Posted on 08/05/2012 7:30:25 AM PDT by Travis McGee
The Scenario (2016)
The Great Recession of the early twenty-first century lasts far longer than anyone anticipated. After a change in control of the White House and Congress in 2012, the governing party cuts off all funding that had been dedicated to boosting the economy or toward relief. The United States economy has flatlined, much like Japan’s in the 1990s, for the better part of a decade. By 2016, the economy shows signs of reawakening, but the middle and lower-middle classes have yet to experience much in the way of job growth or pay raises. Unemployment continues to hover perilously close to double digits, small businesses cannot meet bankers’ terms to borrow money, and taxes on the middle class remain relatively high. A high-profile and vocal minority has directed the public’s fear and frustration at nonwhites and immigrants. After almost ten years of race-baiting and immigrant-bashing by right-wing demagogues, nearly one in five Americans reports being vehemently opposed to immigration, legal or illegal, and even U.S.-born nonwhites have become occasional targets for mobs of angry whites.
In May 2016 an extremist militia motivated by the goals of the “tea party” movement takes over the government of Darlington, South Carolina, occupying City Hall, disbanding the city council, and placing the mayor under house arrest. Activists remove the chief of police and either disarm local police and county sheriff departments or discourage them from interfering. In truth, this is hardly necessary. Many law enforcement officials already are sympathetic to the tea party’s agenda, know many of the people involved, and have made clear they will not challenge the takeover. The militia members are organized and have a relatively well thought-out plan of action.
With Darlington under their control, militia members quickly move beyond the city limits to establish “check points” – in reality, something more like choke points -- on major transportation lines. Traffic on I-95, the East Coast’s main north-south artery; I-20; and commercial and passenger rail lines are stopped and searched, allegedly for “illegal aliens.” Citizens who complain are immediately detained. Activists also collect “tolls” from drivers, ostensibly to maintain public schools and various city and county programs, but evidence suggests the money is actually going toward quickly increasing stores of heavy weapons and ammunition. They also take over the town web site and use social media sites to get their message out unrestricted.
When the leaders of the group hold a press conference to announce their goals, they invoke the Declaration of Independence and argue that the current form of the federal government is not deriving its “just powers from the consent of the governed” but is actually “destructive to these ends.” Therefore, they say, the people can alter or abolish the existing government and replace it with another that, in the words of the Declaration, “shall seem most likely to effect their safety and happiness.” While mainstream politicians and citizens react with alarm, the “tea party” insurrectionists in South Carolina enjoy a groundswell of support from other tea party groups, militias, racist organizations such as the Ku Klux Klan, anti-immigrant associations such as the Minutemen, and other right-wing groups. At the press conference the masked militia members’ uniforms sport a unit seal with a man wearing a tricorn hat and carrying a musket over the motto “Today’s Minutemen.” When a reporter asked the leaders who are the “red coats” the spokesman answered, “I don’t know who the redcoats are…it could be federal troops.” Experts warn that while these groups heretofore have been considered weak and marginal, the rapid coalescence among them poses a genuine national threat.
The mayor of Darlington calls the governor and his congressman. He cannot act to counter the efforts of the local tea party because he is confined to his home and under guard. The governor, who ran on a platform that professed sympathy with tea party goals, is reluctant to confront the militia directly. He refuses to call out the National Guard. He has the State Police monitor the roadblocks and checkpoints on the interstate and state roads but does not order the authorities to take further action. In public the governor calls for calm and proposes talks with the local tea party to resolve issues. Privately, he sends word through aides asking the federal government to act to restore order. Due to his previous stance and the appearance of being “pro” tea party goals the governor has little political room to maneuver.
The Department of Homeland Security responds to the governor’s request by asking for defense support to civil law enforcement. After the Department of Justice states that the conditions in Darlington and surrounding areas meet the conditions necessary to invoke the Insurrection Act, the President invokes it.
(From Title 10 US Code the President may use the militia or Armed Forces to:
§ 331 – Suppress an insurrection against a State government at the request of the Legislature or, if not in session, the Governor.
§ 332 – Suppress unlawful obstruction or rebellion against the U.S.
§ 333 – Suppress insurrection or domestic violence if it (1) hinders the execution of the laws to the extent that a part or class of citizens are deprived of Constitutional rights and the State is unable or refuses to protect those rights or (2) obstructs the execution of any Federal law or impedes the course of justice under Federal laws.)
