Posted on 09/19/2016 12:21:17 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
ST. PAUL—A new Minnesota Poll shows Donald Trump closing Hilary Clinton's lead in the state, which mirrors national polls showing the presidential race tightening.
The Star Tribune's Minnesota Poll indicates Clinton would receive 44 percent of the vote and Trump 38 percent if the election were held now.
North Dakota native Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate and former New Mexico governor, received 12 percent support, although more than a quarter of those surveyed said they did not know who he is.
Democrat Clinton's strongest support came in the heavily Democratic areas of Minneapolis and St. Paul, where she held a 58 percent to 28 percent advantage. However, Republican Trump led 41-37 in the suburbs and 44-38 in greater Minnesota.
Independent voters said they support Trump by 37-28. Women went heavily for Clinton while men tended to favor Trump.
Clinton did better with younger and older voters, while Trump did better with younger baby boomers.
Nearly 90 percent of Clinton and Trump voters said they are not likely to change their minds before the Nov. 8 election.
Fewer than half of those polled said Clinton and Trump were honest and trustworthy.
Voters broke nearly evenly about which candidate would be better with economic issues and gave former Secretary of State Clinton the nod on handing foreign policy.
The poll was conducted last week with 625 registered Minnesota voters interviewed. The poll has a plus or minus 4-percentage point margin of error.
A Reuters-Ipsos States of the Nation poll showed the race across the country narrowing considerably over the past few weeks. Trump would win Florida, a hotly contested state, if the election were held now, the poll showed.
The poll tracks more than 15,000 American voters weekly, and Reuters reports it "could end in a photo finish" as Clinton and Trump are running nearly even in the Electoral College, the entity that ultimately elects the president. It is possible for a candidate to win the national popular vote, but not win the Electoral College.
Reuters says that Pennsylvania has been moved from a likely win for Clinton to a tossup; Ohio has been moved from a tossup to a likely win for Clinton.
The Reuters-Ipsos poll also showed that Clinton's bout with pneumonia a week ago does not appear to have scared away voters.
"Overall," Reuters reported, "Americans appear to be relatively uninspired by their choices for president. ... One out of every five likely voters said they do not support Clinton or Trump for president. In comparison, about one out of every 10 likely voters wouldn't support (President Barack) Obama or Republican challenger Mitt Romney at a similar point in the 2012 presidential campaign."
Most major national polls show the race tightening, with Clinton holding a lead of 1 or 2 percentage points.
I thought in the national polls Trump had already passed Hillary. I want to see the race WIDENING with Trump way out in front.
This story is about Minnesota only.
It’s a state that even Reagan could not win, so savor every glorious bit of this.
That right there must tell you something about the polls accuracy.
Great minds think alike!
Uh?
I think they’re confused.
I think that it's pretty safe to assume that people aren't going to go to the polls to vote for someone they've never heard of.
It’s because the media is treating Reuters/Ispos state polls as the gold standard. Meanwhile, their state polls, which are from their national poll, use very tiny samples of 100-200 people. Ignore Reuters/Ispos state polls imo.
Waiting till the polls take the measure of the public after that muslim Somali animal attacked the Mall of America shoppers.
Registered voters.
“North Dakota native Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate and former New Mexico governor, received 12 percent support, although more than a quarter of those surveyed said they did not know who he is.”
Stuff like this is one reason I can’t take any of these polls seriously. There’s no way in hell a 3rd party is getting anywhere near 12% of the vote. They probably won’t even get 2%.
People should concentrate on that yet act like he's behind, especially in battleground states.
Minnesota is not a battleground state. 10 electoral votes here go to clinton even if her campaign headquarters is a funeral home. To overcome the corruption and voter fraud in Minnesota in any statewide race, the Republican needs about a 10% real vote advantage.
clinton will win Minnesota no matter what.
Reuters. You know those guys that got BREXIT right on the nail. Oh, Brits voted to leave EU. Smart Brits dumb Reuters.
Week 1 DJT Up 6% still down by 5% nationally
Week 2 DJT Up 7% still down by 5% nationally
Week 3 DJT up 8% still down by 4% nationally
Week 4 DJT up 12% still down by 4% nationally
Week 5 DJT up 15% still down by 3% nationally
These calculation based on the new math model for Hillary’s victory in Nov
THE USC DORNSIFE / LA TIMES PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION “DAYBREAK” POLL
I think Hillary’s new math, like Hillary, is going down to Chinatown.
If Minnesotans would come to their senses and not throw away their vote on Gary Johnson and instead support Trump, Hillary would lose the state.
“Stuff like this is one reason I can’t take any of these polls seriously. There’s no way in hell a 3rd party is getting anywhere near 12% of the vote. They probably won’t even get 2%.”
Here in Minnesota — the state that elected Jesse Ventura — it is absolutely possible for a third party to crack 10%. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if Johnson ended up with 15% of the vote — mostly pulling votes from normally reliable Dems that Hillary is counting on. Still probably won’t be enough to flip it to Trump, but it could force Hillary to spend some precious resources here.
“Here in Minnesota — the state that elected Jesse Ventura — it is absolutely possible for a third party to crack 10%.”
Alright, that’s a good point, but I have seen similar numbers even in national polls, so something is not adding up.
My feeling is that most of those polling for Johnson are either staying home or voting Trump in the end and most of those polled for Stein will either vote Clinton or stay home.
Minnesota has a Dhimmicrap senator, a virtually Communist senator, and an idiot Dem governor. If Trump can pull Minnesota away from Hillary, he should win BIG.
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