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TRUMP now leads in 538's now-cast, our estimate of what would happen in an election today.
Twitter ^
| July 25, 2016
| Nate Silver
Posted on 07/25/2016 6:19:51 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
Who will win the presidency?
(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...
TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; clinton; polls; silver; trump
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The odds just were updated.
To: BlueStateRightist
Website is still showing the old numbers...at least for me.
2
posted on
07/25/2016 6:26:18 AM PDT
by
pb929
To: BlueStateRightist
57.5-42.5 Trump
3
posted on
07/25/2016 6:26:26 AM PDT
by
BigEdLB
(Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
To: BlueStateRightist
Here is the current Nate Silver (fivethirtyeight.com) "If the Election Were Held Today Projection". Nice.
4
posted on
07/25/2016 6:27:44 AM PDT
by
InterceptPoint
(Ted, you should have endorsed. Big mistake.)
To: pb929
5
posted on
07/25/2016 6:27:51 AM PDT
by
BlueStateRightist
(Government is best which governs least.)
To: BlueStateRightist
Nate Silver is updating his special sauce.
He said Trump could never win and now he’s saying its a very close election.
Hillary’s once unassailable double-digit lead has melted away like snow in July.
The Left is stunned and that’s saying it mildly.
6
posted on
07/25/2016 6:28:23 AM PDT
by
goldstategop
((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
To: BlueStateRightist
It will be a clean sweep for TRUMP.
To: BlueStateRightist
Thanks, restarted browser and now I’m seeing the updates.
I don’t place much faith in Silver, but I’m sure this has got to be demoralizing to the left.
8
posted on
07/25/2016 6:30:04 AM PDT
by
pb929
To: pb929
Are you clicking on the twitter link?
9
posted on
07/25/2016 6:30:24 AM PDT
by
BigEdLB
(Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
To: BigEdLB
This is a far cry from what he was saying months and months ago. Plus, most of these polls are still not post convention numbers.
To: BlueStateRightist
Trailing in Colorado? That’s a surprise. So is Virginia.
11
posted on
07/25/2016 6:31:38 AM PDT
by
Mase
(Save me from the people who would save me from myself!)
To: pb929
I loathe this little liberal slime.
But...he hasn’t been wrong with the numbers yet in general elections.
To: InterceptPoint
A dramatic turnaround from Silver’s statement in June predicting Hillary had a 67% chance to win.
Wow.... I’ve been record as predicting a Hillary win and if the numbers hold up - the new CW may get every one on board.
Poor Hillary is already battling the Trump train, looking like a loser going to her convention.
That never happened with Gore, Kerry or Obama. But its happening to Hillary.
Talk about a seismic shift in the political landscape.
13
posted on
07/25/2016 6:32:34 AM PDT
by
goldstategop
((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
To: BlueStateRightist
Considering Hillary's support is falling apart in a party known for its uniformity (like a mafia), shows how bad her chances are.
To: BlueStateRightist
Any chance she will not get her party’s nomination?
15
posted on
07/25/2016 6:33:02 AM PDT
by
Lopeover
(2016 Election is about allegiance to the United States!)
To: pb929
LOL. Nate Silver AND Eric Ericson in the same day.... Oh the humanity.
16
posted on
07/25/2016 6:33:23 AM PDT
by
BigEdLB
(Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
To: stars & stripes forever
Map shows around 300 Electoral votes for Trump
17
posted on
07/25/2016 6:34:24 AM PDT
by
BigEdLB
(Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
To: BlueStateRightist
Wasn't Nate Silver's "538" or whatever he calls it saying for months that Trump had very low odds of winning?
This is why I don't pay much attention to pollsters early on. They can say and predict whatever they want with no consequence whatsoever. All they have to do is bring their predictions in line with reality as the election gets closer and they can claim that they were "accurate."
In the meantime, they get to manipulate voters and demoralize them as much as they can.
To: Lopeover
Wikileaks is beautiful. It will continually undermine the MSM’s attempts to derail Trump.
19
posted on
07/25/2016 6:36:41 AM PDT
by
BlueStateRightist
(Government is best which governs least.)
To: Berlin_Freeper
She’s carrying very few swing states and VA and CO are inside the margin of error.
WI and MI are on the bubble for Blue States and she only has big leads in NY, IL and CA.
Rest of nation is solid or leaning Trump.
20
posted on
07/25/2016 6:36:47 AM PDT
by
goldstategop
((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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