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BURNING CITIES: Can It Happen Here?
Writte for Forward Observer Magazine | 15 MAR 2014 | Old Sarge

Posted on 07/19/2015 6:51:01 PM PDT by Old Sarge

(The following article I wrote in march of 2014 for the online group at "Forward Observer Magazine". This was obviously before the Ferguson and Baltimore riots, but comments on several FR threads ask the question, "what would things look like if it REALLY took off?" Here is my reply....)

Greetings, Folks:

In my first of a two-part article The London Riots of 2001, A Prepper's Perspective, we examined the event of the mass rioting and looting that spread across Britain in August of 2011. Reader feedback, as well as offline conversations about the article, had one common thread of thought and one question: “Can It Happen In America?”

The simple and most direct answer is, absolutely – and it’s not a question of “can”, but actually three questions:

* “when’,
* “how fast”, and
* “what will it look like”?

To understand this, we need to examine how swiftly and how easily chaos will spread, and possible reactions to same. In the London Riots, we saw how looters and arsonists, aided by mass transit and by instant communications and social networks, were able to seemingly be everywhere at once, and thwarted the efforts of government to maintain calm and quell the uprisings. We also recently saw, in the case of the Boston Marathon bombing and its aftermath, the other extreme: the government successfully locked down an entire metropolitan area, and filled the streets with paramilitary forces at frightening speed.

Now, here in America, we have seen rioting and looting not just as a result of a social trigger, such as the case in London. In America, it seems, bad weather can cause chaos as easily as social unrest. The veneer of society can be scraped away by even the slightest cause, revealing the boiling terror beneath.

We have been told by Lord Cameron of Dillington that we are “nine meals away from anarchy”. But we will not have three days of Walmart "just-in-time" inventory to feed the hordes and keep them sated. We will not have three days of normality before the city-dwellers decide that they want what others have.

We will have only HOURS. History teaches us this, as the following timeline shows:

1965 - Los Angeles - the arrest of a young black man in Watts incites a crowd, which spawns a riot (Elapsed time: 60 minutes);

1968 - across America - the death of Martin Luther King touches off rioting in several cities after the media broadcast (Elapsed time: less than 3 hours);

1977 - New York - the grid goes offline at 9:30PM, the looting starts around 11PM (Elapsed time: 90 minutes);

1992 - Miami - Hurricane Andrew's winds haven't even died down before the malls are ransacked;

1992 - Los Angeles - the verdict is announced for the Rodney King Trial, and almost immediately, the city burns (Elapsed time: less than 60 minutes);

2005 - New Orleans - the mayhem started even before the storm made landfall;

2011 - London - a protest over a slain gangbanger turns violent and Greater London descends into bedlam (Elapsed time: 4 hours);

2012 - Long Island, NY - in the wake of Superstorm Sandy, enterprising looters dressed as powerline repairmen sneak past the martial law cordon and pillage, less than 24 hours of the storm;

2013 - California - after the verdict in the Zimmerman Trial, demonstrations "spontaneously" erupt nationwide, but in Oakland and Los Angeles, fires and unrest break out, and the highways are clogged by protestors (Elapsed time: 50 minutes);

You will have hours. Not days, hours.

Now, we have established that riots will transpire in America, for different reasons and causes. With the knowledge that looting and fires will break out, we need to understand the nature of the oncoming threat. An excellent article describing the urban hordes can be read at Survivalblog.com, under the title "A Veteran Policeman's Observations on The Golden Horde". Probably its most eerie excerpt follows:

The bottom rung is occupied by the drug addicts and users. They exist, not live as we understand the word. They have no assets, no goals, no drive. But they do have an almost animal instinct to continue living. They will be armed with anything they can steal or lay hands on. Most will have a knife of razor box cutter, and some sort of cheap pistol, or they will not live to get out of the city.
Since they have no resources or assets, they will be on the edge of starvation and desperation almost within a day of an event. With no fixed residence or place to defend, they will be hitting the road and coming towards us.
They will become violent without any provocation and there will be no negotiating or bargaining with them. They don't want to hear your story or excuses. All they want is what you have. And have no doubts: They will do anything to get what they want. And this does include catering to their most base instincts of rape, murder and mutilation. Letting someone like this even close to you and what you have is flirting with death.

