In Florida, Gingrich is in the lead already, close to 40%. Romney has a ceiling near 30%. Paul is unlikely to draw more than 10% to 15% tops in Florida.
With all the other candidates out of the race, with the possible exception of Perry, Gingrich is likely to take very close to 50% of the vote, and immediately put him in the lead in terms of the delegate count, which is the only count that counts.
After Florida, there will only be three candidates left: Romney, Gingrich and Paul. Gingrich gets close to 60% in most of the remaining states. Case closed.
The key to realizing who will win and who will lose the nomination is that once you conclude that Romney has a ceiling of probably somewhere near 30% of the Republican vote, it's just a matter for the rest of the field to whittle down to the candidate who is most acceptable in most of the states. And that clearly is Gingrich, who has an established national track record.
-Excerpt from TheStreet.com today
Damn right it will. If Romney gets the nomination, I am out of the party and so are most pubbies I know. I am SICK OF RINOS.
FUMR!
Ron Paul is not better than Romney. Mitt is not a conservative, Paul is a nut with a foreign and defense policy to the left of Obama.
Further, no 3rd party candidate has the slightest prayer in 2012. It’s just not going to happen.
The only way to stop Romney from being the nominee is to vote for someone else in the primaries. Personally, I think Newt is the best option in the current field.
We already have schisms out the wazoo!
I prefer Newt to Mitt and Paul is dangerous but all are better than theKenyan. Hold your nose and vote.
“A vote for Mitt Romney is a vote for GOP destruction and the rise of a third party.”
I agree 100%. The GOP needs to be abandoned if Romney is the best they can offer.
If Romney is it the meltdown and purge here at FR is going to be epic.
“A vote for Mitt Romney is a vote for GOP destruction and the rise of a third party.”
D=Obama
R=Romney
3rd Party=Paul
4th Party=Whoever the rest of you are going to vote for.
Another whining screed from the Conservative Utopian sect of the Conservative wing of the Republican Party.
Listen, I never said this, and please God no one ever quote me on this, but if it comes down to it and I have to choose between President Willard or another four years of Queen Ass and her fag husband...I know what I’m going to have to do.
Yes, I am being intentionally vague.
“Who can unite conservatives?”
Sarah Palin
I like Mitt Romney. He should run for the nomination on the Democrat ticket, slightly to the right of Obamao.
Apparently the idea is there is a certain type of Republican/conservative that can’t win the GOP nomination, but could win the general?
I’d be fascinated who that is?
When will Willy-Rom-Rom-RINO be the Nominee of our Third Political Party, the RINO Party? Could be as early as this next November. That would make the MSM talking heads, and their pollsters very happy.
Willy would then lead the RINOs in the time honored tradition of publicly preforming that ever-popular “Bi-Partisan Cave-In” macorana dance to the dolcent notes of the US Marine Band playing “Hail to the Mitt.”
Yes indeed! Willy would pick right up where McCain Left off (pun intended).
George W. Bush and Bolshevik Chairman Obama each spent 4 TRILLION Dollars while rooming at The White House, and Willy would not be out-done!
That is the bad news with the formation of the RINO third political party. A good descriptive name to spread their message might be: “RINO 3 PP.”
_______________________
The good news is that Willy, Obama and “W” will be the last NE Coast educated US Presidents that the USA will have for the rest of this century. NE Coast educated Presidents have ideas that haven’t worked from FDR on.
The second good news is that the RINOs will be constantly flamed for 4 years if they chose to cave-in to the Socialist Democrat wing of the former Democrat Party.
The third piece of good news is that the sorry RINO Party will go the way of the Whig Party during the election of 2016.
Will The Silent Majority/TEA Party form a political party with planks, candidates, headquarters, officials, etc, etc.? Maybe they will, and maybe they won’t.
BTW, I think that it all depends on the outcomes of the various State Constitutional Conventions from 2013 to 2016. Save your hard money men, ‘cause America will rise again!!!
One more reason why Romney is unelectable and should not be nominated.
I see Trumps disassociation with the R party not as a prelude to a 3rd party run, but as a move that will elevate that threat in order to gain bargaining power. Trump doesn’t want to be Potus, I think, as much as he wants to have influence on policy, and to be a kingmaker. With his money, access to much more money, and popularity, he has his hands on a big lever, and I don’t see the name “Romney” on his shortlist.
"If we must have an enemy at the head of Government, let it be one whom we can oppose, and for whom we are not responsible, who will not involve our party in the disgrace of his foolish and bad measures."
- Alexander Hamilton
No RINOmney Enemy!