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Why Six Swing-State GOP Senators Are in Trouble – And How They Can Survive
Wall Street Journal ^ | 04/23/2016 | By Gerald F. Seib

Posted on 04/24/2016 7:02:39 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

In a complicated political season, nobody has more complications to worry about than the half-dozen Republican senators seeking re-election in tight, swing-state contests.

Those senators–hailing from Illinois, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and North Carolina—are being buffeted by big forces largely out of their control as they try to hang onto their seats. Their fate will determine whether Republicans keep control of the Senate, where they currently have a 54-46 advantage.

The predicament of these GOP senators comes into clearer focus in the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, completed just last week, which helps crystallize three big complications they face:

–The Trump factor.

These Senate candidates are trying to figure out what it would mean to run for re-election in a party whose presidential nominee, with the face and voice that would dominate national attention, would be Donald Trump.

The issue arises, of course because of the stratospheric levels of negative feelings toward Mr. Trump nationwide. In the new WSJ/NBC News poll, 65% of voters said they had negative feelings toward Mr. Trump. That includes 79% of Latinos and 75% of younger voters aged 18 through 34, two audiences where the GOP had been hoping to improve over its performance four years ago.

The question for GOP Senate candidates is whether such negative feelings could pull down other Republicans with spots down the ballot. It’s a complicated question because Mr. Trump might at the same time draw out to the polls, to the benefit of Republicans, more white working-class voters, many of whom see him as something of a potential savior.

(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Illinois; US: New Hampshire; US: New York; US: North Carolina; US: Ohio; US: Pennsylvania; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2016election; brokenrecord; concerntroll; concerntrollalert; concerntrolls; election2016; elections; geraldfseib; gop; gope; illinois; ilovetowhine; inyourheadrentfree; newhampshire; newyork; northcarolina; ohio; pennsylvania; presidentdonaldtrump; rinos; senate; swingstates; trump; waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaah; wallstreetjournal; wisconsin
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To: irish guard

What all those pros don’t know enough about arcane “ rules” to,stop the train? Not buying it. If they had the will and the courage they would taken on obamacare one bite at a time

They all look like losers. That’s why trump is going through the GOP voting base like crap through a goose. Like Patton said, Americans love a winner but they will not tolerate a loser. Americans play to win every time.


21 posted on 04/24/2016 7:47:38 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: Mad Dawgg
to do that the GOPe Party must be dismantled.

What do you think all this rancor, screaming, kicking, biting and clawing is all about?

22 posted on 04/24/2016 7:52:15 AM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Canadians can't be President!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Since when has Illinois been a swing state?


23 posted on 04/24/2016 7:53:16 AM PDT by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: grania

grania wrote: “We gave Republicans a strong mandate in DC last election. How did that turn out?”

silverleaf wrote: “It also gave us a GOP House and Senate in 2014 How’s that working out?”

Too many conservatives stayed home and did not vote for McCain electing Obama. Too many conservatives stayed home and did not vote for Romney re-electing Obama. How did those work out for you?


24 posted on 04/24/2016 7:53:17 AM PDT by DugwayDuke ("A man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest")
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To: SeekAndFind
I live in Illinois, and I would have a very hard time voting for Mark Kirk. That statement has nothing to do with Donald Trump, and everything to do with Mark Kirk.

The author of this article was on Fox News Sunday this morning. Until this morning, I had never heard of this guy before.

25 posted on 04/24/2016 7:53:58 AM PDT by Bernard (The Road To Hell Is Not Paved With Good Results)
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To: DugwayDuke
That’s exactly the attitude that gave the Democrats a filibuster proof majority in the Senate in 2008 and gave you Obamacare. How did that turn out?

They went and voted to give Repubs control of both houses of congress, how did that work out? Obamacare is still here. They made Bush 43 Presidency and he gave them compassionate conservatism, open borders, the Iraq Afgan wars, bigger government, and Cheif Justice Roberts, how did that work out?

26 posted on 04/24/2016 8:05:53 AM PDT by WMarshal (Trump 2016)
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To: SeekAndFind

Trumpo controls the ‘down ballot’ spots all the way to dog catcher and they better realize it.


27 posted on 04/24/2016 8:08:29 AM PDT by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannoli. Take it to the Mattress.")
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To: SeekAndFind

Their trouble is of their own making


28 posted on 04/24/2016 8:08:37 AM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: DugwayDuke

About the same as giving a bunch of do-nothing, cowardly, two-faced, godless, GOPe whores control of both houses. Not a dime’s bit of difference between em, except one party is honest about their evil intentions, while your party hacks lie about theirs.

