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Taxing Sales under the FairTax – What Rate Works?
Boston University ^ | September 2006 | Laurence J. Kotlikoff et al

Posted on 10/19/2006 5:11:50 PM PDT by pigdog

As specified in Congressional bill H.R. 25/S. 25, the FairTax is a proposal to replace the federal personal income tax, corporate income tax, payroll (FICA) tax, capital gains, alternative minimum, self-employment, and estate and gifts taxes with a single-rate federal retail sales tax. The FairTax also provides a prebate to each household based on its demographic composition. The prebate is set to ensure that households pay no taxes net on spending up to the poverty level.

Bill Gale (2005) and the President’s Advisory Panel on Federal Tax Reform (2005) suggest that the effective (tax inclusive) tax rate needed to implement H.R. 25 is far higher than the proposed 23% rate. This study, which builds on Gale’s (2005) analysis, shows that a 23% rate is eminently feasible and suggests why Gale and the Tax Panel reached the opposite conclusion.

This paper begins by projecting the FairTax’s 2007 tax base net of its rebate. Next it calculates the tax rate needed to maintain the real levels of federal and state spending under the FairTax. It then determines if an effective rate of 23% would be sufficient to fund 2007 estimated spending or if not, the amount by which non-Social Security federal expenditures would need to be reduced. Finally, it shows that the FairTax imposes no additional real fiscal burdens on state and local government, notwithstanding the requirement that such governments pay the FairTax when they purchase goods and services.

(Excerpt) Read more at people.bu.edu ...


TOPICS: Heated Discussion
KEYWORDS: fairtax; incometax; itchyandscratchy; taxes; taxreform
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To: pigdog
Knock off the personal attacks!!
This whole "stop the personal attacks" bit you've been playing lately is really making me laugh. It's kind of like Kim Jung Il saying "No More Nukes!"
561 posted on 10/23/2006 11:45:24 AM PDT by Your Nightmare
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To: pigdog
But the savings themselves lose no value and even the income earned could also be plowed back into more savings. Your point is not made.
And when those savings are eventually spent, they are taxed. Their real value will always be reduced by the amount of the FairTax whether they are spent immediately or saved for twenty years.
562 posted on 10/23/2006 11:48:12 AM PDT by Your Nightmare
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To: Your Nightmare
No, the prebate is not taxed UNLESS it is spent - but that's not the discussion. With the Calculator, the use of the prebate is to reduce taxes to give one an accurate comparison between the two systems.

We seem to be saying different things. You're saying the prebate can be spent and certainly it CAN. It can also be saved and not spent. Either is beside the point of the use of the prebate in the Calculator where it is intended to reduce taxes paid - it's conceived use as a tax rebate - so that an accurate comparison between the two systems can be made on an even basis.

It isn't an "error" at all but, apparently, a use which you do not understand. If anything, forcing in into spending would be an error from the standpoint of the Calculator since that would increase spendable income with no offsetting increase in spendable income on the income tax side thereby biasing the results in the Calculator.

563 posted on 10/23/2006 11:53:44 AM PDT by pigdog
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To: pigdog
It isn't an "error" at all but, apparently, a use which you do not understand. If anything, forcing in into spending would be an error from the standpoint of the Calculator since that would increase spendable income with no offsetting increase in spendable income on the income tax side thereby biasing the results in the Calculator.
No, by not including all the FairTax a person would pay you are reducing the gross tax paid. And then when you reduce the gross tax by the "prebate," you get an erroneously small net tax paid.

What a shock it is that this error benefits the FairTax comparison.
564 posted on 10/23/2006 12:02:43 PM PDT by Your Nightmare
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To: Principled
No. First, the costs of the income tax are removed thereby lowering the price. Anti fair tax posters have said this decrease will be 9%. That happens first. That's why the price drops to 273,000. THEN add the nrst.

Removing the income tax is only one, small factor is the cost of a house, market forces play a larger part. If people have more disposible income, it is more likely that prices will increase as home buyers compete with eachother.

565 posted on 10/23/2006 12:18:18 PM PDT by lucysmom
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To: Your Nightmare
"No, by not including all the FairTax a person would pay you are reducing the gross tax paid. And then when you reduce the gross tax by the "prebate," you get an erroneously small net tax paid.

What a shock it is that this error benefits the FairTax comparison."

And if the prebate is not spent but saved then it is not taxed so your point is meaningless as one cannot presume if will be spent and as I said the fact of doing so biases the Calculator and does not fulfill the purpose it was designed for - which was a comparison on an apples and apples basis of the effective tax rate when the same level of spending occurs.

"What a shock it is that this "error" you try to claim (which is not an error at all) benefits the anti-FairTax comparison."

566 posted on 10/23/2006 12:19:59 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: pigdog
And if the prebate is not spent but saved then it is not taxed so your point is meaningless as one cannot presume if will be spent...

The assumption is that it will be spent - thus the name prebate. In addition, the FairTaxers claim that people always spend up to and exceeding the poverty level no matter what their income. Isn't that the justification for the amount of the prebate - projected spending for family size based on the poverty level?

567 posted on 10/23/2006 12:32:59 PM PDT by lucysmom
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To: GregoryFul
Someone recently posted an enumeration of all the benefits of Bush's tax cuts. Jobs, ecnomy, home ownership etc. It is my opinion that such a posting favored the FairTax since it showed what just a little easing of income taxes can do. Imagine no income taxes, just consumption taxes.

