Posted on 02/10/2016 6:14:21 AM PST by jimbo123
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/republican-presidential-primary-2016/
Things also bode well for Rubio as the field gets smaller in the coming weeks. In a four candidate field he gets 32% to 31% for Trump, 23% for Cruz, and 8% for Bush. In a three candidate field he gets 34% to 33% for Trump and 25% for Cruz. And in head to heads he leads both Trump (52/40) and Cruz (46/40). As other candidates drop out of the race Rubio is the most likely destination of their supporters.
Well put. I don't see dedicated GOP establishment voters staying home, but when it becomes just Trump v Cruz, where do they go? THAT is a big question for late March, and is one of the reasons that the race is closer than it looks. My guess is that they fall to a sitting Senator over a non-politician who could (and hopefully will, if elected) dismantle the entire party organizational leadership. That 18-20 pct makes it a tie game heading to overtime... or a least that is one of the hopes I have to hang my hat on. Trump's mouth, the anti-NE-liberal South, and TX are the others at the moment.
I agree completely. Trump's real enemy is the GOPe, at this point, and that enemy has split its money and soldiers. May as well let "you and him fight it out."
Whenever one of the GOPe-appointed galdiators drops out, it means more direct fire incoming to Trump.
... to marry an unattractive, unaccomplished Mexican girl.
Yeah, but three delegates, a turtle, and a happy warrior, now THAT is something to behold.
Your article is dated 2/4, before the NH debate. We’ll see if Rubio can recapture momentum.
The ONLY reason that a Bush or Rubio voter would vote for Cruz over Trump in a two-way race with no GOPe alternative is to ensure a demorat victory in November, which some of them I believe would clearly prefer.
They know what most of us know: Cruz cannot win in November.
As one FReeper said (and I wish I bookmarked it and I wish I remembered his name):
Cruz has all the electability of Goldwater and all the charm of Nixon.
For every candidate, Cruz is the top "second choice" (JAN 7)
This is analysis, not advocacy:
If Trump is the nominee there’s a good chance he picks Rubio as his VP.
It potentially helps Trump with Hispanics and Floridians (though by how much, is an open question). It gives him a Washington/establishment insider on the ticket (and can be seen as a sop to GOPe [I’ll keep your boy Marco around and train him for when he’s actually ready to run]). Similarly, Rubio is likely to be a “good soldier” who will say what Donald wants. It’s a nice finger in the eye to Jeb that Trump picked the “uppity kid” who wouldn’t wait his turn for Bush. Finally, it keeps Cruz in the Senate (warming up a seat for SCotUS maybe).
Sure, some of the Trumpkins will squawk at first but in the end they aren’t going to throw over the Donald just because he picked an establishment running mate.
I'm wondering if Carson will wind up with some votes. South Carolina is an open-primary state.
What do you think the odds are of some significant number of black Democrat voters deciding to vote in the Republican primary for the only black candidate in the race?
I live down here only the old people read a newspaper…all the papers here are DNC propaganda
Rubio is a RINO
So what planet are you from?
New Hampshire primary winners on planet Earth
2016 Donald Trump
2012 Mitt Romney
2008 Senator John McCain
2004 George W. Bush
2000 Senator John McCain
1996 Pat Buchanan
1992 George H. W. Bush
1988 George H. W. Bush
1984 Ronald Reagan
1980 Ronald Reagan
1976 Gerald R. Ford
1972 Richard Nixon
1968 Richard Nixon
1964 Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr.
1960 Richard Nixon
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower
We also "knew" he couldn't beat Trump in IA.
His opponent is likely a devout elderly Communist... or Bernie. ba-dum-PAH! ;)
Even Mittens would have a chance in that race. Declaring that Cruz "cannot win" I think says more about what you hope for rather than actual realistic expectations.
I think it is more likely that some non-ideologue black Democrats cross for Trump. Not many, but some. It will be a good test of my assertion that Trump can eat into the D advantage with black voters.
It's worth noting that Tim Scott is the only Black Republican in the Senate (I'm almost sure that's true), but he foolishly threw his endorsement to Rubio before the debate.
I just don't see black men lining up to vote for Hillary Clinton.
He has 2 delegates from NH and 1 from Iowa.
Kasich is waiting in the wings.
Now that’s just plain funny
What little Yebbie doesn't seem to understand is any contest only has one winner, all the rest are losers by definition.
Does this finally finish off Rubio?
Who all face reality and show that they are adults and drop out of the race?
Rubio, Bush (nope, the dope won’t), Cristy, Fiorina, Carson?
Kasich should because he just got a lot of Democrat cross overs and yankee RINOs. He will get clobbered in the south.
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