Las Vegas has Romney in the Lead
Didn't they always?
Fahgedaboudit.
Posted on 09/29/2012 11:11:15 PM PDT by smoothsailing
Edited on 09/30/2012 1:23:49 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]
Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas oddsmaker with one of the most accurate records of predicting political races.
Neither Obama nor Romney are my horses in the race. I believe both Republicans and Democrats have destroyed the U.S. economy and brought us to the edge of economic disaster. My vote will go to Libertarian Presidential candidate Gary Johnson in November, whom I believe has the most fiscally conservative track record of any Governor in modern U.S. political history. Without the bold spending cuts of a Gary Johnson or Ron Paul, I dont believe its possible to turnaround America.
But as an oddsmaker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years Predictions. I predicted back then- before a single GOP primary had been held, with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt- that Romney would easily rout his competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide. I also predicted that the presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But on election day, Romney will win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.
Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. Thirty-two years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?
I wonder why the website intentionally omitting Wayne Allyn Root’s name?
But, but, Intrade is all in for Obama!
Everybody see tagline and go volunteer.
I really think people should start taking that Intrade bet with Mitt. Or at least the GOP needs to get some money flowing in there.
The libs and media love Intrade. It would be good to get a narrative going there that brings those odds back down to 50-50. Would be a worthwhile spend of a couple million of campaign dollars in my opinion.
I just hope everyone that hated McScream as bad as I did, who stayed home, will come out and vote this scum down. I voted for McScream holding my nose and with a brown bag under my chin in the event my stomach objected. Most stayed home. I hope enough citizens of this Republic get off their duffs and get out and vote. This MAY be the last chance of their life times. I believe if this thing is razor close, Obama’s mobs will hit the streets, cause riots, thus he will impose marshal law which he is ready to do. Only by winning in a huge rout can this be avoided. Make it so that no leftist spin can say anyone cheated. Romney needs a 55-45% win or larger. A 50.1 to 49.9 will be riots.
This guy copied Wayne Root’s article verbatim, and didn’t even attribute it to him.
A good analysis that goes exactly with what I have been thinking. When I hear the talking heads say Obama is leading, I want to know what rock they have been living under.
One problem. It’s this quote:
First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient- common sense.
He should have added that “Or they are intentionally misleading the public.”
“I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.
Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. 32 years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?
First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my gut instinct. Not one American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future. Voters know Obama now- and that is a bad harbinger.”
The last paragraph probably describes the independent voters who voted with white guilt for the Obozo Oreo or had a poor senses of economic history re what happens when the Rats are in charge of DC.
“I saw ONE new Obama bumper sticker this week end. Drove through heavy Democratic Areas where I live. Romney stickers out number Obama stickers by about 2 to 1.”
We have seen one new sticker, on a left wing decades old Volvo once tan station wagon with more left wing stickers than paint.
What we find very interesting is the lack of yard signs for Obozo the lying Oreo, where we have driven in the sick shadow of Gay Frisco/counties/cities he carried in 2008.
Las Vegas has Romney in the Lead
Didn't they always?
Fahgedaboudit.
“Wayne Allyn Root was the Libertarian VP candidate, and he is a Las Vegas oddsmaker. At first, I thought that this article was written by Root.”
I believe this is an article written by Root a few months back. It has been posted before. It was well worth being posted again.
One slight flaw in the argument; some would call if a big flaw...
Since 2008, millions more people have lost their jobs, and many more millions have seen their income decrease, and many thousands more have lost their homes, and...
and, those people and millions more, for whatever reason, have come to depend on government handouts and government benefits, and so, those people, who number into many more millions than in 2008, might feel the need to continue receiving those handouts and benefits, and,they will always identify the democrats as the ones that will give out those handouts and benefits. Many of those people will feel trapped by their conditions, even if they might feel that, going with Obama is not going to improve their lot in life.
Oops. I had written my post#71, before I read your post#59. Good job finding that Root post again!
We have a winner here!
I thought the rule is always bet on black?
Well statiscally there will be some, albeit a very low insignificant number of McCain voters who vote for Obama.
And such rare freaks will be put front and center on the alphabet networks spreading propaganda.
Bump
Blacks, they will vote for him come Hell or Low water.
Yes, but will it be the same 96% back in 2008? Nope. He loses a few points and it starts to tip key areas.
He’s getting close to a 10% drop in that demographic. Not good.
Actually he had no gain there either, you cannot gain when you start out with one hundred percent.
I hope R+R have GOTV nailed down tight because in the end, this is all that will really matter.
Not just RR but they have help in the ground game.
(1) Americans For Prosperity
(2) 9/12 groups
(3) Freedom Works
(4) American Majority
(5) More Tea Parties than you can shake a stick at
They aren’t just protesting and rallying, they’re in various call centers, precincts, one-on-ones, small groups, and Twitter/FB groups (to name a few)
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