Skip to comments.Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll: Obama 47 Romney 46 (W Leaners Tied 48-48)
Posted on 09/28/2012 6:50:03 AM PDT by nhwingut
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows President Obama attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.
Romney is supported by 86% of Republicans, while Obama gets the vote from 85% of Democrats. The GOP hopeful has a four-point edge among voters not affiliated with either major party.
When leaners are included, the race is tied at 48% apiece. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question. Beginning this Monday, October 1, Rasmussen Reports will be basing its daily updates solely upon the results including leaners.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Who are the 14% of Reps voting for Obama???
That’s why it’s so important for voters in swing states to vote their conscience and vote for Gary Johnson.
The good news is Romney is leading with Indies.
Ah so you a Johnson supporter.
Things have been the same for days now. No movement at all.
How in the Hell can the Marxist be so damn far ahead in the polls??? he should be -20!!
I think i need to start drinking more...
Yes. Romney is +4 with independents. This is a good sign. Obama has no path to victory without winning Indies. No Democrat has lost Indies and won election in last 30 years.
92 Clinton +6 Indies Won by 6
96 Clinton +8 Indies Won by 8
00 Gore -2 Indies Tied (Lost EV)
04 Kerry E Indies Lost by 3
08 Obama +8 Indies Won by 7
00 and 04 Dems did not win Indies and lost.
A lot of them are here on FR. They hate Romney and say they're not voting.
47% for Obama?
Our country is sick. The people of this country are sick, or at least the 47% of the people who support Obama.
I guess it's no coincidence when you have 47% of the people who don't pay federal income tax and you have 47% of the people who support Obama.
And we even have a handful of freaks on this website who complain when you point out that 47% of the people of this country don't pay federal income tax and most of them vote for Obama, and high taxes for the rest of us.
Why??? So we can have 4 more years of the pukehead we now have?????
By my estimate after accounting for undecideds and others Romney up slightly 1-2 points. But swing states are what matter.
How in the Hell can the Marxist be so damn far ahead in the polls???
It does appear then that Ras is using a significant dem oversample model.
If Romney leads by 4 with Indies and leads GOPers more than 0buma lead Rats, then this is a skewed poll.
This looks to me as if things are tilting ever so slightly Obama’s way. There’s still time; but I feel like team Romney is down a field goal and not a lot of time on the clock. They need an Elway-type drive to win it.
what are the dem vs rep vs indy sample percentages?
Those people (conservatives not voting for Romney) are cowards. They claim to be brave defenders of principle over party, but in fact they are people who are afraid to choose sides anf back Romney because then they won’t be as hurt if Romney loses. Its a form of preemptive sour grapes. They can look back and say “Romney wouldn’t have been any better anyway).
My focus isn’t even on the national poll. Now it comes down to the swing state. Ras daily Swing State poll is tied with Romney +1 with leaners 48-47. If history holds and undecideds break for Romney, he is sitting pretty good now.
According to Dick Morris it is +2.5% Dem oversample, I think it may be higher.
Last night, I switched around various channels and saw Benjamin Netanyahu’s speech at the UN being mocked on Jon Stewart’s show. Stewart equated it to Wily E. Coyote and the sheep in the audience had piercing laughs. Too many people unaware. Too many people blissfully ignorant. They probably consider Stewart to be a source for news.
Either we have a lot more government teat feeders than we used to, OR Rasmussen is a fat-faced lying pollster like all the rest of them.
I get that, but its highly likely that the swing state vote will track the national vote anyway.
Obama’s not far ahead not up in the polls. It is tied.
That said, it is still shocking he is not down 10, but races always look close in the middle, so I doubt it has any relation to the outcome.
Amazing, isn't it. Jon Stewart is Jewish.
Johnson is a communist.
Pray for America
When all is said and done I don’t think the results will have anything to do with gaffes, debates, or even the media.
The economy sucks no matter what is said. People feel that.
Plus I strongly believe that there are masses of people who will vote for Romney but just don’t want to talk about it because it makes them feel dirty.
I just got back from my annual Colorado vacation and there was twice as much anti Obama stuff as there was pro Romney stuff.
And the Obama and pro Romney comparison broke slightly in favor of Romney. That’s just anecdotal I know, but it is in stark contrast to what I saw four years ago.
I have a solution for the John Stewart wathcing hipster 21-35 demographic. We need a surtax of $100 on the new iPhone as well as a surtax of %50 on all clothing sold at Abercrombie and Fitch and Hollister. That would wipe the smirk off their smarmy faces. They would get it then. Most hipsters live with their parents, on their health insurance, have some useless day job which they are free to spend their money on over priced mountain bikes, soy lattes at Starbucks and concert tickets to see Seether or the reunion of SoundGarden. That or like my ex Sis in Law hipster, they co-habitate with another drippy recent college grad, semi employed hipster in some faux marriage including the yappy dog which is their pseudo kid. They think they are so smart, trendy, hip and worldly, they worship that tool John Leibowitz.
Leftist is his religion. Israel is a nice place for him to visit and claim himself a good Jew for doing so. This is the same concept as Jews who go to temple only on the high holidays. 90% of those Jews are voting for the Marxist.
