Posted on 07/19/2015 6:51:01 PM PDT by Old Sarge
(The following article I wrote in march of 2014 for the online group at "Forward Observer Magazine". This was obviously before the Ferguson and Baltimore riots, but comments on several FR threads ask the question, "what would things look like if it REALLY took off?" Here is my reply....)
Greetings, Folks:
In my first of a two-part article The London Riots of 2001, A Prepper's Perspective, we examined the event of the mass rioting and looting that spread across Britain in August of 2011. Reader feedback, as well as offline conversations about the article, had one common thread of thought and one question: “Can It Happen In America?”
The simple and most direct answer is, absolutely – and it’s not a question of “can”, but actually three questions:
* “when’,
* “how fast”, and
* “what will it look like”?
To understand this, we need to examine how swiftly and how easily chaos will spread, and possible reactions to same. In the London Riots, we saw how looters and arsonists, aided by mass transit and by instant communications and social networks, were able to seemingly be everywhere at once, and thwarted the efforts of government to maintain calm and quell the uprisings. We also recently saw, in the case of the Boston Marathon bombing and its aftermath, the other extreme: the government successfully locked down an entire metropolitan area, and filled the streets with paramilitary forces at frightening speed.
Now, here in America, we have seen rioting and looting not just as a result of a social trigger, such as the case in London. In America, it seems, bad weather can cause chaos as easily as social unrest. The veneer of society can be scraped away by even the slightest cause, revealing the boiling terror beneath.
We have been told by Lord Cameron of Dillington that we are “nine meals away from anarchy”. But we will not have three days of Walmart "just-in-time" inventory to feed the hordes and keep them sated. We will not have three days of normality before the city-dwellers decide that they want what others have.
We will have only HOURS. History teaches us this, as the following timeline shows:
1965 - Los Angeles - the arrest of a young black man in Watts incites a crowd, which spawns a riot (Elapsed time: 60 minutes);
1968 - across America - the death of Martin Luther King touches off rioting in several cities after the media broadcast (Elapsed time: less than 3 hours);
1977 - New York - the grid goes offline at 9:30PM, the looting starts around 11PM (Elapsed time: 90 minutes);
1992 - Miami - Hurricane Andrew's winds haven't even died down before the malls are ransacked;
1992 - Los Angeles - the verdict is announced for the Rodney King Trial, and almost immediately, the city burns (Elapsed time: less than 60 minutes);
2005 - New Orleans - the mayhem started even before the storm made landfall;
2011 - London - a protest over a slain gangbanger turns violent and Greater London descends into bedlam (Elapsed time: 4 hours);
2012 - Long Island, NY - in the wake of Superstorm Sandy, enterprising looters dressed as powerline repairmen sneak past the martial law cordon and pillage, less than 24 hours of the storm;
2013 - California - after the verdict in the Zimmerman Trial, demonstrations "spontaneously" erupt nationwide, but in Oakland and Los Angeles, fires and unrest break out, and the highways are clogged by protestors (Elapsed time: 50 minutes);
You will have hours. Not days, hours.
Now, we have established that riots will transpire in America, for different reasons and causes. With the knowledge that looting and fires will break out, we need to understand the nature of the oncoming threat. An excellent article describing the urban hordes can be read at Survivalblog.com, under the title "A Veteran Policeman's Observations on The Golden Horde". Probably its most eerie excerpt follows:
The bottom rung is occupied by the drug addicts and users. They exist, not live as we understand the word. They have no assets, no goals, no drive. But they do have an almost animal instinct to continue living. They will be armed with anything they can steal or lay hands on. Most will have a knife of razor box cutter, and some sort of cheap pistol, or they will not live to get out of the city.
Since they have no resources or assets, they will be on the edge of starvation and desperation almost within a day of an event. With no fixed residence or place to defend, they will be hitting the road and coming towards us.
They will become violent without any provocation and there will be no negotiating or bargaining with them. They don't want to hear your story or excuses. All they want is what you have. And have no doubts: They will do anything to get what they want. And this does include catering to their most base instincts of rape, murder and mutilation. Letting someone like this even close to you and what you have is flirting with death.
Now, of course, at the risk of raising the ire of the politically-correct among our readers, we need to recognize one salient socio-political fact: the current administration has succeeded in weaponizing one-eighth of the population. The merest hint of their boiling out of the urban kraals has changed the course of national elections, and had gotten inside the decision loop of the recent government shutdown in October of 2013. As author and former Navy SEAL Matt Bracken observed after the EBT card shutdown on 12 OCT 2013:
This was a test of the National EBT Shutdown System. This was only a test.
A test, and a very dangerous warning shot to the GOP to accede to Obama’s demands for an infinite debt limit increase, “or else.”
The “or else” is an EBT system shutdown, and cities on fire from coast to coast.
All blamed on those Evil White Racist Republicans, who wouldn’t give Obama his money, and made little babies go hungry. Damn those evil white racist Republicans! That’s the game plan.
And five days later, the shutdown ended.
With the probability of riots and looting, and the identity of the marauders established, we turn to a potential sequence of events – and how such a crisis will not be wasted, but rather exploited for other objectives. Ask yourself, how do you control a population of sheep? By removing the rams.
