realpolitik sense. Trump was signaling “McConnell, we both have the same enemy - Cruz. Don’t worry, I’ll deal with him for both of us.” That olive branch is going to help get the GOP united for a very good general election result.
After that, it’s up to us to help influence the GOP to keep the America First focus. Nothing heals internal conflict better than winning.
Notice that in sports team locker rooms, if you win, everyone seems to get along?
Indiana doesn’t match up well for Cruz, the people actually vote.
Pray America wakes
he has been running for president for at least 4 yrs
**************
Be it president or some other title remember that papa Cruz has told him
since he was a child that he was destined to rule. Or so it’s proclaimed.
Levin has been railing against the establishment for years. He was very fair to Trump in the beginning, but when Trump started his attacks against Cruz’s wife and the “Lyin’ Ted’ crap, Trump started to lose my respect. Cruz had been the consummate classy candidate even after Palin endorsed Trump. Boehner’s comments yesterday showed another classless, cowardly, sleezy display of the what the republican party is. It reinforces that my decision to become a registered conservative two years ago was the right one. The establishment hates Cruz because he has been the lone voice to call out their inept and ineffective leadership the past seven years.
Look, I do not want Hillary as president. But I have some issues with Trump that many so-called conservatives have made excuses for such as his financial support of Hillary and the Clinton Foundation, his use of eminent domain for one of his projects, his four corporate bankruptcies that were the result of banks allowing him to over-leverage, etc.
The level of vitriol that is coming out in this campaign is shameful. Have people really become this uncivilized? The ad hominem attacks are really sickening. Whatever happened to actual debates? The republicans are spewing so much crap at each other instead of attacking that vile, lying, evil, socialist bitch.
I am so disgusted with the media coverage. It almost makes me not want to vote. I want to save my country. I think part of all this anger and hate and vitriol is a direct result of seven years of Obama. I fear that he has caused so much damage that we may never heal and strengthen as a nation.
I pray for my country. It is not the same country that I loved when I graduated from high school when Reagan was president.
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