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Link only due to copyright issues: http://www.expressnews.com/business/national/article/Trump-deportation-plan-rattles-an-industry-9233080.php

Nate Silver famously has a secret algorithm to determine who is the likely winner in a race. His algorithm is showing that Trump has broken fifty percent for the first time in Nevada tonight. This is significant because Silver calculates more than polls, including the economy, the incumbent, etc. Using all of this, Silver is seeing Nevada is even.

Interesting parsing on this poll. Focus on Q2. In a straight up poll, I'm assuming raw data, Trump 35-33-8. When undecideds are pushed or extrapolated, it goes to Trump 46-43-11. When restricted to major party candidates, it's Trump 51.5 to 48.5 which is exactly what Helmut Norputh is predicting. I'll let our resident statisticians play with this one.

Donald Trump has been widely scorned by the liberal elite for his stances on immigration. Trump called for a pause in immigration to "find out what’s going on.” Not unexpectedly, that statement was bastardized by the liberal media into a total and complete ban on Muslims for all time. In August Trump refined his plan to call for "extreme vetting" of immigrants: To fight “radical Islamic terrorism” and to “make America safe again,” Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump proposed today administering a new, ideological test for immigrants who want to enter the United States. “We should only admit into this...

Long-time Democrat pollster Pat Caddell spoke with Breitbart News Daily SiriusXM host Alex Marlow Monday about the weekend’s terrorist attacks in New York, New Jersey, and Minnesota, and questioned if they should be considered “the new normal.” Caddell stated, “I don’t think that this was the end of it. We may, sadly, see more. But the question here is, are we to accept this as the new normal?” He added, “Or are we going to take the approach, ‘Not in our house’ and really get tough on this stuff?” Added Caddell, “I suspect this will now have a huge impact...

PHILADELPHIA -- Hillary Clinton’s campaign is aggressively outworking Donald Trump in battleground Pennsylvania, a state the billionaire businessman can scarcely afford to lose and still hope to become president. Despite polling well in Pennsylvania throughout the summer, Clinton’s team is nevertheless bearing down in a state her party has carried in six straight elections. They are ratcheting up advertising and dispatching their top supporters to Pennsylvania, from Bill Clinton to Joe Biden to last week’s visit from President Barack Obama. “We’ve got to fight for this thing,” Obama thundered at a rally in Philadelphia last Tuesday. “I need you to...

ST. PAUL—A new Minnesota Poll shows Donald Trump closing Hilary Clinton's lead in the state, which mirrors national polls showing the presidential race tightening. The Star Tribune's Minnesota Poll indicates Clinton would receive 44 percent of the vote and Trump 38 percent if the election were held now. North Dakota native Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate and former New Mexico governor, received 12 percent support, although more than a quarter of those surveyed said they did not know who he is. Democrat Clinton's strongest support came in the heavily Democratic areas of Minneapolis and St. Paul, where she held a...

Bad News For Hillary's African American Vote: 50% Of Blacks Say Nothing To Lose With Trump, 75% Say Nothing To Gain With Clinton.

Trump up .1 from yesterday, Cankles rebounds by .3

As of 09/18/2016...Trump 47.8%Clinton 41.1%

According to the collaborative work of researchers for Advertising Age, Hillary Clinton is spending over $145 million on TV and Radio Ads. Donald Trump’s total is a little over 4 million. Team Clinton is burning 36 times more money than Team Trump.(Via AdAge) To put all this another way, of the $149,912,723 millon in booked TV and radio spending through election day for these three presidential candidates, $145,299,727 is being spent by the Clinton campaign combined with pro-Clinton PACs. (link)(LINK) Another reason for the media to hate Trump. He’s not filling their bank accounts.

Of all the unforced errors Hillary Clinton’s made so far, calling half of Trump supporters “a basket of deplorables” is possibly her most misguided. Aside from falling prey to juvenile name-calling, Clinton presumes that this swath of the electorate uniformly holds, and is animated by, racist views. Perhaps her husband needs to remind her of his campaign slogan in 1992: It’s the economy, stupid. Last Tuesday, four days after Clinton made that remark — at a star-studded gala in Manhattan, where Barbra Streisand performed — the Census Bureau released new data about jobs and the economy. It was bad, bad...

Republican Donald J. Trump has the support of 20 percent of the African-American vote in Sunday’s “Daybreak Poll” by the University of Southern California and The Los Angeles Times. Trump’s Democratic opponent Hillary R. Clinton is the choice of 71 percent of black voters. For the week after Trump’s Aug. 16 speech on the status of African-Americans in America in West Bend, Wisconsin, the Republican had support in the Daybreak Poll between 13 percent and 15 percent....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1y4ptVHmEIs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdXqoVhdHOI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dIVfbylUU-M&ab_channel=thegeek4god https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8mYKC7CjvdE

Over the past week Donald Trump has been outperforming Hillary Clinton by the highest margins since after the Republican National Convention in July, but some of his greatest increases have come from voters already thought to be firmly in the Democrat's corner. Nationally, Trump leads Clinton by 6.7 points (47.7%-41%) in the latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times "Daybreak" poll, which tracks around 3,000 voters per day. This also marks the highest percentage that Trump has ever achieved in this poll, with his previous high water mark coming in at 47.4% back in July.One of the contributing factors to Trump's rise...

Donald Trump now leads Hillary Clinton in several states won by Barack Obama including: Iowa, Florida, New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada and is tied with Hillary Clinton in Michigan. Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway cheered the development in a series of tweets.

The United States will not be limited by the new $38 billion 10-year "memorandum of understanding" (MOU) in determining whether and how to increase security aid to Israel, Donald Trump's Israel advisor told the Jewish Insider website on Thursday. "Under a Trump administration, the level of strategic and tactical cooperation between the two countries will be of an unprecedented high level," Attorney David Friedman, who advises the Republican presidential nominee on U.S.-Israel affairs, told the website. "The U.S. will not be limited in its support for Israel by the terms of the MOU," he stressed. Friedman's comments come a day...

Reports have identified the suspect responsible for stabbing nine people at the Crossroads Center mall in St. Cloud, Minnesota as Dahir Adan, a recent immigrant from Somalia. [Snip] Between 2009 and 2013, while Hillary Clinton served as Secretary of State, the U.S. permanently resettled 31,000 Somali migrants on green cards, according to data from the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). [Snip] In total, during Clinton’s time as Secretary of State, the U.S. resettled 680,000 migrants from Muslim nations.

How can it possibly be that Donald Trump is on the verge of overtaking Hillary Clinton? Despite all of the ways Trump has demonstrated his total unsuitability to lead the United States, nearly half of America’s voters seem willing to cut him enough slack to quite possibly elect him. One factor is that political elites have underestimated the deep disaffection of middle- and working-class, downwardly mobile white people. Working class whites may be well off compared to most blacks, Latinos, and immigrants, but they don’t see this that way, and not without reason. For decades, two trends have been converging:...

Two weeks ago, some pundits began talking about a Trump “surge.” Suddenly, that surge is looking like a full-fledged “wave.” In one battleground after another, the billionaire real estate mogul is opening up a lead over Hillary Clinton – or making that state’s race competitive again. He’s also beating Clinton in several of the latest national polls. Mainstream pundits are reeling from the shock. Take Ohio. Three straight polls now find Trump with a solid single-digit lead. Trump has closed the gap with women to low single-digits while preserving his robust double-digit lead among men. And Trump’s leading among college-educated...