A possible sequence of events might run like this:
* The entitlements stop, and the urban kraals begin to burn;
* The mayhem spills out into the immediate suburbs, where most of the sheep live;
* The sheep cry out for .Gov to save them, willing to pay any price for safety;
* Martial law descends upon the cities (JUST the cities), and the mayhem gets clamped down;
* But the fear remains, and .Gov says that, all you have to do to keep your homes and your food, is turn in your neighbors;
* And a reign of terror begins, where all .Gov has to do is round up the "evil white racist teabaggers" who the sheep eagerly turn in, thus doing the regime's work for them.
This is the military principle of Economy Of Force. Why go kicking in doors, when collaborators will gladly turn their neighbors in for a working EBT card and a bottle of Evian? The same principle has been done in totalitarian regimes gone by, and there is nothing new under the sun where this regime is concerned.
We have examined the potential for mass rioting here in America, as it has happened in Britain. We have identified the most likely perpetrators of such violence. We have theorized a potential scenario which would trigger the events, and what follows. It is incumbent upon you, the reader, to act upon what you have learned. This is not a conclusion that has been reached lightly or frivolously. Consider this as a potential intelligence threat assessment.
The lives of those behind you may depend upon it.
bttt
They wouldn’t make it to the suburbs. They’d be shot in most areas. Even in the wealthier areas of the cities I am familiar with wouldn’t put up with the nonsense.
Done, done, done and done.
At least in my case - I have no doubt there are some reading this who need s slap.
Sounds about right Sarge.
Everyone should have all preps completed by now.
Carry AT ALL TIMES and ALWAYS be aware of your surroundings.
People I talk with predict the event horizon to be mid to late September.
Thanks for the ping Kart.
... 1968 - across America - the death of Martin Luther King touches off rioting in several cities after the media broadcast (Elapsed time: less than 3 hours)....
A bit more information on these riots which occurred in 110 cities...all should pause and think about that number, especially the younger folks here.
MLK Jr was assassinated April 4, 1968, a Thursday, in the late afternoon. In Washington DC instigated by Stokely Carmichael rioting started in the Howard University area at 9:30 PM. The exact time established by police radio calls. That's the three hours cited above. The neighborhood was almost exclusively black. Thursday night the rioting and looting and burning of local stores remained confined to that neighborhood. The evening news on the only three networks reported this local riot and the growing number of riots in American cities.
Almost all residents of the city believed that the riots would be contained despite the number of previous riots across the country. I lived in the northern part of DC on the border with Prince George County MD. On Friday morning I drove to work as usual, driving west and then down to Key Bridge into Rosslyn, VA. The offices overlooked the Iwo Jima Memorial on one side and with panoramic views of DC on the other sides. There was no news of continued rioting during the drive.
Don't recall the exact hour, but an hour or two past lunch we noticed a thick column of black smoke rising in the center of DC soon followed by three or four more. Radio started reporting on the spread of rioting and fires. The president federalized the local National Guard units and mobilized Third Infantry. Then we learned that The Washington Beltway was the cordon sanitaire, blocking traffic into and out of the city. I was stuck in Virginia for an unknown and undefined period of time. I was fortunate to have friends in Alexandria who took me in.
So, from first event to almost total shutdown and blockade of the city was 18 plus or minus hours.
Phone lines were busy, trying to locate family and friends was a bit frustrating for awhile.
OK, that was then and this is now, so what's different?
Let's start with local municipal governments. Almost all are controlled by minority and far legtlleft mayors. Baltimore recent reaction is emblematic of what can be anticipated. The let them riot response sadly will be the template. Do not expect the same cordon sanitaires to be implemented until too late. Couple that with the now larger suburban populations once confined by economics and the realization comes that the riots cannot be contained as in the past.
Communication. Increased mobility, cellular and social media make flash mobs inevitable, reducing defensive reaction time significantly. At the same time coordination by rioters disseminates intelligence as to LEO responses and locations. Keep in mind that the increased firearms sales weren't confined to conservatives.
Obviously there are more points to consider and I hope to see more posted here.
my two cents....
Interesting persecuting. I never thought of it that way, but it fits in with how riots, attacks, and preparing for natural disasters have occurred.
I feel somewhat better now.
Although I would feat Obama’s SS more than blacks. I think Mexicans would attack whites - they come from a 3rd world miv mentality.
“Now I’m thinking late Sept.”
Think early to middle Sept.
Bump!
The crash will actually happen the weekend of Sept 11-13.
When people realize that it’s not coming back will be a different matter.
As far as using Greece as a model, the people that are most pi$$ed are those that are getting their gov’t bene’s cut.
Here, it will be the EBT/Welfare crowd instead of retirees.
BLOAYA. Buy lots of ammo YEARS AGO.
“Inner City”.
A more accurate term would be “Urban Plantation”.
A place where dollars are planted and votes are harvested.
What do you base the “Sept 11-13” prediction on?
Thanks for posting that. People that ignore it do so at their own peril.
Think early to middle Sept.
Obama’s Iran deal is going to “seal the deal”.
The Senate is scheduled to vote on it in early Sept.
Good thing I don’t live in a city.
To the professional simpleton who put that in the keywords; Don't flatter yourself.
I am so screwed.
BM
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