Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Clinton Takes A Seven-Point Lead In Monmouth National Poll (3 weeks ago she lead by 13)
http://talkingpointsmemo.com ^ | August 29, 2016 | DANIELLE KEETON-OLSEN

Posted on 08/29/2016 11:02:29 AM PDT by NKP_Vet

Hillary Clinton comes out ahead by seven points in the latest national poll by Monmouth University, down from a 13-point lead in the last Monmouth poll in early August.

In a head to head match, Clinton leads Trump, 49-42, among likely voters.

When including third-party candidates, Clinton leads 46-39, with Gary Johnson at 7 percent and Jill Stein at 2 percent.

The latest poll shows Clinton's lead over Trump shrunk since Monmouth's poll from Aug. 4-7, where she was 13 points ahead of Trump, with Johnson at 7 percent and Stein at 2 percent, among likely voters.

The Monmouth University poll was conducted Aug. 25-28 over the phone among 689 likely voters surveyed nationally. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percent.

TPM's PollTracker Average shows Clinton leading Trump, 46.6 to 41.1.

(Excerpt) Read more at talkingpointsmemo.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; hillary; monmouth; polls; trump; trumpbump
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041 next last
To: NKP_Vet

So a 5 point drop is portrayed as “taking the lead”?

And I don;t believe it for a minute anyway- look at the size of Trumps crowds- and she has to PAY PEOPLE to go to her rallies. And even the cheerleaders at the rallies cant get people to participate.


21 posted on 08/29/2016 11:30:58 AM PDT by Mr. K (Trump will win NY state - choke on that HilLIARy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NKP_Vet

Like that headline. We can expect “Clinton takes a five-point lead,” “Clinton takes a three-point lead”, and “Clinton assumes a commanding one-point lead” to follow over the next few weeks. “)


22 posted on 08/29/2016 11:34:18 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ([CTRL]-[GALT]-[DELETE])
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mr. K

Speaking of cheerleaders...

Monmouth’s Hillary cheerleader Patrick Murray the pollster twit page here.

https://twitter.com/pollsterpatrick


23 posted on 08/29/2016 11:38:19 AM PDT by Red Steel
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Red Steel

The national poll is not as important as individual state voting polls. Any poll that is heavily skewed to dem states like Cal will have a lopsided result. Given there are only about 700 national polled this is not significant albeit I’d be happy if the results were the opposite.


24 posted on 08/29/2016 11:39:08 AM PDT by Mouton (The insurrection laws maintain the status quo now.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: NKP_Vet

Typical Monmouth, get a R+2 sample and manipulate it to D+4 with age, race, gender and partisanship tricks. But for those slight of hands, it would be about a Clinton +4 lead in the 4-way like most other polls.


25 posted on 08/29/2016 11:40:49 AM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Radical Islamic terrorist Omar Mateen is "Ready for Hillary!" Are you too?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Mr. K

If crowd size mattered, Bernie Sanders would be the Democrat nominee. Hillary beat him handily even without the Super Delegates.


26 posted on 08/29/2016 11:43:04 AM PDT by Mr. N. Wolfe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Kenny; Navin Johnson

I was on an earlier thread about an Emerson poll.
41.6% were grad school+

Some College 20.3
College 14.4
Total 34.7%

Imagine, grad school+ students out numbering bachelors and associates and even just some college, students.

14.4% were college grads
but 41.6% were grad school +
That’s almost a 3:1 ratio of advanced degrees to regular college.


27 posted on 08/29/2016 11:45:23 AM PDT by mountn man (The Pleasure You Get From Life, Is Equal To The Attitude You Put Into It)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Mr. N. Wolfe

Yep handily - http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/288900-leaked-dnc-emails-reveal-secret-plans-to-take-on-sanders


28 posted on 08/29/2016 11:47:25 AM PDT by Voluntaryist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: Mr. N. Wolfe

The latest Gallup’s monthly party self-ID polling:

- - - -

“Bill Mitchell @mitchellvii 5h5 hours ago

Take every poll in the RCP Average and apply a 29/29/42 R/D/I weighting to it. Hillary would be losing badly.”