By proclamation he calls on the insurrectionists to disperse peacefully within 15 days. There is no violation of the Posse Comitatus Act. The President appoints the Attorney General and the Department of Justice as the lead federal agency to deal with the crisis. The President calls the South Carolina National Guard to federal service. The Joint Staff in Washington, D.C., alerts U.S. Northern Command, the headquarters responsible for the defense of North America, to begin crisis action planning. Northern Command in turn alerts U.S. Army North/Fifth U.S. Army for operations as a Joint Task Force headquarters. Army units at Fort Bragg, N.C.; Fort Stewart, Ga.; and Marines at Camp Lejuene, N.C. go on alert. The full range of media, national and international, is on scene.
“Fix Darlington, but don’t destroy it!”
Upon receiving the alert for possible operations in Darlington, the Fifth Army staff begins the military decision making process with mission analysis and intelligence preparation of the battlefield. (Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield is the term applied to the procedures performed by the intelligence staff of all Army unit headquarters in the development of bases of information on the enemy, terrain and weather, critical buildings and facilities in a region and other points. Army units conduct operations on the basis of this information. The term is in Army doctrine and could be problematic when conducted in advance of operations on U.S. soil. The general form of the initial intelligence estimate is in figure 1.) In developing the intelligence estimate military intelligence planners will confront the first constraints on the conduct of full spectrum operations in the United States, as well as constraints on supporting law enforcement. The analytical steps of the Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield, or IPB, must be modified in preparing for and conducting operations in the homeland.
The steps of the IPB process are: define the operational environment/battlespace, describe environmental effects on operations/describe battlespace effects, evaluate the threat/adversary, and determine threat/adversary courses of action. (PSYOP was changed to Military Information Support Operations, MISO, by Secretary of Defense directive in June 2010.)
While preparing terrain and weather data do not pose a major problem to the G-2, gathering data on the threat and under civil considerations for intelligence and operational purposes is problematic to say the leasst.
(Much more of the long essay may be read at the original link.)
Well, color me surprised. It’s still there.
<*screenshot*>
In a real mainstream media outlet, such a slap-in-the-face reminder of reality would likely result in that comment being deleted or comments being suspended altogether.
Personally, I do not trust our very highest military. They **know** that Obama has posted forged birth documents. They KNOW that he has used multiple social security numbers and that his current SS# is from a man born in the 1890s. These perfumed princes **know** that Obama fails e-verify.
Shame on them! Where is there commitment to their oath to defend the Constitution? Where is the evidence that they have peacefully and **legally** asked congress or the courts for clarification of Obama’s eligibility? Is this how they watch the backs of the brave and honorable men and women serving under insane rules of engagement in Afghanistan and Iraq?
Wow! And now this? Am I disappointed? You bet.
Great and interesting points I had not considered. Thanks. I have to include that tactic on my list. I guess it’s a version of “build a strawman, attack it in the controlled press, destroy enemies and create distractions from the failing economy and slow-motion communist putsch.”
(Even the undeclared kind, where federal agents are suddenly and quietly told to "pick people up"...and they do.)
They are very stupid and arrogant to believe they can calibrate, control and crush the outflow of angry hornets from the nest they are nudging. They greatly underestimate the numbers, motivation, and stinging power of the hornets.
They greatly overestimate their power to turn the USA into the USSA, and the FBI into the KGB. Even if they are quite a ways along that continuum, (see Fast and Furious etc), they are probably dangerously overreaching.
Even Hitler was smart enough not to invade Switzerland, the land of "One German, one shot." Our would-be commissars are truly clueless about our latent capabilities, and theirs.
What ever happened to wargaming scenarios against Orangeland and Pineland, designed to cause no political blowback from any quarter? Clearly, this is a calculated insult and poke in the eye to name the Evil White Racist / Tea Party Militia as the National Villains. This is just a stunning change to name and call out an ethnic and regional group as National Villain. This is dangerous territory.
I can only conclude that the liberal elite powers-that-be have an epic hard-on for "white racist Tea Party militia terrorists."
We cannot ignore this trend. We have had our warning. The leaders of the libtard elite establishment are chomping at the bit to unleash hell on their mortal enemies, the Bitter Clinger Nation. They are just PRAYING for the next assault rifle massacre or bombing to at the hands of a bitter clinging tea partier.
