Posted on 02/24/2020 12:27:35 PM PST by Kaslin
Assuming that is the case, how does your method work out in the following example: 100 new cases and 110 deaths yesterday? 110/100 = 110% death rate. Some of them died twice, maybe?
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Are you being serious or are just an idiot .. even if there are magically no more new cases the 10,000 people in serious condition backlog will start to die off so it is possible to have zero cases and 50 deaths
Or do you think people just walk in .. get tested positive then either suddenly die that second or magically never die ever?
Geez
>>I have always believed this, this is an attempt to put trump in a position so they can attack him stating he is doing nothing...”
That might work if he hadn’t been one of the first world leaders to call for an end to all incoming flights from China. If this coronavirus turns out to be susceptible to warmer weather, he might just be singularly responsible for containing the virus in the U.S. Granted, that’s an optimistic read, but he’s certainly done more that most other leaders and so far to good effect.
Compare that to Japan, which let everyone who wanted to disembark the Princess after the original 14 day quarantine expired.
——” You have to read very deeply to find that number, that 2% of the people get the coronavirus die. That’s less than the flu, folks. That is a far lower death statistic than any form of influenza, which is an annual thing that everybody gets shots for. “
I hate to say it, but RUSH is totally wrong on this one. Influenza death rates are typically 1 per 1000 (or 0.1%)
I had corona a few years back. It is a form of the common cold.
Okay, so explain your original example, because you implied that some sort of death rate could be derived by comparing those two numbers.
Enlighten this math “idiot”, please.
Yes, Rush is right that the common cold is a form of coronavirus (according to what I’ve read there are four different forms of it), but he’s wrong that the common flu has a 2% fatality rate. It’s more like 1/50 of that, or 0.1 percent. His accuracy score will take a ding on that one.
Rush is spot on, it's the MSM that is hyping the beer virus in the hopes that it influences the stock market causing a down turn in the economy.
That's the only way the Dems can possibly defeat Trump in November
Never mind. I was reading your reply as if it were coming from one of the panicked who claim the death rate will be sky high (and that Rush’s 3% is way low—and they’re out there, as you know).
I went back and looked at your original comment and now see what you were saying. We’re both looking at it the same way.
Okay, so explain your original example, because you implied that some sort of death rate could be derived by comparing those two numbers.
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Rush is getting that 2 percent death rate, as many do Incorrectly, by simply dividing the number of dead by the total cases .. 4 days ago that was 2.1 percent .. those were the days when Hubie was reporting 90 deaths but 1000’s of new cases eaxh day .. and all of China was reporting 95 deaths and 5000 new cases a day helping to keep the overall death rate around that 2 percent .. as the number of new cases in China drops each day the number of new deaths is remaining the same ... each day this happens the overall death rate inches up.. it is now 3% using his method
Maybe, but what’s really going to cause a severe downturn in our economy is Xi failing to get most of the workers back to his factories. Our supply chains are so interlinked now that if China slows significantly, so will we. (Just my opinion)
If 50% of Americans get it, at a 98% survival rate that’s over 3 million deaths.
I was just looking at the cdc page and all I found were deaths per 100,000 which isn’t helpful.
You must have the number infected to determine the death rate of the flu. If you can find the number infected for any given year, then please post a link.
Same with this corona virus. They are just going off the number of confirmed cases and the confirmed deaths. Yet, everyone says that the number of cases is actually much greater and has been assumed to be flu. So, we really don’t have solid numbers with corona, either.
Never mind. I was reading your reply as if it were coming from one of the panicked who claim the death rate
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It’s all good :)
Yes, I agree, as I explained above. I just mistook which group you were in and misread the meaning of your example.
ping to 73
I’m with Rush on this HYPED by the media!!!
“If COVID-19 becomes widespread in the US, it could have a severe impact on our economy, and completely overwhelm the healthcare system.”
Thinking the same thing here. Supply chain disruptions will cause all kinds of havoc. Doubling the daily intake at hospitals will be crippling.
Panic buying will hit at some point and the stores will look like an Atlanta, GA grocery on the eve of a predicted one inch snowfall.
I’ve posted several times (though maybe not in here) that the Princess cruise ship will give us a very good estimate of the death rate if we just follow the first 600 cases. We can probably assume they’re getting reasonable care, for starters. With a total sample of 600, it will even be possible to break it into several subgroups by age ranges, sex, some pre-existing conditions, and ethnicity, for example.
We know they all have it, and by a month from now we’ll know how many survived, how many required acute care, and how many died. That will be the best sample we have, in my opinion anyway. And if it turns out to be low, say one percent or so, we’ll be able to relax a bit even if it spreads widely. But if it’s much above that....Well, one percent is over 3 million in the U.S. alone, and over 70 million world wide.
Rush has compromised lungs and he is down playing a respitory illness?
I love Rush, but he is wrong on this
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