Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Well, look at how the Dems got a lot of mileage out of the Foley scandal, even though they've spent a lot of effort selling the general public on the notion that what Foley did should be taught to third-graders as acceptable behavior.
Indeed. Use your judgment, we'll use ours.
LOL. I've got REAMS of them, believe me.
Not from you though. Yours was shockingly nice! :-)
Well, the question has been raised - should freepmails adhere to forum standards regarding profanity, implied profanity, and/or personal attacks? I've always understood that to be the case. Maybe I'm mistaken, then, since Howlin has said otherwise.
Let's get PKM's opinion.
PKM -- Rudy in COSTUME raising money for charities is going to be a huge negative hit on him IF he's the nominee?
I say, no.
dirtboy says yes.
Tie breaker goes to you.
Tie breaker goes to the voters.
So what? He did this in public and I doubt he has any regrets.
Hunter shows some promise on true conservative standards. He needs to get wider exposure to be a viable candidate, and his wife should help him with his wardrobe. Look what they said about Nixon and his 5 O'Clock shadow. Petty, but that's how it goes.
..from the FR Dictionary
You'd think that posters here who are serial spamming the pics would know that, but they're acting like they've hit the Mother Lode.
I must be lucky -- I've never received a profane freepmail or one that personally attacked me. I did receive an obscene e-mail from a couple of the Desperate Housewives who wanted to meet me at a Holiday Inn if I would wear a flight suit and a George W. Bush mask, but I'm a gentleman and wouldn't say who they are.
Buchanan/Keyes versus Bush flame wars got really nasty and lot of name calling. This is mild, very mild compared to those days. Bunch of lies posted over and over again and when you posted facts, they got really nasty. That's when we were all on dial-up and took forever to post.
In the Recall threads we had the same thing as social conservatives, some of them on this thread, came after all of us for daring to support Arnold against Gray Davis. It got so bad one night that one of the guys told me in Freep Mail to quit posting as he was afraid we were going to be banned and he took over what I was saying. Some of the same group were whining then too.
These are tame compared to those threads. Back in those days you had to be able to take it and also dish it out or you would be clobbered. I don't use profanity in real life so I haven't used it on here.
This is kumbaya compared to those days!
Get a good night's sleep -- tomorrow is another day for finding more good info on Rudy!
Thanks. I'm glad you remembered that. You can ask a couple of the rudy fans and you'll see my freepmails are all like that. If I have something to say, it will be in forum.
I like FR, and don't want the boot. Using freepmail to taunt is way wrong imo, and if it were my forum, I would never tolerate any abuse of it. To me, it's like going into someones house to taunt them, whereas in forum, it's like doing it out in the street.
ROFLOL! That was a good one!
It's against forum rules to bring disagreements from thread to thread.
And it's against forum rules to troll.
At least it use to be.
I think we can get after Rudy's past positions, quite frankly, and debate whether those are consistent with someone who can unify the party AND win the election.
I have no idea what the relative significance of a paperwork issue means to the destiny of the Republic.
You're so damn boooring...
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