And if it doesn't happen naturally, they might give it some "help." See Fast & Furious, where the Obama regime already crossed the deliberate mass-murder-for-political-gain Rubicon.
See 64 and 65, please.
Well there is the latest ploy today... They’re calling the Sikh Temple shooting a “Domestic Terrorist” incident. The dead suspect is a large WHITE man. Since the dead tell no tales, will he be named Bubba Wayne Teapartiar?
He will be called Bubba Wayne Teapartier, unless he has orange hair and is dressed like Batman.
I am posting your #65, excerpted, to my Facebook account, in your name. It is the most poignant comment on this thread yet, and it has been a veritable gold mine of veracity.
You are right...We have had our warning(s)...
And as we have seen today, we are one more mass shooting away/closer to having a problem...
Having played the games against Red/Orange, and only having a lackluster support from Green to help us (Blue), I learned one thing from that period in my life...You can only trust those in Blue, those completely on our side at the end of the day...
The Colonel setup this discussion, and it has been in my opinion very productive, Steel Wolf brought up some excellent points and observations...I will be studying these two trains of thought, and try to answer some of my own concerns...
Bottom line...I feel there are a lot more things working aginst us, then working for us...We need to figure out the lines and strengthen our positions on the legal, political and social impact of our decisions on the future...Tactics will obviously be governed by regional/local factors...We will obviously have to be very flexible in that regard as well...
Just my opinion...
For later.
Thanks. I’m honored.
At the boundaries of all of those colors there will be lots of black ops and false flags. Nothing will be as it seems.
Truth itself will be part of the information/propaganda meme-warfare battlefield.
I think deliberately seeding the public mind with the “Evil White Racist Tea Party Militia” as national villain is despicable, getting near to Nazi anti-Jewish propaganda in the 1930s.
“The Bible Thumping Bitter Clingers and Racist Haters must be crushed!” is the meme they are trying to sell. We are being set up to be national scapegoat.
This from an administration that could not find a link to global islamist jihad in an Army major shouting “Allahu Akbar!” as he emptied his magazines into infidel soldiers.
But those Southern racist rednecks? We just gotta put them down in their place. No room for that sort in the new multi-kulti anti-racist white-Chrisitan hating USSA.
I posted this off Ann’s link at oh dark thirty last night but it got pulled. Just curious why.
Just damn.
This is not exactly a “Bolt out of the blue”.
Recall about three years ago the Missouri Information Analysis Center put out a report suggesting Tea Party members were terrorists.
http://www.freerepublic.com/tag/miac/index?tab=articles
““The Bible Thumping Bitter Clingers and Racist Haters must be crushed!” is the meme they are trying to sell.”
That may be one of the excuses, but the real objective is the preservation of “Big Government” at all costs.
Government, government beneficiaries, and all those in that sphere cannot justify their continued existence through rational argument.
They must get the increasing revenue that such bureaucracy demands - this is indirect intimidation “you might be a terrorist” to be followed by more direct intimidation “we seize assets of terror group members”.
Anyone who gets a government benefit check of any kind is already predisposed to help gather information.
Changing the historical demographic of the military is essential to making CONUS operations against US citizens possible (despite constitutional prohibitions). That shift has already begun.
Perhaps he wrote some story words for his employer so he can get paid. Thats what he does, apparently.
“white racist tea party militias”
We’re done for if they find a Chick-fil-a wrapper on the scene...
Dunn.
Over.
Several readers objected to our using the Tea Party in our fictional scenario. We see your point. Understand, though, that you could insert any number of organizations into our scenario in lieu of the Tea Party. The scenario and the response thereto, rather than the specific actors, are the focus of our piece.
Our objective was to highlight what we believe is an understudied area of potential operations. Given that US Army doctrine sees full-spectrum operations as a mix of offense, defense, and either stability [overseas] or support [in the continental US and territories] operations, how our Army conducts full spectrum operations at home is an important topic. In recent times we've all seen the Army and Marines committed to Los Angeles, Miami, and New Orleans all under various conditions of defense support to civil authority. There were some lessons-learned articles and studies written after those operations, but after more than ten years of war none remain in the current curricula of our staff and war colleges. Through discussion on this site, facilitated by Small Wars Journal, we hope this subject will be studied.
Thanks again to all who took time to read and comment.
Kevin Benson and Jennifer Weber
From the comments section of the article.
TS
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