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Clinton Takes A Seven-Point Lead In Monmouth National Poll (3 weeks ago she lead by 13)
http://talkingpointsmemo.com ^ | August 29, 2016 | DANIELLE KEETON-OLSEN

Posted on 08/29/2016 11:02:29 AM PDT by NKP_Vet

Hillary Clinton comes out ahead by seven points in the latest national poll by Monmouth University, down from a 13-point lead in the last Monmouth poll in early August.

In a head to head match, Clinton leads Trump, 49-42, among likely voters.

When including third-party candidates, Clinton leads 46-39, with Gary Johnson at 7 percent and Jill Stein at 2 percent.

The latest poll shows Clinton's lead over Trump shrunk since Monmouth's poll from Aug. 4-7, where she was 13 points ahead of Trump, with Johnson at 7 percent and Stein at 2 percent, among likely voters.

The Monmouth University poll was conducted Aug. 25-28 over the phone among 689 likely voters surveyed nationally. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percent.

TPM's PollTracker Average shows Clinton leading Trump, 46.6 to 41.1.

(Excerpt) Read more at talkingpointsmemo.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; hillary; monmouth; polls; trump; trumpbump
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In three weeks Trump has cut the Queen of Corruption's lead in half.
1 posted on 08/29/2016 11:02:29 AM PDT by NKP_Vet
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To: NKP_Vet

Definitely not where he needs to be, but the trend is encouraging.


2 posted on 08/29/2016 11:06:28 AM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: NKP_Vet

Game over. Hillary is Queen for Life.


3 posted on 08/29/2016 11:10:21 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: NKP_Vet

This was the laughable poll last month... today it decided it didn’t want to be a complete laughing stock so reeled itself in a bit...

I think HIllary has a maximum support of no more than low 40s no matter what she does... and I don’t think she can or will get above it.


4 posted on 08/29/2016 11:11:57 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: NKP_Vet

Imagine liberal college polls like Monmouth skew it for Hillary.

...Oh yeah they do.


5 posted on 08/29/2016 11:12:01 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: comebacknewt
Definitely not where he needs to be, but the trend is encouraging.

Um, people, this poll is within the 3.7% MOE. I wonder what the party split was?

Vote Trump!

6 posted on 08/29/2016 11:13:46 AM PDT by sargon (Anyone AWOL in the battle against Hillary is not a patriot. It's that simple.)
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To: NKP_Vet
>>  689 likely voters surveyed nationally. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percent.

IOW, they are tied.

7 posted on 08/29/2016 11:13:49 AM PDT by vikingd00d (chown -R us ~ur/base/*)
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To: NKP_Vet

From Aug 8 poll:

DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)
26% Republican
39% Independent
35% Democrat

47% Male
53% Female


8 posted on 08/29/2016 11:14:17 AM PDT by Kenny
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To: NKP_Vet

Clinton Takes A Seven-Point Lead In Monmouth National Poll - sounds like a growing lead

Clinton Falls A Seven-Point Lead In Monmouth National Poll - reflects reality


9 posted on 08/29/2016 11:15:21 AM PDT by Ray76 (Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo!)
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To: NKP_Vet

The media is so stupid, you only can take a 7 point lead if your former position was lower, you drop to 7 points from 13.


10 posted on 08/29/2016 11:15:53 AM PDT by stockpirate (BEST F'ING ELECTION EVER)
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To: Ray76

Next week the headline will be:

“Clinton Surges to a 0.5 Point Lead in the Monmouth National Poll”


11 posted on 08/29/2016 11:18:28 AM PDT by rightwingintelligentsia (Democrats: The perfect party for the helpless and stupid, and those who would rule over them.)
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To: NKP_Vet
Here's the PDF cross tabs.

Unweighted
Repubs 31%
Dems 29%
Indies 40%

Weighted
Repubs 28%
Dems 32%
Indies 40%
12 posted on 08/29/2016 11:19:18 AM PDT by nhwingut (Trump-Pence 2016 - Blow Up The GOPe)
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To: NKP_Vet
In a head to head match, Clinton leads Trump, 49-42, among likely voters.

Wanna know what a likely voter is? Well it's not someone who registered to vote just for Trump, or who will vote cross party for Trump, or even who voted for someone other than Trump in the primaries. Nope - they're unreliable.

Just saying.

13 posted on 08/29/2016 11:23:37 AM PDT by Talisker (One who commands, must obey.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Just what the nevertrumpeteers like to see. Foot shootin’ son of a guns. Disgraceful is an understatement. And we thought the lyin’ king was expert at foot stompin’ 2 yr old whiney actions.


14 posted on 08/29/2016 11:24:14 AM PDT by rktman (Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?!)
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To: stockpirate

That is the first thing what came to my head. Yet again the media trying to skew it for Clinton.


15 posted on 08/29/2016 11:24:52 AM PDT by manc ( If they want so called marriage equality then they should support polygamy too.)
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To: nhwingut

“The final sample is weighted for age, gender, race and partisanship based on voter list and U.S. Census information. Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field), Aristotle (voter list sample), and SSI (RDD sample).

For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points (unadjusted for sample design). Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below).

In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls. “


16 posted on 08/29/2016 11:25:47 AM PDT by Rennes Templar (President Trump: It's all over but the counting)
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To: nhwingut

Would you place credence on the unweighted saying that more repubs are going to vote this year since they’re willing to take the survey?


17 posted on 08/29/2016 11:26:52 AM PDT by major-pelham
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To: Kenny

What serious poll has only 26% republicans sampled? That is outrageous


18 posted on 08/29/2016 11:27:19 AM PDT by Navin Johnson
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To: NKP_Vet
"Wow Monmouth Refigures Poll After Trump Comes Out With Lead Over Hillary Clinton [Ohio]"


http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/08/wow-monmouth-refigures-poll-trump-comes-lead-hillary-clinton/

19 posted on 08/29/2016 11:27:54 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Bingo!


20 posted on 08/29/2016 11:29:16 AM PDT by Voluntaryist
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