Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters particularly Republican primary voters feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes including better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans, would manage government more effectively and what I believe to be the single most important factor is the stronger leader.
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayors exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, 06 |
New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac Jan. 16-22 |
North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giulianis favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York Citys economy in the 1990s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayors story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Sorry, I don't put much credence in people who vote for one kind of candidate while pushing others to vote differently.
Come to the real world.
Rudy is as big a wolve (liberal) as Hitlary.
I will vote as I see fit.
So we've seen. LOL.
Bull
Rudy may not be my top pick .. but he is not like Hellary ... not even close
I do not thing Hitlary will make it through the rat primaries.
If Rudy McRomney get the nod I most likely will go Constitution Party.
Doesn't matter if she does or doesn't
I will never throw my country to the wolves in the General Election out of a protest
Only a FOOL would do that
My country is to important to me to ever allow that to happen
WOW .. what a shocker / s>
I care for our country as well. That is why I do not vote for a liberal in someting like this, no matter the party.
Why don't you go third party now? You're wasting a lot of time here when you could be working from within your OWN party.
There are still many conservatives to support. There is a bette chance of gettign a conservative from the rep party. But if they more to the left then I go third party. I place principle over party.
I place country over my principles.
bull
Oh dear.
I know too many who voted for Perot and to this day, feel guilty for allowing Clinton to win.
How could you live with yourself?
Do us all a favor and go now
HS -- Do I have to keep posting this or would you please put on a disclaimer? You stated you left the Republican Party and became an Indy and now if what I am reading is true you want to be pandered to and you are not a Republican? Some folks don't seem to understand the difference between pandering and honest politicians that tell it like it is.
Senators Inhofe and Coburn don't pander to voters -- what you see is what you get. Rudy hasn't tried to hide who he is either and why I support those kind of candidates. Any group that wants to be pandered to needs a reality check because there are too many important issues of today to pander to a group that threatens to stay home and not vote!
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