Posted on 08/29/2016 11:02:29 AM PDT by NKP_Vet
So a 5 point drop is portrayed as “taking the lead”?
And I don;t believe it for a minute anyway- look at the size of Trumps crowds- and she has to PAY PEOPLE to go to her rallies. And even the cheerleaders at the rallies cant get people to participate.
Like that headline. We can expect “Clinton takes a five-point lead,” “Clinton takes a three-point lead”, and “Clinton assumes a commanding one-point lead” to follow over the next few weeks. “)
Speaking of cheerleaders...
Monmouth’s Hillary cheerleader Patrick Murray the pollster twit page here.
https://twitter.com/pollsterpatrick
The national poll is not as important as individual state voting polls. Any poll that is heavily skewed to dem states like Cal will have a lopsided result. Given there are only about 700 national polled this is not significant albeit I’d be happy if the results were the opposite.
Typical Monmouth, get a R+2 sample and manipulate it to D+4 with age, race, gender and partisanship tricks. But for those slight of hands, it would be about a Clinton +4 lead in the 4-way like most other polls.
If crowd size mattered, Bernie Sanders would be the Democrat nominee. Hillary beat him handily even without the Super Delegates.
I was on an earlier thread about an Emerson poll.
41.6% were grad school+
Some College 20.3
College 14.4
Total 34.7%
Imagine, grad school+ students out numbering bachelors and associates and even just some college, students.
14.4% were college grads
but 41.6% were grad school +
That’s almost a 3:1 ratio of advanced degrees to regular college.
Yep handily - http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/288900-leaked-dnc-emails-reveal-secret-plans-to-take-on-sanders
The latest Gallup’s monthly party self-ID polling:
- - - -
“Bill Mitchell @mitchellvii 5h5 hours ago
Take every poll in the RCP Average and apply a 29/29/42 R/D/I weighting to it. Hillary would be losing badly.”
- - - -
https://twitter.com/mitchellvii/status/770258304643821569
And no enthusiasm for the Shill so likely minus much more - they are not going to show up for her. They usual counter talking point is - Romney and 2012. Trump is no Romney the dead fish candidate, and the voter electorate is not going to be like 2012. Don’t be surprised the final exit polls show more people ID as Rs over Ds.
Right! Hahahaha!
Yes. Handily.
Final Democrat delegate count:
Hillary Clinton: 2807 (including 602 Super Delegates)
Bernie Sanders: 1846 (including 48 Super Delegates)
Over sample democrats, over sample women.
Correct for these and Trump is winning.
November 8 will be so fun to watch !
Weighted party ID D+4, Unweighted R+2. Their minds are suffering heaviness...
I agree that Trump’s supporters are a lot more enthusiastic than Clinton’s. All I’m saying is that basing election results on crowd size is pretty unreliable IMO.
And I’m also saying that the main stream media incessantly lie, and like these like minded liberal colleges who do their polling, Marist and Monmouth, et al, will lie right along with them.
The numbers are quite neat and convenient, aren’t they...like still a seven point lead with all candidates... like she loses three and he gains three. I don’t trust pollsters at all.
According to this poll, Trump is losing to Hillary with Indies by 5%. 42% to 37% . No Monmouth, Trump is ahead by double figures with Independents.
Mrs. Bill’s backers don’t like politics or political rallies, but they like Mrs. Bill! and Mr. Bill too!
The real question is how is the race going in the 10 +- states that will decide the election?
National surveys that include predetermined states such as Texas, California aren’t worth a lot.
Some use the following eleven as the swing state list, but who knows for sure which ones it will be.
Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire,
North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
This is a push-poll - Shilling for Hillary. Look at the questions they ask after the choice of candidate, favorability, party id -
11. Does Donald Trump have the temperament to be President
12. Does Hillary have the temperament to be President
13. Has Hillary been honest about her use of email server
******
14. Are you tired of hearing about Hillary’s email server or do you think this is something the media should not cover?
***** is this a fair question? Did Chris Matthews ask this one??????
15. Are you concerned that Donald Trump would be too friendly toward Russia?
****** is this a fair question - Where’s Candy Crowley!!!!!
These were the only follow up questions asked and 2 reveal a huge pro-Clinton bias. Why not ask “are you tired of hearing about Trump’s temperament” and “Are you concerned that foreign donations to the Clinton Foundation would influence Clinton’s ability to protect the interests of the United States?”
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