Now, of course, at the risk of raising the ire of the politically-correct among our readers, we need to recognize one salient socio-political fact: the current administration has succeeded in weaponizing one-eighth of the population. The merest hint of their boiling out of the urban kraals has changed the course of national elections, and had gotten inside the decision loop of the recent government shutdown in October of 2013. As author and former Navy SEAL Matt Bracken observed after the EBT card shutdown on 12 OCT 2013:

This was a test of the National EBT Shutdown System. This was only a test.
A test, and a very dangerous warning shot to the GOP to accede to Obama’s demands for an infinite debt limit increase, “or else.”
The “or else” is an EBT system shutdown, and cities on fire from coast to coast.
All blamed on those Evil White Racist Republicans, who wouldn’t give Obama his money, and made little babies go hungry. Damn those evil white racist Republicans! That’s the game plan.

And five days later, the shutdown ended.

With the probability of riots and looting, and the identity of the marauders established, we turn to a potential sequence of events – and how such a crisis will not be wasted, but rather exploited for other objectives. Ask yourself, how do you control a population of sheep? By removing the rams.

A possible sequence of events might run like this:

* The entitlements stop, and the urban kraals begin to burn;

* The mayhem spills out into the immediate suburbs, where most of the sheep live;

* The sheep cry out for .Gov to save them, willing to pay any price for safety;

* Martial law descends upon the cities (JUST the cities), and the mayhem gets clamped down;

* But the fear remains, and .Gov says that, all you have to do to keep your homes and your food, is turn in your neighbors;

* And a reign of terror begins, where all .Gov has to do is round up the "evil white racist teabaggers" who the sheep eagerly turn in, thus doing the regime's work for them.

This is the military principle of Economy Of Force. Why go kicking in doors, when collaborators will gladly turn their neighbors in for a working EBT card and a bottle of Evian? The same principle has been done in totalitarian regimes gone by, and there is nothing new under the sun where this regime is concerned.

We have examined the potential for mass rioting here in America, as it has happened in Britain. We have identified the most likely perpetrators of such violence. We have theorized a potential scenario which would trigger the events, and what follows. It is incumbent upon you, the reader, to act upon what you have learned. This is not a conclusion that has been reached lightly or frivolously. Consider this as a potential intelligence threat assessment.

The lives of those behind you may depend upon it.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: prepper; staysafe; watchman
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To: MSF BU

Read the last scenario over again, where I explained that only the cities would burn, and to keep the suburbs safe they would turn in their neighbors.

Do not deceive yourself into thinking they wouldn’t. People do desperate things for shopping binges, what do you think they’ll do if they’re frightened?


41 posted on 07/19/2015 8:03:04 PM PDT by Old Sarge (Its the Sixties all over again, but with crappy music...)
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To: Dr. Bogus Pachysandra

It’s Cleveland. How would you notice?


42 posted on 07/19/2015 8:05:46 PM PDT by Lurker (Violence is rarely the answer. But when it is it is the only answer.)
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To: Lurker

True! Cleveland is an armpit. I eant to go to my favorite Chinese restaurants, but last time I went, I had to park on the side street beside Bo Loong. A gang of “teens” saw this old man get out of his car, and turned around to confront me. I split. I flagged down a cop and told him what was going on and he said, “Go to a different restaurant.” I’m sure the owners of Bo Lonng would have been pleased, as cops eat lunch there every day. Pisses me off!


43 posted on 07/19/2015 8:17:42 PM PDT by Dr. Bogus Pachysandra (Don't touch that thing Don't let anybody touch that thing!I'm a Doctor and I won't touch that thing!)
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To: Dr. Bogus Pachysandra

I grew up outside of Akron. I weep over what’s been done to Americas cities.


44 posted on 07/19/2015 8:20:13 PM PDT by Lurker (Violence is rarely the answer. But when it is it is the only answer.)
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To: appalachian_dweller; OldPossum; DuncanWaring; VirginiaMom; CodeToad; goosie; kalee; ...

Preppers PING!!

Hat tip to Old Sarge.


45 posted on 07/19/2015 8:22:56 PM PDT by Kartographer ("We mutually pledge to each other our lives, our fortunes and our sacred honor.")
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To: Lurker

It’s getting really bad! I’m thinking of moving far East to Amish country.


46 posted on 07/19/2015 8:24:24 PM PDT by Dr. Bogus Pachysandra (Don't touch that thing Don't let anybody touch that thing!I'm a Doctor and I won't touch that thing!)
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To: Old Sarge
Racial groups have different styles. (examples below are blacks and whites)

For example - if you hear of one man planning to kill as many people as he can and goes to a college where 3 janitors are men, 47 teachers are men, and the police are 7 minutes away... the guy's white.

