I'm wondering if Carson will wind up with some votes. South Carolina is an open-primary state.
What do you think the odds are of some significant number of black Democrat voters deciding to vote in the Republican primary for the only black candidate in the race?
I think it is more likely that some non-ideologue black Democrats cross for Trump. Not many, but some. It will be a good test of my assertion that Trump can eat into the D advantage with black voters.
It's worth noting that Tim Scott is the only Black Republican in the Senate (I'm almost sure that's true), but he foolishly threw his endorsement to Rubio before the debate.
I just don't see black men lining up to vote for Hillary Clinton.
Not much really. They are more likely to move towards Rubio. I know that sounds really shakey, but I don’t think they will vote for Carson. Probably not Rubio either. Maybe kasich.