About your assets, why did you accumulate so much outside of tax deferred accounts? You say you spent a lifetime saving this money. If you had used IRA's or something similar you would have had a much more rapid compounding of returns than you did outside of these. I've found the best combination is about 50-50 taxable and tax deferred. Most of the problems I encounter is with people who have too much in tax deferred accounts.

568 posted on 10/23/2006 12:41:33 PM PDT by groanup (Limited government is the answer. What's the question?)
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To: Your Nightmare
Savings have no value unless they are spent. And the return of savings on the prebate would still be taxed when spent.

That statement can be a putt that breaks 15 times before it drops in the cup. Savings can also be a base from which to accumulate wealth. Savings can also be an emergency fund and create peace of mind. Savings can be passed on the future generations. Savings can be collateral for leveraging in your business or personal accounts. The amount of savings you have can literally determine HOW MUCH you spend on any given thing.

Technically, you are correct. But in the real world savings are used for many things.

569 posted on 10/23/2006 12:47:43 PM PDT by groanup (Limited government is the answer. What's the question?)
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To: pigdog
And if the prebate is not spent but saved then it is not taxed so your point is meaningless as one cannot presume if will be spent and as I said the fact of doing so biases the Calculator and does not fulfill the purpose it was designed for - which was a comparison on an apples and apples basis of the effective tax rate when the same level of spending occurs.
And if it is not spent IT HAS ABSOLUTELY NO VALUE. The government might as well send out Monopoly money or just not send it at all.

Under the FairTax, the value of all government transfers, including the FairTax prebate, would be reduced by the amount of the FairTax.
570 posted on 10/23/2006 12:50:16 PM PDT by Your Nightmare
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To: Your Nightmare
"And if it is not spent IT HAS ABSOLUTELY NO VALUE. "

See #569.

From the Kotilkoff et al paper:

"Nominal federal transfer payments TR that are not taxed under current law must remain high enough to command the same goods and services under the FairTax as they do under current law."

571 posted on 10/23/2006 1:01:45 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: lucysmom
"As you requested, I provided a link and the quote - "exact phrase""

No, you didn't - all you posted was to present a part of your original post. What I asked for was the source you obtained that comment from - and you didn't provide it.

572 posted on 10/23/2006 1:02:55 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: lucysmom
"What steps will government then take to bring retirement money and spending back home? "

The very "steps" that are embedded as part and parcel in the bill ... making the U.S. the world's largest tax haven.

If embittered individuals choose to leave the US, they're certainly free to do so - but that's been going on for a long time now due to the income tax. More will undoubtedly be returning with their capital once they see the FairTax has passed. They'd be foolish from an economic standpoint not to.

573 posted on 10/23/2006 1:08:22 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: lucysmom
"... The assumption is that it will be spent ..."
NO, it isn't. Not for the purpose of the Calculator as I've explained several times. Look up one of he posts if you're interested.
574 posted on 10/23/2006 1:17:29 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: groanup
Savings can also be a base from which to accumulate wealth.
Wealth that's only value is in what it can buy when spent.


Savings can also be an emergency fund and create peace of mind.
I assume this emergency fund would be spent in case of an emergency. Correct?


Savings can be passed on the future generations.
And they might as well be Confederate dollars if they aren't spent.


Savings can be collateral for leveraging in your business or personal accounts.
Acquiring debt is considered "negative" savings. You are effectively spending your savings.
575 posted on 10/23/2006 1:19:11 PM PDT by Your Nightmare
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To: pigdog
"And if it is not spent IT HAS ABSOLUTELY NO VALUE. "
From the Kotilkoff et al paper:
"Nominal federal transfer payments TR that are not taxed under current law must remain high enough to command the same goods and services under the FairTax as they do under current law."
What does the Kotlikoff quote have to do with what I said.
576 posted on 10/23/2006 1:22:36 PM PDT by Your Nightmare
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To: pigdog; lucysmom
No, you didn't - all you posted was to present a part of your original post. What I asked for was the source you obtained that comment from - and you didn't provide it.
Are you now admitting that you did ask for quotes?
577 posted on 10/23/2006 1:24:41 PM PDT by Your Nightmare
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To: pigdog
NO, it isn't. Not for the purpose of the Calculator as I've explained several times.
Yeah, but we know what the purpose of the calculator is. It's the same as the rest of the FairTax propaganda. [Hint: it's purpose is not the truth.]
578 posted on 10/23/2006 1:26:26 PM PDT by Your Nightmare
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To: Your Nightmare
Acquiring debt is considered "negative" savings. You are effectively spending your savings.

Acquiring debt can also be "positive" savings. How else are you going to build luxury condo's for sale? What if all of your savings is in rental property? You've spent it right? Debt for investment sake is good and the amount of debt you are able to acquire can be directly dependent on your savings. It's easier to borrow against a CD than against a house that hasn't been built.

579 posted on 10/23/2006 1:39:17 PM PDT by groanup (Limited government is the answer. What's the question?)
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To: Your Nightmare

You can't read???


580 posted on 10/23/2006 1:55:30 PM PDT by pigdog
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