I'm sorry, but this nice guy approach is not working for him.
Mitt is running strong, and has room to close the election in the last few weeks.
But its not a surprise that he’s tied now. The fact is media corruption is far greater than its ever been.
Lets look at the election in 1980. Imagine for a moment if in 1980 the american voters did not know anything about the iranian hostage crisis, did not know the unemployment rate, did not know the true cost of the interest rates.... or the inflation rate numbers.
In 1980 the news media reported those facts, and people knew them.
Today’s media doesnt’ report those facts at all. And people have no idea of what Obama’s presidency is doing to the nation.
We are now forty days out from the election. It is a good thing for a challenger to be in a dead heat at this point because the undecideds and leaners historically break for the challenger by at least 2-1 margin in final days. It is a very bad thing for the incumbent to be in a dead heat at this juncture. If the incumbent is not comfortably ahead at this point, then he hasn't made his case with the electorate.
Even better, Romney's campaign has not yet unleashed the full force of their campaign. They have evidently made the strategic decision to focus their efforts on the final weeks. Many of us are questioning that but I can only assume that Romney has some smart people on his staff who know what they are doing.
Many of us are also bemoaning the fact that we have a non-charismatic candidate who comes across as overly polite and genteel. However, those who remember the 1988 campaign will remember we had the same type of candidate back then but in the final weeks of the campaign, Dukakis was hit hard with the tank ads, the Willie Horton stuff, etc., and was beaten in a 40-state landslide. All through this, George HW Bush kept out of the fray, it was his attack dogs like Lee Atwater who did all the dirty work for him.
Hopefully Romney has some people like that waiting to be unleashed. We are going to need them.
Exactly. Bad economic news is reported as a “mixed message on the economy” while mixed economic news is reported as “good news” and good news is reported as “thanks to Obama.” And if all fails, blame Bush.
During the halftime break between Washington vs Stanford football game last night, I saw an O ad accusing Romney of outsourcing jobs to China when he was the CEO at Bain. Powerful ad, and where was Romney counter attack on this ad... CRICKETS...A successful team tries to follow up on ads like those immediately the following commercial break. UNFORTUNATELY this game was seen by millions and the ad was indeed effective. BTW, my hubby is a football fanatic and see as much football games as possible and it seems that O has cornered that market very successful...that’s all I see is O ads during station breaks and NO ROMNEY ads...zip...nada..NOTHING!! Where is the fire in the belly from team R?? :(
There is now an overwhelming body of evidence, poll’s, both skewed, and not, that Romney is in a slide. I have watched for this last week, all the damning news about terrorism in Libya, only lightly damage Obama, but more Importantly an almost “shy” Romney fail to gain any traction. The Ads are bland, his speaches, complex and maybe too far over the heads of the people his message must reach. Romney needs to kick it up a notch. NOW.
I went to the Rasmussen source page for this thread, and then browsed around a bit, ‘til I found this:
“The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows the president earning 47% support to Romneys 46%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided.”
The critical Ohio race has tightened a bit in Romney’s favor, but I was wondering, just -who- are “the other candidates” there?
If the 3% for “other” holds, or if, say, 2% of those folks stick with “other” and don’t vote for either Obama or Romney, it looks like Ohio may be “won by plurality” this time, or a VERY close majority (the kind of numbers that invite fraud in the ‘rat districts).
Historically, undecideds break about 2-to-1 against the incumbent, so of the 3%, Obama gets 1% and Romney 2%. That would bump up Obama to 48%, and give Romney 48%.
It’s the 1% (from the “other’) that will make the difference. Whoever gets the majority of that, could win Ohio by a plurality, and it will be a CLOSE plurality.
Just speculatin’ with the numbers....
“Even better, Romney’s campaign has not yet unleashed the full force of their campaign. They have evidently made the strategic decision to focus their efforts on the final weeks. Many of us are questioning that but I can only assume that Romney has some smart people on his staff who know what they are doing”
The General George McClellan strategy. Works every time!
Same here. I see lots of Obama ads and none from R/R, even though they supposedly have more money. I've donated several times to Romney; but no more. He does not appear to use the money I send him.
Thats on the low side too, from what I remember, its like 80%, or 4 to 1 that break for the incumbent. But let me check...
There is ample time. I feel much better today than I did on Monday. The polls are behind the reality of the situation — the continued MSM attempts to manufacture Romney “gaffes” are failing.
In fact, Romney is looking more and more resilient in the face of immense hostility. And his ad campaign has barely begun.
Look at the #s for seniors, all of whom vote in disproportionate numbers, with Romney leading by 20 points.
In fact, Romney is leading in every age bracket 40 years old and higher.
No wonder Obama is now attempting to get young people to sway their parents and grandparents. Won’t work.
That it’s even this close is depressing. Of course I said the same thing in 2000 and 2004.
I am correct
Did you just call him a Jock Strap?
The “high interest” voters are also grouped in the 40+ brackets where Romney dominates. It’s a lot of good news.
Rasmussen must be using a bias toward democrats or he is polling very few independents then because Romney gets 1% more of party vote and +4 on independents.