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ANAPHYLACTIC SHOCK: GOPe in panic mode-Kasich support evaporates & Jeb! numbers drop below Biden IQ
Doug Ross @ Journal ^ | October 4, 2015 | Doug Ross

Posted on 10/04/2015 2:37:23 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

The Beltway Establishment's secretive plan to hand Jeb Bush the GOP nomination by flooding the zone with candidates (also known as the "GOPe Splitter Strategy") has totally unravelled.

Let's start in New Hampshire, where support for John Kasich has fallen off the cliff:

The rise of anti-establishment candidates ... have stalled Ohio Gov. John Kasich's momentum in New Hampshire, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll shows.

Kasich, who a month ago sat in second place, behind real estate mogul Donald Trump, does not rank among the Republican presidential field's top 5 this time.

Kasich has distinguished himself as a younger John McCain, grumpy and completely focused on expanding the size and scope of government.

On to Yeb!, who has seen his support fall nationally to 4 percent, a new low among GOP voters.

Jeb Bush's support has plunged to 4% among Republicans, according to a new poll from Pew Research Center... The numbers mark a new low water mark for Bush, the one-time GOP front-runner.

The former Florida governor entered the year polling in the high teens, and was still leading the GOP field in polling as late as July... But he's been consistently slipping after a series of weak debate performances, and other recent polling has found him in the mid- to high-single digits... Pew's results are the latest ominous sign for Bush.

Bush's donors are described as "increasingly anxious".

As it becomes clear that the exclamation point that follows “Jeb” in the candidate’s logo is an unconvincing contrivance, Bush donors are getting nervous ... the trajectory of Bush’s support is moving in only one direction: downward. An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released in mid-July found Bush leading the field with 22 percent support. Today, NBC/WSJ pegs Bush’s support at just 7 percent. In that survey, he trails four candidates, and at least one of them – Senator Marco Rubio – is as appealing to establishmentarian Republicans as is the former Florida governor.

As Politico reported on Tuesday, the Bush campaign has been directing its donors, who look at the candidate’s imploding standing in the polls and shudder, to instead survey the prediction markets that have for months steadily indicated that Bush would eventually emerge the party’s nominee. “Just one problem,” Politico revealed. “Beginning Sunday night, PredictIt, the biggest of the online sites and the one referenced last week by top Bush advisers and confidants, placed Marco Rubio ahead of Bush at the head of the GOP pack...”

...None of this is going as planned. The 2016 race is anything but predictable. This was supposed to be the election cycle in which the dominance of high-dollar donors was clearly demonstrated, but that hasn’t happened. This empirical reality has not, however, altered the perception among liberals that big money still controls the political process. Their dogmatism exposes the extent to which this perception has become an unfalsifiable religious conviction.

All of their well-laid plans have come apart, thanks primarily to one outsider who threw a massive monkey-wrench into the GOP machinery.

It’s hard to conceive of “Donald Trump” at this point as anything other than a 69-year con created by God for the strict purpose of stopping a third Bush from becoming president. Trump doesn’t have to win the nomination to execute this trick; he’s done enough already by changing the contours of what Republicans want on a fundamental level. The Bush campaign came into the election knowing that it would have to address concerns about dynasty and being considered a member of the establishment. It likely didn’t expect a bombastic (to put it generously) figure like Trump to come along and seize polling front-runner status by amplifying these weaknesses through gaudy but attention-grabbing performance art.

Once people get it in their heads that they’d prefer something new and fresh over something older and experienced, it’s difficult to change their minds back. Trump has essentially grabbed the primary electorate by the shoulders, shaken it, and said, Really? You want to consider Jeb Bush? Come to think of it, they really don’t.

Nearly a year ago, I predicted that "Jeb Bush has no chance of winning the presidency -- zero, none -- and anyone who tells him otherwise is lying or a paid political operative. Or, more likely, both.."

Doug Ross
‎@directorblue

#Jeb2016 road to victory: (Democrats who liked Bush + The
Chamber of Commerce) - (All other Democrats + All
Conservatives) #NotBloodyLikely

5:53 PM - 17 Dec 2014


TOPICS: Florida; New Hampshire; New York; Ohio; Texas; Campaign News; Parties; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2016election; arizona; bush; election2016; florida; jebbush; johnkasich; johnmccain; kasich; marcorubio; newhampshire; newyork; ohio; politico; polls; senatorjohnmccain; senatormccain; tedcruz; texas; trump
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Jeb would poll higher among Democrats. In fact, he might beat Hillary if he ran as a Democrat.


21 posted on 10/04/2015 3:07:37 PM PDT by Defiant (I wouldn't have to mansplain if it weren't for all those wymidiots.)
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To: ClearCase_guy
"Se terminó Yeb? Si."

Trump has made Jeb “El Tortuga Alegre” Bush “Sopa de Tortuga.” 🐢

22 posted on 10/04/2015 3:08:11 PM PDT by drpix
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I wasn’t aware Biden had an IQ.


23 posted on 10/04/2015 3:12:59 PM PDT by MarvinStinson
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

GOPe going through their stages. Now they are willing to admit that Trump is God’s way of stopping JEB! But they aren’t quite up to the realization that Trump may be here to stop them too.

They say he only wins because of “showmanship.” No mention of the fact that Trump is bringing up topics we the people want to see discussed, just as we would discuss them. Something the GOPe specifically chose not to do. It has nothing to do with the fact that all the GOPe candidates are full on DIABLOs - democrats in all by label only. Those R’s next to their names are just for show.

No way Trump is ever going to win — until he does.


24 posted on 10/04/2015 3:15:26 PM PDT by Waryone
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
On to Yeb!, who has seen his support fall nationally to 4 percent, a new low among GOP voters.

