Who are the 14% of Reps voting for Obama???
That’s why it’s so important for voters in swing states to vote their conscience and vote for Gary Johnson.
Things have been the same for days now. No movement at all.
How in the Hell can the Marxist be so damn far ahead in the polls??? he should be -20!!
I think i need to start drinking more...
47% for Obama?
Our country is sick. The people of this country are sick, or at least the 47% of the people who support Obama.
I guess it's no coincidence when you have 47% of the people who don't pay federal income tax and you have 47% of the people who support Obama.
And we even have a handful of freaks on this website who complain when you point out that 47% of the people of this country don't pay federal income tax and most of them vote for Obama, and high taxes for the rest of us.
By my estimate after accounting for undecideds and others Romney up slightly 1-2 points. But swing states are what matter.
This looks to me as if things are tilting ever so slightly Obama’s way. There’s still time; but I feel like team Romney is down a field goal and not a lot of time on the clock. They need an Elway-type drive to win it.
My focus isn’t even on the national poll. Now it comes down to the swing state. Ras daily Swing State poll is tied with Romney +1 with leaners 48-47. If history holds and undecideds break for Romney, he is sitting pretty good now.
LLS
I'm sorry, but this nice guy approach is not working for him.
We are now forty days out from the election. It is a good thing for a challenger to be in a dead heat at this point because the undecideds and leaners historically break for the challenger by at least 2-1 margin in final days. It is a very bad thing for the incumbent to be in a dead heat at this juncture. If the incumbent is not comfortably ahead at this point, then he hasn't made his case with the electorate.
Even better, Romney's campaign has not yet unleashed the full force of their campaign. They have evidently made the strategic decision to focus their efforts on the final weeks. Many of us are questioning that but I can only assume that Romney has some smart people on his staff who know what they are doing.
Many of us are also bemoaning the fact that we have a non-charismatic candidate who comes across as overly polite and genteel. However, those who remember the 1988 campaign will remember we had the same type of candidate back then but in the final weeks of the campaign, Dukakis was hit hard with the tank ads, the Willie Horton stuff, etc., and was beaten in a 40-state landslide. All through this, George HW Bush kept out of the fray, it was his attack dogs like Lee Atwater who did all the dirty work for him.
Hopefully Romney has some people like that waiting to be unleashed. We are going to need them.
There is now an overwhelming body of evidence, poll’s, both skewed, and not, that Romney is in a slide. I have watched for this last week, all the damning news about terrorism in Libya, only lightly damage Obama, but more Importantly an almost “shy” Romney fail to gain any traction. The Ads are bland, his speaches, complex and maybe too far over the heads of the people his message must reach. Romney needs to kick it up a notch. NOW.
I went to the Rasmussen source page for this thread, and then browsed around a bit, ‘til I found this:
“The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows the president earning 47% support to Romney’s 46%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided.”
The critical Ohio race has tightened a bit in Romney’s favor, but I was wondering, just -who- are “the other candidates” there?
If the 3% for “other” holds, or if, say, 2% of those folks stick with “other” and don’t vote for either Obama or Romney, it looks like Ohio may be “won by plurality” this time, or a VERY close majority (the kind of numbers that invite fraud in the ‘rat districts).
Historically, undecideds break about 2-to-1 against the incumbent, so of the 3%, Obama gets 1% and Romney 2%. That would bump up Obama to 48%, and give Romney 48%.
It’s the 1% (from the “other’) that will make the difference. Whoever gets the majority of that, could win Ohio by a plurality, and it will be a CLOSE plurality.
Just speculatin’ with the numbers....
That it’s even this close is depressing. Of course I said the same thing in 2000 and 2004.
Rasmussen must be using a bias toward democrats or he is polling very few independents then because Romney gets 1% more of party vote and +4 on independents.