Posted on 03/22/2016 12:22:52 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
Donald Trump was the clear favorite in todays winner-take-all Arizona primary, even before the Brussels terrorist attacks. The immigration issue and the flood of early voters favors him, as does the fact that some of those early voters will have cast ballots for Marco Rubio before he dropped out last Tuesday night. If they had known Rubio would no longer be a candidate, many of those voters might have gone with Cruz.
But polls have been tricky and often erratic this year (think Michigan and the surprise win of Bernie Sanders). For example, the latest poll showing a 14 point Trump lead appears to oversample Phoenix voters (59 percent of states population vs. 73 percent of those polled). Trump outperfoms his statewide average in the Phoenix area. The Washington Post reports that Cruz could definitely score an upset in Arizona. If that happens or Cruz comes very close here will be the relevant factors, according to the Post.
Cruz has a superior ground game. Neutral observers say his team is a lot more organized than Trump. His state director elected many Republican members of the legislature.
Its a closed primary, meaning only Republicans can vote. Trump has struggled in closed primaries.
Cruz has scored a bunch of late endorsements: Rep. Matt Salmon announced his support last night.
Cruz is still perceived as strong on border security.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
NR again. They never give up.
After today, if Brussels, Trump will crush AZ bigger than before.
A vote for Cruz is a vote for Hillary? Bull-Crap! In poling Cruz has done better than Trump against Hillary!
Plus, your analysis is idiotic! Just because Trump beat Cruz in FL & OH republican primary doesn’t mean that Cruz can’t beat Hillary for the presidency in the same states.
Nor is it certain that Trump automatically beats Hillary in the LF & OH in the Presidential race because he came out on top with a plurality (not a majority) of votes in the States Republican Primaries!
Take a logic class, your comments demonstrate that you need it!
A vote for the Donald is a vote for a Bill Clinton 3rd term.
“So if someone cast an early ballot, then their candidate drops out, do they get to change it?”
Nope. They wasted it. Talked to someone who voted for Rubio here in AZ before Florida. Oops.
redstate, LOL
Look if you are going to post and not get suspended again then post decent posts, instead of the usual crap you do.
UT will not go for Clinton and you know it and I know it. Now the swing states are what is important and since cruz came third in OH, FL, VA then it doe snot look.
Now look at what he won there.
Oh no counties in FL, no counties in VA.
Not looking good is it , now stop your nonsense.
Utah is a cult state.
Priesthood rising, anointed one and snake handler nonsense.
The establishment is embedded throughout his campaign now, The Bush people are everywhere.
He has whole-heartedly joined the “stop Trump”* effort.
The assertion that he doesn’t work for the party bosses rings hollow after his Corker and TPA votes.
* the stop Trump is really stop the citizens from keeping their country
No. But you get $2.00 lunch credit at the Circle K.
by that thought at this stage then Carter should have beaten Reagan
Look at the swing states . fl, VA he never won a county for crying out loud.
I am here in FL and trust me cruz would not win FL.
“UT will not go for Clinton”
I agree. They’ll whine for a while, But Bubba was the one who locked up Utah’s coal motherlode in retaliation for not voting for him.
Look at the swing states . fl, VA he never won a county for crying out loud.
I am here in FL and trust me cruz would not win FL.
People here are fed up of the establishment, ivy league lawyers who become elected officials and never finish their first term. oh yea Obama was one too.
The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different results.
Voting for another ivy league establishment lawyer is insane.
FYI, I did not add “[Trump was right!]” to my title. Someone with the power to do so added that even though it is not part of the article title, and they did so without my permission.
Strange things are afoot at the Circle K.
lol..is that a parody poster?? Because the party bosses in Washington are EXACTLY who he’s working for right now!
I'm not on it, but please add me and then drop me so I don't have to hear his blame Trump for terrorism smears.
Logic is a foreign country to the average trump fan.
Oh no, are we at Peak Trump?!?!
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