If you hear of 20 thugs beating up one crippled old vet as he's walking home from physical therapy (limping), they're black. Or some guy saying to his 5 thug friends, "take away her child then beat her up"... I mean what kind of group beats up a woman with a young child? Blacks - that's who.

Blacks are basically cowards - it's their fighting style.

They have to be part of a large group... either a gang or a government group or something where they outnumber their victim. One on one with an equal and they would run away. Blacks pick victims based on 'easy'...

That's why blacks riot and burn stuff in their own neighborhoods. They don't want to go where they'll be outnumbered. Once they're outside their safe zone citizens will fight back...so they stay in their own hoods...

And white people organize very quickly under stress - they know that... Racial groups have patterns.

Go to Home Depot before a major storm's going to hit and the place will be filled with white people... buying plywood, batteries, charcoal, water, flashlights, etc. You'll almost never see a black person.

I guess I'm saying this isn't that big a problem. It would be best NOT to live near a black community but other than that it's probably like all the other times. Sit back and watch the circus on TV.

47 posted on 07/19/2015 8:24:49 PM PDT by GOPJ (They are not undocumented and they are not immigrants. They are illegal aliens. Lurkinnamloomin)
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To: Kartographer

They waited way to late and little will they get with what money they will be allowed to draw out.

It is your choice you can prep you can scrammble for leavings.

The world is dry tinder just awaiting the right spark.

So listen to what the bible says: A prudent man sees danger and takes refuge, but the simple keep going and suffer for it. NIV Proverbs 22:3

Selco covers this in this article many times people just can not except that a breakdown is occurring even as they watch it happening before their eyes. Why don’t they realize it? It’s caused by a condition called ‘Normalcy Bias’ a mental state people enter when facing a disaster.

It causes people to underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and its possible effects. This often results in situations where people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster, and on a larger scale, the failure of governments to include the populace in its disaster preparations. The assumption that is made in the case of the normalcy bias is that since a disaster never has occurred then it never will occur. It also results in the inability of people to cope with a disaster once it occurs. People with a normalcy bias have difficulties reacting to something they have not experienced before. People also tend to interpret warnings in the most optimistic way possible, seizing on any ambiguities to infer a less serious situation.

A good article on ‘Normalcy Bias’ is on our own ChocChipCookies Blog The Survival Mom:

http://thesurvivalmom.com/2010/12/29/normalcy-bias/

You either prepare and stand on your own beholden to no one or you become dependent on others to provide your basic needs and become their ‘serf’. Me I don’t want to be beholden to anyone for providing what is needed for me and mine. I certainly don’t want to have to kiss some ‘gubberment’ third class bureaucratic to try and coax some help from them, I don’t want some ‘jack booted’ thug herding me in line and telling me where to stand, sit, eat or sleep. And last but not least I don’t want to be shut up in with a bunch of ‘zombies’ and have to worry about not only trying to get basic necessities but having to fight to keep what I manage to get.

Just getting started or an old hand you might find my Preparedness Manual helpful. You can download the manual at:

http://tomeaker.com/kart/Preparedness1j.pdf NOTE! THIS IS A FREE DOWNLOAD. I DO NOT MAKE ONE CENT OFF MY PREPAREDNESS MANUAL!

For those of you who haven’t started already it’s time to prepare almost past time maybe. You needed to be stocking up on food guns, ammo, basic household supplies like soap, papergoods, cleaning supplies, good sturdy clothes including extra socks, underwear and extra shoes and boots, cash (I myself have been putting up change for the past few years both for the metal content and the fact that using change places to make what purchases you can will move you down the the list of possible marks during shtf), tools, things you buy everyday start buying two and put one up.

As the LDS say “When the emergency is upon us the time for preparedness has past.”

Again I like to recomend FReeper’s ChocoChipCookie Blog The Survival Mom (Please Blog Police let this one slide!) Where you can get lots of useful information like:

http://thesurvivalmom.com/2011/11/20/8-morale-boosters-for-any-worst-case-scenario/

http://thesurvivalmom.com/2010/02/02/survival-priorities-the-rule-of-three/

And More

Also there is Ferfal’s Blog a survivor of Argentina’s first collapse:

http://ferfal.blogspot.com/

And there is Selco’s Blog a Bosnian War survivor at:

http://shtfschool.com/

“There is no greater disaster than to underestimate danger. Underestimation can be fatal.”


