In Florida, Gingrich is in the lead already, close to 40%. Romney has a ceiling near 30%. Paul is unlikely to draw more than 10% to 15% tops in Florida.
With all the other candidates out of the race, with the possible exception of Perry, Gingrich is likely to take very close to 50% of the vote, and immediately put him in the lead in terms of the delegate count, which is the only count that counts.
After Florida, there will only be three candidates left: Romney, Gingrich and Paul. Gingrich gets close to 60% in most of the remaining states. Case closed.
The key to realizing who will win and who will lose the nomination is that once you conclude that Romney has a ceiling of probably somewhere near 30% of the Republican vote, it's just a matter for the rest of the field to whittle down to the candidate who is most acceptable in most of the states. And that clearly is Gingrich, who has an established national track record.
-Excerpt from TheStreet.com today
I’m not in any way a Romney fan, but this election is a first step to defeat the rise of socialism in this country, and Romney is exponentially better than Obama. Obama represents a hateful ‘get even’ mentality that has no understanding, or willingness to understand, the realities that have led to the social ills that we have in our country. No matter what, we should not hand him reelection. We can argue here 24 hours a day about who has a better chance of defeating Obama in the general election, but ultimately we will have a candidate, and it is in all or our united best interests to rally behind (or at least vote for) that candidate. I’d prefer it not be Romney, but I’m not going to hand Obama the election if it is.
Romney is the only R who can win , as much as it pains me to say it .
I think Gingrich is going to take it (I hope so)
The vote is all Mitt or ANTI-mitt and it is 75% against mitt
I dont know how they can keep calling Mit the ‘frontrunner’ when 75% want SOMEONE ELSE
As the other candidates drop out the anti mitt should all fall to Newt