TRUMP now leads in 538's now-cast, our estimate of what would happen in an election today.

Twitter ^ | July 25, 2016 | Nate Silver

[BlueStateRightist]

Who will win the presidency?

[BigEdLB]

CO will come around . So will MI and WI...maybe MN. VA will be tough. Zombie federal bureaucrats voting Dem because of Kaine.

[Dr. Sivana]

Trailing in Colorado? That’s a surprise. So is Virginia.

Colorado? Potheads.

Virginia? Government employees and contractors living high in northern Virginia. Maybe a percent or two because of Kaine. Maybe.

Leads in both states are small. She only has three BIG states locked up: NY, IL, CA. PA and OH alone are YUUUGE.

[SamAdams76]

She’s carrying very few swing states and VA and CO are inside the margin of error.

Anybody thinking she picked Kaine because she is worried about losing VA as well? I'm sure she would rather have picked somebody else.

[goldstategop]

Oh she’ll be nominated - but you know expectations are part of the game and she once looked strong.

Now Hillary looks more scarecrow than Witch Of Chappaqua.

[9YearLurker]

Prepping for the Hillary bounce spin?

[Future Useless Eater]

Their Projected Electoral votes

Donald Trump 285.0 <-—WINNER
Hillary Clinton 252.6

[goldstategop]

She’ll get no bounce to a small bounce.

The woman doesn’t inspire any one. She has zero charisma.

About the only thing she had going for her is people couldn’t stand Trump enough to vote for her.

Now that’s gone.

[r_barton]

What counts are electoral votes. What’s the electoral vote count at this point?

[wyowolf]

Trump got a great bounce from the convention. Will see how Hildabest does after this weeks “show”...

[xp38]

In games of tricks Trump suits are winners.

[BlueStateRightist]

Silver has it as Trump at 285 electoral votes. Crook at 253.

[goldstategop]

285 for Trump to 252 for Hillary.

If its really a landslide, NY, CT, NJ, ME, VA, MI, WI and CO will all flip Trump.

But I’ll take the current count. Its all that really matters.

[Simon Foxx]

I smelled something burning when Silver shot out his “People have no idea how close this election is. Trump could win.” Tweet of the day before yesterday. Heh-heh-heh... he must have seen the trends coming ...

[mac_truck]

[9YearLurker]

In which case, they’d need to try to manufacture one...

[jmaroneps37]

But but but Natie just last week you said Trump had only a 34.78% chance of winning? BTW Natie I loved the .78 thingy it made you look like a scientist. I could imagine you wearing a white coat and smoking a pipe when you wrote that.

[LS]

NOTE: Little Natey STILL doesn’t have Trump with FL IA PA or NC where he is leading. If he did, the odds would be 95%.

[Simon Foxx]

NYT,WAPO,CNN,MSNBC,ELITES all worship at Nate’s Totem Pole.

That whistling sound you hear are the lefties jumping off the Golden Gate Bridge after seeing this update from 538 ...

[goldstategop]

GOP convention was well-received and Trump gave an impressive address. He looked and sound presidential.

Considering Mitt got no bounce in 2012, it completely changes the game.

Trump is dominant.

[Simon Foxx]

Oh but he does, LS, he does - look at the updated chart just above your post!