Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
I didn't say he was weak on the WOT but Hunter has been drinnking a lot of the K-Street Koolaid.
http://www.clubforgrowth.org/2006/10/duncan_hunters_voting_record.php
That no more makes me a golfer, than standing next to these West Point officers makes RINO-rudy a military man, a man's man, or a "hero">
And by the way, I've commented previously about rudy's UN-presidential speech impediment, bald head, and nervous tick (EYES WIDENING uncontrollably), as well as his penchant for cross-dressing, but, until this picture, I never noticed that he had a relatively HUGE, O.J.-like head.
Also, this photo is telling, in that the good guys usually wear white, and the bad guys always wear...
well, you know.
I think I'll just stick to dipping my fries in ketchup and just eat the Frosty like it is.
And once again, you are talking about Spiff without pinging him.
You don't like facts?
Blasphemy isn't helpful.
I haven't seen where, with "attribution", you have refuted the assertions on Spiff's chart, point by point, or have you?
Freeper Poll Denial Syndrome (FPDS) should have been vanquished when the the GOP fell on it's @ss on election night, 2006. It took only a few days before it resurfaced again.
Hey. are you willing to go to Stamford tomorrow morning 11:30 for a stamp down of the Peace movement? Hopefully you are getting CT Flag. Please advise.
Funny, the Club for Growth never gets into anti-amnesty votes.
And Hunter supported the President with his votes in question. I wish he hadn't at times, but he was exercising party loyalty at the time.
"That no more makes me a golfer, than standing next to these West Point officers makes RINO-rudy a military man, a man's man, or a "hero">"
Rudy may not be a military man but he is a man's man and a hero.
"And by the way, I've commented previously about rudy's UN-presidential speech impediment, bald head, and nervous tick (EYES WIDENING uncontrollably),"
Rudy is a great speaker. 10 times better than Bush. Eisenhower was bald, and Truman was legally blind without his glasses.
I want to, but I have 2 problems. I have a prior engagement, and I am having a vehicle situation. I read about this earlier, and was bumming i can't make it.
"Rudy may not be a military man but he is a man's man ..."
LOL, he is a crossdresser. An adulterer. He says he'd pay for his children to get abortions. He sues gunmakers. He is a pansy. Without ANY military experience.
So is Alan Keyes.
Maybe we should run Alan for president if that is your criteria.
And as a pre-emptive measure, I guarded the stage for Alan Keyes in 1999 at an FR/JW rally. But I don't think he's right to be president. I just am pointing out that positions do matter.
But the dispossesed Rockefeller Republicans can dream, can't they?
How about this one?
"http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1778360/posts?page=333#333"
He has no foreign policy experience and while throwing Arafat out makes for a nice anecdote it doesn't really mean a whole lot. His stances on the WOT, Iraq and confronting terrorists, Israel and a pro-America foreign policy distinguishes from the other candidates how?
As for litmus tests the answer is yes, I do believe in a litmus test, adherence to the constitution. Support for Roe and McCain-Feingold flunks that test.
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