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In Presidential elections, size doesn't always matter
CNN ^ | 27 August 2016 | Stephen Collinson

Posted on 08/27/2016 8:51:18 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

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To: InterceptPoint

Here is one. Event crowds and yard signs are no longer as significant an indicator as they once were in a rigged system.

http://www.politico.com/story/2012/10/mitt-drawing-larger-crowds-082348


21 posted on 08/27/2016 9:09:30 AM PDT by plain talk
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

“That is not stopping Trump however-just as it did not stop Sanders supporters who saw his crowds of 20,000 and up in the primary race to argue that a tsunami of enthusiasm for the Vermont senator could overcome Clinton.”

_______________________________________________

One key factor is that the dems had super-delegates who could vote anyway they pleased despite the primary results. If the dems did not have super-delegates, the outcome would have likely been different.


22 posted on 08/27/2016 9:10:09 AM PDT by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: InterceptPoint

In 2008, McCain’s largest crowd on his own, without Palin, was 10,000. Palin had large crowds, over 20,000 in Springfield, MO, maybe as many as 50,000 at The Villages in FL, and I remember one in Pennsylvania that had 15,000. But, McCain was at the top of the ticket, and on several occasions he appeared to be campaigning for 0bama. Even McCain’s ads featured a smiling 0bama, and if you weren’t paying close attention, you would think it was an 0bama ad.

In 2012, Romney’s crowds were rather small, numbering from 1 to 5, 000. In Mid-October he had a rally that drew 14,000. He did get a crowd of 30,000 just prior to election day. In 2012, even 0bama’s crowd numbers were much smaller than in 2008, but always larger than Romney’s.

Clinton has always struggled to draw more than a few hundred. That tells me that there isn’t a lot of enthusiasm for her. You would think that being the “historic” first woman candidate, she would be drawing huge crowds, but they just have not materialized. Her big “alt-Right” speech only drew in the hundreds.

If you look at her campaign schedule, she’s essentially running a “non-campaign” and is depending on the media to do the heavy lifting while she coasts. Even Kaine is virtually invisible on the campaign trail. Clinton only appears occasionally at fundraisers, and at “organizing events”, but most of them are hosted by others. She is extremely low energy, looks, and sounds tired. You would think with all the rest she gets she would be looking much more charged up. Maybe there is something to the stories about her failing health.


23 posted on 08/27/2016 9:10:56 AM PDT by euram
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A couple weeks ago I saw Rove on FOX News say something like Dukakis & Mondale also had HUGE crowds & look what happened to them


24 posted on 08/27/2016 9:12:22 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: TMA62

And there are a lot of sore Sanders backers who will sit home if not go and vote a protest vote for Donald Trump.


25 posted on 08/27/2016 9:13:05 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
In fact, extrapolating electoral prospects from the size of rally crowds is often a misleading metric -- for evidence, look no further than the campaigns of Walter Mondale, Michael Dukakis, John Kerry and Mitt Romney. Bernie Sanders thrilled thousands of people in mega-rallies over the past year and a half as well.

There were a few big crowds for Bernie. But I don't remember big enthusiastic crowds for any of the others mentioned here.

Mike Dukakis? John Kerry? Are you kidding me?

26 posted on 08/27/2016 9:13:49 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (It is a wise man who rules by the polls but it is a fool who is ruled by them)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

That’s true but the dem base isn’t one to turn out in large numbers if the kids aren’t enthused. And they’re not. That’s a good sign.

The flip side is that no dem pres candidate visit the slums where the over the top votes are.

That is a little deceiving. You dont have to visit ghettos as a dem. You’ve already got their votes.

Let’s hope it change with Trump reaching out.


27 posted on 08/27/2016 9:20:49 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

“size doesn’t always matter”

CNN ratings


28 posted on 08/27/2016 9:21:42 AM PDT by Leep (Cut the crap!)
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To: InterceptPoint

FWIW, I remember the last McCain rally before the 2008 election, which was held in Tampa. They scheduled the venue for 10,000, and about 1,000 showed up. I knew then, if not before, that the election was lost.


29 posted on 08/27/2016 9:25:50 AM PDT by chajin ("There is no other name under heaven given among people by which we must be saved." Acts 4:12)
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To: dp0622

Could Donald give some “slum addresses”? Maybe he could. That would certainly look a lot better than these aloof Donks who have been taking them for granted.


30 posted on 08/27/2016 9:25:56 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
Hillary's appeal is becoming more selective.

31 posted on 08/27/2016 9:26:36 AM PDT by Interesting Times (WinterSoldier.com. SwiftVets.com. ToSetTheRecordStraight.com.)
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To: chajin

Poor John, he was trying to bring pep into his campaign with Sarah Palin, but he could not. Not that Sarah was so bad, but that he had all the appeal of stale oatmeal. You have to say that the Obama image, at least, had pizzazz.

Whatever Donald Trump may lack, it isn’t pizzazz.


32 posted on 08/27/2016 9:28:24 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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What really matters is the outcome of the 8+- swing states that will determine who
is elected president. Which states that will be is where the candidate needs
spend time, money and political capital. I’m sure various opinions will be
expressed as which states those will be.


33 posted on 08/27/2016 9:28:37 AM PDT by deport
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To: TMA62

The number of delegates required to win the nomination of the Democrat Party was 2382. Without Superdelagates Clinton had 2205, and Sanders 1846. There were 712 total Superdelagates. The fingers of DWS tipped the scale in favor of Herself.


34 posted on 08/27/2016 9:30:42 AM PDT by SoCal Pubbie
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To: plain talk

Yes, but that article was after the first debate, but before the second one, when Romney caved in to Candy Crowley. If Romney had kept up the momentum he had after the first debate I am sure we would never have seen a second Obama term. Alas.....


35 posted on 08/27/2016 9:33:29 AM PDT by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

Unfortunately they have a point. Ron Paul, Bernie, and Romney all had big crowds also.


36 posted on 08/27/2016 9:34:44 AM PDT by MNDude (God is not a Republican, but Satan is certainly a Democrat.)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

Yep, 20 people in a crowd is a sign of massive grass-roots movement enthusiastic about their candidate/s

Reading this pablum is like living in Orwell’s 1984.


37 posted on 08/27/2016 9:34:54 AM PDT by Red in Blue PA (war is peace, freedom is slavery, ignorance is strength, obamca loves America)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

The DNC and hilliary are banking on their MSM propaganda dept.
along with all of the leftist super donors like soros to drag her lame ass across the finish line. Don’t forget a good dose of massive voter fraud to boot.

CNN, ABC, NBC, CBS, FOX, NPR, and PBS should be billed as “info-tainment” and sued for false represention.


38 posted on 08/27/2016 9:35:36 AM PDT by factoryrat (We are the producers, the creators. Grow it, mine it, build it.)
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To: factoryrat

>CNN, ABC, NBC, CBS, FOX, NPR, and PBS should be billed as “info-tainment” and sued for false represention.

State propaganda would be an more accurate description.


39 posted on 08/27/2016 9:36:45 AM PDT by RedWulf (Trump:Front Lines. Obama: Back Nine. Hillary:Nap Time.)
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To: ScaniaBoy

Was that before or after the 47% gaffe? I forget. That 47% remark was used by the MSM to great effect and I remember that as somewhat pivotal. The MSM does the same thing to Trump regularly although Trump seems to be providing them less ammo these days which is good.


40 posted on 08/27/2016 9:38:33 AM PDT by plain talk
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