Posted on 09/17/2010 7:36:05 AM PDT by Reaganite Republican
The GOP's emerging 2012 frontrunners... take our poll
Included in my list below are the Intrade odds for each: the ultimate devil's advocate, as these are people who make a living guessing this stuff- and in a business not kind to fools. The Intrade number represents what a share costs for a chance at a $100 payout... so it's roughly the assigned % chance for the candidate winning the Republican nomination in 2012 according to their oddsmakers.
Sarah Palin
+ Natural political talent, huge charisma, tough, principled conservative, a real fighter, building a lot of support with her winning touch in the primaries
- Too good-looking by half, slightly silly accent, establishment GOP/MSM/entire Left out to destroy the poor gal... and Levi Johnston needs to get a job on a rig in Siberia
Intrade: 18.6
Sum: Hard to hold this one down... just like the powerful grassroots movement she's so closely allied with
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Mitt Romney
+ Highly competent manager, economic expert, previous runner-up, looks and acts presidential
- Too good-looking by half, dull on the stump, hiding/laying low while waiting his turn, mostly absent from today's battle for the future of the nation... disappointing, where's some courage and sense of urgency here? The tipping-point is now, not two years too late...
Intrade: 31.2
Sum: apparent front-runner to this point, and the establishment's dream candidate. For the rest of us, the father of RomneyCare has got some 'splainin to do... and we haven't heard a peep yet. _________________________________________________
Tim Pawlenty
+ social conservative, respected governor, no apparent skeletons
- Lacks charisma and national political base, has been tepid in support of TEA Party movement... 'Cuda left him in the dust
Intrade: 12.8
Sum: already running, basically
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Bobby Jindal
+ Wiz-kid Reaganite with a resume/record of success that puts most others to shame, impressive manager in most ways, novel background
- still not 40 yrs old, pretty-much choked in his big national TV debut
Intrade: 4.6
Sum: I really like Bobby Jindal... for 2016-2020, though.
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John Bolton
+ Great strategic mind, true conservative -and patriot- all the way
- Pugnacious nature, honest to a fault, lack of campaign experience, distaste for for inside-the-Beltway DC political games
Intrade: n/a
Sum: Love the man... but I dunno if he's serious about recent hints, and came as quite a surprise to most.
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Runners-up: Barbour, Daniels, or maybe Newt- although he's a non-starter for me personally due to heavy, heavy baggage and a number of poor choices from working with race-hustler Al Sharpton to total loser moves in NY-23... Scozzafava really made fool of him.
As a defense hawk, I don't stand take Ron Paul serious... at all.
Sure like Petraeus, would like to hear more from him on some key issues. But the good General seems fairly resolute about not entering politics anyway, and if the politically inexperienced Petraeus did go that way, perhaps a better fit as a VP alongside -say- a Sarah Palin...
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If you've got a minute today, please take our poll and tell us who's your five at Reaganite Republican
-TIA-
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I am sick to death of that freaking liberal Romney’ name showing up on lists for the next presidential GOP possible candidate.
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The once and future GOP machine favorite.
“You’re too kind in your negatives on Mittens, TPaw and, yes, even Bolton. Do character, governing principles and executive experience not count?”
Exactly.
1. Sarah Palin, 2. Madam President, 3. Saracudda, 4. Trig’s Mom, 5. Todd’s Wife
“Too good-looking by half” belongs in the plus column.
Second, Romney has absolutely NO chance -- even BEFORE RomneyCARE tanked Massachusetts.
The Palmetto Scoop reported:
"The sources said nearly 80 percent of Romney’s former staff was absorbed by McCain and these individuals were responsible for what amounts to a premeditated, last-minute sabotage of Palin."
that Palin would be a serious contender for the Republican nomination in 2012 or 2016, which made her a threat to another presidential quest by Romney.
"Peeking Out From the McCain Wreckage: Mitt Romney"
"Someone's got to say it: IS MITT ROMNEY RESPONSIBLE FOR OBAMA'S VICTORY?"
"Vanity: Team Romney Sabotaged Palin and Continuing to Do So?"
"Romney Supporters Trashing Palin"
"Romney advisors sniping at Palin?"
Poor sport spoiler Romney doing what he does best:
Novak: "Fred Thompson drop-out rumors traced to Romney campaign"
I’d just have a few more negatives to add in for Mittens.
being a mormon is the least of his problems. i believe him to be a malignant narcissist. i could be wrong. i usually am.
being a mormon is the least of his problems. i believe him to be a malignant narcissist. i could be wrong. i usually am.
1. Palin
2. Christie
3. Jindall
4. McDonnell
5. Barbour
these double posts make me look like more of a retard than i am.
Christie, Palin, Bachmann, Bolton, DeMint.
Interesting. First time I’ve seen DeMint give Palin so much credit. Also, Daniels seems to have dropped from his list. For those who would pillary Palin for supporting McCain’s re-election, that’s nothing to me compared to plumping Mitt or Newt for prez.
I think I like DeMint’s influence much better in the Senate and in picking new Senators.
If you’d been in MA when Romney was guv, you wouldn’t be looking to him to stop any fiscal bleeding.
establishment GOP/MSM/entire Left out to destroy the poor gal...
Anyone who does not throw the establishment GOP/MSM/entire Left into a stark raving mad hissy fit is probably not part of the solution and may very well be part of the problem.
1.) Not Romney
2.) Not Huckabee
3.) Not Pawlenty
4.) Not Gingrich
I’m open to anyone else.
You are not wrong about Romney.
His problem is not Mormonism and more than BO’s problem is black.
Romney plays the religion card in lieu of a race card. Such a laquered sleaze.
Romney and Gingrich (also a proud backer of No Family Left Behind and the presecription drugs bill) supported TARP. Huckabee pushed for tax increases as governor. That should make them DOA. Ron Paul and Gary Johnson are the only potential candidates who opposed these policies and support cutting big government across the board.
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