“If” is not a supposition.
“Suppose” is a supposition.
“If” presents two or more equally likely alternatives.
You wrote "If it is, Cruz is going to be the new owner of National Enquirer.
Are you indicating it is not provable and therefore you are making an assumption ? It is certainly not an observation, as you claimed. There are two parts to your sentence, and both are theoretically testable and provable. Neither is an observation or fact.