I don’t even really support Trump, but I despise the GOPe and the Dems. A pox on both their houses!


29 posted on 04/24/2016 8:09:26 AM PDT by antidisestablishment (If Washington was judged with the same standard as Sodom, it would not exist.)
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To: central_va

Well put.
The battle is between the voters and the donors- and the media that lives off the advertising revenue of the donors.


30 posted on 04/24/2016 8:12:41 AM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: mrsmith

GloBUllist Free Traitors™ vs Real Americans.


31 posted on 04/24/2016 8:14:40 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Rob Portman gave $100,000 to Cochran in Mississippi to help turn up the bigotry and racism charges against McDaniel in the run-off. He’s also a New World order Bush acolyte. So he has nobody but himself to blame.


32 posted on 04/24/2016 8:15:12 AM PDT by Buckeye Battle Cry (Hillary - Ethically sleazy and politically stupid)
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To: bigbob

if they turned against him on votes afterward.

We’re talking about politicians. This is what they do.


33 posted on 04/24/2016 8:16:15 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: DugwayDuke
I don't see how Romney or McCain representing the Republican in crowd would be any better than all the damage GWB did to the US. What we gave the US Senate and HOR was the power of the purse and enough votes to stop the globalist agenda on trade. They failed us badly, even worse than when they didn't have a majority in the US Senate.

If the nomination is stolen from Trump, the nation is gone anyway. Republicans, unless they've been extremely loyal to their voter mandate, wouldn't be elected to any office, right down to the local level.

This AM, a DEMOCRAT was interviewed on TV. What did she say? They're not voting for the "lesser of two evils" anymore.

Don't you get it? A majority of US voters, across the political spectrum, see the crowd that pulls the strings in DC as evil.

34 posted on 04/24/2016 8:19:36 AM PDT by grania
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To: SeekAndFind

Kelly Ayotte is from New Hampshire.
The Tea Party elected her.
She went about doing the business of catering to McCain and the Democrats.
I can’t see why the Democrats want to replace her with a liberal progressive. Those ungrateful fools.


35 posted on 04/24/2016 8:20:22 AM PDT by lucky american (Progressives are attacking our rights and y'all will sit there and take it.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I am not re electing anyone in Utah...Mike Lee and Harry Reid are in the middle of a court case here in Utah, Shallow is his name, so that crosses out Mike Lee...

Shortly after Mia Love went to her new position as Rep. of my district, she went to a gala dinner, and some super pack gave her half a million dollars for something, a lot we don’t know about yet...so she’s off my list...

We have to much corruption in D.C. as we have been finding out and it’s time these people go home, and we find new people that can do OUR work for us, not a super pack, special interest group of Wall Street...if they can’t, then next election they get voted out and someone new will be put in...


36 posted on 04/24/2016 8:24:25 AM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump; Trump; Trump; Trump; 100%)
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To: BobL

There is no doubt that will happen. I haven’t decided yet if that is what I will do. i have worked to get many republicans elected in my state which was purple and turned back red. My senator does not deserve to get re-elected, because he doesn’t represent the people who elected him very well. But if the RNC allows the nomination to be stolen by an RNC drop-in or doesn’t support the front-runner by allowing delegate shenanigans, I may not vote for him.


37 posted on 04/24/2016 8:26:56 AM PDT by Antipolitico
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To: SeekAndFind

I won’t vote for Portman. If the GOP wants to win they can run someone other than a slimy RINO turd.


38 posted on 04/24/2016 8:29:12 AM PDT by vmivol00 (I won't be reconstructed.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Richard burr in NC is a sorry candidate. Greg Brannnon was a constitionalist but NC chose Burr again. Sadly Ross who is running against him shows far more respect to her constituents.
39 posted on 04/24/2016 8:29:40 AM PDT by nclaurel
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To: DugwayDuke
That’s exactly the attitude that gave the Democrats a filibuster proof majority in the Senate in 2008 and gave you Obamacare. How did that turn out?

LOL, you actually still believe the GOP is an opposition party. Obama has gotten away with just as much with a GOP majority as he did with a 'rat majority. The GOP will do what it takes to keep from 'being blamed' for anything.

40 posted on 04/24/2016 8:31:56 AM PDT by Sans-Culotte ('''Political correctness is communist propaganda writ small''~ Theodore Dalrymple)
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