- - - -

https://twitter.com/mitchellvii/status/770258304643821569

And no enthusiasm for the Shill so likely minus much more - they are not going to show up for her. They usual counter talking point is - Romney and 2012. Trump is no Romney the dead fish candidate, and the voter electorate is not going to be like 2012. Don’t be surprised the final exit polls show more people ID as Rs over Ds.


29 posted on 08/29/2016 11:55:51 AM PDT by Red Steel
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: rightwingintelligentsia

Right! Hahahaha!


30 posted on 08/29/2016 11:57:03 AM PDT by Ray76 (Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Voluntaryist

Yes. Handily.

Final Democrat delegate count:

Hillary Clinton: 2807 (including 602 Super Delegates)

Bernie Sanders: 1846 (including 48 Super Delegates)


31 posted on 08/29/2016 11:57:23 AM PDT by Mr. N. Wolfe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: Navin Johnson

Over sample democrats, over sample women.

Correct for these and Trump is winning.

November 8 will be so fun to watch !


32 posted on 08/29/2016 12:00:06 PM PDT by IVAXMAN
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: NKP_Vet

Weighted party ID D+4, Unweighted R+2. Their minds are suffering heaviness...


33 posted on 08/29/2016 12:08:25 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Red Steel

I agree that Trump’s supporters are a lot more enthusiastic than Clinton’s. All I’m saying is that basing election results on crowd size is pretty unreliable IMO.


34 posted on 08/29/2016 12:21:07 PM PDT by Mr. N. Wolfe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: Mr. N. Wolfe

And I’m also saying that the main stream media incessantly lie, and like these like minded liberal colleges who do their polling, Marist and Monmouth, et al, will lie right along with them.


35 posted on 08/29/2016 12:30:18 PM PDT by Red Steel
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: NKP_Vet

The numbers are quite neat and convenient, aren’t they...like still a seven point lead with all candidates... like she loses three and he gains three. I don’t trust pollsters at all.


36 posted on 08/29/2016 12:59:01 PM PDT by ez ("Abashed the devil stood and felt how awful goodness is..." - Milton)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ez

According to this poll, Trump is losing to Hillary with Indies by 5%. 42% to 37% . No Monmouth, Trump is ahead by double figures with Independents.


37 posted on 08/29/2016 1:02:04 PM PDT by Red Steel
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: Mr. N. Wolfe

Mrs. Bill’s backers don’t like politics or political rallies, but they like Mrs. Bill! and Mr. Bill too!


38 posted on 08/29/2016 1:17:51 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Trump-Pence, Kelli Ward 2016)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

The real question is how is the race going in the 10 +- states that will decide the election?
National surveys that include predetermined states such as Texas, California aren’t worth a lot.

Some use the following eleven as the swing state list, but who knows for sure which ones it will be.

Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire,
North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.


39 posted on 08/29/2016 1:30:25 PM PDT by deport
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: deport

This is a push-poll - Shilling for Hillary. Look at the questions they ask after the choice of candidate, favorability, party id -
11. Does Donald Trump have the temperament to be President
12. Does Hillary have the temperament to be President
13. Has Hillary been honest about her use of email server
******
14. Are you tired of hearing about Hillary’s email server or do you think this is something the media should not cover?
***** is this a fair question? Did Chris Matthews ask this one??????
15. Are you concerned that Donald Trump would be too friendly toward Russia?
****** is this a fair question - Where’s Candy Crowley!!!!!
These were the only follow up questions asked and 2 reveal a huge pro-Clinton bias. Why not ask “are you tired of hearing about Trump’s temperament” and “Are you concerned that foreign donations to the Clinton Foundation would influence Clinton’s ability to protect the interests of the United States?”


40 posted on 08/30/2016 5:27:52 AM PDT by brookwood (He said you could keep your plan - now says higher taxes will improve the weather)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson