Posted on 09/05/2008 7:31:30 AM PDT by frankjr
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows the beginning of John McCain’s convention bounce and the race is essentially back where it was before Barack Obama’s bounce. Obama now attracts 46% of the vote while McCain earns 45%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 48%, McCain 46% (see recent daily results).
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Intrade jumped up big for McCain since yesterday.
BAM!
Remember folks...
This is a TRACKING POLL, taken over several days. And Obama is trending DOWN, big-time now.
2/3rds BEFORE the Palin speech? WOW!
Little wonder then that the Dems are acting so terrified.
Dole harmed his cause immensely with one of the worst VP picks of my lifetime. I’ve never seen a less effective VP candidate.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Voters are evenly divided as to whether Palin [as VICE President] or Obama [running for PRESIDENT] has the better experience to be President.
Oh... this is great. The top of their ticket is being compared to our #2.
If McCain at least retains that 49% number (maybe goes higher with further press coverage of Palin's speech), he'll be in the 47-48 range on Rasmussen. Again, this is all speculation because the raw, daily numbers aren't available (or at least I don't see them).
Lowest for months. McCain, (Really Palin) is surging.
I’m not sure how much the bounce is going to “recede” this time. Palin is a different candidate and her popularity is likely to grow. There is still a large voting block that knows little about her and the intensity of those that already support her will continue to increase. Remember she was only introduced to America 1-week ago..
Oh... this is great. The top of their ticket is being compared to our #2.McCain is utterly brilliant.
The only difference between Dole and McCain is that McCain picked Palin to bail him out.
A few additional comments of note:
The folks quoting whoever saying polls don’t matter may want to take a look at campaign budgets and just how much money is spent nightly on polling. If they didn’t matter and had no value, there would be no point flushing that money away. The money is spent because the pros are confident polling has enormous value.
Polling science is pretty well understood now and there is no evidence at all that polls we see are inferior to polls the campaigns fund. About all the campaigns see that we might not is a big more resolution as to demographic and regional result, but in general what we see from polls is what the campaigns see.
McCain is going to get a bounce and it’s going to fade. Right about now is the time for FR to get creative as it never has in the past. McCain is not taking money from donors any longer because he’s accepting federal money. All fund raising now being done is for the party. So FReepers can no longer demonstrate their passion with a checkbook. It’s time this cycle to get creative. Put your thinking caps on and create some way to contribute in the battleground states. If you live in one, you have an easy task. Volunteer for the campaign and do literature drops of brochures in moderate/middle neighborhoods that emphasize only moderate/middle issues. If you don’t live in a battleground state, start thinking of what you can do.
Sure, but Bob Dole phoned in the 1996 campaign from the start.
And we have never seen a presidential campaign where the vice-presidential nominee was perceived as the greater threat to the other party’s president nominee.
Look, Palin's the real deal, a superstar. The campaign raised $10 million over a holiday weekend after her announcement for VP. The RNC raised $17 million the past two days, only one of which was after her tremendous speech. Her effect on conservatives and Pubbies in general cannot be emphasized enough. But the polling numbers are likely going to reflect a divided country. Where the energized base kicks in is in money raised and getting out the vote in November.
To each his own.
This means that most of the BO Bounce is gone, and there are 2 more days of the convention yet to factor in. I think the Repub Convention will wipe out the entire BO Bounce and go UP by about 6 points.
That is the reason for the panicky response of Obama the last few days: (1) the meeting with O’Reilly would NOT happen if his internal polling said he was ahead; (2) Obama campaigning in rural Ohio is unheard of and terribly unproductive — it’s a desperate move....rural Ohio will not go for him.
Listen up folks, this talk about a LANDSLIDE and He’s TOAST is nonsense! This is going to be a EXTREMELY close race, closer than ALBORG and W. There will be no landslide or OsAMA is toast because Hussein’s fraud machine will be working over time. ANYTHING can happen from here to Nov.4!
Regarding 1996, I liked Jack Kemp a lot and thought he should have been president. Problem is he turned out to be a dud as a running mate, and blew it in his debate with Gore. Gov Palin is no Jack Kemp. I think she will be a sharper debater and she has already created a lot more enthusiasm. Not to mention Obama is no Clinton. He is even more extreme and not as good with off the cuff speaking.
That's exactly right -- The BO people fell immediately into the trap. McCain can rise above all of it and remain presidential.
Maybe Sarah could go visit a highschool and play some hoops.
this is a good image imho.... Does she also bowl? Show obama how it’s done.
Like you said, the only reason it’ll be close is due to fraud.
Thank God for imparting wisdom on the founders to make the electoral college part of the Constitution. It isolates the effects of fraud.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.