Posted on 11/03/2016 7:23:39 AM PDT by Henchster
Today, Rasmussen put this out:
The latest national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Trump leading Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton 45% to 42%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has four percent (4%) support, and Green Party hopeful Jill Stein picks up just one percent (1%). Two percent (2%) like another candidate, and four percent (4%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
They then went on to say:
Eighty-eight percent (88%) of voters say they are now certain how they will vote. Among these voters, Trump has a 10-point lead over Clinton – 53% to 43%. Johnson gets two percent (2%) and Stein one percent (1%). This is the first time any candidate has crossed the 50% mark. Among those who still could change their minds, it’s Clinton 36%, Trump 36%, Johnson 22% and Stein six percent (6%).
Wait a minute! This doesn't compute, how can Trump only have 45% when he has 53% of 88%? Let's use their raw data to work back to their summary:
| Candidate | 88% | Certain | 12% | NotCer | Total |
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| Trump | 53 | 46.64 | 36 | 4.32 | 50.96 |
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| Clinton | 43 | 37.84 | 36 | 4.32 | 42.16 |
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| Johnson | 2 | 1.76 | 22 | 2.64 | 4.40 |
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| Stein | 1 | .88 | 6 | .72 | 1.60 |
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Ah-HA! Trump actually has 51% of the vote - Rasmussen is tweaking Trump's number down to keep the race interesting!
Here's the good news:
Rasmussen Reports updates its White House Watch survey daily Monday through Friday at 8:30 am Eastern based on a three-day rolling average of 1,500 Likely U.S. Voters.
The survey of 1,500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 31 and November 1-2, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
This is a small margin of error poll! Trump is busting into the landslide zone, but Rasmussen doesn't want to depress Clinton voters! Not only that, but it was taken over the last three days, so it is lagging on Hillary's freefall in support.
If they believe in equality they should share their GPA with those who have lesser GPA’s, and give their money to the local areas who have no money like many of them,.
LOL!!!
Show me where.
Sadly, I don't think you'd get to see them....a massive case of the 'blue' flu may occur.
Tuesday night looms ahead. 5 days to go.
One cannot say they can’t attract flies.
“My work here is done, time for a beer to celebrate. “
Just sober up on Tuesday to do your duty for your country!
That scenario send me down the road to an awaking in my late 20's with the media in MA and finding out the "Massachusetts Miracle" was a Mess. Or will they just shrug, grab the popcorn and turn on "Modern Family".
Sadly, they will probably do the latter...
Mail-in voting in AZ, my work IS done! Believe me, I tried to Cantorize my weasel, but McCain pulled it out on Ward with a ton of negative advertising. Fitzpatrick is even more dangerous than McCain the backstabber, so it’ll have to wait until next time.
Agree that celebration is premature. Remember the 11th commandment: “He who expects nothing shall not be disappointed”.
Observational report from western WV, which also speaks for much of Eastern Ohio because it’s largely made up of West Virginians. The clerk of Mason Co. reported that the first 3 days of early voting they received 191 absentee ballots and 1,157 early voters. (Large county made up mostly of agriculture. Not a large population area.) Clerk said: “Voting has met and exceeded numbers from the past. We are anticipating setting records for early voting turnout and on election day.”
So excited that I’ll have 2 things to celebrate Tues. night - Trump winning and my birthday. What a wonderful gift it will be to be celebrating President-Elect Trump on my birthday.
My personal EV count has Trump at 326.
Among these voters, Trump has a 10-point lead over Clinton – 53% to 43%.
Great post!!!
I like your number. More embarrassing for the Clinton Mob.
I have a safe 291 for Trump. It is quicker to list the states she should win:
CA,CT,DE,DC,HI,IL,MA,ME,MD,MI,MN,NJ,NM,NY,OR,PA,RI,VT,WA,WI.
That doesn't mean Trump won't pick off some of her states, but I believe he is safely at 291 today.
Rasmussen Reports went downhill when Scott Rasmussen left. They are now partisan but trying to hide their bias. Scott was one of the most honest people in polling.
I’ve been trying to figure out precisely when he left and when they started adding secret sauce to the mixture. There is no doubt their polling has become skewed, they show Obama with a 54% approval rating.
Several of those states have Republican governors, so it wouldn’t be impossible for him to pick off one or another...
Oregon is the sleeper in that list for me. Most of the state is fairly conservative, but is outvoted by Eugene and Portland. However, those two cities are so moonbat crazy that a lot of them will be pissed about Sanders getting robbed during the primaries and may stay home.
That’s cool!
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