What A Difference 2 Percentage Points Makes

Fivethirtyeight ^ | 11-9-2016 | Nate Silver

[MUDDOG]

Here’s the Electoral College map we’re going to end up with, assuming that every uncalled state goes to the candidate leading in the vote count there as of 4 p.m. Eastern time on Wednesday.

There’s a sea of red for President-elect Donald Trump. He earned 306 electoral votes and became the first Republican since 1988 to win Michigan, Wisconsin or Pennsylvania.

[MUDDOG]

Nate Silver's after-action report.

[ConservativeMind]

He says Trump supporters are racist because proportionately fewer Jews are Trump supporters?

Liberals are willfully blind, yet they tell people they are the only ones who can see.

[Helicondelta]

[TigerClaws]

EGG ON FACE.

We saw today that 10%+ of the 10 million illegals voted. Fraud in the big cities.

Trump likely won by an extra 1.5-2 million votes than he’s been given credit for.

We have to win AND cover the fraud.

But we did MAGA!

[jcon40]

Up 2% - 80 proof becomes 81.6 proof.... Meghhhh

[TigerClaws]

[frogjerk]

America hasn’t put its demons — including racism, anti-Semitism and misogyny — behind it. White people still make up the vast majority of the electorate, particularly when considering their share of the Electoral College, and their votes usually determine the winner.

So all white people are racists. anti-semites (didn't know Hillary was Jewish)and misogynists...even the white womens...what total BS.

[heterosupremacist]

The 'movement' that shocked the world! I was not in any way surprised, just delighted! Go, President Elect Trump, GO!

[marktwain]

He completely ignores the probable 10 point advantage from an in the tank media complicit with the Democrat party.

He also ignores the 4 point shift to Republicans if the Libertarians had voted for a real chance at smaller government.

His identity politics are becoming obsolete. They are predicated on the inevitability of the Democrat indoctrination machine to keep black people on their plantation, white people terrified of being called “racist”, and Hispanics inside an artificial and false definition that includes everyone from Cubans to Argeninians.

[bigbob]

I like the NYT map because it shows the blue-to-red flips:
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/president

Nate might be thinking about what he’s going to do with his polling majik now that it’s been proven to be no better than the next guys. For all the hybe I nominate him for the 2016 Dick Morris Erroneous Punditry Award.

[Lazamataz]

Wow. Nate draws exactly the wrong conclusions in this screeching screed.

His predictions sucked this year. He's a has-been.

[justlurking]

Shut up, Nate. No one is listening to you anymore.

You were the darling of the leftist media that paid you to lie on their behalf.

Now, everyone is wise to your scam. You'll be discarded like everything else the left tosses when they have no use for you any more.

[heterosupremacist]

[MUDDOG]

America hasn’t put its demons — including racism, anti-Semitism and misogyny — behind it. White people still make up the vast majority of the electorate

That was a cheap shot by ol' Nate.

[bigbob]

Egg hell, at least Larry Sabato had the sense to admit it was a whole frickin’ OMLETTE!

[MUDDOG]

Nate was one of those continually predicting the end of Trump, and never learning.

[KarlInOhio]

The GOP has learned that there’s a bigger market for populism, and a far smaller one for movement conservatism, than many of us imagined.

Who offered a choice of movement conservatism? Most were offering globalist corporatism and continued massive immigration as the opposition to populism.

[JohnEBoy]

Pretty interesting article. Makes me think the undecideds in the last week, broke overwhelmingly for Trump.

[MUDDOG]

That illegal alien vote will only get worse, unless President Trump addresses it. The blue states encourage it, and the red states have their hands tied by the courts.

[MUDDOG]

Nate showed his true colors there.