Jeb is barely more popular among Republicans than Howard Dean was among Democrats i.e. an asterisk with a footnote saying, "Also ran."

I don't know what Dean's problem was, but Jeb has, from the beginning, tried to sell snake oil no one wants to buy. That makes him honest to a fault while being the worst salesman in history.

Electing him would be a national disaster in the same league with obama.

25 posted on 10/04/2015 3:15:28 PM PDT by stevem
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To: Waryone
DIABLO = democrats in all by but label only.
26 posted on 10/04/2015 3:18:45 PM PDT by Waryone
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To: Don Corleone
How long before Yeb and Shrillery are seen dancing on a beach together?

The National Enquirer says in this weeks version that Hillary will execute the Big Checkout long before the 2016 election. Unlike the MSM, the Enquirer actually vets its stories.

27 posted on 10/04/2015 3:19:45 PM PDT by stevem
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

BUSH, BARBARA P. MRS. RETIRED RETIRED CONTRIBUTION HOUSTON TX 77024 06/30/2015 $2,700
BUSH, COLUMBA MRS. CONTRIBUTION MIAMI FL 33144 06/15/2015 $2,700
BUSH, GEORGE H. W. PRESIDENT RETIRED RETIRED CONTRIBUTION HOUSTON TX 77024 06/30/2015 $2,700
BUSH, GEORGE PRESCOTT TEXAS GENERAL LAND OFFICE LAND COMMISSIONER CONTRIBUTION MIAMI FL 33144 06/25/2015 $2,700
BUSH, GEORGE W. PRESIDENT RETIRED RETIRED CONTRIBUTION MIDLAND TX 79702 06/22/2015 $2,700
BUSH, LAURA W. MRS. RETIRED RETIRED CONTRIBUTION MIDLAND TX 79702 06/22/2015 $2,700
BUSH, MARVIN P. MR. WINSTON PARTNERS LLC CO-FOUNDER & MANAGING PARTNER CONTRIBUTION ARLINGTON VA 22209 06/19/2015 $2,700


28 posted on 10/04/2015 3:26:24 PM PDT by PAR35
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To: RoosterRedux

That’s the kind of half-assed analysis I come to Free Republic for /sarc.


29 posted on 10/04/2015 3:30:20 PM PDT by sgtyork (Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy)
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To: Don Corleone
"How long before Yeb and Shrillery are seen dancing on a beach together?"

LOL!!
I'm sure some skillful Photoshop wizard
on Free Republic can make it happen!

30 posted on 10/04/2015 3:36:29 PM PDT by StormEye
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Looks like it’s Mighty Mitch’s turn to bat against The Donald


31 posted on 10/04/2015 3:41:04 PM PDT by stars & stripes forever (Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Ain’t nobody buying what the damn GOP is selling.

The gig is up, punks.


32 posted on 10/04/2015 3:45:42 PM PDT by chris37 (heartless)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
he’s done enough already by changing the contours of what Republicans want on a fundamental level.

Paradigm Shift....

Like what has been seen cannot be seen...nor the paste put back in the toothpaste tube

33 posted on 10/04/2015 3:50:02 PM PDT by spokeshave (MDSM = Mentally Discombobulated Screaming Media)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

Anybody with common sense knew that Jeb shot himself in the groin and heart when he started in with the Spanish lingo bit. Americans have open hearts; but they want English spoken in their own land - not some Mexican version of the Spanish language.

Didn’t we all go through with this in the 1830s???


34 posted on 10/04/2015 4:06:38 PM PDT by miss marmelstein (Richard the Third: I'd like to drive away not only the Turks (moslims) but all my foes.")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Jeb Bush's support has plunged to 4% among Republicans, according to a new poll from Pew Research Center

They will keep Jeb around even if they have to put an IV into him. They're hoping for a brokered convention where everyone else will pull 3% and Jeb, with his 4% will surge into victory.

35 posted on 10/04/2015 4:37:13 PM PDT by Oatka (This is America. Assimilate or evaporate. [URL=http://media.photobucket.com/user/currencyjunkie/me)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
LOLOL!!

...Mama tried to tell me not to enter, but the establishment brought me here. Shoulda listened to my mama, cuz mama tried...

36 posted on 10/04/2015 4:43:51 PM PDT by Jane Long ("And when thou saidst, Seek ye my face; my heart said unto thee, Thy face, LORD, will I seek")
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To: Jane Long

Lord Terry Branstad is getting old!


37 posted on 10/04/2015 4:46:36 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ. You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Just get a list of country club and hedge funds..

You will spend a long, lonely time on hedge fund trading floors and country club bars looking for someone who supports Jeb, and when you find him it's almost always a family thing -- blue blood stuff going back to Preston, oil connections with George H.W., or somebody having gotten a sweet appointment or other preferment from George H.W. or George W. Nobody, but nobody, actually has a passionate commitment to Jeb. The guys who know all like him and think he's a decent, smart guy, but if they could follow their hearts they'd be with Cruz (if conservative) or Kasich (if moderate).


38 posted on 10/04/2015 4:49:29 PM PDT by only1percent
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Watch out!! Don’t go bullying Branstad....

http://www.kcci.com/news/branstads-new-antibullying-office-raises-questions/35650030

He’s a busy man, with a busy agenda, er, schedule.


39 posted on 10/04/2015 4:50:03 PM PDT by Jane Long ("And when thou saidst, Seek ye my face; my heart said unto thee, Thy face, LORD, will I seek")
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To: txrefugee
Is there a list somewhere of JEB! donors? It would be good to see just who these clueless wonders are.

Get the donor lists from 41,43, and the Chamber of Commerce. That should do it.

40 posted on 10/04/2015 4:54:44 PM PDT by Night Hides Not (Remember the Alamo! Remember Goliad! Remember Mississippi! My vote is going to Cruz.)
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