48 posted on 07/19/2015 8:25:18 PM PDT by Kartographer ("We mutually pledge to each other our lives, our fortunes and our sacred honor.")
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To: Dr. Bogus Pachysandra

East or west. There is some fin Amish country just to your west in Indiana.


49 posted on 07/19/2015 8:26:52 PM PDT by Lurker (Violence is rarely the answer. But when it is it is the only answer.)
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To: Old Sarge

Like a Boy Scout of days gone by;

Be Prepared!

Weekly trips to the range.

Don’t eat out. Spend what you save on an extra trip to the store for food, water and ammo.

Update you first aid kits.

Extra food for your dogs (the worlds best alarms).

Figure out which neighbors you can rely on and which to avoid.

Keep you gas tanks full.

Gold, silver and cash.

Hopefully, this is obvious to all reading it.


50 posted on 07/19/2015 8:27:14 PM PDT by CarmichaelPatriot
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To: IncPen; Nailbiter

closer to 0 end of term


51 posted on 07/19/2015 8:32:47 PM PDT by Nailbiter
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To: moovova; admin

Seems the admins could figure out the culprits...maybe? (Key words )


52 posted on 07/19/2015 8:36:59 PM PDT by goodnesswins (hey..Wussie Americans....ISIS is coming. Are you ready?)
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To: Lurker

Around here we have feed lots. Think of the cities as vote lots.


53 posted on 07/19/2015 8:39:08 PM PDT by MHGinTN (Is it really all relative, Mister Einstein?)
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To: Old Sarge

I think it will happen

http://flscifi.blogspot.com/2015/07/short-story-prepped.html


54 posted on 07/19/2015 8:41:51 PM PDT by GeronL
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To: Old Sarge

Great thread Sarge.
Thank you for posting this!

I live in a small community in the country,
Sometimes it can be hard as far as weather
heating with wood, and so on.

However, this type of life also demands that you be
prepared for all situations.
I guess what I am trying to say, is that I am glad
that I do not live in a big city.

We have great neighbors, and we all look out for one another here.


55 posted on 07/19/2015 8:52:49 PM PDT by MS.BEHAVIN (Women who behave rarely make history)
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To: Old Sarge
Thanks for the ping.

Why go kicking in doors, when collaborators will gladly turn their neighbors in for a working EBT card and a bottle of Evian?

I would add the voluntary turning in of arms by unprepared sheep. No matter how much we would like to think the government does not keep a registry, we know that the background check systems have no protection and assurance of destruction.

It really is a very simple thing. You are hungry and a local FEMA office has set up to hand out food and water. You head on down and wait in line to register. You come up to your standard smiling bureaucrat (overfed and clean) who checks your ID against a long list.

Smiling back at you they keep your ID and ask about the list of weapons on the background check list. They tell you to head home and bring them back unloaded. In return you will get your ID back and some MREs and water.

They remind you they have your ID and to return quickly and there will be no trouble.


56 posted on 07/19/2015 9:03:16 PM PDT by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the Occupation Media. #2ndAmendmentMatters)
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To: Old Sarge
And I notice at this hour, that cowards are throwing the race card in the keywords, in an effort once again to shut down debate.

Yep. The enemy has been in the wire for awhile. The WACO threads are a case study.
57 posted on 07/19/2015 9:07:16 PM PDT by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the Occupation Media. #2ndAmendmentMatters)
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To: Old Sarge; EnigmaticAnomaly; Califreak; kalee; TWhiteBear; freeangel; appalachian_dweller; ...

We have been told by Lord Cameron of Dillington that we are “nine meals away from anarchy”. But we will not have three days of Walmart "just-in-time" inventory to feed the hordes and keep them sated. We will not have three days of normality before the city-dwellers decide that they want what others have.

You will have hours.

Not days,... hours.

Check out article.

Thanks, Old Sarge.

58 posted on 07/19/2015 9:11:36 PM PDT by LucyT
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To: moovova

Thank you! These things need stating without fear...


59 posted on 07/19/2015 9:12:36 PM PDT by Old Sarge (Its the Sixties all over again, but with crappy music...)
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To: Old Sarge
The current administration has succeeded in weaponizing one-eighth of the population....

Truer words were never spoken. The manufacture and co-opting of these zombies by the leftists for political purposes is one of the most cynical and brazen acts of treason and inhumanity I've ever seen.

Thx Ol' Sarge!

60 posted on 07/19/2015 10:21:59 PM PDT by bkopto (Free men are not equal. Equal men are not free.)
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